Sunday, 29 November 2020

How Kambi Settled Its Observer Star Ratings Market For The WWE Survivor Series (2020)

Roman Reigns' win over Drew McIntyre - at last Sunday's WWE Survivor Series - was the bout which received the most stars in Dave Meltzer's review of the PPV.

Four-and-a-quarter stars were given in Meltzer's report, which was published in the latest issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter.

The result meant that '4.25 Stars Or More' was the winning selection in Kambi's market in which customers could bet on the 'Exact Star Rating of the Highest Rated Match' for the show.

As you can see, in the first image below, the selection was a 3/5 favourite when the market was initially published last month. However, it fluctuated as the weeks progressed. It ended up at 1/2 by the weekend of the event.

Survivor Series (2020) Observer Star Ratings Betting

McIntyre .vs. Reigns found itself up against the battle of WWE's women champions in a head-to-head market that was published by Kambi.

The winning selection was 3/4 when the market was installed on Wednesday November 18th. By the Saturday, Kambi had pushed it up to 4/5. However, it was down into 4/6 a few hours ahead of the event.

Survivor Series (2020) Observer Star Ratings Betting

Sasha Banks' victory over Raw's titleholder - Asuka - was the second-best match in Meltzer's review with a score of three-and-three-quarters. 

The difference of half a star between the first and second best matches in the report meant that Kambi settled a prop special - in which customers were asked whether the match of the night would beat the next best contest by half a star or higher - with 'Yes' declared as the winning selection.

As you'll see below, the option started out at 6/5 with 'No' a 3/5 favourite in October. The price was down into 27/25 by the day of the event.

Survivor Series (2020) Observer Star Ratings Betting

'No' was the winning selection in two other proposition markets that were released for the PPV.

The 'Joint Winners' prop asked customers whether two - or more - matches would receive the most stars in the write-up. 

1/3 was the price of the winning selection. 'Yes' was 2/1.

The third proposition was an Over/Under which asked whether more than one-and-a-half matches would receive at least four stars from Dave Meltzer.

With one match going over the required line, the winning selection was settled at odds of 13/10.

Survivor Series (2020) Observer Star Ratings Betting


Kambi has also settled the O/U star ratings markets for the bouts on last week's card. The lines, stars and results can be found in the table below.

Survivor Series (2020) Observer Star Ratings Betting

Monday, 23 November 2020

34th Annual WWE Survivor Series Betting Favourites

Here are the WWE Survivor Series (2020) betting favourites as the PPV was starting.

They are ranked in order of strength using the betting lines that can be found on the 5Dimes Website.

Roman Reigns -310
Bobby Lashley -260
Smackdown Women -190
Sasha Banks -190
Raw Men -185
Street Profits -165

Odds correct as of 12AM GMT from the 5Dimes Website.

Sunday, 22 November 2020

Correction And Update Regarding 5Dimes' Survivor Series Markets

In a correction, and update, to this morning's post - the 5Dimes Sportsbook does have 'End of Broadcast' markets for tonight. I mistakenly thought clients could only gamble on the 'Initial Ruling' lines as they're the only prices showing on the 'Live Lines' section of the website.

The only way to read the 'End of Broadcast' prices is to access the website as a customer. They are there along with the Initial Ruling lines I covered in this morning's post.

Also in this morning's post, I noted that - on the Live Lines page - the only selection viewable for the battle royal is Big E. If you were to login to the website, more names can be viewed.

Here are all of the current 'End of Broadcast' odds for the event as of 5:15PM GMT today.

Team Raw Men -185
Team Smackdown Men +145

Team Raw Women +150
Team Smackdown Women -190

Bobby Lashley -305
Sami Zayn +225

The New Day -110
The Street Profits -130

Asuka +110
Sasha Banks -150

Drew McIntyre +180
Roman Reigns -260

Battle Royal Winner Odds
Big E +140
Lars Sullivan +175
Daniel Bryan +625
Ali +625
The Miz +850
Dominik Mysterio +1,050
Jeff Hardy +1,050
Murphy +1,800
Rey Mysterio +1,800
Aleister Black +3,000
Apollo Crews +3,000
Elias +3,000
Riochet +3,000

Prices correct as of 5:15PM GMT. The latest can be found on The 5Dimes Website.

A Look At 5Dimes' WWE Survivor Series (2020) Markets

5Dimes published betting markets for the Survivor Series last night.

However, before I write about them, it's worth pointing out that the live lines markets will be settled under the 'Initial Ruling' term rather than what I regularly follow, and what all other firms settle under, - the 'End of Broadcast' ruling.

The first market on the board is for the men's five-on-five Survivor Series match. The prices remain as they were last night with Team Raw -180 favourites. Their opponents, Team Smackdown, are +140.

Another market that is unchanged since last night is the one for the female Survivor Series match. The selection for Team Smackdown is a -185 favourite while Team Raw can be found at +145.

Bobby Lashley is a -290 favourite over Sami Zayn (+210) in the battle of secondary titleholders while The New Day (-110) and The Street Profits (-130) are quite close when it comes to the market for the clash of tag team champs.

Sasha Banks' price to get a decision over Asuka in their meeting fell from -140 into -150 sometime before 9AM GMT this morning. As a result, the bookmakers are now offering an Asuka win at +110 - this is up from +100.

The battle royal market is, as of right now, only listing Big E. His odds have increased from +125 to +135.

The market for the main match on tonight's card flipped overnight with Roman Reigns dropping from +165 underdog into -245 while Drew McIntyre has jumped out to +175 from -215.

Drew McIntyre .vs. Roman Reigns - Survivor Series 2020 Odds

These markets can be found under 'Other Sports' on the 5Dimes Website.

Saturday, 21 November 2020

Battle Royal Odds For Tomorrow

Kambi has published a market for the latest addition to the WWE Survivor Series (2020) card.

WWE announced yesterday that there will be a dual brand battle royal on the event's pre-show. 

Despite the entrants not being confirmed as of the time of writing, the bookmakers have placed Big E as a favourite to be the last man left. He's currently 13/10.

More names will be added to the market if they're requested or confirmed as being entrants from WWE.

The full list of selections and prices are:

Big E 13/10
Lars Sullivan 2/1
Daniel Bryan 13/4
Mustafa Ali 13/4
Dominik Mysterio 8/1
Jeff Hardy 8/1
Buddy Murphy 15/1
Rey Mysterio 15/1
Aleister Black 201
Apollo Crews 20/1
Elias 20/1
Ricochet 20/1
The Miz 20/1

I've had a gamble on the second-favourite,  Lars Sullivan. 

Friday, 20 November 2020

Shirai/Ripley Gets Four Stars

In this week's issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsleter - which came out today - Dave Meltzer gave four stars to the NXT Women's Championship match that aired on Wednesday night.

Kambi had a betting market available for the contest which saw Io Shirai successfully defend the strap against Rhea Ripley.

The oddsmakers set the line at four stars. Therefore, the winning selection is 'Four Stars or More'. The option was a 4/6 favourite over the 27/25 price that would have paid out had Meltzer rated the match below four stars.

Shirai was initially a 6/5 favourite to win the match. However, her price was pushed out to 13/10 when the eventual loser was backed from 3/5 into 13/25.

Io Shirai .vs. Rhea Ripley NXT Odds

Wednesday, 18 November 2020

How Kambi's AEW Full Gear 2020 Observer Markets Were Settled

The AEW Tag Team Title match, from Full Gear 2020 - which saw The Young Bucks beat FTR for the straps - was given the most stars in Dave Meltzer's review of the November 7th PPV.

Five-and-a-quarter stars was given to the bout in Meltzer's report that was published in the most recent issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter.

Going in, Kambi's oddsmakers offered only two selections in the market in which customers could gamble on what the highest rated match on the card would be. The options were 'AEW Tag Team Championship' and 'Any Unlisted Match'.

As you can see below, the eventual winner started out as a 2/5 favourite. Its price rose right up to 8/13 by the day of the show possibly due to the news reports that the Bucks' Matt Jackson had an injury leading into the show.

The losing pick started out at 7/4, but was at 23/20 in the hours ahead of the event. 

Kambi's Observer Markets For AEW Full Gear 2020

The second best match of the night went to Kenny Omega versus Adam Page. It received four-and-a-half stars from the reviewer.

With the tag title match being the sole match in the review to earn the highest star rating, 'No' was the winning selection in a prop market which asked customers whether or not there would be 'Joint Winners' in Meltzer's review.

The winning selection started out as an 11/25 favourite, but was backed into 2/5 within a couple of days.

Kambi's Observer Markets For AEW Full Gear 2020

As already mentioned, Omega versus Page was three quarters of a star behind the match of the night and - as a result of this - Kambi settled a different prop in favour of 'Yes'.

In the 'Margin of Victory' market, customers were asked whether there would be a gap of at least half a star between the top match and the next best.

The winning selection closed at 27/25 after starting out at 17/20.

Kambi's Observer Markets For AEW Full Gear 2020

'Yes' was the winner in a third proposition market that was written up for the PPV. Kambi asked whether there would be four matches or more on the Full Gear card that would get at least four stars from the Observer editor.

Darby Allin's AEW TNT Championship victory over Cody Rhodes and the main event - which saw Jon Moxley successfully retain the AEW World Championship against Eddie Kingston in an 'I Quit' match - both scored four-and-a-quarter stars. 

Those two bouts, added to the best and second highest scoring match in Meltzer's review, meant that customers who evidently backed 'Yes' had bets settled in their favour.

As you'll see below, the eventual winner was initially a 3/5 favourite. It was backed into 13/25 by the following morning and was then down to 11/25 a day after that.

Kambi's Observer Markets For AEW Full Gear 2020

Coincidentally, the two four-and-a-quarter star matches were paired off against each other in a head-to-head special in which clients were given the opportunity to gamble on which bout they thought would receive the most stars in Dave Meltzer's report.

Kambi's Observer Markets For AEW Full Gear 2020

From the betting, it would appear that the customers felt that the main event would get the most stars as the selection was moved into 4/6 within a couple of days and was then into 11/20 on the evening of the event.

The odds for the eventual winner - 'Same Star Rating' - did drop initially as it was moved from 7/4 into 33/20. However, by Saturday evening, the selection had risen to 2/1.

A second head-to-head had MJF .vs. Chris Jericho and the AEW Women's Championship contest square off to see which would get the most stars in the review.

Hikaru Shida's title retention against Nyla Rose received three-and-a-quarter stars. It was beaten slightly by MJF's win over Jericho, which earned three-and-a-half stars from the reviewer.

Kambi's Observer Markets For AEW Full Gear 2020

The winning selection was EVS from November 3rd up to the day of the event.

As per usual, Kambi released over/under star ratings markets for most of the bouts on the card. The lines, stars, and results can be found in the table below.

Kambi's Observer Markets For AEW Full Gear 2020

How Kambi's NJPW Power Struggle 2020 Observer Markets Were Settled

The current issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter has Dave Meltzer's review of New Japan Pro Wrestling's Power Struggle event from November 7th. 

With the issue released, and star ratings given for the bouts on the card, the bookmakers from Kambi have settled the Observer-themed markets that were available for the show. In this post, I'll take a look back at those markets and see how they were settled.

The most stars Meltzer gave out in his review of the show was four. Three matches on the card received that number of stars. The matches were Shingo Takagi's Never Openweight title win over Minoru Suzuki, the semi-main event which saw Jay White beat Kota Ibushi for the Wrestle Kingdom title match contract and Tetsuya Naito's successful defence of the IWGP Heavyweight and Intercontinental Championships over EVIL.

With two or more matches receiving the honours for the highest rated bouts, Kambi settled a prop bet - in which customers could gamble on whether or not there would be 'Joint Winners' for best match on the card - with 'Yes' winning.

As you can see in the image below, the 'Joint Winners' prop market listed the eventual winner at 8/5.

Observer Betting: NJPW Power Struggle 2020

The next best match, behind the three winners, went to KENTA's win over Hiroshi Tanahashi. It received three-and-a-half stars from the reviewer.

Due to the gap between the top matches and the second-best being half a star, Kambi settled the 'Margin of Victory' market in favour of 'Yes' as the proposition asked whether or not there would be a difference of at least half a star between the top bouts and those that finished immediately after it.

The winning selection was 7/5.

With four stars being the highest amount given in the review of Power Struggle 2020, the winning selection  - in the 'Exact Star Rating of the Highest Rated Match' - was 'Under 4.25 Stars'.

The selection started out at 9/10, when the market was first published on October 30th. It was moved up to EVS within the first day and was then up to 5/4 on November 3rd. It remained at this price right through to the market's close.

Observer Betting: NJPW Power Struggle 2020

Kota Ibushi .vs. Jay White was one of the bouts that was in a head-to-head special. Its opposition was the KENTA .vs. Hiroshi Tanahashi match.

We know the score of both matches. The winning selection was an 11/20 favourite to start off with, but was moved into 11/25 a day before the event.

Observer Betting: NJPW Power Struggle 2020

The second head-to-head special had the NEVER Openweight Championship contest going up against the rest of the card.

Observer Betting: NJPW Power Struggle 2020

With Takagi/Suzuki sharing the three-way tie of four stars, the winning selection in that market went to 'Same Star Rating'. It was a 17/10 outsider throughout.

The release of the star ratings for the matches on the card also meant that Kambi's traders were able to settle the over/under markets that were released for the show. The table below shows the lines, the stars and the results for the card.

Observer Betting: NJPW Power Struggle 2020

Tuesday, 17 November 2020

BetOnline's WWE Survivor Series (2020) Markets Published

The oddsmakers from BetOnline have created markets for this weekend's WWE Survivor Series PPV.

All six matches that are currently scheduled for the event are covered.

Bobby Lashley is a -325 favourite to get a win over Sami Zayn (+215) in the battle of the secondary title holders.

WWE Smackdown Tag Team Champions, The Street Profits - and the Raw tag champs, The New Day, are both available at -120 for their meeting.

Sasha Banks is a -160 favourite for her match with Asuka (+120).

Team Smackdown Men are +140 outsiders for their bout against Raw's team (-180).

Raw's team, in the women's elimination match, are -170 faves while their opponents - Team Smackdown - are +130.

New WWE Champion, Drew McIntyre, is +150 to get a decision over Roman Reigns -200.

Prices correct as of 7:20PM GMT. They can be found on BetOnline's WWE Page.

Kambi Opens A Book On McIntyre/Reigns

Kambi has published a market for the Drew McIntyre versus Roman Reigns match that has now been confirmed for this weekend's WWE Survivor Series.

As of the time of writing, the oddsmakers have the new WWE Champion - Drew McIntyre - at 19/20 while Roman Reigns is a 3/4 favourite.

The match was changed from Randy Orton .vs. Roman Reigns after Orton lost the WWE Championship to McIntyre on last night's episode of WWE Raw.

Before its suspension, the previous market had Roman Reigns as a 1/5 favourite over Orton (3/1).

A betting market for Raw's main event was published last week and closed yesterday. You can read about the prices I followed in THIS POST.