Thursday, 23 November 2017

Lesnar vs Styles Wins Survivor Series Highest Rated Match Betting

The clash of WWE's champions, not to be confused with next month's pay-per-view, between Brock Lesnar and AJ Styles - at this year's Survivor Series - was the highest rated match in Dave Meltzer's review of the show.

This week's issue of the Wrestling Observer, which features the report, was published earlier today. The editor gave the bout four-and-a-quarter stars. It beat out the main show's opener - The Shield versus The New Day - which came in second with three-and-three-quarters.

When Kambi's betting odds, where customers could have a punt on the match that would get the most stars in the review, were published. The favourite was the men's elimination match. It opened at 6/5 on Friday, but had been backed into 1/2 by Sunday night.

The winning selection started off at 3/1 but went out to 6s by the evening of the PPV.

You can view how the betting went from Friday morning to Sunday in the image below.

WWE Survivor Series 2017 Highest Rated Match

I wrote about the Over/Under markets this morning. You can read it in THIS POST.

A third market, where clients could bet on any match on the card earning high praise with a five star or more rating, which was 13/2, has obviously been settled as a loss.

A Look Back At Kambi's Observer O/U Markets From Survivor Series (2017)

This week's issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter was published a short time ago. This edition features Dave Meltzer's official review of this past weekend's WWE Survivor Series and will therefore mean that any of the Wrestling Observer Star Rating betting markets will be settled by the Kambi oddsmakers as soon as they read their copy.

Unfortunately, the two selections I backed will be graded as losers when they're settled.

I went for the women's elimination match to receive more than 2.75 Stars. This fell short by half a star as it was given 2.50.

The other selection I backed was for The Miz and Baron Corbin to go under two-and-a-half stars. The match went over by a quarter.

In this post, I'll look through all of the Over/Under markets that were available last weekend and see how they'll be graded (if it hasn't been by the time this post sees the light of day).

With Elias versus Matt Hardy and Zayn/Owens .vs. Breezango being late additions to the card, there were no lines published for them. The only Kick Off match covered was for the Cruiserweight Championship clash between Enzo Amore and Kalisto.

Enzo Amore .vs. Kalisto

Survivor Series 2017 Observer Star Rating Odds - Cruiserweight Championship

Enzo's victory over the former titleholder was set at 1.75 stars by the bookies. The prices weren't altered throughout the times that I observed the markets, so it's difficult to work out what was being backed the most. Anyone who backed 'Exactly' at 23/20 will have winning bets as the match hit the nose.

The Shield .vs. The New Day

The Shield's trios win over The New Day was given three-and-three-quarters by Meltzer.

Survivor Series 2017 Observer Star Rating Odds - The Shield .vs. The New Day

As you can see in the table above, the line was set at 4 stars. The punters had high hopes that it would go over this amount because they forced the bookmakers to slash the 'Over 4 Stars' from an opening 5/4 all the way to 3/4 by Sunday night.

Women's Elimination

As noted at the start, Team Raw Women's victory over Team Smackdown Women was given two-and-a-half stars by the editor and fell short of my prediction.

Survivor Series 2017 Observer Star Rating Odds - Women's Elimination

The oddsmakers had set the line at 2.75. The 'Over' was slashed from 6/5 into EVS by Saturday evening and remained that way until at least Sunday night. 
The winning selection is obviously 'Under 2.75 Stars'. 

The Miz .vs. Baron Corbin

Another one I called incorrectly was for The Miz .vs. Baron Corbin to go below the line of 2.50 stars.

Survivor Series 2017 Observer Star Rating Odds - Corbin .vs. Miz

The match being rated two-and-three-quarters means that anyone who took the over chose the right side.

The Usos .vs. Sheamus/Cesaro

Survivor Series 2017 Observer Star Rating Odds - The Usos .vs. The Bar

Judging by how the betting went over the weekend, it's safe to say that the consensus expected the battle of the tag team champions to receive less than four stars. The market was slashed from 7/5 on Friday morning all the way down to 11/20 by Sunday night.

The match received three-and-a-half stars, so the punters were correct.

Alexa Bliss .vs. Charlotte Flair

Charlotte Flair's submission win over Alexa Bliss was rated two-and-a-half stars in the review.

Survivor Series 2017 Observer Star Rating Odds - Bliss .vs. Flair

As you can see, it looks like another win for the customers as they backed 'Under 3.25 Stars' from day one. It was cut from 4/5 into 3/4 within the first few hours and fell to 1/2 near to its close.

Brock Lesnar .vs. AJ Styles

Survivor Series 2017 Observer Star Rating Odds - Lesnar .vs. Styles

My favourite match of the weekend received four-and-a-quarter stars. Therefore, anyone who backed 'Exactly 4.25 Stars' will have their bets settled in their favour.
Looking at the odds movement, it's safe to presume that the customers believed that this match would end up being short and potentially one-sided so backed the option to go under what ended up being the actual rating.

Men's Elimination 

The line for the main event was set at 4.50. It was far, far too high. The match was graded one-and-three quarters.

Survivor Series 2017 Observer Star Rating Odds - Main Event

It's difficult to determine what the consensus went with as the market was stationary throughout the weekend. Anyone who took the 'Under 4.50' will end up being a winner.

These markets were one type of Wrestling Observer star rating specials that were published over the weekend. I'll go through the rest in a separate post later on today.

When available, Observer betting odds can be found on the websites that publish Kambi's markets. A couple of examples can be found below:



Update: The bookmakers settled all of these markets while I was writing this post.

Wednesday, 22 November 2017

WWE's 2018 PPV Schedule

PW Insider has revealed WWE's current schedule for 2018.

As of the time of writing, there are fourteen events scheduled for next year. Four will be Smackdown exclusive, five will be for Raw and the remaining five will be multi-branded.

The event that joins the Royal Rumble, WrestleMania, SummerSlam and Survivor Series as the 'Big Five' is Money in the Bank. I like this development.

Here's the schedule. Don't forget, plans can change.

WWE 2018 Schedule

Events highlighted in green are multi-branded, those in red are for Raw and the blue indicates the PPVs for Smackdown.

Monday, 20 November 2017

Survivor Series 2017 Closing Favourites Go 7-1

The 31st Annual Survivor Series' closing betting favourites went 7-1 last night.

Survivor Series 2017 Closing Favourites

The one in 7-1 was The Miz, who lost to Baron Corbin in the middle of the show.

Miz had started off the PPV as a -170 favourite. Although I believe it's worth noting that it wasn't only during the event that Baron Corbin's price dipped.

Date/Time
The Miz
Baron Corbin
17/11 11:32pm
-145
+105
18/11 8:00am
-155
+115
9:41pm
-160
+120
19/11 6:00am
"
"
3:00pm
-180
+140
6:00pm
-210
+160
10:00pm
-385
+265
10:15pm
-210
+160
10:45pm
-140
+100
10:50pm
-170
+130
PPV
"
"
MATCH
-165
+125

The Lone Wolf's odds had also declined shortly after 10pm GMT. They went from +265 to +100 within forty-five minutes before drifting back out before the slight dip as the event was in progress.

Another thing worth pointing out is that - in the post that I published shortly after Survivor Series had begun, where I noted all the favourites - Team Smackdown Men were favoured to win the main event. I made it a point to preface that the European sportsbooks had taken wagers on their opponents.

Team Raw Men declined during the show. So this was a case of the European bookies behind ahead. You can see in the table below how I tracked the odds since Friday evening . It was a back-and-forth throughout, but the main point is that the right favourite closed as Team Raw was the eventual winning selection.

Date/Time
Team Raw Men
Team Smackdown Men
17/11 10:20pm
+135
-175
11:32pm
+120
-160
18/11 12:40am
-115
-125
5:15pm
-120
-120
9:41pm
-135
-105
11:00pm
+100
-140
19/11 12:30am
-120
-120
6:00am
+100
-140
2:00pm
+125
-165
3:00pm
-110
-130
6:00pm
+105
-145
8:00pm
+120
-160
10:00pm
+230
-310
10:15pm
+140
-180
10:45pm
+105
-145
11:00pm
+130
-170
11:30pm
+155
-195
PPV
+140
-180
12:27am
+135
-175
1:50am
-105
-135
2:25am
-120
-120
2:30am
-180
+140
2:40am
-150
+110
2:59am
-170
+130
CLOSED
"
"

As you can see, the winners were +140 ahead of the PPV and and had fallen to -120 pick 'em along with Team Smackdown by 2:25am. There was another see-saw before eventually closing out as -170 faves.

Survivor Series 2017 Betting Favourites

Here are the WWE Survivor Series betting favourites as the pay-per-view was beginning.

They are ranked in order of strength with the shortest odds first.

The Shield -4,500
Brock Lesnar -1,500
Charlotte Flair -460
Enzo Amore -420 (Kick Off Winner)
Team Raw Women -310 (Both Raw and Smackdown Teams are at 17/20 in Europe after bets came in on Smackdown)
The Usos -290
Team Smackdown Men -180 (Team Raw is favourite here in Europe)
The Miz -170

Odds from 5Dimes.

Sunday, 19 November 2017

5Dimes Survivor Series Betting Odds Updates Across Sunday Night

This post will contain all Survivor Series odds changes for the next couple of hours.

Brock Lesnar .vs. AJ Styles
10:15pm: Lesnar has descended to -1,500 from -750 and AJ Styles has moved up from +450 to +700.

Team Raw Men .vs. Team Smackdown Men
10:15pm: Team Raw Men have dipped from +230 into +140. Team Smackdown has drifted from -310 to -180.
10:45pm: Team Raw Men have continued to descend. They're now at +105. Smackdown is at -145.
11:00pm: Smackdown's odds have moved into -170 while Team Raw has ascended to +130.
11:30pm: Team Smackdown has lowered to -195. Team Raw has moved up to +155.
11:56pm: TEAM RAW is favourite at Kambi.

Cesaro and Sheamus .vs. The Usos
10:45pm: Cesaro and Sheamus have dipped to +210 from +220. The Usos have moved up to -290 from -300.

The Shield .vs. The New Day
10:45pm: The Shield is -4,500 while The New Day is +1,500.

Alexa Bliss .vs. Charlotte Flair
10:45pm: Charlotte Flair has shortened from -410 to -460. Alexa has moved out from +290 to +320.

Team Raw Women .vs. Team Smackdown Women
10:15pm: Team Smackdown has dropped from +430 into +320
10:45pm: Team Smackdown is now down to +175. Their opponents are now -245.
10:50pm: Smackdown down to -310 while Raw has moved up to +230
10:55pm: TEAM RAW/TEAM SMACKDOWN AT PICK 'EM WITH KAMBI. This means money has landed on Team Smackdown.

The Miz .vs. Baron Corbin
10:15pm: Baron Corbin has dipped from +265 into +160. The Miz has moved up from -385 to -210.
10:45pm: Baron Corbin now down to +100, The Miz is at -140.
10:50pm: The Miz has moved into -170. Corbin out to +130

Enzo vs. Kalisto 
10:15pm: Enzo's odds have dropped to -310 from -175 while Kalisto has moved up to +230 from +135.
10:45pm: Enzo has fallen to -420 while Kalisto is out to +300.
11:00pm: Market Closed

Odds from 5Dimes.

5Dimes' WWE Survivor Series Odds As Of 10pm GMT

Here are the 5Dimes Sportsbook's WWE Survivor Series betting odds as of 10pm GMT.

There have been a few changes made since the most recent post. I'll indicate these changes below the markets affected.

Enzo Amore -175
Kalisto +135

Kalisto's odds have dipped from +260

Brock Lesnar -750
AJ Styles +450

Team Raw Men +230
Team Smackdown Men -310

Team Smackdown have moved in from -160

Cesaro and Sheamus +220
The Usos -300

The Shield -4,500
The New Day +1,500

Alexa Bliss +290
Charlotte Flair -410

Team Raw Women -690
Team Smackdown Women +430

Team Raw Women have been cut from -560

The Miz -385
Baron Corbin +265

The Miz's price has shortened from -210

Odds from 5Dimes.

5Dimes' WWE Survivor Series Odds As Of 9pm GMT

Here are the latest WWE Survivor Series 2017 betting odds from 5Dimes.

If you read the 8pm update, there's no point reading on as the prices are unchanged since then.

Enzo Amore -380
Kalisto +260

Brock Lesnar -750
AJ Styles +450

Team Raw Men +120
Team Smackdown Men -160

Cesaro and Sheamus +220
The Usos -300

The Shield -4,500
The New Day +1,500

Alexa Bliss +290
Charlotte Flair -410

Team Raw Women -560
Team Smackdown Women +370

The Miz -210
Baron Corbin +160

Odds from 5Dimes.

William Hill's Survivor Series (2017) Specials Released

William Hill's in-play specials for tonight's WWE Survivor Series are currently being added to the website.

Here are some of the selections on offer:

Jason Jordan to make an in-ring appearance 1/5
Kevin Owens to make an in-ring appearance 2/9
Sami Zayn to make an in-ring appearance 2/9

Asuka to eliminate the final member of Team Smackdown to get the win for Team Raw EVS
Asuka to eliminate Becky Lynch 6/5
Nia Jaz to eliminate Becky Lynch 7/4
Asuka to be sole survivor 2/1
Alicia Fox to be the only person eliminated from Team Raw 3/1
Asuka to be counted out or disqualified 3/1
Asuka to eliminate all 5 members of Team Smackdown 9/1

Charlotte Flair to win her match by submission 1/2

The Miz .vs. Baron Corbin to finish in a double countout 6/1

Cesaro/Sheamus .vs. The Usos to finish in a double countout 6/1

Jason Jordan to interfere in Team Raw .vs. Team Smackdown 1/5
Kevin Owens and Sami Zayn to interfere 1/4
Randy Orton to hit over 2 RKOs during the match 2/7
Braun Strowman to be counted out or disqualified 1/2
Over 1 table to be broken during the match 1/2
HHH to be eliminated before Kurt Angle 8/13
HHH to eliminate Bobby Roode EVS
John Cena to eliminate Samoa Joe 6/4
John Cena to eliminate HHH 6/4
Samoa Joe to be counted out or disqualified 9/4
Shinsuke Nakamura to be the sole survivor 5/2
John Cena to be the sole survivor 7/1
Randy Orton to be the sole survivor 12/1
Bobby Roode to be the sole survivor 16.1

5Dimes' WWE Survivor Series Odds As Of 8pm GMT

Here are the latest WWE Survivor Series 2017 betting odds from 5Dimes.

Two markets have changed since the 7pm GMT update, so I'll add a note below each of them to highlight where the lines have changed.

Enzo Amore -380
Kalisto +260

Brock Lesnar -750
AJ Styles +450

Team Raw Men +120
Team Smackdown Men -160

Team Smackdown have moved in from -145

Cesaro and Sheamus +220
The Usos -300

The Shield -4,500
The New Day +1,500

Alexa Bliss +290
Charlotte Flair -410

Charlotte's price has moved in from -350

Team Raw Women -560
Team Smackdown Women +370

The Miz -210
Baron Corbin +160

Odds from 5Dimes.

Looking For Your Survivor Series In-Play Specials Requests

Originally published on November 16th

The William Hill Sportsbook is planning to publish betting markets for this weekend's WWE Survivor Series PPV and is looking for customers' in-play specials requests to publish a few hours ahead of the show.

If you have any ideas of specials that you'd like to see priced up on the night, you can leave them in the comments section below. A member of William Hill's staff will look through this page and, if possible, add the selections to the in-play specials page on Sunday evening.

Just like with previous requests posts, there are a number of things that cannot be accepted. Here are a few:

- Anything that might take place on the Kick Off as these markets are for main card only
- Requesting prices on legitimate injuries occurring during the match (also includes asking for odds on blood being spilled through blading etc)
- Asking for odds on catchphrases, chants or quotes made during the broadcast
- Pyrotechnic or other production malfunctions
- Match placement on the night (ie asking for odds on a certain match being the opener)
- Male on female violence (ie asking X to punch Y)

Here are some examples of specials that made the board last year:

- Braun Strowman to be counted out or disqualified
- Ambrose, Rollins and Reigns to be the final three men in the elimination match
- Nikki Bella to be sole survivor for Team Smackdown
- Baron Corbin to interfere in the Cruiserweight Championship match
- Randy Orton to RKO Bray Wyatt
- Brock Lesnar to hit five or more F5s on Bill Goldberg

When available, the Survivor Series specials can be found by following this link to William Hill's WWE Betting Page.

Not a customer? Open A William Hill Account Through This Link

5Dimes' Survivor Series Odds As Of 7pm GMT

Below are the 5Dimes Sportsbook's WWE Survivor Series odds as of 7pm GMT this evening I'll add notes below any of the markets that may have changed since previous updates.

Enzo Amore -380
Kalisto +260

Brock Lesnar -750
AJ Styles +450

Team Raw Men +105
Team Smackdown Men -145

Team Smackdown dropped from -130 into -145 shortly before 6pm.

Cesaro and Sheamus +220
The Usos -330

The Usos moved in from -230 before 6pm

The Shield -4,500
The New Day +1,500

The Shield's price was slashed from -2,750 before 6pm

Alexa Bliss +250
Charlotte Flair -350

Team Raw Women -560
Team Smackdown Women +370

The Miz -210
Baron Corbin +160

The Miz has moved in from -180

These markets can be found under 'Pro Wrestling' on the 5Dimes Website.

5Dimes' WWE Survivor Series Betting Odds As Of 5pm GMT

5Dimes' WWE Survivor Series Betting Odds

Here are the WWE Survivor Series betting odds as of 5pm GMT from 5Dimes.

I last published a post about them at 2pm. The only market that has changed is the one for the men's elimination match. The see-sawing continues as it moved in favour of Team Raw shortly before 3pm. You can see just how the betting has gone in for this particular match in the table below.

Date/Time
Team Raw Men
Team Smackdown Men
17/11 10:20pm
+135
-175
11:32pm
+120
-160
18/11 12:40am
-115
-125
8:00am
"
"
5:15pm
-120
-120
9:41pm
-135
-105
11:00pm
+100
-140
19/11 12:30am
-120
-120
6:00am
+100
-140
2:00pm
+125
-165
3:00pm
-110
-130
5:00pm
"
"

5Dimes' WWE Survivor Series odds are found under 'Pro Wrestling' on the 5Dimes Website.

5Dimes Survivor Series Odds Update For 2pm GMT

WWE Survivor Series 2017 Betting Odds From 5Dimes

Here are the latest WWE Survivor Series betting odds from 5Dimes.

The only market that differs from earlier today is the one for the men's elimination match.

Team Smackdown has moved down from -140 to -165. The opponents have raised up from +100 to +125.

Prices correct as of 2pm GMT and available from the 5Dimes Sportsbook.

Survivor Series Observer Star Rating Betting Update For Sunday

Over the past few days, I've been keeping track of the Wrestling Observer Star Ratings specials that are available from the sportsbooks that publish betting odds from Kambi and thought I'd publish this post to update you.

There are three kinds of markets available. They are 'Highest Rated Match On The Card', 'Over/Unders' and a special where customers can get 13/2 odds on a match receiving five stars or more in Dave Meltzer's review of the event that should appear in the upcoming issue of his newsletter.

Highest Rated Match Betting
Highest Rated Match At Survivor Series 2017 Betting Odds

The punters have evidently backed the men's elimination match to earn the most praise from the newsletter's editor as it has moved from 6/5 to 7/10 across the two days that the market has been up.

The Shield .vs. The New Day has seen some interest, too. Its price was snipped from 3/1 to 2/1 when the prices were readjusted overnight.

Over/Unders
For those of you knew to this, the oddsmakers have priced up markets for every match and have predicted how Meltzer could react to them. Each bout has been given a star rating line and the customer can choose whether to bet above, below or exactly on what the linemakers have set.

Enzo vs Kalisto
Over 1.75 Stars
Exactly 1.75 Stars
Under 1.75 Stars
17/11 10am
23/20
23/20
6/4
8pm
"
"
"
18/11 9:45am
"
"
"
19/11 10:30am
"
"
"

The Cruiserweight Championship match has remained at the prices that were available when the market was first installed on Friday morning. They've set the line at one-and-three-quarter stars.

Bliss vs Flair
Over 3.25 Stars
Exactly 3.25 Stars
Under 3.25 Stars
17/11 10am
7/4
7/5
4/5
8pm
9/5
29/20
3/4
18/11 9:45am
19/10
6/4
7/10
19/11 10:30am
2/1
31/20
13/20

The battle of the women's champions was given a line of three-and-a-quarter stars. The punters have backed it to receive less than that amount of stars as they've moved the odds from 4/5 to 13/20 across the two days.

The majority of bets also appear to be on the Brock Lesnar versus AJ Styles meeting to receive less than four-and-a-quarter stars.

Lesnar vs Styles
Over 4.25 Stars
Exactly 4.25 Stars
Under 4.25 Stars
17/11 10am
7/5
5/4
11/10
8pm
"
"
"
18/11 9:45am
33/20
7/5
17/20
6:00pm
17/10
29/20
4/5
19/11 10:30am
"
"
"

The selection, despite not being changed overnight, has moved from 11/10 to 4/5.

The Usos vs Sheamus/Cesaro
Over 4.00 Stars
Exactly 4.00 Stars
Under 4.00 Stars
17/11 10am
EVS
5/4
7/5
8pm
"
"
"
18/11 9:45am
33/20
7/5
17/20
19/11 10:30am
19/10
6/4
7/10

The punters have also backed the tag team match - that will see The Usos taking on The Bar - receive less than the line. The odds for 'Under 4 Stars' has been halved from 7/5 into 7/10 since Friday.

Men's Elimination Match
Over 4.50 Stars
Exactly 4.50 Stars
Under 4.50 Stars
17/11 10am
6/4
23/20
23/20
8pm
"
"
"
18/11 9:45am
"
"
"
19/11 10:30am
"
"
"

There's still no change in the market for the men's elimination market. The line here has been set at four-and-a-half stars.

Shield vs New Day
Over 4.00 Stars
Exactly 4.00 Stars
Under 4.00 Stars
17/11 10am
5/4
5/4
5/4
8pm
"
"
"
18/11 9:45am
23/20
13/10
13/10
6:00pm
EVS
7/5
7/5
19/11 10:30am
17/20
6/4
6/4

The 'Over 4 Stars' selection in the market for The Shield versus The New Day has been cut from 5/4 into 17/20 since Friday morning.

Women's Elimination Match
Over 2.75 Stars
Exactly 2.75 Stars
Under 2.75 Stars
17/11 10am
6/5
6/5
27/20
8pm
"
"
"
18/11 9:45am
"
"
"
6:00pm
EVS
13/10
6/4
19/11 10:30am
"
"
"

The women's elimination market saw life yesterday evening when the 'Over 2.75 Stars' option was cut from 6/5 into EVENS. I have backed this option and wrote about it in a post published yesterday, so I expect others followed suit.

Another market that I've bet on is the one for The Miz's meeting with WWE US Champion, Baron Corbin.

I wrote on Friday that I felt it had potential to go under two-and-a-half stars.

Miz vs Corbin
Over 2.50 Stars
Exactly 2.50 Stars
Under 2.50 Stars
17/11 10am
13/10
13/10
23/20
8pm
6/4
"
EVS
18/11 9:45am
33/20
7/5
17/20
6:00pm
7/4
6/4
3/4
19/11 10:30am
19/10
8/5
13/20

As you can see, many have agreed with this as the selection has been descending ever since. It currently rests at 13/20

Any Card To Be Awarded 5 Stars Or More
The special where customers can have a bet on Dave Meltzer praising a match enough to reward it with five stars or more has been 13/2 across the two days.

As per usual, I'll have a review of these markets - and how they're settled - when the newsletter is published in the latter part of next week.