Monday, 9 December 2019

Batista Also Announced For 2020 WWE Hall Of Fame

In the most recent post, I noted that ESPN had reported that the New World Order will be inducted into the WWE Hall of Fame during next April's ceremony. Another name has also been revealed today.

WWE has just sent out a press release to inform that Dave Bautista will also be in next year's lineup.

Batista was another selection in a betting market in which customers could bet on who they thought would be the headline act of 2020.

As you can see, in the table below, Batista was initially at odds of 2/1 when the market was installed on March 10th. The selection closed at the 5/1 it was moved to last month.

2020 WWE Hall of Fame Betting

For bets to graded as winners, the selection has to be the last person/s inducted on April 2nd.

nWo Reportedly Set To Be Inducted At The 2020 WWE Hall Of Fame

Marc Raimondi - from ESPN.com - has reported that the New World Order will be inducted into WWE's Hall of Fame next year.

ESPN Reports New World Order For 2020 WWE Hall of Fame

The article states that the group will consist of Hulk Hogan, Kevin Nash, Scott Hall and Sean Waltman (Syxx).

Now that this news is out, a betting market - that was still available when I began writing this post - has been closed.

In the special, customers had the opportunity to gamble on who they believed would be the headliners of 2020's ceremony, which will take place on April 2nd.

The New World Order opened at 2/1 when the market was installed on March 10th of this year. Its highest point was 5/1 which was available in late-August and again on November 30th. For what it's worth, the selection was the only option that had lowered a couple of days after the market was republished on November 30th.

Its closing price was 3/1.

2020 WWE Hall Of Fame Betting


Update: Shortly after publishing this post, WWE sent out a press release to announce that Batista is also set to be in the class of 2020.

Harper Leaves WWE And Why It Might Be Important For Betting

WWE Releases Luke Harper
Jonathan Huber (Luke Harper) was one of five wrestlers given a release from World Wrestling Entertainment yesterday.

His departure from the company could be significant, from a betting perspective, as 'Luke Harper' was a selection that was available in an 'Exodus' special - published by Kambi over the summer - in which customers could gamble on the first person - or in some cases, persons - who will be the first to make an appearance on an All Elite Wrestling broadcast.

Harper's name was one of ten WWE-contracted wrestlers in the market. He was 10/1 when it was initially released on June 23rd and - as you can see in the table below - was 11/2 when the market was last made available in September. Harper - who had voiced his displeasure with the company and had asked for his release earlier in the year - returned to TV around this time.

If you look at his odds, you'll see that they declined over the near three months the market was available. However, his price moved up from 7/4 to 5/1 on September 19th, which was four days after he made what turned out to be the short-lived return to WWE TV.

AEW Exodus Betting

If Huber were to make an appearance for AEW, the earliest would be March of next year as Dave Meltzer has confirmed that the release includes a ninety-day no-compete clause.

Huber will likely return to using his previous name of Brodie Lee as he trademarked the moniker recently, 

For now, he's the only eligible name on the list with the best chance of winning and will be interesting to keep an eye on as we enter the new year.

Sunday, 8 December 2019

Sky Bet's TLC 2019 Markets Opened

Sky Bet has published markets for the three matches that have so far been confirmed for this year's WWE Tables, Ladders and Chairs PPV.

As of this morning, The New Day are 4/9 favourites to successfully retain the WWE Smackdown Tag Team Championship against The Revival. A decision in favour of the challengers will pay out at 13/8.

The Miz is at 8/1 for his meeting with Bray Wyatt (1/20).

Customers can also gamble on the tables, ladders and chairs match between Roman Reigns and King Corbin.

Reigns is 1/4 to get the win while those looking to punt on Corbin can back him at 11/4.

Unscrupulous

In a post published yesterday, I wrote about a few of Kambi's WrestleMania 36 specials and pointed out that I thought 40/1 for the Mania main event to be Daniel Bryan .vs. Roman Reigns was a generous price and 'worthy of a speculative punt'.

The thing is, maybe it was too generous.

After publishing the post, I logged into one of my betting accounts to place a small wager on the selection, but the website stated that my wager would have to be approved by the traders. I didn't bother. Instead, I chose to bet with another website using Kambi's markets and it too stated that my wager would have to get accepted.

I'm talking about a £1 bet on a selection the oddsmakers had evidently given close to a long-shot considering it was the penultimate selection on the board as it was before 50s for a Charlotte Flair .vs. Ronda Rousey match.

I sent the small wager in to the trader and I kind of knew what was going to happen.

It was declined.

Just like with wins and losses in betting, I took it on the chin. It wasn't the first time. They didn't want to take the bet, which kind of begs the question - why bother laying it out at those odds in the first place?

What I didn't like, however, was seeing the odds for the selection cut to 33/1 immediately after my wager was declined.

I find that sort of action unscrupulous as it eliminates any sort of level playing field between the customer and bookmaker.

Furthermore, it makes me question how I'll proceed with covering any price changes that Kambi makes to its markets as I won't know whether any future reductions are made due to bets or whether they have been cut because a customer - or rather a potential customer in these cases - has tried to place a bet only for their request to be denied by a trader who then proceeds to lower the odds.

Kambi has an abundance of professional wrestling betting markets to choose from and - partially because of those markets - they've given content to keep WWELeaks.org going ever since they began to produce pro wrestling specials. Seeing traders refuse bets and then cutting the odds for the selections they refused bets on negates it to an extent

If you're using the time to create all these markets, but then limit customers, refuse bets and slash odds without accepting wagers then what is the point?

Saturday, 7 December 2019

6/12/19 Smackdown Number Is In

Last night's episode of WWE Smackdown on FOX had a total average audience of 2,446,000 viewers.

Now that the result is in - per ShowBuzzDaily.com - the oddsmakers from Kambi will settle a Smackdown viewership prop market that was published last week.

Initially. customers were asked whether the episode would have 2,650,000 viewers or greater. The 'No' was 3/4 while the option to wager on it picking up below 2.65 Million was 19/20.

By Monday - and after the market was taken down sometime before 3:00PM GMT on Sunday - the line had been lowered to '2.5 Million or More'.

As you can see, at first, the odds for the 'No' were lowered with the newer line. However, by the end of the week, there was action seemingly coming in on the 'Yes' as it went from the 11/10 from December 3rd down to 13/20. 

The 'No' will be graded as the winning selection whichever line was backed.

WWE Smackdown on FOX Prop Bet Result For 6/12/19

The episode started out with 2,536,000 viewers in the first hour. The website reports that there was a drop off with 2,356, 000 watchers for the final hour.

Earlier today, I wrote a post noting that Kambi has created markets for some of next week's TV shows.

WrestleMania 36 Betting

Kambi's WrestleMania 36 markets that I first wrote about a week ago were republished today after having been taken down ahead of this week's pro wrestling TV shows. Along with their reintroduction were new specials for the April 5th 2020 event.

They're 'Exact Composition of Match' markets in which customers can gamble on whether much rumoured WWE Championship or WWE Universal Championship matches will take place on the card or if another bout will be contested for the respective title.

For the WWE Championship market, the bookies have Brock Lesnar .vs. Cain Velasquez at 7/4 to be the title match. The option to bet on 'Any Other Match' is a 2/5.

Kambi's WWE WrestleMania 36 Special - WWE Title Match

If you've read anything from me from the summer, you'll be aware that at the top of my predicted WWE Championship matches at Mania 36 is Brock Lesnar .vs. Kevin Owens. 

I'm feeling all the more confident that's the direction as Owens has been moving up to Raw's top babyface now that Seth Rollins is seemingly on his way to rejoin the heel side of the Raw roster.

The thing with Lesnar .vs. Velasquez, if you look at their first WWE match at Crown Jewel 2019, is there wasn't much of a hint that the company would go back to those two so soon. 

For what it's worth, and I don't mean it's worth anything, I read an article earlier this week that sourced TalkSport's Alex McCarthy who claims that Velasquez and Tyson Fury are the two names that are being talked about for Brock Lesnar's WrestleMania opponent. 

In what could be a related reaction, Kambi's Mania main event market has slashed the odds for Lesnar .vs. Fury to close the show from 33/1 into 12/1. 

I cannot see Fury being in any plan for Lesnar for the spring and even if I could, I have a hard time seeing that bout going on last.

It makes no sense considering Fury's recent involvement with WWE was paid for with Saudi money and - even if Fury were to return so soon - the company has already flat out promised that he'll be in a tag team match with Braun Strowman as his partner.

The most obvious Lesnar opponent is Kevin Owens. Put it like this - if I was one of those 'reporters' who like to write, if you pardon the pun, BS stories - then I would be claiming Lesnar/Owens was the plan because that's the match that seems to make the most sense considering the heel champion should be going up against the brand's top babyface.

Either that, or I'd go with the longshot guess and say that Keith Lee - who was positioned strongly at the Survivor Series last month - was the plan for Lesnar.

If you read last week's post, you would have seen that I thought Keith Lee was a conspicuous absence in the market in which customers can bet on who they believe will be holding the WWE Championship at the conclusion of WrestleMania.

I requested Lee's name to be inserted into the market at 5:13PM GMT last Saturday. I then had an email at 12:49AM GMT on Tuesday morning to say he had been added. But, here's the thing, as you can see by its time, the email was sent eleven minutes before the start of Raw. There was no way the market would have still been available when I was informed of the addition. 

When I brought this up with customer services, I was told that requests have to be sent a week in advance, which would obviously contradict any 'others on request' rules for markets that are first released on weekends of pay-per-views. 

With all that said, as you can see below, Keith Lee is 17/2 to be the WWE Champion when all is said and done in the early hours of April 6th.

Kevin Owens' price has decreased across the week. He started off at 12/1 on Saturday, was down to 8s on Sunday, was at 7/2 on Monday a few hours before the market was closed ahead of Raw and has now fallen to 11/4.

Kambi's WWE WrestleMania 36 Special - WWE Champion At End Of The Event

Others names like Daniel Bryan (15/1 to 10/1) and Seth Rollins (20/1 to 10/1) are also showing prices that have declined in the week.

Velasquez, who was a 5/4 fave, has now moved to 3/1. 

Over in the WWE Universal Championship market, a Bray Wyatt .vs. Roman Reigns match is a 1/3 favourite while 'Any Other Match' is 2/1.

Kambi's WWE WrestleMania 36 Special - WWE Universal Championship Match

When I wrote last week's post, I wrote that I agreed with the bookmakers having Roman Reigns and Bray Wyatt at the top of their WWE Universal Champion 'at the end of the listed event' market as I had a feeling that Bray Wyatt versus Roman Reigns could be the title match on April 5th. 

Now that The Miz will get to wrestle Bray Wyatt at TLC a week from tomorrow, I surmise that Daniel Bryan will get his second title opportunity - against Wyatt - at the 2020 Royal Rumble so I think it's fair - if you look at the table below - to see that the bookies have snipped Daniel Bryan's odds to be holding the title at the end of Mania 36 from 7/2 into 3/1 just in case it ends up with Daniel Bryan -as WWE Champion - defending the strap against Roman Reigns in April.

Kambi's WWE WrestleMania 36 Special - WWE Universal Champion At The End Of The Show

Bray Wyatt versus Roman Reigns is still a favourite to be the main event of next year's Mania. As of today, the selection is 2/1. This is down from the most recent price of 3/1. 

I've highlighted the selection for a Daniel Bryan versus Roman Reigns match as its price has drifted out from 25/1 into 40/1. Seeing it at 40s made me consider it worthy of a speculative punt just in case WWE goes with Bryan .vs. Reigns even though I've already guessed it'll could be Wyatt/Reigns and Bryan/Nakamura (I had already backed Bryan/Reigns with Sky Bet and Kambi before today).

The bottom line - until Bryan is out of the equation for sure, 40/1 for a match that was kind of hinted we'd get over the summer/autumn - but not given! - as well as the fact that, when being interviewed earlier this year, Reigns stated that Daniel Bryan was one of his dream opponents for a WrestleMania.

WWE WrestleMania 36 Main Event

With all that said, Bryan being in the title picture for the Royal Rumble - if that's the plan - could simply be a way to have him as a challenger just so the Rumble match goes off without fans clamouring for a Bryan appearance in the battle royal.

Having Bryan tied up in a title match eliminates one problem. The audience wanting CM Punk to be an entrant is another.

Kambi Releases First Batch Of WWE TLC 2019 Markets

Now that some matches have been confirmed for next weekend's WWE Tables, Ladders and Chairs 2019 PPV, the oddsmakers from Kambi have published markets for them.

Here are the prices in the match winner markets.

The WWE Smackdown Tag Team Championship will be defended on the card when The Revival challenges The New Day for the straps. A decision for the titleholders will pay out at 3/4 while The Revival are 19/20.

Bray Wyatt is a 1/14 favourite to beat The Miz in the match that was set up on last night's episode of WWE Smackdown. A decision in favour of The Miz will pay out at odds of 11/2.

Roman Reigns versus Baron Corbin - in a Tables, Ladders and Chairs match -  was announced by WWE on social media yesterday evening. As of this afternoon, Reigns is a 1/5 favourite while his opponent is 3/1.

Wrestling Observer star ratings over/under markets have also been created for the three matches. The lines for each match can be found below:

The New Day .vs. The Revival: 3.5 Stars
Bray Wyatt .vs. The Miz: 1.5 Stars
Roman Reigns .vs. Baron Corbin: 3.5 Stars

Kambi's TV Props For Week Commencing December 9th 2019

Kambi has published four TV viewership prop markets for next week's pro wrestling shows. In this post, I'll go through the specials in order of day.

9th December Monday Night Raw
The proposition for Monday's episode of WWE Monday Night Raw asks customers whether or not the episode will have a total average audience of 2.15 Million viewers.
As of the time of writing, the 'Yes' is 19/20 and the 'No' is 3/4.

10th December WWE Backstage
The upcoming edition of WWE Backstage will once again see CM Punk make an appearance. When he was last on the show, the audience number was 180,000. The bookies have the proposition for the episode at '0.17 Million or More' so the customers who believe that the show will hit that number or above can find the 'Yes' as a 4/5 favourite while those who believe it'll fall under can get the 'No' at 9/10.
For what it's worth, the most recent episode - sans CM Punk, but with an advertised appearance from Seth Rollins - had 138,000 viewers.

11th December AEW Dynamite and NXT
There are two props for Wednesday's pro wrestling shows.
The first asks customers whether AEW Dynamite will have more viewers than NXT. It's a pick 'em as both 'Yes' and 'No' are 17/20 each.
Prop number two is all about the total viewers for both shows and whether they'll combine to beat the total number for the December 4th editions of AEW and NXT. The number to beat is 1,696,000 (851K for AEW, 845K for NXT). Those who believe the combined number will beat the 1,696,000 can get the 'Yes' at 9/10. Those who think it'll fail to beat last week can find the 'No' at 4/5.

Markets For The 11/12 And 18/12 Episodes Of NXT

The oddsmakers from Kambi have published markets for the next fortnight of NXT TV matches.

On the coming week's show, there will be a triple threat match to determine a number one contender to Adam Cole's NXT Championship.

The bookies have released a market for the match winner. It has Keith Lee and Tommaso Ciampa at 11/10 each while the third man in the match - Finn Balor - is 7/2 to get the win.

They've also installed a special in which customers can place bets on the fall guy in the match.

Ciampa is a 6/4 to concede defeat. He's followed by his fellow favourite to win - Keith Lee - who's 7/4.

Finn Balor is 3/4 to do the honours.

Cole will defend the strap on the December 18th episode. A market in which customers can place bets on the 'Title holder at the end of the listed event' has the champ at 1/3 to still be in possession of the title.

Keith Lee is 9/4, Tommaso Ciampa is 33/10 and Finn Balor is 6/1.

There's a 'Current champion to retain the title market' proposition market as well. Seeing as Cole is 1/3 favourite in the 'title holder at the end..' the 'Yes' is obviously 1/3 here. If any other wrestler is champ at the conclusion of the December 18th episode, the 'No' will pay out at odds of 2/1.

The 18th will also have a NXT Women's Championship match. Shayna Baszler - who is a 13/20 favourite - will defend her title against Rhea Ripley.

A decision in favour of the challenger will pay out at 11/10.

The bookies have also created a 'Current champion to retain the title' prop market for this match as well. If Baszler retains, the 'Yes' will be settled at 1/2. If not, the 'No' will win at 7/5.

Thursday, 5 December 2019

Viewership Numbers For 4/12 AEW Dynamite And NXT Released

ShowBuzzDaily.com has released the viewership numbers for last night's AEW Dynamite and NXT.

It was very close with AEW beating NXT with 851,000 to the opposition's 845,000.

Now that the results have been released, Kambi will settle three prop markets that were available for the two shows.

Firstly, the market in which customers were given the opportunity to wager whether or not AEW Dynamite had '0.9 Million or More' will be settled with 'No' the winning selection. It was 9/10 to the 4/5 for 'Yes'.

Kambi's NXT market had a line of '0.775 Million or More'. Therefore, the winning selection was the 'Yes', which was 17/20. The 'No' was also 17/20.

The third market was a prop which asked the punter whether AEW Dyamite would have 150,000 more viewers than NXT. There was only a six thousand difference between AEW and NXT, so the winning selection will be the 'No'. It was 9/10 while the 'Yes' was a 4/5 favourite.

Wednesday, 4 December 2019

Raw's Viewership Numbers For 2/12/19 Released And A Look At The Market For Friday's Smackdown

ShowBuzzDaily.com has published the viewership numbers for the December 2nd episode of WWE Monday Night Raw and now Kambi's audience prop bet for the show will soon be settled.

In the special, Kambi allowed customers to bet whether or not the episode would have an audience of 2.1 Million or more.

As you can see - in the table below - the odds for the 'Yes' were backed from EVS into 7/10 while the 'No' went the other way.

2/12/19 WWE Raw TV Prop Bet

Those who backed the 'Yes' will have the wagers settled in their favour as the total average audience for the episode was 2,208.333.

Here's a breakdown of the hours.

Hour 1: 2,418,000
Hour 2: 2,279,000
Hour 3: 1,928,000
AVG: 2,208,333

A market for Friday's episode of WWE Smackdown is still available as of the time of writing.

When I first saw it on Saturday, Kambi had the line set at '2.65 Million or More'. However, by Sunday afternoon, the market had been taken down. It returned the following day with a reduced line of '2.5 Million or More'.

As you can see below, the 'No' was taken down from 3/4 into 13/20 by 9:25AM GMT yesterday, but has drifted out to 17/20 after the 'Yes' was cut from 11/20 into 17/20 sometime between yesterday morning and 9:55AM GMT today.

5th December 2019 - Smackdown TV Prop Bet

Tuesday, 3 December 2019

WWE 2020 HoF Odds Notes For December 3rd

Kambi's 2020 WWE Hall of Fame headliner market has been adjusted since I last wrote about it a couple of days ago.

The selection for The New World Order, which was 5/1, has been snipped to 3/1.

As a result of this - The Rock and The Undertaker, who were 33/20 joint-favourites, have been moved up to 2/1.

All of the selections, and their odds, can be found in the image below.

2020 WWE Hall of Fame Betting - December 3 2019

Monday, 2 December 2019

Last Week's AEW And NXT Viewership Numbers Published

Following the Thanksgiving holiday, the numbers for last Wednesday's AEW Dynamite and NXT on the USA Network have finally been published by the TV analysis website, ShowBuzzDaily.com.

NXT - coming off a weekend with its TakeOver: War Games 2019 event on Saturday and Survivor Series the following night - had 810,000 viewers while its competition had 663,000.

Now that the website has confirmed the numbers, Kambi will set about grading television proposition markets for last week.

The NXT prop asked customers whether or not they the episode would have '0.85 Million or More' viewers. The winning selection in this case was the 'No', which was a 7/10 favourite over the 'Yes' at EVS.

The prop for AEW Dynamite had a higher line. It was set at '0.95 Million or More' and will obviously mean that the 'No' will win this one as well. It too was 7/10 to the EVS for 'Yes'.

A proposition which asked customers whether AEW Dynamite would record 100,000 more viewers than NXT will settle with the 'No' winning as a 9/10 outsider. If it won, 'Yes' would have paid out at 4/5.

A fourth market for Wednesday's results was a prop titled 'Up For Wednesday?' The bookmakers wanted their customers to have a wager on the combined total for both AEW and NXT to beat the 1,809,000 viewers from Wednesday 20th November.

The 27th episodes had a total of 1,473.000. Another win for the 'No'. In this market, it was a 4/5 fave.

Another prop that will also be settled now that Kambi has the complete viewership results from last week is the one that was named 'Up For The Week?' in which customers had to guess whether the total viewership numbers for  WWE Raw, AEW Dynamite, NXT and WWE Smackdown would beat the 6.536,000 from the previous week.

Last week's total was 5,918,000. This meant that the 'No' won once more. It was 19/10 over the 7/20 for the 'Yes'.