Thursday, 27 January 2022

Rumble And Mania Odds Notes

AJ Styles has become a second-favourite to win this Saturday's WWE Royal Rumble with a few bookmaking companies I've been following.

As of the time of writing, Styles is 3/1 with firms like Kambi, Sky Bet and William Hill. When I had last checked in yesterday, customers would have found him at 7/1 (Kambi) or 8/1 (Sky Bet).

BetOnline has also shortened the price for Styles. He is currently +500, which is a drop from yesterday's +800.

In yesterday's post, I noted that Ronda Rousey's odds to win the women's Royal Rumble were at +375. However, I was informed that one person had difficulty backing the selection. The price has now been reduced to +125 moving her into favourite.

Kambi's women's Royal Rumble market, which was off the board when I published yesterday's post, is once again available. Rousey is 4/5. The most recent price I had is from Tuesday after she was cut from 11/2 into 9/4 shortly after the market was republished.

Rousey is now a favourite to leave WrestleMania 38 as the WWE Raw Women's Champion.

In Kambi's special market, in which customers can gamble on who they think will leave Dallas as the titleholder, had Rousey installed at 5/2. As of today, you'll find her at 5/4.

Raw Women's Champion After WrestleMania 38

There have been changes made to the Smackdown Women's Championship market as well. As you'll see below, Rousey's price has been snipped from 5/1 into 9/2. However, it isn't the only selection which has shortened as Alexa Bliss, Bayley and Lita have also had reductions.

Sasha Banks remains a 3/4 favourite to leave Mania with the strap,

Smackdown Women's Championship

Wednesday, 26 January 2022

Rousey Now Odds-On With Most Sportsbooks

Ronda Rousey is now an odds-on favourite to win this year's women's Royal Rumble with a selection of bookmakers I am following.

Sky Bet currently lists Rousey at 4/5. She had fallen into 5/4 sometime yesterday. 

Another firm with Rousey at odds-on is Paddy Power Betfair, which lists her at 5/6.

Kambi's market - for the women's Rumble - is currently off the board.

Speaking of off the board, BetOnline - which had the  'Ronda' Rousey' selection locked for the past few visits I made to its website - now has it at +375. It's second behind the +300 for a Bianca Belair victory. However, it has been brought to my attention that at least one person has been unable to place the bet on Rousey because, when the selection is added to their betting slip, it states that the market is unavailable.

That might explain why BetOnline still has Rousey as second-favourite. For now.

Tuesday, 25 January 2022

More About Ronda Rousey, The Royal Rumble And WrestleMania

Following on from yesterday's report that Ronda Rousey could be returning to World Wrestling Entertainment in time for WrestleMania 38, betting firms have continued to cut Rousey's odds of winning this Saturday's Royal Rumble as well as having her name added to WrestleMania specials.

Sky Bet currently has Rousey as a 2/1 favourite to win Saturday's battle royal. When I last wrote about her odds with the firm, they had been cut from 16/1 into 8/1. 

BetOnline still has Rousey's selection off the board while Paddy Power - which had her at 25/1 yesterday - now has her as a 4/1 joint-favourite alongside Bianca Belair.

Kambi's market was republished this afternoon with Rousey third in the running at 11/2. The selection has since fallen into 9/4 favourite after spending a short time as a 4/1 joint-second favourite. Customers would have found the selection at 15/1 twenty-four hours ago.

It's not just the Royal Rumble markets that have been affected by the report.

Sky Bet has included a 'Becky Lynch .vs. Ronda Rousey' selection to the betting market which allows punters to bet on what they think will main event night one of WrestleMania 38. It is currently at the top of the list as a 2/1 favourite.

Rousey's name has also been added to the WrestleMania titleholder markets, from Kambi, in which customers bet on who will be in possession of the major titles at the conclusion of the two-night event.

The Raw Women's Championship market has Rousey at 5/2 to be the Raw Women's Champion while the second market - this time for the Smackdown Women's Title - has Rousey at 5/1.

WrestleMania 38 Betting

WrestleMania 38 Betting

Monday, 24 January 2022

Rousey Rumble Report

There have reports that Ronda Rousey could be on her way back to WWE. As a result, this has affected her odds to win this Saturday's women's Royal Rumble.

Sean Ross Sapp - from Fightful.com - has written that World Wrestling Entertainment is keen to have Rousey in for the Rumble event.

Fightful has a strong track record in covering news. However, from a betting perspective specific to women's wrestling, I should point out that one report from last year stated that Sonya Deville was being considered for the women's Money in the Bank ladder match. This led to her odds of winning being slashed. 

The Deville plan, in regards to the ladder match, did not transpire.

As for Rousey and the Rumble - it makes sense considering that there has been a clamouring for a singles match between Rousey and Becky Lynch, who is the current WWE Raw Women's Champion. 

With that said, I thought Rousey returning for the build to next year's WrestleMania - in her home of California - seemed more logical before learning of today's report.

As far as the current women's Royal Rumble markets - this evening, Sky Bet halved Rousey's odds from 16/1, Paddy Power / Betfair cut from 25/1 into 10/1 and BetOnline has the Rousey selection at the top of its longlist but does not have a price affixed to it. She had been +2,500.

Saturday, 22 January 2022

Sky Bet's Mania 38 Main Events Markets

Sky Bet has recently published a couple of markets in which customers can bet on what they believe will be the main events of this year's WrestleMania.

As of the time of writing, the bookmakers list Becky Lynch .vs. Bianca Belair as a 5/1 favourite to be the closing bout of night one of the April showcase. For night two, a meeting between Roman Reigns and Brock Lesnar is 6/5.

In contrast, Reigns .vs. Lesnar is 25/1 to be the main event of night one. A selection for Becky Lynch .vs. Bianca Belair is unavailable for the night two special, but it could be requested should you wish its inclusion.

All of the selections, along with their respective prices, can be found below.

Night 1 Main Event
Lynch .vs. Belair 5/1
Lynch .vs. Bliss 6/1
Flair .vs. Belair 6/1
Lynch .vs. Bayley 7/1
Lashley .vs. Big E 7/1
Flair .vs. Bayley 7/1
Lynch .vs. Morgan 8/1
Rollins .vs. Big E 8/1
Lesnar .vs. Big E 10/1
Flair .vs. Lita 10/1
Lashley .vs. Rollins 12/1
Lynch .vs. Paige 16/1
Lesnar .vs. Lashley 16/1
Lesnar .vs. Rollins 16/1
Flair .vs. Lynch 16/1
Flair .vs. Paige 16/1
Flair .vs. Banks 20/1
Lesnar .vs. Reigns 25/1

Night 2 Main Event
Lesnar .vs. Reigns 6/5
Lesnar .vs. Big E 5/1
Reigns .vs. Big E 5/1
Lesnar .vs. Lashley 6/1
Reigns .vs. Rollins 8/1
Lesnar .vs. Rollins 10/1
Reigns .vs. Lesnar .vs. McIntyre 10/1
Reigns .vs. The Rock 10/1
Flair .vs. Bayley 18/1
Flair .vs. Lynch 20/1
Flair .vs. Banks 25/1

Friday, 21 January 2022

Another Look Over Kambi's Mania 38 Markets

With the Royal Rumble around the corner, Kambi has republished its WrestleMania markets which allow customers to gamble on who they think will be holding the major WWE titles at the close of April's two-night event.

The specials were last available in the middle of November. They have now been changed to reflect the WWE Championship title switch, possible Rumble-to-Mania storylines and other factors.

Here's how they differ.

WWE Universal Championship
The WWE Universal Championship market still lists the current titleholder - Roman Reigns - as a favourite to be in possession of the title at the close of WrestleMania.

However, his price has increased from 1/2 to 7/10.

Current WWE Champion - Brock Lesnar - has had a price decrease from 7/4 into 13/5. 

It makes sense to see Lesnar as the second-favourite in the market - and with the dip in price - because he could potentially lose his current title and wind up challenging for Reigns' strap in the springtime. As of the time of writing, Kambi lists 'The Beast' as a 2/1 favourite to be the 2022 Royal Rumble winner. 

Roman Reigns' challenger for the Royal Rumble event is Seth Rollins. He has been added to the market at 9/2. As has Rumble 4/1 second-favourite, Big E, who's 9/2 to leave Mania season with the Universal Championship. 

Bobby Lashley, who is scheduled to compete against Lesnar for the WWE Championship a week tomorrow, is 17s to be holding the other title come April 3rd.

WrestleMania 38 Betting - Universal Champion

WWE Championship
When the WWE Champion at the end of WrestleMania 38 market was first installed on November 1st, the then titleholder - Big E - was 8/5. A week later, that price had been snipped into 6/4.

Since then, Big E has lost the title but has become one of the favourites to win the Royal Rumble. As noted, he is currently a 4/1 second-favourite to be the last man standing next Saturday.

E is a joint-favourite, at odds of 19/10, to be the WWE Champion when all is said and done in the first weekend of April. Beside him, in the betting, is Roman Reigns.

I am sure some might wonder why Reigns is one of the favourites in this market. There are a couple of fair reasons I can conclude. One is in case the Reigns .vs. Lesnar match at Mania becomes title versus title. Another scenario could see Seth Rollins winning the Universal Championship next week leaving Reigns open to head to Brock Lesnar as challenger for the WWE Championship. For what it's worth, Reigns is 9/1 to be the 2022 Rumble winner.

On the topic of Lesnar - he's next up in the betting to be WWE Champion at the end of WrestleMania. His price was initially 10/1, but has now declined to 5/2 due - in part - to him being the present titleholder.

Seth Rollins, who Dave Meltzer reported was initially set to win the WWE Championship at Day One before Lesnar was added to the title match, remains at 4/1. You'll see - in the table below - that his odds slid into 4s from 6/1 a week after the market was first installed.

Current number one contender to the strap - Bobby Lashley - is 12/1. His odds have risen from an early 4/1.

WrestleMania 38 Betting - WWE Champion

WWE Smackdown Women's Championship
Kambi's market for the WWE Smackdown Women's Championship first opened with three ladies as 2/1 joint-favourites. Two of those names have now shortened while one has drifted out.

Sasha Banks is now 7/10 from 2/1 to be holding the title at the close of Mania weekend. She is currently injured and has jumped up to 17/1 in Kambi's Rumble winner market due to her status.

The other name with shorter odds than her opening 2/1 is the current champ - Charlotte Flair. She's now 8/5 and is set to be in the Rumble and is 9/1 to win it allowing her to choose a challenger for Mania.

Bayley, who was the third joint-favourite in November, is still on the injured list and has now risen to 10s.

There are other notable names added to the running. Alexa Bliss, who has returned to TV after taking time off, is 5/1. She could be the person who eliminates Charlotte Flair from the match as revenge for Flair tearing up Lilly the doll four months ago. Or she could go one better and win the Rumble (she's a 3/1 second-favourite) to set up a challenge against Flair.

Lita, who is returning to the Rumble in a storyline where she's looking to make one last run, is 15/1 to be the Smackdown Women's Champion at the end of Mania. As for the Rumble itself - she's one of two names to be tied for third in the betting at 7/1.

Bianca Belair is also on the list at 20/1. I surmise this is because she is a 5/2 favourite to do what she did last year and win the Royal Rumble.

WrestleMania 38 Betting - WWE Smackdown Women's Championship

WWE Raw Women's Champion
Should Bianca Belair win this year's Royal Rumble, it would make more sense for her to choose Becky Lynch to challenge. It would add to the story which first began at SummerSlam when Lynch upset Belair for the WWE Smackdown Women's Championship.

Using that logic, it is understandable to see Bianca Belair as Kambi's 3/5 favourite to be the Raw Women's Champion at the end of Mania weekend.

WrestleMania 38 Betting - WWE Raw Women's Championship

The current champion is a 13/10 second-favourite. She'd followed by the aforementioned Rumble second-favourite, Alexa Bliss who has had her price lowered from 15/1 into 6/1.

Other notables for this market are once again Lita (33/1) and Bayley (40/1) although - as mentioned above - the Raw title match for Mania does seem to point to Belair as Becky Lynch's challenger if going by everything that has happened since August.

Thursday, 13 January 2022

How Kambi Settled Its Wrestle Kingdom 16 Observer Star Ratings Markets

Kazuchika Okada's successful IWGP World Heavyweight Championship defence against Will Ospreay - in the main event of night two of NJPW Wrestle Kingdom 16 - was the match which scored the most stars in Dave Meltzer's review published in the most recent issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter.

Scoring five-and-three-quarter stars, the match was one star ahead of Okada's title win over Shingo Takagi which headlined night one and was the second-best contest over the opening two nights.

With all the star rating results confirmed, following the issue's release last week, Kambi has settled all of the markets that had been released for the show.

Firstly, the ''Exact Star Rating of the Highest Rated Match' outright special had 'Over 5.25 Stars' as the winning selection. It was 13/10 along with 'Exactly 5.25 Stars' while 'Under 5.25 Stars' was a losing 11/10 favourite.

Okada's two matches were matched together in a head-to-head. As you'll see, in the table below, the winning selection 'Day 2 IWGP Heavyweight Championship' won at odds of 7/10.

NJPW Wrestle Kingdom 16 Star Ratings Betting Markets

The two bouts were also a part of a prop bet which asked whether they would each score at least five stars or more in the review. With Takagi versus Okada falling a quarter short of the prerequisite number, 'No' was the winning selection as an 11/20 favourite over the 5/4 for 'Yes'.

NJPW Wrestle Kingdom 16 Star Ratings Betting Markets

With the one-star gap between the highest rated and second-best match, Kambi settled the Margin of Victory' prop with 'Yes' as the winning selection. In this proposition, customers were asked whether there would be a difference of half-a-star or higher between the first and second highest rated matches in Dave Meltzer's review. The winning selection was 19/20 to the 3/4 for 'No'.

NJPW Wrestle Kingdom 16 Star Ratings Betting Markets

A third prop, which asked whether there would be 'Joint Winners' for match of the event, was settled with 'No' graded as the correct pick as a 4/9 favourite. Its opposition - 'No' - was 6/4.

Kambi also had a selection of Over/Under markets for the matches that were scheduled for the two nights. Here are their results:

NJPW Wrestle Kingdom 16 Star Ratings Betting Markets

If you use the above table as a guide, you can also work out how three remaining head-to-head markets were settled. All were won by the respective favourites.

NJPW Wrestle Kingdom 16 Star Ratings Betting Markets

El Desperado's successful defence of the IWGP Junior Heavyweight Championship over Hiromu Takahashi scored four-and-a-quarter stars and beat the Tetsuya Naito versus Jeff Cobb bout which received three-and-three-quarters.

NJPW Wrestle Kingdom 16 Star Ratings Betting Markets

Hiroshi Tanahashi's IWGP US Heavyweight Championship win over KENTA was graded four stars. It beat the EVIL versus Tomohiro Ishii match for the NEVER Openweight Championship match, which was given just one star from the editor.

NJPW Wrestle Kingdom 16 Star Ratings Betting Markets

CHAOS' title win over Dangerous Tekkers - for the IWGP Tag Team Championship - was given four-and-a-quarter stars in the review. It beat the SANADA versus Great-O-Khan match by one star.