Wednesday, 22 September 2021

Comparing And Contrasting AEW Grand Slam (2021) Match Markets

Later on tonight, AEW will host its Grand Slam show from Arthur Ashe Stadium from Flushing, New York. With it being such a big event - featuring the AEW wrestling debut of Bryan Danielson - bookmakers have priced up markets for the matches that have been announced.

Kambi's markets were released on Sunday. Not only are the bookmakers accepting bets on the matches that'll air tonight, they've also installed markets for the contests that will appear on AEW Rampage on Friday night. 

BetOnline's markets came out yesterday. Unlike Kambi. their oddsmakers have published markets for tonight's live matches.

To contrast the two firms. I'm only going to concentrate on tonight's matches. Here goes.

Brian Pillman Jr. .vs. MJF
The market for the Brian Pillman Jr. versus MJF match opened with the latter a -500 favourite over Pillman's +300 on BetOnline.

Both selections remain as they were. However, Kambi[s market has seen MJF backed into the equivalent of -1,000 after opening at 1/9.

AEW Grand Slam 2021 Betting

Kambi has Pillman Jr. a 5/1 underdog. This is up from his initial 17/4.

Sting and Darby Allin .vs FTR
FTR's price to beat Sting and Darby Allin has lowered with both firms.

For Kambi, the market started with FTR 7/4 underdogs. Their odds have were shortened to 7/5 sometime before 9:45AM BST today.

Allin and Sting remain favourites although they are now up from 2/5 to 1/2.

Over at BetOnline, its bookmakers have placed FTR as the betting favourites. Opening at -250 their odds were down into -275 by 9:45AM BST today.

With FTR moved in, BetOnline put Sting and Darby Allin up from +170 to +185.

Malakai Black .vs. Cody
Kambi had Malakai Black a 4/6 favourite to beat Cody (27/25) when I first came across the market on Sunday. Within twenty-four hours, Black's odds had reduced to 11/25 while his opponent had moved up slightly to 8/5.

When I checked in this morning, I noticed Cody's price had moved into 7/5 while Black was up to 1/2. But, before starting this post, Black's odds had once again came in as he is now at 2/5 to Cody's 7/4.

BetOnline's market opened yesterday with both wrestlers at -120. The punters appear to have made Black the favourite by backing him into -140 and forcing the bookmakers to place Cody at +100.

Britt Baker .vs. Ruby Soho
BetOnline's market for the AEW Women's World Championship match kicked off with the titleholder a -500 favourite over Ruby Soho (+300). 

By this morning, Britt Baker was into -600 and Soho had drifted to +350.

Kambi's market has seen the champ fall from 4/6 into 1/8 over the initial two days.

A decision for Ruby Soho - which was first priced up at 27/25 - is now available at 4/1 with Kambi.

Kenny Omega .vs. Bryan Danielson
The markets for Kenny Omega .vs. Bryan Daniels contrast between both firms with Kambi offering Danielson as the favourite and BetOnline having placed Kenny Omega as the fave in the non-title contest.

Over at Kambi, Danielson was 11/25 on Sunday morning. By Monday, the bookmakers had lowered that price into 7/20 and pushed Omega out nto 19/10 from 8/5.

Sometime between 9:45AM and 3:45PM BST today, both of the selections returned to their initial prices.

BetOnline's market was adjusted overnight with Omega backed into -320 while the selection for a Danielson victory rose to +210 from its earlier +200.

View Kambi's Pro Wrestling Markets

View BetOnline's Markets

Tuesday, 21 September 2021

Naito Out Of The G1

New Japan Pro Wrestling has announced that Tetsuya Naito is out of the G1 Climax.

The leader of Los Ingobernables de Japon suffered a leg injury during his match against Zack Sabre Jr. on the opening night of the tournament.

As a result of Naito's departure from competition, all of the wrestlers he was scheduled to face in the remaining A Block contests have been awarded wins via forefit.

Those wrestlers will also compete in non-G1 matches on the night's they were due to meet Naito.

G1 Climax: A Block Points Following Naito's Injury

With only one night of matches completed in the block, the men who scored wins last Saturday are now on four points apiece.

G1 Climax: A Block Points Following Naito's Injury

From a betting perspective, this opens things up in the outright markets. 

Naito was Kambi's favourite to win A Block. As noted, in yesterday's post, he had drifted out from 5/4 to 11/10 with Shingo Takagi moving from 19/10 into 8/5. It would now be fair to assume that Takagi will become the favourite in this market if it is republished.

Naito was the second-favourite to be the tournament winner when the market was reinstalled yesterday. His price had lowered from 3/1 into 9/4 following the opening matches. 

Another market which will be affected by the injury is the one in which customers could gamble on what they believe will be the tournament final.

Kambi's 7/4 favourite to win the tournament  - Kazuchika Okada - and Naito were the 5/2 fancies to meet on October 21st. The selection had lowered from 4/1 

You can see the pre-injury odds in THIS POST from yesterday.

Monday, 20 September 2021

Kambi Republishes G1 Climax Outright Markets Plus Odds For Nights 3 & 4

Kambi's oddsmakers have republished their outright markets for the G1 Climax. As well as that, match markets for the next two events have also gone live.

In this post, I'll take a look at the A Block markets, then cover B Block before focusing on the tournament specials.

A Block

The A Block winner market still lists Tetsuya Naito as a favourite despite his opening round loss to Zack Sabre Jr. However, his price has been increased from 5/4 to 13/10.

Current IWGP World Champion - Shingo Takagi - has had a price reduction following his night one main event victory over Tomohiro Ishii. He is now 8/5 to top the block. He was most recently 19/10.

G1 Climax A Block Winner Betting Odds

As you can see, three other selections have had their prices trimmed following the opening batch of matches.

ZSJ, who - as noted - beat Naito, is now 11/1 from 12s, The Great-O-Khan, who was victorious against Tanga Loa and is set to meet one of his nemesis' - Toru Yano - on Thursday, has had his odds halved from 50/1 while Yujiro Takahashi is now 50/1 after starting out at 66/1 before beating Kota Ibushi in the first match of the tourney.

For Thursday, Kambi had the following prices available when night three match markets were released this morning:

Night 3
Toru Yano 13/10
Great-O-Khan 11/20

KENTA 7/20
Yujiro Takahashi 19/10

Tetsuya Naito 1/3
Tanga Loa 2/1

Kota Ibushi 17/20
Tomohiro Ishii 17/20

Shingo Takagi 2/5
Zack Sabre Jr. 7/4

B Block

For the second round of matches for B Block, Kambi has:

Night 4
Hiroshi Tanahashi 1/3
Hirooki Goto 2/1

Tama Tonga 11/25
Chase Owens 8/5

Jeff Cobb 1/3

SANADA 13/20
Taichi 11/10

Kazuchika Okada 17/20
EVIL 17/20

There is a new favourite in the market for the B Block winner.

Kazuchika Okada, who defeated Hiroshi Tanahashi in the main event of B Block's opening night, has had his price drop into 23/20 from 7/4. The selection leapfrogged SANADA, who has now been moved into 8/5 second-favourite from 7/5.

The only other wrestler whose price has shortened following Sunday's event is Taichi, who has two points following a decision over Hirooki Goto.

Taichi is now 14/1. He had started out at 25/1 on September 6th, but was most recent 22/1.

If you've been following my posts about the G1, you should be aware that I have swayed away from my initial pick of tournament winner (SANADA) and gone with a scenario in which A Block's Shingo Takagi goes on to win the G1 and - as he is IWGP World Champion - he'll get to choose his opponent for Wrestle Kingdom. The choice will end up being Will Ospreay who had to relinquish the strap due to injury early this year and has since returned claiming to be the rightful champ because he didn't lose the title in competition. 

The reason why I am mentioning this scenario now is because, while watching yesterday's show, one of New Japan World's English commentators- Chris Charlton - said that Joe Cobb was his pick to win B Block. After the host said that, I thought how that could fit the Takagi/Ospreay scenario and I once again came up with a narrative that fits.

Cobb is part of Ospreay's United Empire stable, so - if Takagi were to be booked to win the tournament - I could absolutely see Cobb opposing him at the final considering the Ospreay and UE link.

Outright Markets

After deciding Jeff Cobb was worth a gamble to win B Block, I was looking forward to the republication of Kambi's 'Exact Combination of Finalists' market because - when it was first installed - a 'Shingo Takagi .vs. Jeff Cobb' final was being offered at 12/1.

G1 Climax 31 Betting

As you'll be able to see by clicking on the image, the bookmakers still had the potential match-up at 12/1 in their book, so I had a punt.

The price for the early favourite has decreased with 'Okada .vs. Naito' down from 4/1 into 5/2. An Okada meeting with the current IWGP World Champion is now a 13/4 second-favourite from 11/2.

Two other Okada finals have shortened with a match against Kota Ibushi now 7/1 from 9/1 and one against KENTA dipping from 14/1 into 12/1.

A Shingo Takagi versus EVIL tournament conclusion - which is one I had a bet on when the market was first installed - is now 8/1 from 10s.

With Okada versus Naito being Kambi's favourite to be the final, it's understandable to see both of those names at the top of the tournament winner market.

Okada is now a 7/4 favourite to be the last man standing when all is said and done on October 21st. When last available, the market listed him as a joint-favourite along with Naito - who is now 9/4. 

G1 Climax 31 Outright Winner Betting

Early favourite - SANADA - has now drifted out to 11/4. He was most recently 9/4, but had started at 2/1.

Other selections with shorter odds than previous updates are: Kota Ibushi (7/1 from 15/2), Zack Sabre Jr (20/1 from 33/1), Taichi (25/1 from 50/1), Great-O-Khan (40/1 from 80/1) and Yujiro Takahashi (100/1 into 80/1).

Sunday, 19 September 2021

G1 Climax 31: Night 2 Betting Results

I had a plan before going to sleep last night: If I woke up in time for night two of the G1 Climax, I would watch it live. If not, I'd watch on demand.

Well - I woke up earlier than usual, but not early enough. The show was fifty minutes in by the time I was awake. The betting markets had all been suspended, so I had to wait until New Japan World put up the event after its conclusion.

I've now watched the show and will share with you the betting results for each of the B Block's opening round of matches.

The prices in this coverage start with the early odds from Saturday September 11th and end with the those that were available on my visit at 11:30PM BST last night.

NJPW G1 Climax 31: Night 2

Unlike yesterday - which had a 5/1 underdog victory to start off the show - night two started off with a win for the betting favourite.

EVIL started out at 1/4 when the market opened last weekend.  However, yesterday evening - likely due to Yujiro Takahashi's surprise opening match victory over Kota Ibushi in the first match of A Block - the price for the underdog in B Block's first match was reduced slightly when YOSHI-HASHI moved into 9/4 from 5/2.

The eventual winner was moved up to 2/7 and was still at those odds when I last visited the market at 11:30PM BST.

G1 Climax 31: Night 2 Betting

Jeff Cobb .vs. Chase Owens

G1 Climax 31: Night 2 Betting

There were no apparent changes made to the market for Jeff Cobb versus Chase Owens. 

It had Cobb a 2/13 favourite from the morning of Saturday September 11th right up to last night. Kambi had Owens at 7/2.

This was another bout which resulted in a win for the fave.

SANADA .vs. Tama Tonga
The run of night two betting favourites continued in match three when SANADA beat Tama Tonga.

G1 Climax 31: Night 2 Betting

As you can see above, the eventual winner was 1/5 from last week right up to at least yesterday night.

Hirooki Goto .vs. Taichi
Yet another favourite won in the penultimate match on today's card when Taichi got the two points against Hirooki Goto.

G1 Climax 31: Night 2 Betting

Taichi started out at 11/25 last week, but was moved down into 1/3 on Thursday. 

The eventual loser was 8/5 initially, but rose to 2/1 following Taichi's decrease.

Hiroshi Tanahashi .vs. Kazuchika Okada
The main event saw Kazuchika Okada win over Hiroshi Tanhashi to end the night with a clean sweep by the betting favourites.

Okada started off at 13/25 fave, when the market was first installed. A couple of days later, Okada's price rose up slightly when Tanahashi was backed from 13/10 into 23/20. However, yesterday morning, Okada's odds were lowered into 11/20.

The eventual loser was placed at 5/4 following Okada's drop.

G1 Climax 31: Night 2 Betting

And that's all for now. I aim to return to live G1 Climax blogging if markets are published for nights three and four. Thankfully, there are no more 6:00AM BST starts for the rest of the tournament.

Saturday, 18 September 2021

G1 Climax 31 Betting: Night 1

The first night of this year's NJPW G1 Climax tournament is currently underway. As soon as I woke up this morning, I checked in with the betting markets from Kambi and noticed that there has been activity in some of the outright and match markets.

Kazuchika Okada, who had been 7/2 since the market was first opened, is now a 3/1 second-favourite alongside Tetsuya Naito.

Naito is one of the selections that have moved out following Okada's slip. His most recent priced was 11/4.

As well as Naito, EVIL and Kota Ibushi have also drifted. Both have risen from 7/1 to 15/2.

SANADA remains the betting favourite at 9/4.

G1 Climax 31 Outright Winner

Earlier this week, the oddsmakers created a market in which customers could gamble on what the final will be. 

A final with Naito opposing SANADA has been the 13/4 favourite since the entire market was installed on Monday. The two wrestlers are 5/4 and 7/5 favourites to win their respective blocks.

G1 Climax 31 Finalist Betting

Now, onto today's card. 

G1 Climax 31: Night One

Kota Ibushi .vs. Yujiro Takahashi
The opening match of this year's tourney started off with Kota Ibushi a 1/10 favourite to beat Yujiro Takahashi when the match started.

G1 Climax 31 Betting: Night 1

The market opened a week ago with Ibushi a 2/13 favourite. He was backed into 1/9 a couple of days after that before falling into 1/10 a couple of days ago.

Takahashi was 5/1 when the bell rang. This was up from his opening 7/2.

Great-O-Khan .vs. Tanga Loa
Great-O-Khan's odds to beat Tanga Loa in match number two fell a couple of times this morning.

The market opened last week with Great-O-Khan a 7/20 favourite over the 19/10 for Loa. The market remained stationary right up to this morning when I noticed that the favourite had slid into 2/7. Then - when I checked in an hour later - I noticed he had fallen into 1/4.

G1 Climax 31 Betting: Night 1

With the favourite lowering. Tanga Loa ended up out to 5/2.

The match ended with the favourite getting the two points.

Toru Yano .vs. KENTA
Kambi's market for Toru Yano versus KENTA started off with the latter an 11/25 favourite. 

G1 Climax 31 Betting: Night 1

As you can see, in the table above, KENTA was moved into 7/20 sometime before Thursday evening. The market remained stationary from that point. It closed a few minutes before the event went on break.

Yano started off at 8/5, but was 19/10 when betting was suspended.

The match ended with a Yano win due to, yes - you guessed it correctly- shenanigans!

Tetsuya Naito .vs. Zack Sabre, Jr.
Kambi's market for the penultimate match on tonight's round stayed with Tetsuya Naito a 1/3 favourite over Zack Sabre Jr (2/1) from Saturday all the way through to the start of the match.

G1 Climax 31 Betting: Night 1

ZSJ won the match via submission.

Tomohiro Ishii .vs. Shingo Takagi
The market for the main event closed with IWGP World Heavyweight Champion - Shingo Takagi - closing as a 2/5 favourite to pick up the points against Tomohiro Ishii (7/4).

G1 Climax 31 Betting: Night 1

When the market was first published, Kambi had Takagi at a slightly higher 1/2 to Ishii's 7/5.

Takagi won to close the show.

Thursday, 16 September 2021

AEW All Out 2021: Results Of Kambi's Observer Markets

The recent issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter, which came out last weekend, had Dave Meltzer's review of AEW All Out 2021. This meant that all of the star ratings betting markets - published by Kambi for the PPV - were settled by the bookmaking company.

The most notable thing about Meltzer's coverage of the event is that the AEW World Tag Team Championship match, which saw the Lucha Brothers beat the Young Bucks for the straps inside a steel cage, was given five-and-three-quarter stars.

This result means that Kambi settled 'AEW Tag Team Championship' as the winning selection in the market which allowed customers to gamble on what they thought would be the 'Highest Rated Match of the Night'.

AEW All Out 2021 - Highest Star Rating Betting

Opening as a 4/6 favourite - when the market was published on 2nd September - the eventual winner's price began to drift due to apparent interest in the second favourite: the selection for Kenny Omega's AEW World Championship defence against Christian Cage. The option moved in from 4/1 to 11/10 across the three days of availability.

By the day of the show, 'AEW Tag Team Championship' was an 11/10 joint-favourite alongside what turned out to be the second best match of the night with four-and-a-quarter stars.

A prop market, which asked whether or not there would be a match on the card which ultimately scored five stars or more, was settled with 'Yes' winning as a starting 13/10 underdog. As you'll see - in the table below - the selection was backed in the days leading into the PPV and was down to EVS a few hours before betting was suspended.

AEW All Out 2021 - Observer Prop Bet

With there being a difference of one-and-a-half stars between the tag match and Omega .vs. Cage, Kambi settled another prop market, this time asking whether there would be a half-a-star or more difference between the top match and the next best, with 'Yes' declared as the winning selection. It was 8/5.

AEW All Out 2021 - Observer Prop Bet

The 'Joint Winners' prop market - in which the bookmaker asked whether one or more matches on the card would receive the highest number of stars in Meltzer's review - was settled with 'No' winning as a 4/9 favourite.

AEW All Out 2021 - Observer Prop Bet

The Omega versus Cage main event featured in a head-to-head market in which customers gambled whether or not it would receive more stars than CM Punk versus Darby Allin or tie for an equal number.

AEW All Out 2021 - Observer Betting

Punk's winning meeting against Allin received three-and-three-quarters from Meltzer. Therefore, 'AEW World Championship' was the winning pick.

Going by the odds movement, it appears as though some customers were on the correct side because the selection was backed from EVS into 8/13 over the three days the market was available.

Two other head-to-head specials could have been found for the PPV.

AEW All Out 2021 - Observer Betting

In one, the four stars Jon Moxley and Satoshi Kojima picked up for their bout was enough to win as a 6/5 second favourite behind Chris Jericho versus MJF, which received a quarter of a star less than its opposition.

The tie came into play in the head-to-head between Miro versus Eddie Kingston and Brit Baker versus Kris Statlander.

AEW All Out 2021 - Observer Betting

Both title matches were given four stars apiece in Dave Meltzer's report. As a result, 'Same Star Rating' was graded as the 7/4 winner.

The most popular star ratings markets - the Over/Unders - were also settled over the weekend when the current issue was released. The lines and results for all of the matches can be found below.

AEW All Out 2021 - Wrestling Observer Star Rating O/U Results

You'll notice that, of all those matches, only five received a score of five stars or more. This result was important for the settlement of a proposition market which asked whether there would be at least six matches with a score of four stars or more.

AEW All Out 2021 - Observer Prop Bet

'No' started out as a 4/9 favourite over the 6/4 for 'Yes'. A couple of days later, it was apparently backed into 2/5 moving 'Yes' out to 7/4. However, a day later, both selections returned to where they started off due to the eventual loser seemingly being backed into 6/4.

I'll return to the star ratings posts following the release of Dave Meltzer's report for WWE Extreme Rules 2021.

Kambi has already released O/U markets for the matches that are currently being advertised and one that is no longer on the card.

Roman Reigns versus Finn Balor has a high line which is set at 4.5 Stars. It's followed by Damian Priest versus Sheamus and Becky Lynch versus Bianca Belair, which both have their respective over/under lines set at 3.75 Stars.

For what it's worth, and it isn't worth much anymore, the bookmakers also set Bobby Lashley's WWE Championship defence against Randy Orton at 3.75 stars.

The WWE Raw Women's Championship match between Charlotte Flair and Alexa Bliss has a low O/U of 2 stars.

Tuesday, 14 September 2021

The Winners And Losers Of Big E''s MITB Cash-In

On last night's episode of WWE Monday Night Raw, Big E successfully cashed in his Money in the Bank contract against Bobby Lashley to become WWE Champion.

This result now means that all of Kambi's Money in the Bank markets from 2021 have now been completed.

Going into last night's cash-in, there were five markers still in-play. One was half-way settled while the remaining four were all solely-focused on the men's contract being executed.

With Nikki A.S.H's cash-in also being fruitful, Kambi will settle a proposition market - which asked whether or not both cash-ins would be successful - with 'Yes' declared as the winning selection.

Opening on July 17th, the market offered the eventual winner as a 2/5 favourite over the 7/4 which was priced for the 'No'.

Also produced on the weekend of the Money in the Bank 2021 PPV was the prop which asked whether or not the men's cash-in would be successful.

Just like with the market for both cash-ins, the 'Yes' selection was the bookmakers' favourite. It was 1/6 while the option to punt on the Mr. Money in the Bank - whoever that turned out to be - failing to win a championship after executing his contract was priced 13/4.

The market returned on the weekend of this year's SummerSlam. 

MITB 2021 Betting: Men's Cash-In Prop Bet

As you'll see in the table above, the odds for the cash-in to be unsuccessful were lowered into 14/5 when the market was republished. This could have been due to the knowledge that Smackdown's Big E was the briefcase holder. With Roman Reigns being booked strongly as Universal Champion, it's understandable to see the 'No' lower while 'Yes' - despite remaining favourite - pushed slightly up to 11/50 from 1/6.

To enhance the idea that the bookmaker may have thought Big E's cash-in would turn out fruitless, a look at the prices available for the 'WWE Championship' being the title the briefcase holder executed his contract on. It had longer odds compared to the short price available for Reigns' Universal strap.

MITB 2021 Betting

When I came across the special. on the day of SummerSlam, Kambi had the eventual winner at 9/4 while the title of Big E's then brand - Smackdown - was a 2/7 favourite. 

By 10:30PM BST that very day, the odds for 'WWE Championship' had declined into 5/4 while the other option had been pushed up to 11/20.

The selection which covered 'After SummerSlam to End of 2021' was the winning option in a special which asked punters the timeframe of the briefcase cash-in.

MITB 2021 Betting: Date Of Men's Cash-In

It was an 11/20 favourite when the market was first published on the weekend of the Money in the Bank PPV. 

The losing selections were the short period between Money in the Bank 2021 and the end of SummerSlam 2021 - which was 5/2 - and any point 'During 2022' which was 29/10.

Kambi offered 3/1 for the cash-in to occur during one of WWE's TV shows, when the 'Show of Men's Briefcase Cash-in' market was published on July 17th. By SummerSlam weekend, Kambi had lowered the selection into 7/4 while moving the 'PPV (Including NXT TakeOver)' offer from 1/5 to 2/5.

MITB 2021 Betting: Show Of Men's Cash-In

And that's the Money in the Bank markets done until 2022. If you'd like to see how Nikki A.S.H's cash-in settled the women's MITB markets, you can do so by FOLLOWING THIS LINK.

View Kambi's Pro Wrestling Markets