Sunday 18 April 2021

WrestleMania 37 Was A Wet Event

WrestleMania 37 was a wet event.

The opening sentence may have brought out a 'well, obviously!' from some of you after reading it. However, there was some confusion when it came to Kambi's prop markets for the weather in Tampa from last week.

As I covered in the week leading up to last weekend's events, Kambi had prop markets available in which customers were asked whether or not at least 1mm of rain precipitation would be recorded in Raymond James Stadium's zip code of FL 33607 on the Saturday and Sunday of the event.

When the market was first installed, I placed two very small wagers. In the first, I backed the area of Tampa to have at least 1mm of rain precipitation on the Saturday and then, in the second punt, I placed a wager on 'No' - there would not be rain precipitation of 1mm of rain or higher on the final day of the event.

I visited Weather.com daily in order to publish updates here on this blog. Sometime during the week, I placed another bet by backing 'Yes' in the market for Sunday's event.

As we now know, there were storm warnings in the hours leading up to the start of Saturday's portion of the event. Then - just as it was about to start - there was a storm delay in the building with Michael Cole and Samoa Joe both seen wearing ponchos to shield them from the rain.

WrestleMania 37 Wet Event Betting

With the weather delay, I thought for sure that my bet for Saturday was a winner. 

Sunday's weather was just as atrocious. However, by the time of the event, things evidently seemed to clear up as - from viewing the show thousands of miles away - I did not witness any rain. There wasn't any delays.

I checked the wagers on Monday morning and noticed that the prop market for there to be rain precipitation above 1mm on Saturday was settled with 'No' as the winner. So, it looked like I lost on that one despite the stadium experiencing storm delays. 

Going in, I knew that Kambi was going by what Weather.com would report. I took a look on the website and it did indeed not look good as it pertains my bet.

WrestleMania 37 Wet Event Betting: Saturday Report

The website listed that there was '0.00 Inches' of rain precipitation recorded for that area of Tampa for Saturday. 

However, the graph on the same page pointed to something different.

WrestleMania 37 Wet Event Betting: Saturday Graph

As you can see above, there was a high of 0.28 inches (approx 7mm) of rain precipitation recorded at one point on Saturday.

I figured that the result was settled on the number of 0.00 inches in the report (I presume an average), so thought I lost. As I said, I knew the rules going in.

Sunday's market was also settled with 'No' as the winning selection. Therefore, I won on the initial small wager punt from day one, but lost on the 'Yes' gamble I placed days afterwards.

Remember how I figured that Saturday's market must have been settled due to Weather.com going by the '0.00 Inches' in the report? Well, here's where confusion started to creep in.

WrestleMania 37 Wet Event Betting: Sunday Report

According to the report for Sunday, Tampa had precipitation of '0.54 Inches' (approx 14mm). As well as that, the graph pointed to a period in which there was '0.93 Inches' (approx 27mm) of rain precipitation in the area.

WrestleMania 37 Wet Event Betting: Sunday Graph


I figured that, if I was to consider the bet for Saturday to be a loss, I had to ask the bookmakers to at least take a look at the result from Sunday's wagers.

After waiting a few days, in order to see whether other customers would have queried the result before me, I sent off an email with the information I collected from the weather website. Shortly after that, I received a message in my account inbox to inform me that there had been a resettlement. The Sunday result was reversed with 'Yes' being declared the winning selection. 

But, there was more.

The result for Saturday, which like I stated was controversial because the report did claim that '0.00 inches' of rain precipitation was recorded for that day despite the graph contradicting the number, was also resettled with 'Yes' being declared the winner.

To close, here's how both markets were adjusted as the days leading into the show passed.

WrestleMania 37 Wet Event Betting: Saturday

The eventual winner started off as a 5/4 underdog. It rose to 3/1 when 'No' was lowered from 11/20 into 1/5. However, it fell into 7/5 a couple of days later, but was pushed out to 2/1 by April 9th when 'No' was snipped into 1/3 from 1/2.

On the occasions when the market for Sunday was adjusted, it was always in favour of the eventual winner. 'Yes' started at 19/10 on April 3rd. It was down into 7/10 four days later - when the weather forecast was giving strong chances of rain and thunder storms.

WrestleMania 37 Wet Event Betting: Sunday

The selection had descended into 1/4 by Friday April 9th and remained at that price right through to the market's close later that day.

This will be the last WrestleMania weather post for at least a couple of years because 2022's event is going to be indoors. That will be followed by another outdoor venue - albeit in a warmer climate of California - in 2023.

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