Tuesday, 19 November 2019

5Dimes' Survivor Series (2019) Prices

Here are the 5Dimes Sportsbook's prices for this Sunday's PPV.

Brock Lesnar -320
Rey Mysterio +240

Shayna Baszler +120
Becky Lynch +170
Bayley +250

The Viking Raiders -195
The Undisputed Era +300
The New Day +425

AJ Styles -135
Shinsuke Nakamura +205
Roderick Strong +375

Bray Wyatt -600
Daniel Bryan +400

Odds were correct as of 10:15PM GMT and taken from The 5Dimes Website.

18/11/19 Raw Viewership Result Is In

Last night's episode of WWE Monday Night Raw had a total average audience of 2,127,000 viewers.

This is the result from the ratings website, ShowBuzzDaily.com that the oddsmakers from Kambi use as their source for settlement.

The proposition market for last night's edition asked customers whether or not the show had a total average of 2.15 Million viewers.

The winning selection, 'No', was a 3/4 favourite while the 'Yes' was 19/20.

The full breakdown can be viewed below.

Hour 1: 2,245,000
Hour 2: 2,211,000
Hour 3: 1,925,000

The 2,127,000 figure becomes important for another prop bet that I wrote about in yesterday's post.

Latest Odds On Punk's Official WWE Backstage Debut

There has been an adjustment made to a CM Punk prop market for tonight's edition of WWE Backstage.

In the special, customers have the opportunity to wager on whether Punk's appearance will break Backstage's record viewership number of 597,000.

Before today, the odds for 'No' declined from 3/5 to 11/25. However, there has now been a change with the 'Yes' - which had drifted to 8/5 from 6/5 - has fallen to 13/10.

I suppose the change could be a reaction to Punk sending out a tweet on Monday evening claiming that he wasn't going to hold back from being controversial. 

It stirred up a reaction from AEW's head, Tony Khan, who was named in Punk's tweet. This then caused others such as Randy Orton, Charlotte Flair and Brandi Rhodes to make comment to Khan's response. 

The bottom line - it drew attention to Punk. Whether it's enough to beat the 597,000 record is another thing, though.


This market can be found under Kambi's 'CM Punk WWE Return' specials.

Wednesday TV Prop Replaced For A New Market

With Triple H teasing that tomorrow's NXT on the USA Network could (it will) feature stars from Raw and Smackdown, the oddsmakers from Kambi have made changes to the TV viewership prop bets I wrote about in THIS POST yesterday.

Triple H On The November 18th 2019 Raw

Gone is the 'Spread' proposition market in which customers could gamble on AEW Dynamite beating NXT by 200,000 or more viewers. It has been replaced by a prop that is similar to one that debuted last week - 'Breaking The Ratings Streak'.

In the prop, customers get to gamble whether or not Wednesday's NXT will have more viewers than AEW Dynamite.

As of 6PM GMT today, the 'Yes' is 4/5 while a winning bet on the 'No' will pay out at 9/10.

For what it's worth, I think it will be close. After watching Raw this morning, I took a gamble on Kambi's 'Spread' proposition as - with the promise/tease of Raw and Smackdown talent on NXT - I don't feel AEW will have 200,000 more viewers than NXT.

With that said, I'm not brave enough to bet on the new market because, when I last gambled on NXT 'Breaking The Ratings Streak' against AEW Dynamite, I lost.

Monday, 18 November 2019

TV Prop Bets For Week Commencing 18th November And More About Punk Prop

Kambi has published its pro wrestling TV viewership prop bets for this week.

In this post, I'll go through each market in the order of how they appeared on the websites with Kambi's markets this morning. I'll also take another look at a CM Punk TV special that I wrote about yesterday.

TV Prop Bets - November 18 to 22 2019

The first prop on the page is for AEW Dyanmite's number. The bookmaker asks whether the episode will have a total average audience number of 950,000 or more. 'Yes' is a 7/10 favourite over the option to bet below that number, which is 'No' at EVS.

The second proposition market is for the other wrestling show for Wednesday night - NXT on the USA Network. This time, the customers have to choose whether NXT will have an audience of 800,000 or above. Those who think it will can find the 'Yes' at 9/10. The 'No' is a 4/5 favourite.

For tonight's episode of WWE Monday Night Raw, Kambi has the line at '2.15 Million or more'. The option to bet on that number or higher is 19/20 while the 'No' is 3/4.

'2.4 Million or more' is the line for Friday night's Smackdown on FOX. As of this morning, both the 'Yes' and 'No' selections are available at 17/20 each.

The last three props on the page are other kinds of specials that are specific to the audience totals.

In the market titled 'Spread', the bookies have asked the customer whether AEW Dynamite will have '0.2 Million more than NXT'. Those who believe AEW will beat its competition by 200,000 or above will find the 'Yes' at 17/20. Those who think otherwise can back the 'No', which is also at 17/20.

The penultimate proposition is all about Wednesday's TV. Customers have the opportunity to bet whether or not there will be more combined total viewers of AEW and NXT than last week.

The number to beat is 1,707,000 (957,000 for AEW and 750,000 for NXT). As of this morning, the 'Yes' is 4/5 with the 'No' at 9/10.

The final prop is similar. However, it asks the customers whether the total numbers of viewers for all four shows will beat last week's number.

We already know that there were 1,707,000 in total for AEW and NXT. Add the 2,058,000 for Raw and the 2,350,000 for Smackdown which makes the overall at 6,115,000.

As you can see in the image above, 'Yes' is a 3/4 favourite over the 19/20 for 'No'.

In a post published yesterday, I pointed out that there is technically another TV prop bet for this week as - in the CM Punk specials - there is an option to wager on Tuesday's episode of WWE Backstage pn FS 1 breaking the viewership record for the show.

The record is 597,000 for what was a special debut airing. I strongly believe the number was assisted by a baseball game that preceded the episode. A second special, which had 426,000 viewers, was also helped - in a way - by being on Friday night with WWE able to advertise its existence on the other FOX channel during Smackdown.

WWE Backstage - in its regular schedule has so far drawn 49,000 (official week 1) and 100,000 (week 2).

I feel that Punk will make a difference this week. However, I can't see it being in the - pardon the pun - same ballpark as the baseball assisted number. My uneducated guess is it will be close to - or in - in the 300,000 range which would be near a 200% jump from last week.

The odds for the record not being broken, even with Punk appearing, has been taken down from 3/5 into 1/2 since yesterday's post.

 The option on the show having 597,001 or above is now available at 7/5 from 6/5.

CM Punk WWE Backstage Prop Bet For November 19th's Show

Sunday, 17 November 2019

Another Punk Proposition

A new CM Punk proposition market has been added to Kambi's Punk specials that I wrote about in THIS POST yesterday.

You could consider it a TV Prop for this week, though.

In it, customers can bet whether or not Punk's appearance on the November 19th edition of WWE Backstage will break the current viewership record for the FS1 show.

The number to beat is the 597,000 that watched what was an unofficial debut show which, and I believe this is very important to consider before betting on it, was on immediately after a Major League Baseball game.

The 'official' debut from nearly a fortnight ago had 49,000 viewers. Last week's show saw a rebound of sorts as ShowBuzzDaily.com reported 100,000 to people who requested the number.

Those who want to bet that the episode breaks the record can find the 'Yes' at 6/5 while a winning bet on the 'No' will pay out at 3/5.

More Markets For Survivor Series Weekend

Kambi published more markets for Survivor Series weekend yesterday.

The first is a market for the Survivor Series match involving the male teams. The book opened with the Raw team at 21/10 while the teams of NXT and Smackdown stars are 13/10 each.

There's also a market for the match with the women's teams. Team Smackdown is 7/2 while Team NXT and Team Raw are 11/10 each.

The triple threat match featuring the owners of the Raw, Smackdown and NXT secondary titles has opened with US Champion - AJ Styles - a 19/20 favourite over Shinsuke Nakamura (23/20) and Roderick Strong (4/1).

There is a Wrestling Observer star rating Over/Under market for that match and the current line is set at four-and-a-quarter stars.

Bray Wyatt versus Daniel Bryan - for the WWE Universal Championship - was confirmed for the event during this week's Smackdown. The market has opened with Wyatt a 1/4 fave over his challenger (5/2). 

A Wrestling Observer star ratings over/under market for the Universal Championship match has been installed with a line of three-and-a-half stars.

On the night before the Survivor Series, there will be an NXT TakeOver. Kambi has created match markets for the bouts that are so far confirmed for the show.

Matt Riddle has been installed as a 2/1 underdog for his meeting with Finn Balor (1/3). 

There will be two War Games matches on the card.

The team led by Rhea Ripley is a 7/10 favourite to beat Team Baszler (EVS) in the women's War Games match while - in the market for the men's War Games contest - The Undisputed Era has been priced at 11/20 to beat the squad with Tommaso Ciampa at the helm (5/4).

Wrestling Observer star ratings Over/Under lines have also been created for the NXT show. The lines are:

Balor .vs. Riddle: 4.50 Stars
Men's War Games: 4.50 Stars
Women's War Games: 3.75 Stars

Saturday, 16 November 2019

15th November Smackdown Audience Number Is In

The Friday network audience numbers were published earlier today and it appears that last night's WWE Smackdown had a total average audience of 2,350,000 viewers.

ShowBuzzDaily.com's breakdown saw the first hour have 2,445,000 people tune in while - in the second - the recorded viewers had dropped to 2,255,000.

Now that the figures are in, Kambi will settle a Smackdown TV audience prop bet in which customers could gamble whether or not the show picked up a total average of 2,650,000 viewers.

The obvious winner was the 'No'. It started off at 17/20 when the market was published at the start of the week. The selection was backed into 7/10 November 13th and was then taken down further, this time to 13/20, by Thursday morning.

WWE Smackdown (15/11/19) Total Average Audience Prop Bet

CM Punk Prop Bets From Kambi

CM Punk WWE Backstage - November 2019The oddsmakers from Kambi have published a handful of CM Punk prop bets now that the former wrestler has become a part of FOX's WWE Backstage crew.

The first prop asks customers whether he'll be 'an official active participant in a WWE match in Saudi Arabia' before the end of 2020.


As of today, the bookies are offering 5/1 on Punk doing so. The 'No' is available at odds of 1/12.

The second prop is Royal Rumble related and asks customers whether he'll be 'entry #30' in January's Royal Rumble. The 'Yes' is 7/2 to the 'No' at 2/13.

The bookies are offering 1/5 on Punk NOT being the cover star of the WWE 2K21 video game. Those looking to bet on him being on the front of the game can find the 'Yes' at 3/1. Should Punk share the cover with any other personality, the bets will still settle in favour of 'Yes'.

The fourth proposition is for Punk to 'leave/get dismissed from his position at WWE Backstage for any reason before WrestleMania 36'. 'No' is a 1/3 favourite while the 'Yes' is 2/1.

8/13 is being offered on Punk not making 'any live in-person appearance in front of the crowd at WrestleMania 36'. Those who believe he will show up at Mania can find the 'Yes' at 23/20.

Finally, there's a proposition in which clients can gamble on Punk being 'an official active participant in a match at WrestleMania 36'. The bookies have the 'No' as a 7/20 fave while the 'Yes' is 19/10.

Friday, 15 November 2019

WON Star Ratings O/U Results For AEW Full Gear

The latest issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter, which features Dave Meltzer's review of AEW Full Gear, was published this morning.

Now that the review has been written, Kambi's oddsmakers will grade five Observer star ratings markets that were published for the PPV.

In this post, I'll go through the markets in the order of how the matches appeared on the PPV card and point out how each will be settled.

The first market that had a market for it, going down the PPV order, was the one which saw The Young Bucks lose to Ortiz and Santana.

Kambi's line for the match was set at 4.25 Stars. The editor rated it exactly as Kambi projected it.


Santana and Ortiz .vs. Bucks
O 4.25
E 4.25
U 4.25
27/10 5:00PM
3/4
5/2
11/10
31/10 3:45PM
4/6
"
6/5
9/11 8:00PM
"
"
"

As you can see, the winning selection - 'Exactly 4.25 Stars' - was 5/2 throughout the time the market was available to customers. Looking at how the betting went, it appears the consensus backed it to go over as the odds for that selection went from 3/4 into 4/6.

The next match with a star ratings market was Adam Page versus PAC.

Meltzer graded the bout, which saw Page get a decision over his opponent, four-and-a-quarter as well. This meant that it was a win for those who may have backed the 'Over' as Kambi's line was four stars.

Page .vs. PAC
O 4
E 4
U 4
27/10 5:00PM
13/10
9/4
4/6
31/10 3:45PM
6/5
12/5
7/10
4/11 7:30PM
EVS
"
17/20
7/11 7:00PM
17/20
"
EVS
9/11 8:00PM
"
"
"

It looks like the consensus made the right call because, if you look at the movement above, the odds for 'Over 4 Stars' gradually dropped from its opening 13/10 and was down to 17/20 in the days leading into the show.

A market for the AEW World Tag Team Championship three-way was published on November 7th with the line at four stars. The pricing for the Over was 4/5, the 'Under' was 11/10 and the option to wager on 'Exactly 4 Stars' was 23/10. The prices remained stationary right up to when I last viewed them on the night of the event. 

The winning selection was 'Exactly 4 Stars'.

Chris Jericho's successful AEW World Heavyweight Championship defence over Cody was rated four-and-a-half stars by Dave Meltzer. 

Kambi set the line at four-and-a-quarter, so the winning selection was the 'Over'. As you can see below, the market had been available since September 16th. The eventual winner was backed from 6/5 into 11/10 initially, but it then began to drift out in the week leading up to showtime. It was available at 13/10 for the last couple of days before the event due to people siding with the 'Under'.

AEW Championship
O 4.25
E 4.25
U 4.25
16/9 2:00AM
6/5
21/10
4/5
28/9 1:10PM
11/10
43/20
17/20
3/11 8:40PM
6/5
9/4
3/4
4/11 7:30PM
5/4
23/10
7/10
7/11 7:00PM
13/10
"
4/6
9/11 8:00PM
"
"
"

The final bout on the card, which was the lights out match between Jon Moxley and Kenny Omega, was not received particularly well by Meltzer. Despite this, he felt it had good storytelling and execution. Plus, and this is what I felt, it would have to be graded along the lines of the Mankind versus The Undertaker Hell in a Cell match from the 1998 King of the Ring. 

Foley versus Taker was given four-and-a-half stars and, when asked by a friend last night how I thought Meltzer would grade Moxley/Omega, I guessed it would be in a similar ballpark to the rating of the 1998 match. 

It was a perfect guess, if I say so myself, as Saturday's match was indeed given 4.50 from Meltzer.

As for Kambi - its line was set at 4.25 Stars, so those who may have backed the 'Over' would have had their bets settled in their favour.

The selection opened as a 3/4 favourite and was 11/20 for the last nine days the market was available. 

Moxley .vs. Omega
O 4.25
E 4.25
U 4.25
16/9 2:00AM
3/4
23/10
23/20
3/10 11:30PM
7/10
"
5/4
10/10 4:30PM
4/6
23/10
13/10
31/10 3:45PM
11/20
23/10
6/4
9/11 8:00PM
"
"
"


Thursday, 14 November 2019

AEW And NXT Audiences For November 13th Released

Last night's episode of AEW Dynamite had an audience of 957,000 over the 750,000 that viewed NXT on the USA Network.

This means that a TV ratings prop bet, in which people could bet whether or not NXT broke AEW's ratings streak - will be settled with 'No' being declared the winning selection.

The option was a 4/5 favourite when the market was first published earlier this week. It was backed down to 4/6 yesterday, which was a few hours before the market was closed ahead of the airings of both shows.

AEW .vs. NXT - 14 November 2019 Prop Bet

The market was available on Kambi's Pro Wrestling Page.

Wednesday, 13 November 2019

Punk Mania 36 Special From Sky Bet

After showing up on WWE Backstage last night, a CM Punk special has been published by the oddsmakers from Sky Bet.

In the special, customers have the opportunity to wager on 'Who Will Be CM Punk's Opponent' at WrestleMania 36.

Triple H is currently a 5/1 favourite followed by WWE Champion - Brock Lesnar - and his Survivor Series opponent, Rey Mysterio who are 7/1 joint second-favourites.

The list continues all the way down to AEW World Heavyweight Champion, Chris Jericho, and WWE owner, Vince McMahon who are 100/1 apiece.

It's worth noting that Punk is reportedly working on WWE Backstage as a FOX employee rather than WWE.

With that said, a rule in the market states that 'Bets will be made void should he not have a match'.

As far as Punk's Royal Rumble odds have gone today - when I first heard the news, he was at 16/1 after dropping from 25/1 overnight. He was then down to 12/1 at lunchtime, 10/1 later in the evening and is now a 7/1 joint second-favourite along with Bray Wyatt.