Wednesday, 3 March 2021

Latest Odds For Tonight's AEW Dynamite Opener

The betting market for the big match that is scheduled for tonight's AEW Dynamite is still available from the bookmakers with Kambi's pro wrestling markets.

The bout will see Shaquille O'Neal team up with Jade Cargill in a mixed tag match against Cody Rhodes and Red Velvet.

March 3 2021 AEW Dynamite

The match winner market was first installed early last month, when the bout was initially announced. It started with Shaq and Cargill as 4/6 faves over the 27/25 for a Cody and Red Velvet victory.

As you'll see - in the table below - the favourites' price has been on the descent ever since.

Shaq and Cargill .vs. Cody and Red Velvet

The Shaq and Jade Cargill selection is currently at 1/5 while a decision in favour of their rivals will now pay out at 3s.

As noted in a post published last week, Kambi is no longer accepting Over/Under Wrestling Observer star rating bets. However, there are three other markets still available. One is a 'Gender of Decision' special in which customers can bet whether the males or females will be the legal participants in the match when the result is declared. 'Female' is currently a 1/4 favourite while 'Male' is 5/2.'

'Female' is also a favourite to be the 'gender to start the match'. It's 11/25 while 'Male' is 8/5.

The third special allows customers to bet on which team will make the first tag in the match. Shaquille O'Neal and Jade Cargill are 11/20 while those looking to gamble on Cody Rhodes and Red Velvet being the first to tag are 5/4.

Tuesday, 2 March 2021

Mania 37 Main Event Specials From Sky Bet

Sky Bet has published specials in which customers can gamble on what matches will headline the two nights of WrestleMania 37.

The already announced WWE Smackdown Women's Championship contest - Sasha Banks versus Bianca Belair - is a 6/5 fave to be the final bout of night one while 'Roman Reigns .vs. Edge' is a 1/20 favourite to be the main event of night two.

In a reverse of that, Reigns .vs. Edge is 7/1 to be the closing bout of night one and Banks versus Belair is 16/1 to main event the second evening of action.

The two lists are:

Night 1 Main Event
Sasha Banks .vs. Bianca Belair 6/5
Bobby Lashley .vs. Drew McIntyre 6/4
Roman Reigns .vs. Edge 7/1
Asuka .vs. Charlotte Flair 8/1
Randy Orton .vs. Bray Wyatt 10/1
Asuka .vs. Charlotte Flair .vs. Rhea Ripley 12/1
Braun Strowman .vs. Shane McMahon 50/1
Seth Rollins .vs. Cesaro 50/1
The Miz & Morrison .vs. Damian Priest & Bad Bunny 100/1

Night 2 Main Event
Roman Reigns .vs. Edge 1/20
Bobby Lashley .vs. Drew McIntyre 8/1
Sasha Banks .vs. Bianca Belair 16/1
Asuka .vs. Charlotte Flair 20/1
Asuka .vs. Charlotte Flair .vs. Rhea Ripley 33/1
Randy Orton .vs. Bray Wyatt 33/1
Seth Rollins .vs. Cesaro 50/1
Braun Strowman .vs. Shane McMahon 100/1
The Miz & Morrison .vs. Damian Priest & Bad Bunny 100/1

Reporting Paddy Power To IBAS: Part II

It has been a week since I published THIS POST in which I wrote about an issue I have with Paddy Power Online concerning a bet I placed on Keith Lee to win the United States Championship match at WWE Elimination Chamber 2021.

My wager was declared a loss despite Keith Lee being replaced by John Morrison in the match and other sports betting firms (such as Sky Bet and Kambi) cancelling bets due to the late change.

Paddy Power refused to void the bet by claiming that the market was an outright/antepost and not one of the regular markets for matches.

After reaching an impasse with the customer service rep, I filed a complaint with IBAS. I then waited for a response from the sports betting adjudication service.

During the time while waiting for IBAS to get back to me, I sent an email to Paddy Power Betfair CEO, Peter Jackson, in the hope that he could help with my issue in any way. 

I didn't hear anything back from Mr Jackson as of the time of writing. I received an email from IBAS yesterday, though.

In the mail, I was informed that I needed  a 'final decision from Paddy Power' in order for the complaint to progress.

After writing to Paddy Power's escalation team - using the email that IBAS instructed me to use   I received an email informing me that the inbox was no longer in use. I was then given a few links that would send me to the live chat.

I was sent back to where it all began - the customer service team's live chat facility.

To try not to bore you with all the details, I was chatting with one person on Monday evening, but I had to leave the chat. The agent promised me that somebody from the escalations team would email me. 

I waited all Monday night and, this afternoon, I decided to get back through to them. I ended up back with a new agent and explained that I needed the final decision from the escalation team so I could send it across to IBAS.

The agent then passed me onto a manager who looked over my case. I showed her most of the things I pointed out in last week's post (the betting rules, evidence that Sky Bet and Kambi voided their markets for the match, proof that there was no clear message above Paddy Power's market for the match which stated that it was an outright/antepost market).

The manager got in touch with a trader. The trader got back to her once again stating that the market was an outright one and that all bets were settled correctly and referred to the outright rule that 'bets placed on superstars who take no part in the match will be settled as losers'.

As I've argued - the US Championship match market was not outright and therefore, the rule that the market would be voided with the circumstances that  'should a match have a wrestler added/removed/replaced, so that it fundamentally alters the manner of the contest' 

The manager then went on to say that they noticed that I had not made any previous misunderstandings and would refund my wager as free bet as a 'good will gesture'.

I declined pointing out that the misunderstanding was on their part. I wanted my refund as cash.

(I didn't even think about this until after the chat, but to say that I had no previous 'misunderstandings' was insulting considering I had contacted them following the Survivor Series of 2016 or 2017 when they had accidentally settled a bet in my favour.  I pointed out that I should have lost)

After declining the offer of a free £4 bet, I was then given an ultimatum: I could get the refund as cash with an added condition that I would never be able to get a 'good will gesture' if any other issue were to arise in future. 

Seeing as I gamble with the sportsbook on other genres like American Football, the fantasy sports and other things - and bearing in mind I know that market was settled incorrectly with no misunderstanding on my part - I refused the offer by saying I would continue with my request for IBAS to look at it for me.

The manager told me that an email with my reference for IBAS would be sent to me. 

Once it arrived, I noticed that the letter - which was from Paddy Power's Complaints Case Coordinator - detailed that I had been offered the £4 in cash. However, it was missing the condition that forced me to turn it down. I replied, pointing out that I hoped what forced the impasse would be known to IBAS when the case is looked into.

The complaints coordinator replied swiftly to inform me that there would be no suggestion from her side that I would not be excluded from any future goodwill gestures. I then had to go back to the chat with the manager, find where she made the ultimatum, and send it back to the coordinator.

In her reply, the coordinator gave me her word that I would get the £4 back as cash without any unforeseeable issues in future.

The money was refunded to me.

I don't even consider today's result a win. It's clear as day that it was a regular match market and the company made me out to be the one who had made the mistake, which is ironic considering that Paddy Power promotes itself as a brand that gives justice to the punter.

It's just a marketing scheme when it all boils down.

Sunday, 28 February 2021

Sky Bet's 2022 WWE Royal Rumble Markets Published

Sky Bet's oddsmakers have began to take wagers on the winners of next year's Royal Rumble matches.

As of today, the favourites to win the respective battle royals are Rhea Ripley (6/1) to outlast the field in the women's match while, in the men's market, the firm lists Brock Lesnar and Roman Reigns as joint-favourites with prices of 10/1 apiece.

I have placed a trio of bets already.

For starters - I have backed Ronda Rousey (8/1) to win the women's Rumble just in case they want to go with a Ronda Rousey versus Becky Lynch match at WrestleMania 38 in Dallas.

I'd obviously need Becky Lynch to return and become one of the company's champions again for the Rousey/Lynch idea to work out.

I have placed two gambles on the men's match. And they sure are gambles.

Frequent visitors to this blog should already know that I always have a punt on John Cena (25/1) to win the men's Royal Rumble because I am sure that - one day - WWE will go with the story of Cena chasing the company's 'record' of seventeen world titles.

The second punt is on another star I've backed in the past - The Rock (16/1).

I still believe that Dwayne Johnson will wrestle a match against Roman Reigns. I thought it would happen at this year's Mania, so am hoping that it will happen next year in a building that could - if all things go right - have 100,000 plus in attendance. 

WWE could then have The Rock as the headline star of the Hall of Fame in 2023, which is fittingly set for Hollywood.

One of the many things working against my ideas for the men's match is the company has done a comeback chase story for this year's WrestleMania with Edge winning the Rumble and setting his sights on Roman Reigns' title.

As per usual, I am sure there will be other names added to my list of potential winners for both matches over the next eleven months.

Sky Bet was the first bookmaking firm based here in Europe to publish markets for the 2021 Royal Rumble matches as well.

Back then, the early favourites to win the men's Rumble were Daniel Bryan, Roman Reigns and the eventual winner - Edge. They were 10/1 each. 

The women's market was topped by Shayna Baszler, Ronda Rousey and Sasha Banks who were all 6/1 faves.

Sky Bet Publishes Mania 37 Market For Banks/Belair

Sky Bet has installed a market for the second match that has been announced for this year's WrestleMania.

It'll see the 2021 Women's Royal Rumble winner - Bianca Belair - challenge Sasha Banks for the WWE Smackdown Women's Championship.

WrestleMania 37 - Banks .vs. Belair

As of this evening, the challenger is a 1/2 favourite.  A decision in favour of Sasha Banks will pay out at odds of 6/4.

Friday, 26 February 2021

BetOnline's Mania 37 Odds For Reigns/Edge

A betting market for the WrestleMania 37 match between WWE Universal Champion - Roman Reigns - and this year's Royal Rumble winner, Edge, was published by BetOnline last night.

Both men were installed at -120 pick 'ems. The two selections are still at those prices as of 7PM GMT today.

As noted yesterday, Sky Bet's market was published with the bookie's making the challenger a slight favourite over the champ.

It has been announced that - on tonight's episode of WWE Smackdown - Bianca Belair will reveal who she'll challenge at WrestleMania.

Prices correct as of the time of posting. The latest can be found on BetOnline's Website.

Elimination Chamber 2021 Was UNDERwhelming In Star Rating Betting

From a Wrestling Observer star rating betting perspective, the 2021 edition of WWE Elimination Chamber was UNDERwhelming.

That's because, of all of the eligible matches in Kambi's Over/Under markets fell under their respective lines.

WWE Elimination Chamber 2021 Observer O/U Star Ratings Results

As you can see above, the opening match - which saw Daniel Bryan outlast the field to win the Elimination Chamber match to determine Roman Reigns' next Universal Championship challenger - received the most stars in Dave Meltzer's review of the event.

It received four-and-a-quarter stars in Dave Meltzer's review of the event. The result means that it fell a quarter of a star below Kambi's line.

The next best was the WWE Championship match, which was also contested inside the chamber structure. It received four stars and fell half a star under Kambi's line, which was also set at four-and-a-half.

In a separate market, both of the chamber contests were up against each other in a head-to-head special in which customers could gamble on which of the two bouts would receive the most stars in Meltzer's review of the Pay-Per-View.

WWE Elimination Chamber 2021 - Observer Prop Bet

The eventual winner started out at 11/10. It rose up slightly to 5/4 after a few days when the bookmakers snipped the odds for the 'WWE Championship' match (19/20 into 17/20) and the option to bet on both matches receiving an equal number of stars (19/10 into 37/20). 

However, by the morning of the show, '#1 Contender for Universal Title' was lowered into 17/20 while 'WWE Championship' was pushed up to 5/4 and 'Same Star Rating' was kept at 37/20.

The only other Over/Under market that will be settled is the one for the WWE Women's Tag Team Championship match.

Nia Jax and Shayna Baszler's win over Sasha Banks and Bianca Belair was rated two-and-three-quarter stars in the review. This fell under the line of three stars.

Roman Reigns' title match against the Elimination Chamber winner had a line of three-and-a-half stars. However, his victory - over Daniel Bryan - did not score any rating due to the length of the match (Meltzer timed it at 1:33).

The only other match, which had a market headed into Sunday evening, was the one for the US Championship three-way between Bobby Lashley, Matt Riddle and Keith Lee. It had a line of three-and-a-half stars. However, with Lee ruled out on the night of the event, the market was cancelled and bets were refunded.

The replacement match - Lashley .vs. Riddle .vs. John Morrison - did not have a market available for it, but scored three-and-a-quarter stars in the review.

A couple of proposition markets will also be settled now that the results are official.

With one match solely getting the most stars in Meltzer's review, the 'Joint Winners' prop - which allowed customers to gamble on the prospect of two or more bouts receiving the highest number of stars - will be settled with 'No' the winning option. It started out a 4/9 favourite while 'Yes' was 6/4.

In the second prop, the customers gambled on whether there would be a separation of half-a-star between the highest rated match (or matches) and the second-best.

As we now know, the difference between the two contests was a quarter of a star. Therefore, 'No' will be the winning selection in this market.

WWE Elimination Chamber 2021 Observer Prop Bets

Going by the odds moving, it appears as though the consensus was on the right side because the price for the eventual winner was lowered from 11/25 into 2/5 by the day of the show. While 'Yes' was increased from its opening 8/5 to 7/4.

The next time I write about Kambi's Observer over/unders might be next week following the Shaquille O'Neal and Jade Cargill versus Cody and Red Velvet mixed tag team match on AEW Dynamite.

As of the time of writing, the market has been closed. However, the line was set at two-and-three-quarter stars.

AEW: Shaquille O'Neal and Jade Cargill .vs. Cody and Red Velvet Star Rating O/U

Before it was removed, the price for the 'Under - which started at 7/10 - had lowered into 4/6 while the '2.75 Stars or More' selection went out from EVS to 27/25.

Thursday, 25 February 2021

Sky Bet Publishes Reigns/Edge Market

Sky Bet has published a match market for the first bout that has been confirmed for WrestleMania 37.

The contest will see WWE Universal Champion - Roman Reigns - defend his strap against the 2021 WWE Royal Rumble winner - Edge.

WrestleMania 37 - Roman Reigns .vs. Edge

As of this morning, the challenger is a 4/5 favourite. A win for Reigns will pay out at odds of 10/11.

Tuesday, 23 February 2021

Reporting Paddy Power To IBAS

I had to ask IBAS to look into a dispute with Paddy Power Online today.

The problem I have with the sportsbook is related to a wager I placed on the US Championship match at last Sunday's WWE Elimination Chamber PPV.

I gambled on Keith Lee to walk away with the strap. As we now know, Lee was unable to make the match and was replaced by John Morrison.

Matt Riddle went on to win the match by pinning the replacement.

I logged into my Paddy Power account yesterday and noticed I had a bit of cash in it. I assumed that, just like with Sky Bet and Kambi, the wagers I had placed on the match had been voided due to the advertised participants in the match having been replaced. It wasn't until late last night when I was contacted by a friend of this blog that it became clear that the bookmaker had settled the market with Riddle as the winner.

One of the betting rules on the company's website states that 'should a match have a wrestler added/removed/replaced, so that it fundamentally alters the manner of the contest, all bets will be void'. 

Paddy Power / Betfair WWE Betting Rules

Knowing that rule, and considering the fact that - had Lee entered the match - there is a chance he would have been the guy who left with the strap, I thought the customer service person, and ultimately the trader, would return my stake.

I was informed that the bet would remain a loss. The operator relayed to me that the market was settled under 'ante post' rules and that those terms and conditions would have been displayed above the market. 

As someone who follows the betting, to ensure I have everything correct and can refer back to it, I take screenshots of the markets I write about. I informed the staff member that I had a copy of the page and there was no blurb that indicated it was an antepost market. 

Paddy Power's WWE Elimination Chamber 2021 Page


I had wagers on The Miz to win the Elimination Chamber match that were also graded as lost. I didn't dispute those punts because I believe I lost fairly considering I thought there was a chance Miz would lose and then immediately cash in his Money in the Bank briefcase before it ended (my bet was struck before Miz removed himself from the match, but I still felt there was a chance he would become a participant via a cash-in).

I don't consider the loss on Lee fair.

The stake I am chasing is only £4 and it does seem like quite an effort to go through to get it back. What is important to me is fairness. I placed a bet on a regular match winner market. Just like any other regular match market I have gambled on in the past.

We're living in an age where advertised performers are being pulled from matches due to illnesses, injuries and even pregnancies, so I am feeling somewhat distrusting towards Paddy Power / Betfair in regards to how the firm will settle future markets in which advertised performers are replaced hours, and possibly even minutes, before the respective match.

Ask yourself this - how would the market have been settled had Morrison won?

Monday, 22 February 2021

How Miz's Cash-In Helped Settle Kambi's MITB Specials (Version 2)

With the Money in the Bank cash-in, from the WWE Tables, Ladders and Chairs 2020 event from December 20th,  being declared void in a subsequent storyline on WWE TV, the oddsmakers from Kambi installed new Money in the Bank specials.

The markets were created because the original ones were settled on an unsuccessful cash-in per all pro wrestling markets being settled on the result at the end of the respective broadcasts.

The renewed markets have now been settled following Miz's successful cash-in, and WWE Championship victory, at last night's Elimination Chamber '21 show.

The Miz Wins WWE Championship At WWE Elimination Chamber 2021

Four Money in the Bank markets were priced up at the start of the year. 

The first was a prop bet which asked customers whether or not the cash-in would be a successful one. When it opened, the eventual winner - 'Yes' - was a 6/5 underdog to the 'No', which was 3/5.

Going by the betting, it appears as though the consensus thought the next cash-in would also be a failure as 'No' had fallen into 1/2 within twelve days.

The option to bet on the cash-in being a success was raised up to 7/5 due to the interest in the opposing selection.

Money in the Bank 2021 Betting

The 'Date of Briefcase Cash-in' special offered customers three options to bet on. They were: 'Before WrestleMania 37', 'During WrestleMania 37' and 'After WrestleMania 37'. 

The eventual winner started off as an 11/25 favourite. The selection which would have paid out had the contract been executed during WrestleMania Weekend was 9/4 while the option that would have paid out at the close of WrestleMania, had there not been a cash-in, was offered at 2/1.

Looking at the first sign of action, it appears as though the customers predicted the cash-in would occur at Mania because the price for that selection was snipped into 33/20. The other two options were moved up slightly with 'After WrestleMania 37' going to 12/5 and  'Before WrestleMania 37' having a slight increase to 1/2.

Money in the Bank 2020 Betting

On the day before the 2021 WWE Royal Rumble, Kambi republished the market with its favourite - and eventual winner - down to 1/5.

'During WrestleMania 37' had jumped out to 43/20 and 'After WrestleMania 37' placed at a higher 9/2.

When the 'Show of Briefcase Cash-in' market opened on January 5th, the bookies had 'PPV/Network Special' a 1/3 favourite over the 2/1 that would have paid out had the contract been executed on one of WWE's weekly TV programmes.

Money in the Bank 2020 Betting

The eventual winner was down into 1/5 by January 17th and was then at a lower 2/13 a day before the Royal Rumble.

'Weekly TV' closed at 7/2.

'Drew McIntyre' was the winning selection in the market in which customers could bet on the 'Championship Challenged' by the briefcase holder.

Money in the Bank 2020 Betting

McIntyre started as an 11/20 favourite. However, a day before the Rumble, his odds had descended into 11/50.

All of these markets were unavailable in the weeks following the Rumble. However, there was a proposition market priced up for last night's show which allowed people to gamble on the prospect of there being a cash-in during the event. 

Before the market closed, 'Yes' was a slight 4/5 favourite over the 9/10 for 'No'. 

If this post, or any other post with Elimination Chamber and Money in the Bank coverage has been of interest to you, please consider shouting me a coffee on Ko-Fi.com. Doing so will help with the running of this blog. You can show your support by FOLLOWING THIS LINK or clicking on the button elsewhere on this page.

WWE Elimination Chamber 2021 Betting Favourites

Here are the WWE Elimination Chamber 2021 betting favourites. 

They aren't ranked in any order. 

  • Cesaro to win the Elimination Chamber match to determine #1 Contender to Roman Reigns' Universal Title
  • Roman Reigns to beat the Elimination Chamber winner 
  • Nia Jaz and Shayna Baszler 
  • Drew McIntyre to win Elimination Chamber match for the WWE Championship