Tuesday 23 September 2014

Dolphins Said, The Results Read: WWE Night Of Champions 2014 Edition

Here's the Night of Champions 2014 edition of the 'Dolphins Said, The Results Read' series I run in the days following a WWE pay-per-view.

This month once again points to Dolphins1925, or DolphinsReddit as he is known on Twitter,  picking the betting favourites.

Here's what was Tweeted out on Sunday along with some notes on the odds.

My source has guaranteed me once again the leaks are still back. I will be posting spoilers for Night of Champions shortly.

Okay..

Randy Orton will defeat Chris Jericho

Hardly a surprise considering it was Jericho's last night in the company for the time being. The oddsmakers had Orton a favourite from the start. At the time of the tweet, he was a -4,500 favourite with Jericho priced at +1,500.

Gold & Stardust will defeat The Usos

The Rhodes boys were -6,000 right before the show. They had been favourites to win from the off. For what it's worth, The Usos were +2,000.

Rusev will defeat Mark Henry

Rusev was -1,700 at the time of the tweet. He even ended up being backed further as the show was ongoing. He was priced at -2,000 before the start of the contest.

AJ Lee will win the Triple Threat match

In the few hours before the show, the 5Dimes Sportsbook published individual odds for the participants in the Divas Championship bout. The 'AJ Lee' option had opened at around +275. However, when the smart money appeared to come in, she immediately became a favourite. At the moment the tweet was delivered, she was marked up at -1,200.

The Miz will defeat Dolph Ziggler

Miz had opened as an underdog to win the match. His odds started to move in his favour when the smart money came in between 10pm and 10:37pm BST. In that short space of time, he went from a +400 outsider to a -2,000 favourite. His odds had shortened further when DolphinsReddit announced him as being the potential winner.

Sheamus will defeat Cesaro

This was another case of an early underdog becoming overwhelming favourite in the latter stages of the betting period. At the time of the tweet, Sheamus was in the -1,700 range. A huge shift from the +160 he was at 9am BST on Sunday morning.

Brock Lesnar will defeat John Cena

This was the incorrect 'spoiler' of the night and it makes for an interesting betting story.

Lesnar had been favourite throughout the entire week  However, and as I wrote on this blog in the days leading up to the event, there were occasions when Cena's price started dropping. It wasn't enough to send him into the role of favourite, though.

At the time of Dolphins' tweet, Lesnar's odds were priced at -1,750 after moving from -475 to -1,200 in the period where the smart money appeared to have moved the rest of the board.

Another point worth noting is when I was tracking the closing odds right before the match started, Lesnar's odds were still at -1,750 with Cena at +850. A visitor to the blog noted that he had seen Cena's price drop 350 points around this time.

Whichever way you look at it, John Cena entered the main event as an underdog. Dolphins delivered Brock Lesnar as the winner because of one reason.

The betting board indicated the match would end with a Brock Lesnar victory.

Odds taken from the betting board at 5Dimes.com

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