Friday, 20 July 2018

Styles .vs. Rusev Wins Kambi's Observer Markets For Extreme Rules 2018

Dave Meltzer's review of this past weekend's WWE Extreme Rules 2018 was featured in this week's issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter, which was published in the early hours of this morning. In it, the editor gave the WWE Championship match - which saw AJ Styles retain the strap with a victory over Rusev - four stars.

The result means Kambi's oddsmakers will now settle a couple of its markets in favour of the match, if they haven't done so by the time this post gets published.

Firstly, going into the weekend, punters could bet which match - out of Styles .vs. Rusev or Roman Reigns .vs. Bobby Lashley - would receive the most stars in this week's issue. The latter earned three-and-a-half stars in the review. Therefore, those who backed it at 23/20 will have bets settled in their favour now.

Another market, where clients could punt on the 'Exact Star Rating of the Highest Rated Match on the Card', saw the 'Exactly 4.0 Stars' win at odds of 9/4.

The Over/Under line for Styles versus Rusev was set at 3.75 Stars. The 'Over' - in this particular market - remained at 21/20 throughout the entire period the market was available to customers.

In the table below, you can see how all of the Over/Under lines were settled.

Extreme Rules 2018 Observer Star Ratings Results

B-Team .vs. Hardy and Wyatt
This market remained unchanged throughout the entire weekend. The winning selection 'Exactly 2 Stars' won at odds of 41/20. The other prices were:
Over 2 Stars 19/10
Under 2 Stars 3/4

Baron Corbin .vs. Finn Balor
Finn Balor's win over Baron Corbin was graded two-and-a-quarter stars. With a line of two-and-a-half, the winning selection was the 'Under', Its odds were 19/20 when it was first priced up. It was down to 9/10 by the following morning.

Balor .vs. Corbin
Over 2.5 Stars
Exactly 2.5 Stars
Under 2.5 Stars
14/7 10:50AM
EVS
21/10
19/20
15/7 10:00AM
"
9/4
9/10
CLOSED
"
"
"

Carmella .vs. Asuka
The customers evidently thought that the Carmella .vs. Asuka rematch would go over the line of 1.75 Stars because it was backed from 19/20 into 9/10 within the first day. As we now know, the winning selection was the 'Under 1.75'. This was 11/10 throughout the weekend.

SD Women's Championship
Over 1.75 Stars
Exactly 1.75 Stars
Under 1.75 Stars
14/7 10:50AM
19/20
19/10
11/10
15/7 10:00AM
9/10
2/1
"
CLOSED
"
"
"

Jeff Hardy .vs. Shinsuke Nakamura
Due to the match only lasting seconds, it was not given a rating. Therefore, all bets should be declared void. Here's how the betting went, though:

Hardy .vs. Nakamura
Over 2.75 Stars
Exactly 2.75 Stars
Under 2.75 Stars
14/7 10:50AM
5/4
43/20
3/4
15/7 10:00AM
19/20
11/5
19/20
CLOSED
"
"
"

The punters were hopeful that this would go 'Over' as it fell from 5/4 into 19/20.

Braun Strowman .vs. Kevin Owens
The steel cage match, which saw Kevin Owens win after being thrown from the cage by Braun Strowman, was given two-and-a-half stars by the editor. This was exactly as the Kambi oddsmakers had predicted as they set the line at 2.50.
The winning selection was available at 9/5 from the moment the market opened all the way to its closure. The other options were as follows:
Over 2.50 11/10
Under 2.50 EVS

Bludgeon Brothers .vs. Team Hell No
Another market that didn't change was the one for the Smackdown Tag Team Championship match between The Bludgeon Brothers and their challengers - Team Hell No.
The match received three stars and went 'Over' the line of 2.75. The winning selection was 23/20 while the 'Under 2.75 Stars' was 17/20 and 'Exactly 2.75 Stars' was 41/20.

Roman Reigns .vs. Bobby Lashley
Bobby Lashley's win over Roman Reigns received three-and-a-half stars from Meltzer. This fell below the bookies' line of 3.75. As you can see, in the table below, the punters backed the right side as the 'Under' fell from 13/10 into 23/20 by Sunday morning.

Reigns .vs. Lashley
Over 3.75 Stars
Exactly 3.75 Stars
Under 3.75 Stars
14/7 10:50AM
17/20
9/5
13/10
15/7 10:00AM
9/10
19/10
23/20
CLOSED
"
"
"

Alexa Bliss .vs. Nia Jax
Alexa Bliss' WWE Raw Women's Championship retention against Nia Jax received two-and-a-half stars. This fell exactly on the line that was set by the bookmakers. The eventual winning selection 'Exactly 2.50 Stars' was 9/5 from open to close. The 'Over' was 23/20 and the 'Under' was 19/20.

AJ Styles .vs. Rusev
As you've already seen, Meltzer rated AJ Styles' title defence against Rusev four stars. This went over the line of 3.75 Stars. The winning selection was available at 21/20 throughout the weekend. The other selections - 'Exactly 3.75' and 'Under 3.75' - were 9/5 and 21/20 respectively.

Dolph Ziggler .vs. Seth Rollins
The main event, which was a favourite to be the match of the night, was given a line of 4.25 Stars. It fell 'Under' as Meltzer rated it 3.25, The market was stationary all weekend with the eventual winner priced at 4/5. The 'Over' was 7/5 and 'Exactly 4.25 Stars' was 7/4.

Hopefully, I'll be able to cover more Observer Star Ratings markets on SummerSlam weekend. Until then, you can view Kambi's odds on the following pages:


Thursday, 19 July 2018

Ronda Rousey Betting Update For July 19th

With Ronda Rousey once again challenging for the WWE Raw Women's Championship - when she meets Alexa Bliss at SummerSlam on August 19th - I thought I'd update most of the Rousey specials that are available from Kambi.

The first market I'll look at is the one where customers can place wagers on Rousey winning either the Raw or Smackown Women's Championship at any point from the time of the bet being struck right up to the end of WrestleMania 35.

Ronda Rousey Road To WrestleMania Special

As you can see by clicking on the image above, the odds for Rousey to win either strap 'During SummerSlam' have been cut into 21/50 from the 1/2 customers would have found on Sunday before the SummerSlam meeting with Alexa Bliss was confirmed.

The bookies haven't only snipped the price for Rousey to win the title on August 19th, though.

The period following SummerSlam - which was 5/2 on Sunday - is now down to 9/4.

A coronation at WrestleMania 35 is still 1/2.

With Rousey officially next in line to challenge Alexa Bliss for the strap, it should come as no surprise to see Rousey's odds adjusted in the special where punters can back the successor to Alexa Bliss.

WWE Raw Women's Champion After Alexa Bliss

Rousey has moved in from 4/9 to 1/3. However, she isn't the only name to have shorter odds to last week.

Bayley went from 12/1 into 8/1, Sasha Banks from 8/1 into 6/1 and Natalya from 8s into 6/1.

In a way, I can sort of understand why Natalya's price has been cut. If Rousey doesn't win the strap at SummerSlam, I could see some punters believe that Rousey will get the strap after her friendship with Natalya implodes.

With that said, I doubt that's how she'll win the title.

Alexa's odds to be the person who delivers a defeat to Ronda has been snipped in the 'Conqueror' specials. As you can see by clicking on the table below, Bliss has been moved from 6/4 into 5/4.

Other names that have been cut are Ronda's much-rumoured WrestleMania opponent - Charlotte Flair - from 43/20 into 2/1 as well as Flair's Smackdown colleague, Asuka, who has fallen from 6s into 5/1.

Natalya has also been cut here as she was 7/1 over a week ago, but is now down to 5/1.

Ronda Rousey Conqueror Betting

2 Selections Cut In Mania 35 Main Event Market

WrestleMania 35 Main Event Betting Odds
Click On Image To Expand

Over the weekend, the oddsmakers from Kambi adjusted a couple of selections in their market where clients can place wagers on what the main event of WrestleMania 35 will be.

The first snip came on a Brock Lesnar .vs. Finn Balor match as it went from 25/1 to 20/1. The second, which I believe is explainable, is the option to wager on a Kenny Omega match going last on April 7th has also been taken down from 25/1 into 20/1.

Last week, Ring of Honor and New Japan Pro Wrestling announced that they have an event lined up for Madison Square Garden on April 6th. The current IWGP Heavyweight Champion - Omega - was not announced in the advertising for the show because his current New Japan contract would have expired by springtime. I suppose a bettor took a gamble on Omega signing for WWE and making his way instantly to the WrestleMania main event. Either that or the bookmakers cut the price anticipating such a wager.

As for the other selections - a match between Charlotte Flair and Ronda Rousey remains a 3/5 favourite.

Samoa Joe Now 11/20 To Succeed AJ Styles As WWE Champ

Here are the latest betting odds in the market where customers of the sportsbooks that publish Kambi's WWE specials can place wagers on who they believe will succeed AJ Styles as WWE Champion.

WWE Champion After AJ Styles

There have been a number of changes made since last week.

For starters, the favourite - Samoa Joe - has been cut from  EVS into 11/20. Another two names have been cut as well. Shinsuke Nakamura has moved from 12s into 10/1 and John Cena is now 4/1 from 8/1.

Of the selections that have drifted out, the most interesting name is Randy Orton. His price had been on the decline, but has now been extended from 2/1 into 4/1. I guess a good reason why this has happened is due to Orton returning to TV and entering a feud with former US Champion, Jeff Hardy.

Another notable change is Rusev. After failing to defeat Styles at Extreme Rules, the Bulgarian Brute has ascended to 12/1 from 9/4.

AJ Styles' opponent for SummerSlam 2018 will be revealed next week.

MITB Cash-In At SummerSlam 2018 Odds And More

When I wrote about Kambi's WWE SummerSlam 2018 markets yesterday, I failed to mention that the oddsmakers have released a prop bet for the August 19th PPV where clients can punt on there being a cash-in.

There are two options available for the punters (obviously!). They can choose 'Yes' that there will be a cash-in during the event. This is a 3/5 favourite while the  'No' is 6/5.

The market where clients can place wagers on the show of the eventual cash-in was republished yesterday with the odds for the contract being executed on 'PPV, Network Special Or Any Other Show' having been moved in from 1/3 to 1/8.

Money in the Bank Cash-In Betting Odds

A Raw cash-in, which is what I would prefer as I feel it being done at SummerSlam is far too obvious, will now pay out at 4/1. This has been increased from 2/1.

There has been no change made to the prop market where clients can bet on the cash-in being a successful one or not. 'Yes' remains a 1/16 favourite to the 'No' at 6/1.

Sun Bets Is Closing Down

One of the first emails I received this morning was from the Sun Bets Affiliate program informing me that Sun Bets is closing down.

I thought I'd let you all know this because some visitors may have signed up through the links or banners here at WWELeaks.org when the firm published WWE markets or were already customers with Sun Bets. Also, I haven't received an email from Sun Bets for my customers account (yet!) and feel a responsibility to get the word out to you and allow you to get a head-start.

If you have any funds in your accounts, Sun Bets is asking you to withdraw them immediately.

I know Sun Bets hasn't published WWE markets for a while, but for those with unsettled bets for other sports, these wagers will be refunded imminently for you to withdraw.

There is a FAQ page dedicated to the bookmaker's closure when you visit the site. It should answer any questions you might have.

Wednesday, 18 July 2018

More SummerSlam Markets From Kambi

Today's republication of Kambi's WWE markets has brought with some new additions to the bookies' SummerSlam 2018 coverage.

Customers can now place bets on who they believe will win the WWE Raw Women's Championship match between Alexa Bliss and her challenger, Ronda Rousey.

A win for Rousey has been given odds of 1/4 while Alexa Bliss has been installed at 5/2. 

The match winner market is in contrast to one that has been available since May where customers can place bets on who they believe will leave Brooklyn with the strap.

Rousey is favourite in this market as well. As of the time of writing, she's 21/50 to Bliss' 33/20.

Just like we saw in June at Money in the Bank, Rousey could win the match, but not the title. So, it's important to highlight the difference with both markets.

A special for the Bliss .vs. Rousey match allows punters to predict the 'Method of Decision'. A submission victory (more likely if Ronda is winning the belt) is a 7/25 favourite, 'Pinfall' is 7/2 and 'Any Other Method' is 2/1.

The 2/1 might be of interest to those who think that Rousey will end up winning by DQ again. 

Another special that has been priced up is for the Universal Championship match. Customers can place wagers on the number of participants that'll start the match. 

The oddsmakers have priced up 'Exactly 2' at 21/50 favourite, 'Exactly 3' in second at EVS and '4 or More' at 13/2.

As I wrote in the most recent post, I can't shake off the feeling that this is going to end up being a three-way even though I would prefer either Reigns or Lashley challenging in a singles match.

We'll get a better idea what's going on this Monday.


Kambi Releases Odds For Monday's Raw

Kambi has published two betting markets for next week's Roman Reigns versus Bobby Lashley match to determine Brock Lesnar's opponent for WWE SummerSlam 2018.

The oddsmakers have priced up Reigns as an 11/20 favourite to win the bout that will take place on Monday's episode of Raw. A  successful wager on Bobby Lashley will pay out at 5/4.

On paper, this should be where Roman Reigns gets a win because Lashley went over at Extreme Rules. However, I can't shake off the feeling that SummerSlam is going to end up being a triple threat match.

With that thought out there, I've placed a bet on another market that is available for this match.

Customers can have a punt on the 'Method of decision'. The two options are 'Pinfall or Submission' at 8/13 or 'Any Other Method' at 23/20. If it is going to set up a triple threat match, then the latter would be the winning selection.

Even though I think it's going to be a triple threat match, I dislike the idea.

I would have much preferred Lesnar defend the strap in a singles match. Especially if this is the bout where he loses it.

Roman Reigns has to get the win over 'The Beast' and I think it kind of loses something with another person in the match.

I'm totally not against Bobby Lashley being a solo challenger, either. I've written in previous posts that I could see Lashley taking on Lesnar and failing in order to set up Braun Strowman cashing in his Money in the Bank contract before Lesnar departs the company (for the time being?).

The market is found under 'Raw' in the 'Pro Wrestling/WWE' section of the websites that have Kambi's wrestling odds. A couple of examples can be found below.


Tuesday, 17 July 2018

Sky Bet Publishes Two New 'Champion After' Markets

Sky Bet has published two betting markets where you can wager on who will succeed Dolph Ziggler and Shinsuke Nakamura for their respective titles.

Bobby Roode has been installed as a 7/4 favourite to be the Intercontinental Champion following Dolph Ziggler. This makes sense considering - on last night's edition of Raw - Roode and Ziggler wrestled in a non-title match. However, Roode did come up short.

Intercontinental Champion After Dolph Ziggler Betting Odds

Former titleholder - Seth Rollins - is 5/2 followed by Elias at 3s.

An interesting name comes is listed fourth on this list - Drew McIntyre. He has been paired with Ziggler since making his way to the main roster and assisted the champ in retaining against Seth Rollins this past Sunday. McIntyre also caused Rollins to fail to win a qualifier match on Raw last night, so it appears he and the former IC Champ are likely to enter a singles feud leading into SummerSlam.

Bray Wyatt, Finn Balor and Jinder Mahal are all 10/1. They're followed by Kevin Owens (12/1) and Baron Corbin (20/1).

I've placed two bets on this market. The two names I've gone for are Drew McIntyre and Finn Balor. The former is because he and Ziggler have been tight on TV. With Balor, I've chosen a babyface with decent odds. Bray Wyatt is tied up with the tag division to be given any consideration.

I've also placed a wager on the 'US Champion After Shinsuke Nakamura' market.

United States Champion After Shinsuke Nakamura Betting Odds

Daniel Bryan at 20/1 was too good an option to ignore considering he and Nakamura have a back story of being roommates early in their careers and both have shared a wish to wrestle each another in recent, and not so recent, interviews.

Randy Orton, who returned at Extreme Rules and beat on the former champ - Jeff Hardy - after losing to Nakamura, is a 1/2 favourite. 

The aforementioned Hardy is 4/1 second-favourite and might appeal to anyone who believes that he'll win his rematch on Smackdown tonight. I for one doubt he will as I am expecting Orton to get involved once again. 

Smackdown's latest newcomer, Andrade 'Cien' Almas has been installed in third place at 5/1. Next up are Big E (10/1), Rusev (10/1) and Shelton Benjamin (12/1).

Prices correct as of 11AM BST today.

First SummerSlam Match Market Published

The first match market for SummerSlam 2018 has now been published after the Sky Bet oddsmakers have opened a book on the Raw Women's Championship clash between Alexa Bliss and Ronda Rousey.

On last night's episode of Raw, Kurt Angle announced that the match will take place in Brooklyn on August 19th.

As of the time of writing, Rousey is a 1/3 favourite to get the decision. The current WWE Raw Women's Champ, Bliss, is 9/4.

In June, Rousey won her first title challenge by disqualification. In the moments following the match, Alexa Bliss cashed in her Money in the Bank contract and defeated Nia Jax for the strap.

Monday, 16 July 2018

A Look At Lesnar's SummerSlam Opponent Betting Market

On tonight's episode of WWE Raw, we should get an idea of who Brock Lesnar will defend the WWE Universal Championship at SummerSlam 2018.

An angle is planned where the Universal Champ has to show up on Raw or be stripped of his title.

Before WWE aired Kurt Angle's ultimatum, the Kambi oddsmakers published a market where customers could place bets on who they believe will meet Brock Lesnar at SummerSlam.

Unsurprisingly, Roman Reigns - who has been clamouring for another rematch with Lesnar - was installed as a 4/6 favourite.

Bobby Lashley, who defeated Reigns at Extreme Rules, is in third place at 7/4. Braun Strowman is listed in between the two wrestlers at even money.

Brock Lesnar's SummerSlam 2018 Opponent

As I've written in previous posts where I've written about Brock Lesnar and SummerSlam, the obvious route this could go is to have Roman Reigns finally get the win against Lesnar.

Bobby Lashley will also have a claim to challenge Lesnar following last night's victory, but the important thing about yesterday is the match wasn't to determine a number one contender. A SimmerSlam match between Lesnar and Lashley could allow the former to get another win before Braun Strowman cashes in on him, if this is how they want to book Strowman's cash in.

On the subject of Strowman - another scenario I had recently was for him to cash in his Money in the Bank briefcase against Lesnar on an episode of Raw. If this were to happen, tonight would have been the perfect opportunity to do so because everyone is focused on Lesnar and SummerSlam. Strowman executing his contract tonight would come out of left field and surprise many. 

This market was closed last night. It will be settled on the night of SummerSlam.

Extreme Rules Concludes With Another Underdog Going Over

The WWE Extreme Rules main event has just ended and the show had one final underdog victor in Dolph Ziggler.

Albeit on a technicality.

The Intercontinental Champion was -110 to Seth Rollins' -130 when 5Dimes closed the market shortly before the bell. The two wrestlers were close enough to pick 'em, though.

Even though Rollins was technically the closing favourite, you can see in the table below that Ziggler was backed at numerous points throughout the day.


Date/Time
Dolph Ziggler
Seth Rollins
 15/7 8:00AM
+140
-180
5:00PM
+125
-165
7:00PM
"
"
9:00PM
"
"
10:00PM
-110
-130
11:00PM
+100
-140
PPV
-120
-120
2:25AM
-105
-135
3:03AM
-110
-130
MATCH
"
"


European bookmakers also had the eventual winner as an outsider. The Kambi Group closed with Ziggler at 11/10 while the challenger was 13/20.

Bobby Lashley Wins As Closing Outsider In Extreme Rules Betting

Bobby Lashley was another Extreme Rules betting underdog who won his match on tonight's card.

The 5Dimes Sportsbook had Lashley at +155 when the market closed ahead of his meeting with Roman Reigns.

Domestic bookies also had the eventual winner as an outsider. Kambi closed with Lashley at 6/4.

Reigns was 4/9 (Kambi) and -195 (5Dimes) with the two oddsmakers.

Another Extreme Rules Underdog Wins

The night of Extreme Rules underdogs has continued with Kevin Owens getting a decision over Braun Strowman in their steel cage match.

Owens closed at +400 with 5Dimes and was 11/4 with the oddsmakers from Kambi had the eventual winner at 11/4.

Strowman was protected with the loss as he chokeslammed Kevin Owens from the top of the cage meaning Owens won the match after landing on the floor before his opponent.

After weeks of Strowman getting one over Owens, this was a result that made the most sense.

Carmella Wins At Extreme Rules As Offshore Outsider

Carmella has become the second betting outsider to win their match at WWE Extreme Rules 2018.

Sort of.

The WWE Smackdown Women's Champion closed at +110 in the match market that was available from the 5Dimes Sportsbook.

Despite entering the match as an outsider with 5Dimes, the champ did have moments in the latter stages of betting where she was backed.


Date/Time
Carmella
Asuka
15/7 8:00AM
+110
-150
5:00PM
"
"
7:00PM
"
"
9:00PM
-115
-125
10:00PM
+120
-160
11:00PM
+100
-140
PPV
+110
-150
MATCH
"
"


As you can see in the table above, the eventual winner fell from +110 to -115 before 9PM BST. Then - after drifting out to +120 - she was backed into +100 just as the Kick Off was beginning.

Domestic bookmakers had Carmella as a favourite.

Kambi closed with the Staten Island Princess at 13/20 to Asuka's 11/10.

The B-Team Win As Extreme Rules Underdogs

The B-Team has just won the WWE Raw Tag Team Championship at WWE Extreme Rules 2018.

The team entered the match as +177. They had started off the day as +190 outsiders, but dropped in the hour before the event started.


Date/Time
Hardy and Wyatt
The B-Team
15/7 8:00AM
-270
+190
5:00PM
"
"
7:00PM
"
"
9:00PM
"
"
10:00PM
"
"
11:00PM
"
"
PPV
-250
+177


Kambi closed with the eventual winners as 9/4 underdogs.

Extreme Rules 2018 Betting Favourites

Here are the WWE Extreme Rules 2018 betting favourites as the PPV was about to start. The names are ranked in order of strength with the shortest odds first and so on.

AJ Styles -1,050
Braun Strowman -570
Shinsuke Nakamura -460
Alexa Bliss -350
Sanity -300 (Pre-Show Winners)
Hardy and Wyatt -250
Roman Reigns -190
Bludgeon Brothers -160
Asuka -150
Finn Balor -145

Seth Rollins and Dolph Ziggler were -120 pick 'ems at 12AM BST.

Odds taken from the 5Dimes Website.