Sunday, 19 August 2018

Latest SummerSlam 2018 'Highest Rated Match' Odds

Kambi's Wrestling Observer Newsletter star rating special - where customers can place wagers on the match which receives the most stars in Dave Meltzer's review of SummerSlam - was republished this morning.

I first wrote about the market when they were installed on Friday. They've been adjust since then with three selections being cut, two drifting and one remaining at 10/1.

Observer Star Rating Betting For SummerSlam 2018

As you can see, the early wagers forced the bookies to cut the WWE Championship match from EVENS into 17/20. It remains a favourite despite Daniel Bryan .vs. The Miz (2/1 to 6/4) and Brock Lesnar .vs. Roman Reigns for the Universal Championship (3/1 to 11/4) also being cut.

Dolph Ziggler .vs. Seth Rollins for the Intercontinental Championship (7/4 to 3/1) and Alexa Bliss versus Ronda Rousey for the Raw Women's Championship (7/1 to 15/2) were the aforementioned selections that were increased.

The markets will be settled once Dave Meltzer's review of the event is published in the next issue of The Wrestling Observer Newsletter.

2 Minor Changes Since This Morning's Update

Carmella and The Miz have been backed to win their respective SummerSlam 2018 matches since I posted a 5Dimes update four hours ago.

The current WWE Smackdown Women's Champion was +100 when I checked in at the start of my day. She has since moved down to -110 with 'The Field' moving to -130 from -140.


Date/Time
Field v Fave
Lynch
Carmella
Flair
5/8 12:45PM
-180
+140
+190
+230
6/8 12:45PM
-150
+110
+200
+210
10:30PM
-145
+105
+210
+180
8/8 10:00PM
-150
+110
+245
+185
11/8 10:30AM
-170
+160
+130
+210
12/8 8:00AM
-155
+185
+115
+235
17/8 9:00AM
-140
+205
+100
+245
19/8 6:25AM
"
"
"
"
19/8 10:25AM
-130
"
-110
"


As you can see, the individual betting opportunities on Carmella's opponents - Becky Lynch (+205) and Charlotte Flair (+245) - have stalled for the time being.

The Miz's role as a favourite in his match with Daniel Bryan has now dropped to -185 from -160. As a result of this move, the oddsmakers have moved Bryan to +145 from +120.

Prices correct as of 10:25AM BST. The latest can be found on 5DIMES' WEBSITE.

SummerSlam 2018 Odds For Sunday Morning

It's SummerSlam Sunday, so the first thing I did when I woke up was go to the 5Dimes Website and make note of the morning lines for tonight's event. There have been a few adjustments made to some of the selections, but nothing too major.

I was particularly interested to see if the announcement of an Alexa Bliss versus Trish Stratus match for WWE Evolution would have any affect (either way!) on the market for tonight's WWE Raw Women's Championship match. So far - as it pertains 5Dimes' lines - it hasn't.

Starting with the pre-show.

Rusev and Lana .vs. Almas and Vega
The heels have been backed overnight. They had been -185 favourites since Friday morning and are now down to -260.


Date/Time
Rusev and Lana
Almas and Vega
16/8 11:00PM
+135
-175
17/8 9:00AM
+145
-185
19/8 6:25AM
+180
-260


Rusev and Lana backers can now find their team at +180. This is an improvement from the previous price I have of +145.

The B-Team .vs. The Revival
The overnight betting has evidently sided with the Raw Tag Team Champions.


Date/Time
The B-Team
The Revival
16/8 11:00PM
-210
+160
17/8 9:00AM
-270
+190
18/8 8:00AM
-230
+170
19/8 6:25AM
-275
+195


As you can see in the table, The B-Team are now -275 favourites. This is a cut from yesterday's -230. The Revival has moved up to +195 from +170.

Cedric Alexander .vs. Drew Gulak
The Cruiserweight Championship market is still showing the same prices as previous updates. Cedric Alexander is a slight -130 to successfully retain his strap against Drew Gulak (-110).

Daniel Bryan .vs. The Miz
Another unchanged market is the one for Smackdown's grudge match. Daniel Bryan is a +120 underdog to The Miz at -160.

Finn Balor .vs. Baron Corbin
Finn Balor is still -230 while Baron Corbin is +170.

Shinsuke Nakamura .vs. Jeff Hardy
The US Champion dropped further into favouritism overnight.

Date/Time
Shinsuke Nakamura
Jeff Hardy
6/8 12:45PM
-210
+160
8/8 10:00PM
-265
+185
15/8 11:00PM
-295
+215
16/8 11:00PM
-380
+260
18/8
"
"
19/8 6:25AM
-530
+350

As you can see, Shinsuke Nakamura is now -530. This is a drop from the -380 he had been since Thursday evening. A win for Jeff Hardy is now priced at +350 - an increase from +260.

Smackdown Women's Championship
This is another market that has stalled for the time being. 
Carmella is +100, The Field .vs. Carmella is -140, Becky Lynch is +205 and Charlotte Flair is +245.

Dolph Ziggler .vs. Seth Rollins
The Intercontinental Champion remains a +140 underdog. His challenger, Seth Rollins, is a -180 fave.

Braun Strowman .vs. Kevin Owens
Yet another non-mover. Braun Strowman is -290 while Kevin Owens is +210.  You can see in the table below that Owens dropped from +250 early yesterday evening.

Date/Time
Braun Strowman
Kevin Owens
5/8 12:45PM
-245
+175
6/8 12:45PM
-225
+168
10:30PM
-300
+220
15/8 11:00PM
-350
+250
18/8 5:00PM
-290
+210
19/8 6:25AM
"
"

The Bludgeon Brothers .vs. The New Day
The Smackdown Tag Team Champions have once again became the favourites to beat The New Day in this title defence.

It's still tight, however.


Date/Time
Bludgeon Bros.
The New Day
8/8 10:00PM
-150
+110
9/8 10:30AM
-140
+100
17/8 11:00PM
+100
-140
19/8 6:25AM
-125
-115


The champs were +100 last night, but are now down to -125. The challengers have moved from -140 to -115.

AJ Styles .vs. Samoa Joe
When I last posted an update, I mentioned that AJ Styles' odds to successfully retain the WWE Championship had fallen from -215 into -410. The punters - shortly after the post was published - placed wagers on the challenger.


Date/Time
AJ Styles
Samoa Joe
5/8 12:45PM
-105
-135
6/8 12:45PM
-120
-120
10:30PM
-150
+110
8/8 10:00PM
-160
+120
12/8 10:00PM
-195
+155
17/8 9:00AM
-260
+180
19/8 8:00AM
-215
+165
18/8 11:00PM
-410
+290
19/8 6:25AM
-390
+270


As you can see, Samoa Joe - who was moved to +290 following the backing of Styles - has since been snipped into +270.

Styles is still the bookies' fave, but he is now -390.

Alexa Bliss .vs. Ronda Rousey
Okay, so this was the one that I got up a couple of hours earlier for. I wanted to see whether the news that Alexa Bliss will wrestle Trish Stratus at Evolution would have any affect on the betting for her match tonight. The answer, so far, is no.


Date/Time
Alexa Bliss
Ronda Rousey
5/8 12:45PM
+250
-350
6/8 12:45PM
+230
-310
10:30PM
+235
-315
7/8 8:00AM
+260
-380
8/8 10:00PM
+300
-420
12/8 8:00AM
+400
-600
15/8 11:00PM
+260
-380
16/8 11:00PM
+240
-320
19/8 6:25AM
"
"


There were two images of the Evolution match shared on social media. The first, which was there before I closed down for the night, had Alexa without the strap. Then, the official WWE announcement has her with it.

WWE Evolution - Alexa Bliss .vs. Trish Stratus Announced

This now becomes a game of which image the punters want to believe in. With that said, the markets are settled on the match winner, not who walks out with the title.

Brock Lesnar .vs. Roman Reigns
The Universal Champion's odds are shorter than when I left them last night.

Date/Time
Brock Lesnar
Roman Reigns
5/8 12:45PM
+145
-185
6/8 12:45PM
+165
-215
10:30PM
+210
-290
8/8 10:00PM
+220
-300
15/8 11:00PM
+200
-280
18/8 8:00AM
+170
-230
18/8 11:00PM
+180
-260
19/8 6:25AM
+150
-190

Lesnar is now a +150 underdog. He was previously at +180. This is good news for those who expect Roman Reigns to finally topple the champ as he is now at -190. This is an improvement from -260.

Prices correct as of 6:25AM BST today. View the latest pricing on THE 5DIMES WEBSITE.

Saturday, 18 August 2018

The Miz, Reigns And Styles Cut In SummerSlam Betting

The 5Dimes Sportsbook has cut the prices for three wrestlers to win their respective matches at SummerSlam 2018.

The first wrestler whose price has lowered is The Miz. He went from -140 into -160 sometime this evening. As a result, Daniel Bryan's odds have been increased to +120 from +100.

Roman Reigns has been backed from -230 into -260 in the market for the Universal Championship match between he and Brock Lesnar. A win in favour of the titleholder will now pay out at +180. This is a slight increase from this morning's +170.

Finally, the biggest move has occurred in the market for the WWE Championship match.

AJ Styles, who will defend the strap against Samoa Joe, has been slashed from -215 into -430 with Joe moving out from +165 to +290.

The rest of 5Dimes SummerSlam odds remain as they were when I last published updates about them. For those checking in for the first time, they are:

Cedric Alexander -130
Drew Gulak -110

The B-Team -230
The Revival +170

Rusev and Lana +145
Almas and Vega -185

Finn Balor -230
Baron Corbin +170

Shinsuke Nakamura -380
Jeff Hardy +260

Carmella Wins Triple Threat +100
Field vs Carmella Wins Triple Threat -140
Becky Lynch Wins Triple Threat +205
Charlotte Flair Wins Triple Threat +245

Dolph Ziggler +140
Seth Rollins -180

Braun Strowman -290
Kevin Owens +210

Bludgeon Bros +100
New Day -140

Alexa Bliss +240
Ronda Rousey -320

Prices correct as of 11PM BST. The latest can be found under 'Other Sports' on The 5Dimes Website. Bet at 5dimes

Latest From Bovada/Bodog

I've just browsed through the Bovada USA and Bodog Canada betting markets for tomorrow night's PPV and have noticed that most of the markets have been adjusted since last night's update. I doubt I'll get to look through them again this evening, so thought I'd share my findings in this post.

B-Team .vs. The Revival 
The Revival was available at +185 yesterday. However, this selection has now been trimmed into +165. As a result of this, those looking to back The B-Team can now find them at -240. This is a slight improvement from last night's -280.

Almas and Vega .vs. Rusev and Lana
The team of Andrade 'Cien' Almas and Zelina Vega is now at -190. They were at -180 when I last wrote about these markets. A win for Rusev and Lana, which was +140, is now up to +145.

Alexander .vs. Gulak
Drew Gulak's odds to get a decision over the WWE Cruiserweight Champion, Cedric Alexander, have continued to decline.
The challenger was at +100 on Thursday, -105 last night and now at -110.
Alexander remains a favourite, but his price has drifted from -140 to -135 to -130 across the three days.

Before I continue - notice how all of the pre-show matkets have seen the heels backed?

Bryan .vs. Miz
Daniel Bryan's price went from +120 to +140 between Thursday and Friday, but has now dropped to +100. The Miz is still the market favourite but is now at -140. He went from -150 to -180 in the first day.

Balor .vs. Corbin
Finn Balor has been backed from -180 into -240. His opponent, Baron Corbin, has moved up to +165 from +140.

Nakamura .vs. Hardy
When I last looked through these markets, Jeff Hardy had dipped from +240 into +235. He has since moved out to +250. Shinsuke Nakamura went from -375 to -370 before falling to -400.

Strowman .vs. Owens
Just like elsewhere, the Kevin Owens option has lowered. It now rests at +200, but was +225 a couple of nights ago.  Braun Strowman is still the betting favourite, but has risen to -350 from -300.

Smackdown Tag Team Championship
This is the only market that has stalled since yesterday's update where I noted this market had flipped with the Bludgeon Brothers becoming +100 dogs from -140 and The New Day becoming -140 favourites from +100.

Ziggler .vs. Rollins
Dolph Ziggler was a +155 outsider to retain the Intercontinental Championship with a decision in his favour, but has now dipped to +140. The challenger, Seth Rollins, has moved from -220 to -180.

Styles .vs. Joe
Samoa Joe had drifted to +170 from +150 yesterday. He has since fallen to +155. The WWE Champion is now a -220 favourite after being backed from -200 into -250 across the first day of betting.

Bliss .vs. Rousey
The first sign of action appeared to have came on Alexa Bliss as her odds to successfully retain the WWE Raw Women's Championship dropped from +250 into +200 between Thursday and Friday. Within this period, Ronda Rousey went from -400 favourite up to -300. She has since been backed into -340 with Bliss moving out to +220.

Reigns .vs. Lesnar
The early wagers appear to have came in on Roman Reigns as he dropped from -280 to -290. He has since moved up to -240. Lesnar, on the other hand, went from +185 to +190 before dropping to +165 in the past day.

Prices correct as of the time of publishing. Check out the latest odds on the links below based on your country.


Owens And Ziggler Snipped In SummerSlam Betting

Kevin Owens and Dolph Ziggler have had their respective prices snipped in the SummerSlam 2018 betting markets that are available from the 5Dimes Sportsbook since this morning.

For Owens, the bookmakers have moved his price down from +250 into +210 for his bout with Braun Strowman.

This year's Money in the Bank winner remains a favourite, but has moved up from this morning's -350 into -290.

Ziggler is another underdog the 5Dimes oddsmakers have lowered. His price has been taken down from +160 into +140.

With the Intercontinental Champion's price being lowered, the linemaker has moved Seth Rollins to -180. This is up from the -210 he had been since Wednesday.

The rest of 5Dimes' SummerSlam markets are showing the same pricing as the start of the day. You can read all about these markets in THIS POST. Alternatively, you can CHECK OUT THE 5DIMES WEBSITE.

Prices correct as of 5PM BST.

A Few SummerSlam Bets I've Placed

Kambi has added some more WWE SummerSlam 2018 betting markets to its coverage of tomorrow's event and I thought I'd share some bets and thoughts.

A Mistake
I screwed up with one of the bets I placed. I was looking to do something else and placed a wager on the Intercontinental Championship match going below fifteen minutes. The odds for this were 19/20. I'll just have to accept the mistake. If I was seriously considering betting properly on this match, I would have backed the over.

The US Championship Time Duration Bet
The reason for the aforementioned mess up is because I was hellbent on betting the Under in the United States Championship match. I think it's quite clear that Randy Orton is plotting to ruin the match, so wanted to bet on the match going short. The bookmaker has obviously got the same mindset as he has put the line up at Nine Minutes (and also has the Observer star rating line set at 2.50).

Who's On First?
There is a market where customers can place bets on the match they believe will start the main portion of the PPV. I backed two bouts - Baron Corbin .vs. Finn Balor (3/1) and the Smackdown Tag Team Championship (5/1).

What's On Last?
Customers can also wager on what the final match of the night will be. I haven't bet on any of the selections. The Universal Championship match is a rightfully a 1/7 favourite. The odds are far too short for my liking, but I would have backed the favourite if I were forced to choose one.
The only other alternative - and it's a long shot, in my opinion - is AJ Styles versus Samoa Joe for the WWE Championship at 11/4.
Should a cash-in take place following Brock Lesnar .vs. Roman Reigns, the winning selection will still be 'Universal Championship' as the rules state 'impromptu/unannounced matches will not be taken into consideration'. And yes, I know the Universal Championship will technically be on the line if - and I still believe it's a big IF - there is a Money in the Bank cash-in tomorrow night.


5Dimes' SummerSlam 2018 Odds For Saturday Morning

I have just taken a look over the WWE SummerSlam 2018 betting markets that can be found on the 5Dimes Sportsbook's website. There have been a few changes since last night's update. So, in this post, I'll go through each match market again and point out whether they have changed overnight or not.

Rusev and Lana .vs. Almas and Vega
No change. The team of Andrade 'Cien' Almas and Zelina Vega are favoured with a price of -185 to Rusev and Lana's +145.

WWE Raw Tag Team Championship
There has been an adjustment made to the second tag team match that is scheduled for the Kick Off. The Revival, who were +190 last night, are now down to +170. A winning bet on the champions, The B-Team, will now pay out at -230. This is a mild improvement from last night's -270.

WWE Cruiserweight Championship
Cedric Alexander is still -130 to successfully retain his title against Drew Gulak (-110).

Daniel Bryan .vs. The Miz
Daniel Bryan's price to beat The Miz has been snipped from +135 into +100. As a result, The Miz has moved out from -175 to -140.

Finn Balor .vs. Baron Corbin
Balor's role as a favourite has shortened from -175 into -230 since yesterday evening. A win for Baron Corbin has now been priced at +170 from +135.

WWE US Championship
Shinsuke Nakamura is still a -380 favourite to beat Jeff Hardy (+260).

WWE Smackdown Women's Championship
No change. Here's the table to show how the selections have changed since I first became aware of the market.


Date/Time
Field v Fave
Lynch
Carmella
Flair
5/8 12:45PM
-180
+140
+190
+230
6/8 12:45PM
-150
+110
+200
+210
10:30PM
-145
+105
+210
+180
8/8 10:00PM
-150
+110
+245
+185
11/8 10:30AM
-170
+160
+130
+210
12/8 8:00AM
-155
+185
+115
+235
17/8 9:00AM
-140
+205
+100
+245


WWE Intercontinental Championship
Seth Rollins is still a -210 favourite to get a decision over the Intercontinental Champion - Dolph Ziggler (+160).

Braun Strowman .vs. Kevin Owens
Strowman is still a -350 fave to beat Kevin Owens (+250) and retain his Money in the Bank contract.

WWE Smackdown Tag Team Champions
The New Day are at the same price they were when I checked in last night. They're -140 to the champions' +100.

WWE Championship
Samoa Joe's odds were snipped from +180 into +165 overnight. As a result, a victory in favour of AJ Styles will now pay out at -215. He was -260 yesterday.

WWE Raw Women's Championship
Ronda Rousey remains a -320 fave to get a decision over Alexa Bliss (+240).

WWE Universal Championship
Brock Lesnar's odds have been cut from +200 into +170. Anyone looking to back Roman Reigns can now find him at -230. This is better than the -280 from last night.

Prices correct as of 8AM BST. For the latest, check out THE 5DIMES WEBSITE.