Sunday, 19 January 2020

Kambi's TV Props For Week Commencing January 20th Published

The oddsmakers from Kambi have published viewership proposition markets for the coming week's pro wrestling TV shows.

In this post, I'll look at all the markets and I'll introduce a FYI section below each write-up to point out anything worth noting when considering the bets.

WWE Monday Night Raw
For the January 20th edition of Monday Night Raw, Kambi is asking customers to bet whether or not the show has a total average audience of '2.3 Million or More'.
The 'Yes' is 9/10 while the 'No' is 4/5.

FYI: The most recent episode of Raw had a total average audience of 2,030,333 but it was up against the college football championship game.

AEW Dynamite
This week's AEW Dynamite will be taped from the Jericho Cruise. Kambi has set the line at '1.0 Million or more' viewers with the 'No' a 13/20 favourite while the 'Yes' is available at 11/10.

FYI: Last week's episode of Dynamite had an audience of 940,000. This was for a live show, so it'll be interesting to see if it beats that number for a taped show. With that said, the fact that it's being recorded aboard a ship might have an intrigue factor. The line is still 60,000 higher than last week's number, though. I've gambled on 'No'.

WWE NXT on USA
Strong .vs. Lee - NXT on January 22nd 2020The 22nd January episode of NXT on the USA Network has a line of '0.7 Million or more'. Customers who think the show will draw 700,000 or higher can find the 'Yes' at 9/10 while a winning bet on the result being anything at 699,999 or less will pay out at 4/5.

FYI: NXT from January 15th had 700,000 so what you're betting on here is whether or not the show performs better than last week. I think it has the potential to do so considering 721,000 tuned in on January 8th to see the number one contenders match for the NXT North American Championship and this week will host Keith Lee's challenge for the title.

AEW .vs. NXT
There's a spread prop for both shows. In it, the customers are asked whether AEW Dynamite will beat NXT's number by 250,000 or more viewers. The 'Yes' is a 4/5 favourite over the 9/10 for 'No'.

FYI: I've already pointed out that AEW Dynamite is a taped show, so it will be interesting to see whether taped .vs. live is of any significance.

WWE Smackdown
For the Rumble go-home episode of Smackdown, the line is set at '2.65 Million or More'. Customers that believe the show will have 2,650,000 or above can get the 'Yes' at 19/20. Those who think the result will be less than what is required can currently get 3/4 for 'No'.

FYI: Smackdown's rating has been improving gradually so far in 2020. On January 3rd it recorded 2,418,000. A week later, it had 2,502,500 and - for this week - it had reached 2,580,000. 2.65 Million might be a bit too high, but this is the Rumble go-home show.

Prices were correct as of 12:20PM GMT. They can be found on Kambi's Wrestling Page.

Charlotte Flair's Rumble Odds Cut Into +200 And More

I have just visited the 5Dimes Sportsbook to make my daily 11AM odds notes and noticed that Charlotte Flair's odds to win the women's Royal Rumble have once again declined.

As of today, Flair is now down to +200 to be the 2020 Women's Royal Rumble winner.

Flair's price has been on the decline since Tuesday morning when she fell from the +1,700 she was available at from January 8th into +1,300. The following morning, I noticed her price had dropped into +1,100 and was then at +950 on Wednesday.

The price was still at +950 when I checked in yesterday, so the drop to +200 occurred sometime within the last twenty-four hours.

Interestingly, even though Charlotte Flair's price has been reduced at 5Dimes, she still remains at +800 with other offshore books like MyBookie and BetOnline. For the latter, Flair had started off at +1,000 but was cut into the aforementioned +800 sometime between Wednesday and Friday of this week.

It's somewhat of a different story over here in Europe as Paddy Power moved Flair from 10/1 up to 11/1 within the last twenty-four hours.

As for 5Dimes - with Flair's price cut, the sportsbook has increased some selections' odds. Most notable is the odds-on favourite, Shayna Baszler, who is now available at -300. This is up slightly from the -325 The Queen of Spades could have been found a day ago.

In the men's Rumble market, Roman Reigns' price is now down to -185. He was -110 yesterday.

On the subject of Reigns - his price to beat King Corbin in the falls count anywhere match have been pushed up from -280 to -260 due to Corbin's odds being cut from +200 into +180.

That's not all.

A market for the recently confirmed WWE Smackdown Women's Championship match has now been published.

Bayley is a -195 favourite to successfully retain her title against Lacey Evans. A win for the challenger will pay out at odds of +155.

Adjustments have been made to the other title match markets on the board.

WWE Universal Champion - Bray Wyatt - is now down from -530 into -565 to beat Daniel Bryan in the strap match. A win for Daniel Bryan is now being offered at +375. This is up from +350.

In what I would consider a surprise considering the Becky Lynch .vs. Asuka match is being built as a redemption story for Lynch, the bookmakers have lowered Asuka's price from +300 into +200 to get a decision over the Raw Women's Champion.

Lynch, who had been a -420 fave since January 9th, is now -280.

Prices correct as of 11AM and taken from The 5Dimes Sportsbook.

Saturday, 18 January 2020

17/1 Smackdown Viewership Number Published

Smackdown's total average audience for last night's airing on FOX was 2,580,000. This is according to the TV ratings website, ShowBuzzDaily.com, which published the numbers today.

The episode had 2,616,000 tuned in for hour number one, but had a drop to 2,544,000 for the final half.

Now that the results have been confirmed by ShowBuzzDaily.com, Kambi will settle its final couple of TV prop bets for the week.

The first proposition for last night asked customers whether there would be 2.5 Million or more viewers recorded for the 17th January airing.

'Yes' won by 80,000 viewers. As you'll be able to see in the table below, the selection and the opposing 'No', both started off at 17/20. However, by Wednesday afternoon, the eventual winner had declined to 4/5.

17th January 2020 Smackdown TV Ratings Prop Bet

The second prop was a special which pitted Smackdown against Monday's episode of WWE Raw. In it, customers were asked whether Smackdown would have 250,000 more viewers than Raw.

Monday's show had a total average of 2,030,333 viewers, so this was another win for the 'Yes' as the blue brand had more than double the required number with 549,667 additional viewers.

13th And 17th January 2020 Raw/Smackdown TV Ratings Prop Bet

These markets were available from Kambi.

Sky Bet Publishes Another Rumble 2020 Undercard Match Market

Bayley .vs. Lacey Evans - WWE Royal Rumble 2020 Sky Bet has published a betting market for the WWE Smackdown Women's Championship match that is now official for next weekend's WWE Royal Rumble.

The bout will see Bayley put her title on the line against Lacey Evans.

As of this afternoon, Bayley is a 1/2 favourite to successfully retain her strap while a decision in favour of her challenger will pay out at odds of 6/4.

The sportsbook has also created a special in which customers can place wagers on who will 'Leave As Champion'. For that one, the current titleholder is 1/4 and Evans is 11/4.

New Match Stips Means New Odds For Some Rumble 2020 Markets

On last night's episode of WWE Smackdown, a couple of the previously announced matches for the 2020 WWE Royal Rumble event had stipulations added to them.

The WWE Universal Championship title will now be defended in a strap match. As you can see below, Kambi has now cut Bray Wyatt's odds to win from 2/13 into 1/8.


Date/Time
Bray Wyatt
Daniel Bryan
4/1 3:15PM
2/13
7/2
18/1 11:00AM
1/8
4/1

With Wyatt lowered, Daniel Bryan has drifted to 4/1 from 7/2.


Adjustments have been made to the Wrestling Observer star rating over/under market for the match.


Wyatt .vs. Bryan
O 3.5
E 3.5
U 3.5
4/1 3:15PM
9/10
9/4
EVS
18/1 11:00AM
23/20
11/5
4/5


The 'Under 3.5 Stars' selection has been snipped from EVS into 4/5 and 'Exactly 3.5 Stars' has dipped from 9/4 into 11/5.

'Over 3.5 Stars' has been pushed out to 23/20 from 9/10.

Roman Reigns .vs. King Corbin is now confirmed as a falls count anywhere match.

The match market still lists Reigns as a 1/3 favourite over the 2/1 for a King Corbin victory. However, the Observer O/U prices have changed.

Reigns .vs. Corbin
O 2.5
E 2.5
U 2.5
11/1 11:05AM
7/10
12/5
6/5
18/1 11:00AM
4/6
49/20
5/4

'Over 2.5 Stars' has been taken down from 7/10 into 4/6 while the other selections have increased. The option to wager on 'Exactly 2.5 Stars' is now 49/20 from 12/5 and 'Under 2.5 Stars' went from 6/5 to 5/4.

Prices correct as of 11AM GMT. The latest can be found on Kambi's Pro Wrestling Pages.

5Dimes Rumble Odds Notes For 18/1

I noticed a couple of price changes to the two WWE Royal Rumble match markets on the 5Dimes Sportsbook's website when I checked in at 11:00AM GMT today.

The first change was made in the market for the men's battle royal. Edge - who was previously +1,500 to win the match - is now down to +750.

Shayna Baszler, who is a favourite to win the women's match, had fallen from -190 into -265 when I posted yesterday's update. Her price has continued to decline as it's now at -325.

Friday, 17 January 2020

5Dimes Rumble Odds Notes For 17/1

Here are the latest price cuts I've noticed from today's visit to the 5Dimes Sportsbook's markets for the two Royal Rumble matches.

In the market for the ladies match, the favourite - Shayna Baszler - has been lowered from -190 into -265.

The market for the men's match has had two selections' prices decline since yesterday's visit.

The first has seen Cain Velasquez moved down to +550 from +650 while Brock Lesnar, who'll start the match in position number one, is now +200 from +220.

Prices from The 5Dimes Website.

Thursday, 16 January 2020

AEW Dynamite And NXT Viewership Betting Results For 15/1/20

ShowBuzzDaily.com has released the audience numbers for last night's pro wrestling TV shows that went head-to-head.

AEW Dynamite once again won the night as it had 940,000 viewers to NXT's 700,000.

Now that the results have been confirmed by the website, Kambi will settle a trio of proposition markets that were published for the night.

The prop for AEW Dynamite asked customers whether more than one million viewers would tune in for the show.

The 'No' was backed from 3/4 into 8/13 during the period people were able to bet on the market.

AEW Dynamite Prop Bet For January 15th 2020

'No' was also a winning selection in the market for NXT as the bookmakers set the line at 720,000. Therefore, it fell 20,000 short of winning for the 'Yes', which was backed from 4/5 into 11/20.

NXT Prop Bet For January 15th 2020

As you can see, the eventual winner was 9/10 when the market was initially installed. It was pushed out to 5/4 when the 'Yes' was lowered.

The final market for Wednesday night was a head-to-head special which asked customers whether or not AEW Dynamite would beat NXT by 250,000 or more viewers.

There was a 240,000 difference, so it was reasonably close. 

AEW .vs. NXT Prop Bet For January 16 2020

The eventual winning selection was 4/5 to start off with, but was taken down to 13/25 and remained at that price until the market was taken down last night.

A market for tomorrow night's episode of WWE Smackdown on FOX is still available as of the time of writing. 

The line for the show is set at '2.5 Million or More'. Going by the odds movement, it would appear as though the bookmakers have had interest in the 'Yes' as the selection has lowered to 4/5 from 17/20.

17/1/20 Smackdown Betting TV Prop

Those who believe Smackdown's total average audience for the night will be recorded at under 2,500,000 can now get 'No' at 9/10. This is up from its opening 17/20.

Kambi's Entry Odds For Both Rumbles

The oddsmakers from Kambi have published more specials for the two Royal Rumble matches that will be held next week.

Customers can now gamble on the entry number the eventual winners draw in their respective matches.

Here are the odds for the women's Royal Rumble match.

Women's Royal Rumble 2020 Entry Number Betting

And here are the odds for the men's Royal Rumble.

As of this moment, they are offering 'Entrant #01' at 11/2 and the best advice I can give is - if you believe Brock Lesnar will win the match from number one position - there's more value in taking him in the outright market. This is because he's 13/2 there right now. 

Men's Royal Rumble 2020 Entry Number Betting

These markets, and props like an 'Odd/Even' and 'Over/Under' can be found on Kambi's WWE Betting Page.

5Dimes Publishes Reigns/Corbin Market Plus Rumble Odds Notes For 16/1

The oddsmakers from 5Dimes have published a market for the Roman Reigns versus King Corbin match that has been announced for the 2020 WWE Royal Rumble undercard.

As of this morning, Reigns is a -280 favourite to overcome his nemesis. A decision in favour of Corbin will pay out at odds of +200.

In yesterday's 5Dimes post, I published a catch up in regards to the odds for both of the Royal Rumble battle royals. Here are some updated notes I've taken from this morning's visit.

  1. In yesterday's post, I initially failed to point out that Ricochet's price had lowered from +4,500 into +3,750 in the men's market. I made an correction at the bottom of the post a few hours later, but want to point it out again just in case anybody missed the emendation
  2. Brock Lesnar's price has once again dropped. He was +350 previously, but is now down to +220
  3. Drew McIntyre's odds have lowered from +950 to +750
  4. Edge is now at +1,500. This is down from the previous price of +2,250
  5. Shayna Baszler, who made a losing appearance in the battle royal on NXT last night, has had her odds to win the women's Royal Rumble match moved in from -175 into -190

Prices correct as of 11AM GMT and taken from The 5Dimes Website.

Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Notes About 5Dimes' Rumble Markets After A Week Of Betting

It has been a little over a week since the 5Dimes Sportsbook published its betting markets for the 2020 WWE Royal Rumble.

I've been visiting the website on a daily basis and have made notes on all of the markets and thought - with it being a week since I last wrote about them - that I'd publish an update of sorts.

Women's Royal Rumble Match
I'll start with the women's Royal Rumble market because, I would have to state that - out of all the markets available - this is the one with the most interesting price adjustments.
This is because Charlotte Flair's odds have been on the decline.
Between a week today right up until yesterday morning, no selection had its price shortened. Then, yesterday morning, I noticed Flair's price had lowered from +1,700 into +1,300.
The price was then taken down to +1,100 by 10PM GMT last night and - on this morning's visit - I noticed they've dropped down to +950.

One other selection is showing shorter odds when contrasted with last week and it's the one for Sasha Banks. Her price was taken down from +1,500 to +1,250 sometime between 10PM GMT last night and 11AM GMT today.

WWE Universal Championship
Bray Wyatt remains a -530 favourite to successfully retain the WWE Universal Championship while Daniel Bryan stays at +350.

WWE Raw Women's Championship
The WWE Raw Women's Championship market was adjusted in favour of Becky Lynch sometime between Wednesday and Thursday last week as the champion was cut from -350 into -420. Her challenger - Asuka - was pushed out to +300 from +250.
They remain at those respective prices as of 11AM GMT today.

Men's Royal Rumble Match
The first selection I noticed with a shorter price in the men's Royal Rumble match market was the one for Keith Lee. It was taken down from +2,000 into +1,750 sometime after Wednesday morning but before 11AM GMT on Thursday.
No other selections were lowered from Wednesday until yesterday morning when I saw that Brock Lesnar's price had lowered from +650 into +350.
Two other selections have moved within the last twenty-four hours. They are for a win by Edge (+2,250 to +2,000) and Tommaso Ciampa (+4,500 to +3,750).

2:15PM GMT Update: I missed that Ricochet's odds have declined overnight as he is now +3,750 but was +4,500 before that.

Prices from 5Dimes' Website.

13/1/20 WWE Monday Night Raw Audience Number

ShowBuzzDaily.com released the audience numbers for the 13th January WWE Monday Night Raw last night.

The episode drew a total average audience of 2,030,333 viewers. 

Now that the numbers have been released, a prop market - in which customers could bet whether or not the show drew an audience of 2,300,000 or more - will be graded in favour of 'No'.

The winning selection was 9/10 when Kambi's markets for this week's TV numbers were opened.


WWE Monday Night Raw Prop Bet For January 13 2020

As you can see, the favourite was 'Yes'. It was 4/5.

The breakdown for the show went as follows.

Hour 1: 2,218,000
Hour 2: 2,059,000
Hour 3: 2,030,333

Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Sky Bet Publishes 'Shortest Stay' Market For Men's Rumble

The oddsmakers from Sky Bet have added even more specials to their coverage of the men's Royal Rumble.

Customers can now place wagers on the person who has the 'Shortest Stay' in the match.

Just like with the 'Most Eliminations' and 'Iron Man' markets, there are plenty of selections to choose from and there are generous odds available if you want to look outside of the usual suspects.

It should come as no surprise, to those who have been following along, that I've placed a speculative punt on Brock Lesnar at 150/1.

This gamble plays into my idea that there's a chance he is the first person eliminated. However, that is no guarantee and - even if I end up correct with that guess - there are plenty more opportunities for other participants to be eliminated in shorter time as the match progresses.

Other names I've bet on are:

Sami Zayn 33/1
Jinder Mahal 66/1 (I came close with him last year!)
Goldberg 66/1
Chad Gable 66/1
Dolph Ziggler 80/1

More Rumble 2020 Specials From Sky Bet

Royal Rumble 2020Sky Bet has added more specials to its coverage of the men's Royal Rumble match.

In a post published yesterday, I noted that the bookmakers had created a 'Most Eliminations' market. As of today, customers can now place bets on who they believe will be the 'Iron Man' of the match.

Brock Lesnar, who will enter the match in first place, is an 8/11 fave to last the longest.

There's also a market in which customers can gamble on who they believe will be in the 'Final 4' in a week from Sunday night.

2nd Rumble Entrant Specials

The oddsmakers from Kambi have published a handful of specials that focus on the second entrant of the men's Royal Rumble match.

We all know that WWE Champion - Brock Lesnar - will be the first man entered into the battle royal in a week from Sunday. However, as we don't know who the second entrant is, Kambi has installed markets in which customers can bet on who they think it'll be and how they perform (or not perform!) in the match.

A couple of nemesis' of Lesnar - Cain Velasquez and Roman Reigns - are joint 5/2 favourites in the betting. The list includes other names like R-Truth 7/1, Matt Riddle 10/1, Edge 17/1, Ricochet 33/1, Bill Goldberg 50/1, Daniel Cormier 66/1 and more.

There are six proposition as well.

The first, titled 'Beats the #30 buzzer', asks customers whether the second entrant will still be 'an active match participant at time of buzzer for entry #30'. The odds for 'Yes' are currently 23/20 while the option to wager on the wrestler not still being in the running when the final entrant becomes a runner is 8/13.

1/2 is being offered on the prospect of the entrant being 'conquered before #3 buzzer'. This obviously means that the wrestler would have been eliminated by Brock Lesnar before the timer ticks to zero for the third entry. Those who think the wrestler will still be in the match when the third wrestler is eligible can find 'No' at 7/5.

The prop titled 'Immediate Impact' asks customers to bet whether or not they believe the second entrant will eliminate Lesnar before the buzzer for the third entrant sounds. The 'Yes' is 9/5 and the 'No' is 4/11.

In 'Outlasts the Beast' the proposition asks whether entrant two 'is eliminated after Brock Lesnar or wins the match'. 5/4 is being offered for 'Yes' while a winning wager on 'No' will pay out at 11/20.

There's an Over/Under prop which asks whether the person is 'credited as having eliminated 3 or more participants' in the match. 'Yes' is 13/10 while those who believe he'll eliminate less than three can find the 'No' as a 13/25 favourite.

8/1 is available to those who believe the second and Brock Lesnar will be the in the 'last 2 with Brock Lesnar'. 'No' is 1/40.

Monday, 13 January 2020

Sky Bet Publishes 'Most Eliminations' Market For Men's Rumble

Sky Bet has published a 'Most Eliminations' market for the men's Royal Rumble match.

What should not be a surprise is Brock Lesnar is a 2/1 favourite. He's followed by Braun Stowman and Drew McIntyre, who are 4/1 joint second-favourites.

In my week of going back and forth on what WWE could do with Brock Lesnar in the Rumble, one idea I have is for Lesnar to be the first person eliminated. Therefore, I've decided to look away from the favourite and at other names with longer odds.

As noted in other posts today, one of the ideas I have for Brock Lesnar and his exit from the battle royal is to be thrown out by Mansoor because this scenario could potentially set up Mansoor as Lesnar's opponent for the reported show that's set to take place in February.

Another person I've considered as a possible eliminator of Lesnar is Edge.

If the scenario I've thought of with Lesnar being eliminated first - and it's Edge who rids him from the match - then that could mean Edge is in for a while and accumulate more eliminations during the match.

Edge has denied that he has been given clearance to return to action and Dave Meltzer has been told that Edge is not Lesnar's opponent for WrestleMania, so I am gambling that he ends up being Lesnar's challenger in February instead.

There is no option to bet on Mansoor getting the most eliminations, but I have backed a few other selections because the odds are generous. Along with the 33/1 for Edge, I've gambled on:

Keith Lee 12/1
Aleister Black 25/1
Kevin Owens 25/1
Tommaso Ciampa 50/1
Sheamus 66/1
Erick Rowan 50/1

Another Lesnar/Rumble Post

My near week-long contemplation of Brock Lesnar's Royal Rumble involvement, and how it could set up a future opponent, went in a completely different direction last night.

After writing THIS POST in which I noted there are reports that WWE is returning to Saudi Arabia for an event on February 20th and suggested that maybe Lesnar is in the Rumble to set up a challenger for that show rather than for WrestleMania, a thought struck me.

What If Mansoor Is Throwing Brock Out?

IF I am on the right track - and the Rumble is being used to set up Lesnar's opponent for Saudi Arabia  rather than Mania - then Mansoor being the person who eliminates The Beast from the battle royal would instantly place the Saudi Arabian as a contender more than it would WWE randomly announcing a Lesnar .vs. Mansoor title match for February.