Tuesday, 19 September 2017

Latest No Mercy 2017 Betting Odds

Here are the latest WWE No Mercy 2017 betting odds from the Paddy Power Sportsbook.

Date/Time
Alexa
Sasha
Nia
Bayley
Emma
19/9 11:50am
6/5
9/4
5/2
3/1
12/1
11pm
4/5
11/4
11/4
10/3
14/1

A market for the WWE Raw Women's Championship market was first published this morning. At the time, the current titleholder - Alexa Bliss - was a 6/5 favourite. She has now been cut into 4/5.

Date/Time
Jason Jordan
The Miz
19/9 11am
8/11
10/11
11pm
4/6
11/10

An Intercontinental Championship market was also published this morning. The challenger to The Miz's title - Jason Jordan - has moved in from 8/11 to 4/6.

Date/Time
Ambrose and Rollins
Sheamus and Cesaro
18/9 3pm
4/6
11/10
8pm
"
"
19/9 11am
4/9
6/4
11pm
"
"

There has been no change in the WWE Raw Tag Team Championship market since I looked through the odds this morning. The champs, Dean Ambrose and Seth Rollins, are still 4/9 faves.

Date/Time
Finn Balor
Bray Wyatt
18/9 3pm
8/11
EVS
8pm
"
"
19/9 11am
8/15
11/8
11pm
1/2
6/4

When I checked in this morning, I noted that Finn Balor's odds to get a decision over Bray Wyatt had dropped from 8/11 to 8/15. His price has now lowered to 1/2.

Date/Time
Roman Reigns
John Cena
18/9 3pm
5/4
4/7
7pm
4/7
5/4
8pm
1/2
6/4
19/9 11am
"
"
11pm
4/7
5/4

The first sign of action in the Roman Reigns versus John Cena market landed in favour of Roman Reigns as the selection was cut from 5/4 to 1/2 withing the first day. 
Today's betting has evidently gone the way of John Cena as the odds have dipped from 6/4 into 5/4.

Date/Time
Brock Lesnar
Braun Strowman
18/9 3pm
1/3
15/8
8pm
"
"
19/9 11am
"
"
11pm
1/4
5/2

The WWE Universal Champion, Brock Lesnar, has moved in from 1/3 to 1/4 favourite today.

I plan to return tomorrow morning with another look through these markets.

No Mercy 2017 Fatal 5-Way Match Market Published

Add the fatal 5-way for the WWE Raw Women's Championship to the list of new match markets that were released by the Paddy Power Sportsbook today.

No Mercy 2017 Betting Odds

Alexa Bliss is 6/5 to successfully retain the strap while former titleholder, Sasha Banks, is in at 9/4. Nia Jax is next up at 5/2. Bayley, who was added during last night's episode of Raw, is 3/1. Emma is far out at 12/1.

No Mercy 2017 IC Title Match Odds And More

The Paddy Power Sportsbook has published a market for the Intercontinental Championship match that will take place at WWE No Mercy on Sunday night.

Jason Jordan, who became the number on contender to The Miz's title by winning a six pack challenge match on last night's Raw, is the favourite. He's 8/11 to Miz's 10/11.

Following Raw, there have been a number of adjustments made to the other markets that were published yesterday.

WWE Raw Tag Team Champions, Dean Ambrose and Seth Rollins, have been cut from 4/6 into 4/9. As a result, their challengers - Cesaro and Sheamus - have jumped out to 6/4 from 11/10,

Another favourite whose price has lowered is Finn Balor. He went from 8/11 to 8/15 while his nemesis, Bray Wyatt, is now 11/8 from EVS.

Looking For Your WWE No Mercy 2017 In-Play Specials/Props Requests

First published on September 17th.

William Hill's WWE No Mercy 2017 match markets will be published next week. As well as having the opportunity to wager on the match results, clients will also get the opportunity to bet on in-play specials that will be installed in the hours leading up to the pay-per-view.

For the past year, I've published a post in the days/weeks leading up to WWE shows where William Hill customers can leave any prop or special bet ideas they might have for the company's staff to have a look through and - if possible - add to their list to go live ahead of PPVs.

If you have any ideas for the bookies, you can leave them in the comments section below. The staff will look through your suggestions and if they are able to, your bet will be published a few hours ahead of No Mercy

To save you some time, there are a few things that cannot be priced up. A few examples are:

- Anything that might take place on the Kick Off as these markets are for main card only
- Requesting prices on legitimate injuries occurring during the match (also includes asking for odds on blood being spilt through blading etc)
- Asking for odds on catchphrases, chants or quotes made during the broadcast
- Pyrotechnic or other production malfunctions
- Match placement on the night (ie asking for odds on a certain match being the opener)
- Male on female violence (ie asking X to punch Y)

To give you a few pointers of what can be suggested, here are a few specials that were published for SummerSlam:


  • Carmella to cash in her MITB briefcase and win
  • The Undertaker to make an in-ring appearance
  • Brock Lesnar to win and Naomi to leave as champion
  • Balor, Nakamura, Styles and Bliss to win, Over 1 RKO, Undertaker to hit a Tombstone in-ring

When available, you'll be able to view William Hill's match and specials markets on the page below:


Not a William Hill customer? If you are over eighteen years old and live in a country where William Hill operates - you can join through this link

Monday, 18 September 2017

Nikki Bella Still +1,200 To Win DWTS

Dancing With The Stars Season 25 Betting Odds From Bovada

As noted in a post published last week, the Bovada and Bodog Sportsbooks have priced up betting odds for the twenty-fifth season of Dancing With The Stars.

WWE's Nikki Bella is still +1,200 to beat the field and win the Mirrorball Trophy.

Since publishing last week's post, I look around at a few websites that cover this show. I came across a blog on the USA Today website that hyped up Nikki's chances simply because of social media.

The writer trumpeted the fact that the Bella Twin has seven million Facebook fans, three million Twitter followers and then added an extra 45 million Facebook and 10 million Twitter followers for John Cena to try and boost their gripe that Nikki's price is too high.

Nikki Bella and Dancing With The Stars
Quote from USA Today's 'For The Win' Website
I understand the writers' reasoning, but it should be worth pointing out that a portion of the Facebook and Twitter follows quoted are likely based in countries that cannot vote. With that said, John Cena is already doing some canvassing for his partner. He sent out the following tweet earlier today:

John Cena Tweets Support For Nikki Bella To Win DWTS


The first episode will go head-to-head with tonight's edition of WWE Raw.

The markets are found under 'Entertainment' on the following websites:


Paddy Power's No Mercy Odds: 5 Hours Later

It has been five hours since I first noticed Paddy Power's WWE No Mercy 2017 betting odds had been published.

All but one of the markets are identical to 3pm.

Date/Time
Roman Reigns
John Cena
18/9 3pm
5/4
4/7
7pm
4/7
5/4
8pm
1/2
6/4

As you can see above, the odds for Roman Reigns to get a decision over John Cena in one of the two big matches on the night have fallen from 5/4 into 1/2.

It's worth noting that Reigns opened as the outsider despite Kambi's markets already establishing him as a favourite over a week ago. Therefore, the flip could have either been the oddsmakers realising they had the wrong person as favourite and then switched the selections around or punters took advantage of Reigns' appealing price knowing that he was a favourite elsewhere.

Whatever happened, the bottom line is Roman Reigns became the industry favourite.

No Mercy 2017 Odds From Paddy Power

Paddy Power has published a few markets for this Sunday's WWE No Mercy 2017 PPV.

Dean Ambrose and Seth Rollins are 4/6 to successfully retain the WWE Raw Tag Team Championship against former titleholders, Sheamus and Cesaro (11/10).

Finn Balor is an 8/11 favourite to get a decision over his nemesis, Bray Wyatt (EVS).

John Cena is 4/7 for his meeting with Roman Reigns (5/4).

WWE Universal Champion, Brock Lesnar, is 1/3 to successfully retain his belt against Braun Strowman (15/8).

$5 off $35+ with code WWESAVE5_468x60

Hell In A Cell 2017 Odds Update For September 18th

In the most recent post, I noted that Roman Reigns' odds to defeat John Cena at WWE No Mercy have continued to decline.

The same could be said of Jinder Mahal's price to get a decision over Shinsuke Nakamura at WWE Hell in a Cell 2017 on October 8th.

A market for the WWE Championship meeting was published on the same day that No Mercy prices were installed. At the time, the oddsmakers had the current WWE Champion - Mahal - a 7/4 underdog.

As you can see in the table below, the titleholder's odds have been lowering across the days that I've visited the market.

Date/Time
Shinsuke Nakamura
Jinder Mahal
8/9 5pm
2/5
7/4
11/9 10:30pm
"
"
12/9 5:00pm
13/20
11/10
14/9 8:40pm
17/20
17/20
17/9 12pm
"
"
18/9 1:30pm
19/20
3/4

In my opinion, the favouring of Mahal coincided with the news that WWE is visiting India in early December. Despite being a tour for the Raw brand, I think there is a strong chance that Jinder Mahal and the Singh Brothers will be part of that lineup. 

To put it bluntly, it would be absurd if they aren't featured on that tour when considering the fact that the company has given Jinder Mahal a reign as WWE Champion for the Indian market.

One thing that I have noted in most of the recent posts about this match is that it doesn't appear to be a Hell in a Cell bout. 

With Nakamura already losing to Mahal at SummerSlam (he also lost in Osaka over the weekend, but this doesn't really count), they could find a way for Nakamura to win the match, but not the title. 

Of course, this only matters if the plan is for Mahal's reign to extend beyond October 8th.


Reigns' No Mercy Odds Continue Decline And More

Roman Reigns' odds to defeat John Cena at this coming weekend's WWE No Mercy 2017 pay-per-view have once again dropped in a market that's available from the Kambi oddsmakers,

As of this afternoon, The Big Dog has moved into 1/2 from the 3/5 he was when betting resumed four days ago.

Roman Reigns .vs. John Cena No Mercy 2017 Betting Odds

John Cena has drifted out from 6/5 to 7/5 in the same period.

This market was first opened on September 8th. The two wrestlers were available at 17/20 initially, but the betting has evidently leaned on Reigns throughout.

Date/Time
Roman Reigns
John Cena
8/9 5pm
17/20
17/20
11/9 3pm
7/10
EVS
14/9 8:40pm
3/5
6/5
17/9 12pm
"
"
18/9 12pm
1/2
7/5

A market for the WWE Universal Championship match, that will see Brock Lesnar defend his title against Braun Strowman, remains stationary as of 12pm BST this afternoon. 

Lesnar is 2/5 to Strowman's 7/4.

You can see how the betting has gone in the table below.

Date/Time
Brock Lesnar
Braun Strowman
8/9 5pm
1/2
7/5
11/9 3pm
4/9
6/4
14/9 8:40pm
2/5
7/4
17/9 12pm
"
"
18/9 12pm
"
"

I expect the two markets to be closed early this evening, but - going by recent shows - the markets will be put back up in time for the PPV.


Saturday, 16 September 2017

A Look Over Kambi's Conqueror Markets

It has been a little over a week since I last looked over the Kambi oddsmaker's Conqueror markets. I went through them this morning and have noticed a few things.

The market where customers can have a bet on the person who next gets a pinfall, submission or ref stoppage victory over Braun Strowman has continued to side with Brock Lesnar. This does not come as a surprise considering the Universal Champion will meet Strowman at No Mercy a week from tomorrow.

On top of that, Lesnar is the favourite to win the bout in the match market that is available for No Mercy.

As for the conqueror market - Lesnar has now been cut from 7/20 into 1/4 to be the man who next topples Strowman.

With Lesnar being lowered, the odds for another rival of Strowman - Roman Reigns - have been increased. He went from even money to 5/4.

The entire list can be viewed in the image below:

Next To Defeat Braun Strowman Betting Odds

This isn't the only betting opportunity where customers can have a wager on Braun Strowman's next defeat. The oddsmakers also have a market with three time-frames where the loss could occur. This has also been cut since I last checked in.

Next To Defeat Braun Strowman Betting Odds

I have been following the odds since the market was first installed in late-July. As of this morning, the option to bet on 'Before WrestleMania 34' has moved in from 1/4 to 1/5.

There's a clear reason why - it's because Lesnar is favoured to win at No Mercy in eight days.

Another market that is showing different pricing than last week is the one where punters can predict who is next to score a decision over Roman Reigns.

Barring a Raw match being announced twenty-four hours before Monday night, the next potential winner over Roman Reigns for this market is John Cena. His odds have been snipped from 13/20 into 1/2 since they were last available.

This is interesting because Cena is not the favourite to win the match next week. As of the time of writing, he is 6/5 to Reigns' 3/5 in the No Mercy match market that's also available on these websites.

Just like with the Braun Strowman conqueror odds, the compilers have cut 'Before WrestleMania 34' as the time-frame where Reigns will next suffer defeat. It has moved in from 2/5 to 3/10 while the 'During WrestleMania' option has increased from 7/4 to 13/4.

Even if Roman Reigns is the winner next Sunday, I believe the odds on him suffering a loss before WrestleMania 34 is very likely. However, for bets to be settled as winners, the bout has to be announced at least twenty-four hours ahead of time and the opponent has to get a a pinfall, submission or referee stoppage decision over Reigns.

With Raw going up against Monday Night Football every week until late-December, there's a strong chance that WWE will advertise matches in advance so there's a good spot for the Roman Reigns time-frame market to have a winner from an episode of Raw rather than on a PPV.

Odds correct as of 8:45am BST today. When available, the latest can be found on the websites that publish Kambi's WWE markets. A couple of examples can be found below:


Note About A Story In This Week's Wrestling Observer

I have had a few people ask me about a story that came out in this week's issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter and thought I'd publish a short post about it.

For those of you who might not have read this issue, or any of the websites out there that have copied it, a sportsbook took a big hit on SummerSlam weekend and lost the equivalent of approximately $45,000 from one ten-match accumulator.

The best I can offer for now is that I was made aware of this story before it was reported and made its way to the public domain.

The paragraph also notes something that Dave Meltzer had indicated in the issue following SummerSlam in that certain sports betting companies are considering dropping WWE betting. It's obvious that these sorts of discussions will be made by management because - as the newsletter's editor wrote - the firms see this genre of sports betting as something of a novelty and not something they'd want to suffer significant losses on. They're also more regulated over here than overseas, so the risk of fraud will also have an impact on any decisions made about WWE betting.

Friday, 15 September 2017

Road To WrestleMania 34 Betting Odds Update For September 15th

I'm slowly getting through Kambi's specials markets that were republished yesterday and have now arrived at the 'Road to WrestleMania' odds where customers can bet on wrestlers winning either the Universal or World Championships before or by the end of WrestleMania 34.

Long List
This is a market with a handful of names. The punter will win if their choice becomes either the WWE Universal or World Champion at any point between the time of the bet being struck right up to the close of next year's Mania.

To Win WWE Championship Or Universal Championship Before Mania 34

I last recorded the odds a week yesterday. There have been some noticeable changes since then.

For starters, they've cut Braun Strowman's odds down from even money to 17/20. This makes sense considering he is the upcoming challenger to Brock Lesnar's Universal Championship.

Kevin Owens' price being cut from 3/4 into 3/5 is another that doesn't surprise me. He was last seen attacking Vince McMahon at the close of Smackdown - a sign that they have big things planned from him at the moment and potentially in the future.

With Strowman and Owens moving down, the oddsmakers have pushed up a few selections.

Finn Balor has increased from 3/1 to 4/1, Sami Zayn is 7/1 from 6/1, Samoa Joe is 4/1 from 3s and Seth Rollins is also at 4/1 from 3/1.

Head-to-Heads
The head-to-head markets pit two names against each other. A winning bet will be on the person who wins either the Universal or World title ahead of the person they're opposing. An option of 'Neither Wins Title' is also included for the punters who believe that both wrestlers won't win any of the major straps before April 8th.
You can see how I have tracked the odds movement by clicking the image below.

To Win WWE Championship Or Universal Championship Before Mania 34



Braun Strowman .vs. AJ Styles
Strowman's odds in this market - where he is opposing AJ Styles - has been cut from 7/5 to 11/10. As a result, the oddsmakers have moved Styles from EVS to 11/10 and 'Neither' to 47/20 from 2/1.

Dean Ambrose .vs. Seth Rollins
There's no change in the market where the current WWE Raw Tag Team Champions are opposing one another. Ambrose is 10/1, Rollins is 7/2 and the option to bet against both men is 1/16.

Kevin Owens .vs. Sami Zayn
As noted above, the odds for Kevin Owens have been cut to win in the long list. So, it isn't surprising to see the oddsmakers have snipped him here in the market where he's up against his real-life friend, Sami Zayn. Owens has been cut from 5/2 into 8/5, 'Neither' has moved up slightly from 1/7 into 1/5 and Zayn has jumped to 25s from 10/1.

Cesaro .vs. The Miz
Another market that has remained stationary. Cesaro is 10/1, The Miz is 4/1 and 'Neither' is 1/20.

Roman Reigns .vs. John Cena
This is the head-to-head market that I have been interested in the most. Since last checking in, John Cena has been cut from evens to 17/20. They've moved Roman Reigns up from 1/2 to 3/5. A bet on 'Neither' has remained at 10/1.

Baron Corbin .vs. Bray Wyatt
After losing the Money in the Bank contract, Baron Corbin drifted out from 1/20 to 3/1 in the head-to-head where he's up against Bray Wyatt. The oddsmakers have kept Corbin at 3/1, but have moved Wyatt to 10/1 from 8/1. The option to bet on 'Neither' has been snipped from 1/8 to 1/10.

And that's all the Road to WrestleMania 34 markets covered for now. I'll check back in with them at a later point and publish another update. 


Smackdown Women's Champ At End Of Mania 34 Odds Update

Smackdown Women's Champion After WrestleMania 34 Betting

The image above is the Kambi market where customers can bet on who they believe will be the Smackdown Women's Champion at the close of WrestleMania 34.

There have been a few changes made since I last looked through the odds a week ago.

Carmella's price has moved back in to 3/4 from 9/10. It had been 3/4 dating back to July, but drifted out last week when the market was republished.

Charlotte Flair's odds have been slashed from 7/2 into 7/4. As you can see, she now becomes alongside last week's second-favourite - Ronda Rousey.

Rousey has decreased from 9/4.

Becky Lynch is another selection to drop. She was 8/1 last week, but is now 6s.

The Mae Young Classic winner - Kairi Sane - has moved out to 6/1 from 5/1. As has her fellow finalist, Shayna Baszler.

Finally, Nikki Bella has drifted out from 8/1 into 10/1.

The rest of the market has remained stationary. Asuka, who was 7/2 last week, has been taken off the board due to the announcement that she has signed to the Raw brand.

Odds correct as of 11:30am today.

WrestleMania 34 Main Event Odds Update For September 15th

Here is yet another update about the WrestleMania 34 main event market that is available from the websites that publish odds from Kambi.

WrestleMania 34 Main Event Betting Odds For September 15th

I last published a post about this market two days ago. However, as you can see in the table above, there have been adjustments made since the market was put back up last night.

The Brock Lesnar versus Roman Reigns match - which has reportedly been the plan for next year's main event for months - has been cut from 2/5 into 1/4. However, it isn't the only selection that has been snipped. The option to bet on any match featuring The Undertaker has continued its descent from the opening 10/1. It was 13/2 a week ago, but is now down to 6/1. As I wrote on Wednesday, I would be surprised to see Undertaker wrestle at WrestleMania let alone be in the main event.

With the two selections moving in, the oddsmakers have increased the prices for three other selections on the list.

John Cena .vs. Roman Reigns - which was one of the matches that was looking likely for the Mania main event at one point during the summer, but will take place in a week on Sunday - is now 6/1 from 5/1.

AJ Styles versus Shinsuke Nakamura is now 6/1 from 5s.

Brock Lesnar versus John Cena remains a second-favourite, but it has drifted out to 7/4 from 6/4.

The winning selection will be the match that headlines next year's WrestleMania. To win, it must be the last bout of the night.


Thursday, 14 September 2017

Asuka Now 6/4 To Be Raw Women's Champion Coming Out Of Mania 34

Asuka is now a 6/4 favourite to be the WWE Raw Women's Champion at the close of next year's WrestleMania.

The former NXT Women's Champion, who was officially announced as signing for Raw this past Monday, was a 2/1 favourite when I checked in with her odds a week ago.

Asuka isn't the only selection to drop in this market, though.

The oddsmakers have also snipped the odds for Ronda Rousey to leave New Orleans with the strap. She is now 2/1 from 3s. You could have found her out at 20/1 a few weeks ago.

With Asuka and Rousey both moving in, the oddsmakers have increased the odds for other names in this market. The wrestlers that have drifted out are:


  • Alexa Bliss from 3/1 to 4/1
  • Bayley from 5/1 to 11/2
  • Kairi Sane from 5/1 to 11/2
  • Nia Jax from 5/1 to 11/2
  • Sasha Banks from 5/1 to 11/2
  • Shayna Baszler from 5/1 to 11/2
  • Paige from 8/1 to 10/1
A lot of 5/1 to 11/2 action going on there!

Odds correct as of 9:45pm BST this evening. The markets can be found across all the websites that publish betting odds from Kambi. A couple of examples can be found below:


Kambi's HIAC 2017 Odds Are Back Up

In the most recent post, I noted that the Kambi oddsmakers have republished their betting odds for next week's WWE No Mercy 2017 event. They have also put back up the WWE Hell in a Cell 2017 market for the WWE Championship match that will see Jinder Mahal defend his strap against Shinsuke Nakamura.

Date/Time
Shinsuke Nakamura
Jinder Mahal
8/9 5pm
2/5
7/4
11/9 10:30pm
"
"
12/9 5:00pm
13/20
11/10
14/9 8:40pm
17/20
17/20

In a post published on Tuesday afternoon, I noted that Mahal's odds had been snipped from 7/4 into 11/10. They have now dropped further to the point where he's now at 17/20.

On Tuesday, I mentioned that WWE is planning to visit India for a tour in December and suggested that the odds falling may have been from punters who were made aware of this news and backed the champion to successfully defend the title in October so his reign could be extended just so he can carry the belt to India.

With Jinder Mahal's price being lowered, Shinsuke Nakamura is now 17/20. This is obviously better than the 2/5 he was when the market was first opened.

It should be worth noting that I'm going with the idea that this match will not take place inside the Hell in a Cell. Going on instinct - I think they'll only have the Shane McMahon versus Kevin Owens bout inside the cage. We'll find out soon enough.

If you haven't read it, check out this post about the No Mercy betting markets.


Kambi Republishes No Mercy 2017 Odds

The oddsmakers from Kambi have republished their betting odds for next weekend's WWE No Mercy 2017 PPV.

There have been some changes made to the two match markets that were taken down a few hours before the most recent episode of WWE Raw. In this post, I'll share with you the current odds and point out how they differ.

The Universal Championship market has once again moved in favour of the titleholder, Brock Lesnar.

Date/Time
Brock Lesnar
Braun Strowman
8/9 5pm
1/2
7/5
11/9 3pm
4/9
6/4
14/9 8:40pm
2/5
7/4

As the table indicates, the champ has moved into 2/5. He started off at 1/2, but was cut to 4/9 by Monday afternoon.

With Lesnar being backed, Braun Strowman's odds to get the decision have jumped from 7/5 to 6/4 and are now set at 7/4.

The big match that will see John Cena and Roman Reigns go at it initially opened with the two opponents available at 17/20 each.

Date/Time
Roman Reigns
John Cena
8/9 5pm
17/20
17/20
11/9 3pm
7/10
EVS
14/9 8:40pm
3/5
6/5

It has been all in favour of Roman Reigns as he had moved to 7/10 by Monday and has now been snipped from that price into 3/5.

John Cena is now out at 6/5. He was even money on Monday.

The oddsmakers have also put back up the market for the WWE Championship match that will take place at WWE Hell in a Cell. I'll cover this in the next post.

Odds correct as of this evening. The markets can be found on the sports and casino websites that publish Kambi odds. A couple of examples can be found below: