Sunday, 28 May 2017

Get Your Extreme Rules '17 Specials Requests In

The oddsmakers from William Hill are planning to publish in-play specials on the night of WWE Extreme Rules 2017 and are looking for any bet suggestions you may have.

If you have any requests for bets you'd like to place for Extreme Rules 2017, you can leave them in the comments section below. A member of William Hill's staff will look over your ideas and - if they can price them up - they'll be added to the website's WWE betting page on the night of the show.

William Hill has been doing this for a lot of the most recent PPVs. For those of you who haven't came across these posts before, here are a few examples of specials the company released for Backlash on May 21st just to give you an idea:

William Hill Backlash 2017 In-Play Specials

The most notable things that cannot be considered are:

- Requesting prices on legitimate injuries occurring during the match (also includes asking for odds on blood being spilt through blading etc)
- Asking for odds on catchphrases, chants or quotes made during the broadcast
- Pyrotechnic or other production malfunctions
- Match placement on the night (ie asking for odds on a certain match being the opener)
- Male on female violence (ie asking X to punch Y)

All of the specials are priced up for the main card, so please bear this in mind if anything you're thinking of anything that could take place on the pre-show.

When available, William Hill's WWE Extreme Rules odds can be found on the page below:

If you aren't a William Hill customer - you can join THROUGH THIS LINK and get the latest welcome offer.

Friday, 26 May 2017

Another Randy Orton Special That Was Settled This Week

Another WWE betting special that was settled with Jinder Mahal's winning of the World Championship at the recent Backlash pay-per-view was a market that was opened a fortnight ago where customers could have a bet on the date Randy Orton dropped the strap.

When Will Randy Orton Drop The WWE Championship Betting Odds
Click on image to expand

The market was released by the oddsmakers from Kambi. The image is from Unibet's WWE Betting Page. It showed that the winning pick 'Before Money in the Bank (June 2017)' was a second-favourite at odds of 6/4.

I backed both the  'During SummerSlam' and 'Between first Raw after SummerSlam (August 2017) but before Survivor Series' options because I was looking too far ahead and was banking on Orton retaining the strap against Mahal at Backlash and then defending the title against Rusev at Money in the Bank.

As the go-home episode of Smackdown - ahead of Backlash - should have hinted, the Rusev plan, if it was for the Bulgarian Brute to challenge for the World Championship, for Money in the Bank is off the table and the company went with Mahal snaring the title from Orton on Sunday and will have the new champ defend the strap against the former titleholder at Money in the Bank.

Thursday, 25 May 2017

Wrestling Observer Backlash 2017 Best Match Result

This past weekend, the oddsmakers from Kambi released a market where customers could wager on the match they believed would end up getting the most stars in Dave Meltzer's Backlash review in this week's issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter. This issue has now been published and the winning match, for bet settlement, has been determined.

The market opened with three options for customers - the US Championship match between Kevin Owens and AJ Styles, Shinsuke Nakamura versus Dolph Ziggler or 'Any other' bout on the card.

Unsurprisingly, Kevin Owens .vs. AJ Styles was given the most stars in the review. Dave Meltzer rated it three and three quarters. The Nakamura versus Ziggler bout came one star short of tying it.

The US Championship match opened up as a 13/20 favourite. It was downhill from there. I made a few visits to the market across the weekend and the bets seemed to be going one way. At around 3pm on Sunday afternoon, I noticed it had moved into 1/2 then - later than that - it had fallen into 4/9.

This was the third time the oddsmakers had published a market for the Observer's star ratings after having released odds for WrestleMania 33 and, most recently, Payback 2017.

Wednesday, 24 May 2017

Six MITB Competitors Confirmed For June 18th

World Wrestling Entertainment began its build to the June 18th Money in the Bank show on last night's episode of Smackdown when six names were added to the ladder match that will take place during the pay-per-view.

The wrestlers who are now confirmed for the match are: Baron Corbin, Kevin Owens, Shinsuke Nakamura, AJ Styles, Sami Zayn and Dolph Ziggler.

An outright betting market - where customers could wager on who they believed will win the match - was installed by the Kambi oddsmakers in the middle of April. The list consisted of most of the male athletes from the Smackdown roster. I have now placed the confirmed names in a single table to point out how their odds have moved at certain points since publication.

As you can see, Baron Corbin has been the favourite from day one. Corbin winning the briefcase - to challenge for the WWE Championship at any time upon his request - makes sense considering he is in the midst of a push. 

With that said, Corbin did drift out within the first twenty-four hours of the market being opened as the punters opted to back Shinsuke Nakamura at 5/2 to send him into 2/1.

When the market was republished a month later, the price for Kevin Owens has been snipped from 5/2 into 9/4. Other changes saw Nakamura and Sami Zayn drift out.

With Extrme Rules next up, I doubt we'll see the new Money in the Bank markets until closer to the pay-per-view. I'm intrigued to see how the market is readjusted now that we have a better idea who is actually in the match.

Monday, 22 May 2017

Jinder Mahal Is Your 'Champion After Randy Orton'

Jinder Mahal's WWE Championship victory over Randy Orton in the main event of last night's Backlash 2017 pay-per-view settled a WWE specials market that was installed in April.

The Kambi oddsmakers had priced up odds where customers could wager on the wrestler that would eventually defeat Randy Orton to become the next WWE Champion.

When it first went live on April 19th, the eventual winner was 5/1. As the then number one contender's push began to pick up steam, Mahal was moved to 7/2 before ending up at 6/4 by May 12th.

Baron Corbin was a favourite throughout. He shared the role with Mahal in the latter stages of betting.

It'll be interesting to see if a 'Champion After Jinder Mahal' market replaces this one now that we have a result. I'm intrigued to see who the oddsmakers place at the top of the list.

This market was available from the websites that offer Kambi WWE odds (on this list). A couple of examples can be viewed below:

Backlash 2017 And Smart Money

With hindsight being what it is - just like last month, I believe it's safe to point to Friday being the day when smart money came in on the eventual Backlash 2017 winners.

In the table below, I've listed the victors from last night's pay-per-view. Along with the names are their prices on Friday morning and then - to contrast - I've added the odds you would have found them later that night once the traders had slashed the prices.

The Kick Off match wasn't available on Friday morning, but - other than that - every single wrestler on the board was backed during Friday evening's betting frenzy.

This isn't the first time this happened. In a post published in the early hours of Saturday morning, after the shifts occurred, I pointed out that a similar thing happened for Payback where the six wrestlers that were backed on the Friday ended up winning their respective matches two nights later. 

The two matches that weren't backed ended up having flips later that weekend, which would play into the theory that Austin Aries' and Alexa Bliss' wins at Payback were late calls made over the weekend rather than before Friday.

I strongly believe that there were no late decisions made on Backlash weekend.

All the contradicting shifts beyond Friday's betting, both here and overseas, was fan money either buying into the false stories circulating about Smackdown titles not changing hands for the foreseeable future or simply people disbelieving that Jinder Mahal would end up claiming the strap.

Backlash 2017 Betting Favourites

Here are the WWE Backlash 2017 betting favourites as the pay-per-view was beginning at 1am BST. The selections are ranked in order of strength with the shortest odds first.

Shinsuke Nakamura -3,600
Tye Dillinger (Pre-show winner as -1,350 favourite)
Welcoming Committee -1,350
The Usos -600
Luke Harper -530
Kevin Owens -265
Jinder Mahal -210
Sami Zayn -190

Odds from the 5Dimes Sportsbook.

5Dimes' WWE Backlash 2017 Odds As Of 12am BST

Here are the WWE Backlash 2017 odds as of 12am BST.

I'll add notes below indicating where the wagers have been landing.

Randy Orton +130
Jinder Mahal -170

Edge: Mahal

The Usos -490
Breezango +330

Edge: The Usos

Kevin Owens -125
AJ Styles -115

Edge: Kevin Owens

Naomi, Charlotte, Becky +550
Welcoming Committee -1,050

Edge: Welcoming Committee

Shinsuke Nakamura -2,600
Dolph Ziggler +1,200

The market has been stationary for over a day

Baron Corbin +100
Sami Zayn -140

Edge: Sami Zayn

Luke Harper -420
Erick Rowan +300

Edge: Luke Harper

Tye Dillinger -960
Aiden English +520

Edge: Tye Dillinger

Odds from

Mahal And Zayn Return To Favouritism In Backlash Betting

Two of the three outsiders - whose odds I noted were dropping in the most recent update - have now become favourites in the Backlash 2017 betting market at 5Dimes.

Jinder Mahal is now -155 to Randy Orton's +115 and Sami Zayn has fallen from +420 into -125 for his match against Baron Corbin.

The third wrestler I highlighted, Kevin Owens, has fallen from +125 into -110. However, as of the time of writing, he isn't technically a favourite as AJ Styles is -130.