Monday, 24 June 2019

Sky Bet Publishes Seventh 'Next Title To Change Hands' Market

Sky Bet has released its seventh edition of a WWE specials market in which customers can place wagers on the 'Next Title to Change Hands'.


The favourite - as of the time of writing - is the Women's Tag Team Championship at 2/1. As I've written in previous 'Next Title' posts, The IIconics have a potential feud with The Kabuki Warriors on the horizon and I believe it's fair to see the women's tag titles a favourite to be the next to change owners.

With that said, The Kabuki Warriors will meet The IIconics in a non-title match during a live show in Tokyo this week. Should the local team win - and I think it's a safe bet that they do - they'll earn a title shot against Billie Kay and Peyton Royce at another time. 

Winning a match to get the title shot does not make me completely confident that Asuka and Kairi Sane will be victorious in their first challenge, but we'll see.

Both the 'Universal Championship' and 'WWE Championship' are in joint-second at 11/2 each. This also makes sense considering Brock Lesnar is walking around with the Money in the Bank briefcase and he could cash in on either titleholder.

An image of the entire market can be viewed below.

Next Title To Change Hands - Seventh Edition

US Championship Wins In Sky Bet's Sixth 'Next Title To Change Hands' Market

Ricochet has just won the WWE United States Championship against Samoa Joe at WWE Stomping Grounds.

As a result of his victory, a betting market - in which Sky Bet customers could wager on the 'Next Title to Change Hands' - now has its winner.

Sky Bet's Next Title To Change Hands - 6th Edition

As you can see above, the market - which opened on June 12th - was offering the eventual winner at 6/1.

Drew Gulak's Cruiserweight Championship win earlier in the night did not qualify as the title was not one of the titles that are part of these markets.

This was the sixth edition of Sky Bet's special.

WWE Stomping Grounds Betting Favourites

Here are the WWE Stomping Grounds 2019 betting favourites as the PPV was starting.

They're ranked in order of strength with the selection with the shortest price first all the way do

Kofi Kingston -1,200
Bayley -490
Bryan and Rowan -420
Ricochet -270
Seth Rollins -270
Becky Lynch -270
Tony Nese -230 (Kick Off Loser)
Roman Reigns -215
Owens and Zayn -135

Prices from 5Dimes.

Sunday, 23 June 2019

Drew Gulak Wins Cruiserweight Championship At Stomping Grounds

Drew Gulak has just won the WWE Cruiserweight Championship on the Stomping Grounds Kick Off show.

Gulak had been a +425 outsider with the 5Dimes Sportsbook.


Date/Time
Nese
Field
Tozawa
Gulak
20/6 12:15AM
-260
+180
+445
+400
20/6 12:15PM
-310
+230
"
"
20/6 10:15PM
-280
+200
"
"
21/6 9:00AM
-245
+175
+390
+425
22/6 6:00PM
-230
+170
+365
"
23/6 11:00PM
"
"
"
"
23/6 11:25PM
OTB
OTB
OTB
OTB


Over here, in Europe, Gulak closed as a 9/4 second-favourite.


Date/Time
Nese
Tozawa
Gulak
19/6 11:55AM
2/5
4/1
4/1
23/6 1:45PM
1/2
9/2
3/1
23/6 11:38PM
8/15
11/2
9/4

Sky Bet had the eventual winner at 4/1 when the market for the triple threat was published on Wedneaday morning.

Flip In US Championship Betting Market

There has been a flip in the United States Championship market for tonight's WWE Stomping Grounds.

When I checked in at 11PM BST, I noticed that Ricochet had dropped from +210 into +110 with the titleholder, Samoa Joe, moving up from -290 to -150.

As of 11:25PM, it is now Ricochet who is the -150 favourite and Joe is the +110 outsider.

You can view how I tracked the movements below.


Date/Time
Samoa Joe
Ricochet
20/6 12:15AM
-260
+180
20/6 12:15PM
-160
+120
21/6 9:00AM
-180
+140
21/6 10:00PM
-290
+210
23/6 11:00PM
-150
+110
23/6 11:25PM
+110
-150


Odds from 5Dimes.

Tonight's Opener

WWE has announced that the opening match on the main card of Stomping Grounds will be for the WWE Raw Women's Championship.

Earlier today, the oddsmakers from Kambi were offering 7/2 that Becky Lynch .vs. Lacey Evans would be in this spot.

At the time, a selection which covered Any Male Tag Match' was a 4/5 favourite.

5Dimes' Stomping Grounds Odds As Of 10PM BST

It has been another slow night following 5Dimes' Sunday PPV markets.

The only change that has been made since the most recent 5Dimes post has been in the WWE Raw Women's Championship market. It has seen Lacey Evans' price to win the match move down from +175 into +160. This move was made sometime before 9:00PM BST.

Date/Time
Becky Lynch
Lacey Evans
20/6 12:15AM
-190
+150
20/6 12:15PM
-260
+180
20/6 10:15PM
-265
+185
21/6 9:00AM
-230
+170
21/6 10:00PM
-270
+190
22/6 11:00AM
-245
+175
23/6 9:00AM
-185
+145
23/6 5:00PM
-245
+175
23/6 9:00PM
-210
+160
23/6 10:00PM
"
"

Here are the other prices for those checking in for the first time, or who may have missed recent updates.

Bayley -490
Alexa Bliss +330

Roman Reigns -175
Drew McIntyre +135

Seth Rollins -270
Baron Corbin +190

Kofi Kingston -1,200
Dolph Ziggler +600

Samoa Joe -290
Ricochet +210

The New Day -105
Owens and Zayn -135

Tony Nese -230
The Field .vs. Nese +170
Akira Tozawa +365
Drew Gulak +425

Bryan and Rowan -420
Heavy Machinery +300

Prices correct as of 10PM BST. The latest can be found on 5Dimes Betting Board.

G1 Climax 29 Betting: Block Winners And Tournament Winner Markets

As mentioned in the most recent post, the oddsmakers from Kambi have published a ton of NJPW G1 Climax 29 specials. It's going to take a while for me to get through all of them, but I thought I'd share with you three of the outright markets.

The first two are the Block Winner specials and the third list contains the participants and their odds to be the overall winner of the tournament.

Block A Winner
Kota Ibushi is the favourite to win the A Block. In previous years, I would disagree because he was not a full member of the NJPW roster. However, he is now with the company on a long-term basis and I believe he has a good shot of getting to at least get to the final.

G1 Climax 29 - A Block Winner

Block B Winner
Jay White and Tetsuya Naito are 6/4 joint-favourites to win the B Block. A few weeks ago, I was sure it would end up being a Ibushi .vs. Naito final but somebody I speak with about NJPW is of the opinion that Jay White could end up being this year's overall winner, so - to see White and Naito both at the top - is not surprising and does make me second guess myself.

Also, Naito and Ibushi have wrestled a few matches already this year and that kind of weakens my belief.

G1 Climax 29 - B Block Winner

Tournament Winner
As you'll see below, they have Kota Ibushi as a 5/4 favourite to be crowned this year's winner. White is second-favourite at 5/2 and Naito is 3/1.

Kota Ibushi 5/4
Jay White 5/2
Tetsuya Naito 3/1
Kazuchika Okada 4/1
Hiroshi Tanahashi 5/1
Jon Moxley 5/1
Will Ospreay 15/2
KENTA 10/1
Shingo Takagi 20/1
Zack Sabre Jr. 25/1
Tomohiro Ishii 33/1
Jeff Cobb 40/1
Juice Robinson 40/1
EVIL 50/1
SANADA 50/1
Toru Yano 50/1
Bad Luck Fale 66/1
Hirooki Goto 66/1
Lance Archer 80/1
Taichi 80/1

G1 Climax 29 Markets Published

The day has finally arrived.

After many years of wanting to see a sportsbook publish a market for  NJPW's G1 Climax, Kambi has delivered today with a market where customers can place bets on the winner of this year's tournament which begins next month.

But that's not all.

The oddsmaker from Kambi has created many more markets for the tourney. 

Customers can bet on who they believe will win Block A, there's another market for the Block B winner.

There's also a market in which customers can place wagers on what the exact final will be. As of the time of writing there are 11/4 joint-favourites in Kota Ibushi .vs. Jay White and Kota Ibushi .vs. Tetsuya Naito.

And that's still only scraping the surface.

There's a plethora of proposition markets for customers to bet on as well. For example, they are offering 3/10 on a Japanese wrestler being crowned the winner or 11/5 on the winner not being Japanese.

There are also Over/Under specials on certain competitors. As an example, they've set the line at six wins for Hiroshi Tanahashi. The '6 or More' is 4/5 and the 'No' (which is obviously '5 or Less') is 9/10.

This still isn't all that's on offer.

There's another section in which customers can bet on the tournament match that receives the most stars in Dave Meltzer's coverage of the event. The two matches at the top of the market - both at 5/1 - are Tanahashi versus Okada and Okada .vs. Ibushi. 

There are fifteen other Observer/G1 prop markets available.

I am in awe at what they have here after all these years of waiting. They've exceeded my expectations.

5PM Stomping Grounds Odds Notes

Here's the latest Stomping Grounds odds notes from my 5PM BST visit to 5Dimes.

  • Becky Lynch is back to -245 favourite. She was at -185 this morning after being moved up from -245 after Lacey Evans' price was cut from +175 into +145. As you'd expect, Evans is now back to +175.
  • Seth Rollins' price is now down to -270 from -245. As a result, Baron Corbin - who was a +175 underdog this morning - is up to +190
  • The New Day were +125 to Kevin Owens and Sami Zayn's -165 earlier. They're now down to -105 while Owens and Zayn have been moved to -135
The rest of 5Dimes' markets are showing the same pricing as this morning. They are:

Bryan and Rowan -420
Heavy Machinery +300

Tony Nese -230
The Field .vs. Tony Nese +170
Akira Tozawa +365
Drew Gulak +425

Samoa Joe -290
Ricochet +210

Kofi Kingston -1,200
Dolph Ziggler +600

Roman Reigns -175
Drew McIntyre +135

Bayley -490
Alexa Bliss +330

Prices correct as of 5PM BST. The latest can be found on 5Dimes' Betting Board.

A Name I Didn't Think Of To Be Special Ref Tonight

Here's one I didn't think of, when it comes to who could work as the special guest referee in the Universal Championship match at Stomping Grounds.

Lacey Evans.

I wouldn't bet on her myself as I am still locked into thinking it'll be AJ Styles, but Sky Bet has added a selection to its RequestABet markets for tonight.

The firm is offering 4/1 on the Raw Women's Championship challenger being revealed as the mystery ref for Seth Rollins .vs. Baron Corbin.

There's a potential story there with Seth Rollins and Becky Lynch being a real-life, and on-screen, couple.

Like I said, I wouldn't bet on it myself. It's just good thinking by whoever thought of it.

CM Punk To Appear At AEW All Out Prop Bet Published

In the last two posts, I wrote about Kambi's new AEW markets. There is one more to cover.

The oddsmakers have released a prop bet in which customers can place bets on CM Punk making an appearance at AEW's All Out show on August 31st.

With the event being held close to Punk's hometown of Chicago, there has been fan interest in the former WWE star showing up for the rival company.

Kambi has put up the 'No' as a 2/5 favourite.

Those looking to take the gamble will find the 'Yes' at 7/4.

I noted, in a post published on Thursday, that MyBookie had a similar market.

WWE To AEW Exodus Special From Kambi

Kambi is accepting bets on the next WWE star, or stars, to jump ship from WWE to AEW.

The market, which is titled 'The Exodus', consists of names currently contracted to WWE. The winning selection will be the wrestler/s who appear on an episode of AEW TV or a PPV event before the 1st of January 2022.

It's very similar to a market that MyBookie had on its website that I wrote about in this post on Thursday. However, Kambi's oddsmakers have - in my opinion - got the correct favourite.

Luke Gallows and Karl Anderson are 9/10 to be the first of these names to move to the new company. I noted in Thursday's post that there have been reports that the the duo haven't reached a new deal to remain with the company and are looking to leave once their contracts are up later this year. It should be worth noting that Karl Anderson has denied these reports. 

MyBookie had them at the equivalent of 9/1 when its market was available. It was the main selection which stood out the most to me, so I wasn't surprised to see them at the top of Kambi's market.

The entire list can be found below. It includes talent like The Revival, Sasha Banks and Harper. Names that have been in the news when it comes to being apparently unhappy with their positions in WWE.

Kambi's AEW Special - The Exodus

Kambi Publishes 2 More AEW All Out Markets

The oddsmakers from Kambi have added a couple more markets to their coverage of All Elite Wrestling's next PPV event - All Out.

The new markets are for the Jon Moxley .vs. Kenny Omega match that is set for the August 31st show.

Both wrestlers have been installed at 17/20 in the match winner market.

The second market is an Over/Under special in which customers can place wagers on the amount of stars the bout receives in the issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter that reviews the show.

Kambi has set the line at four-and-a-half stars with the 'Over' offered at 17/20, the 'Under' is 21/20 and the option to bet on the match receiving four-and-a-half exactly is 9/4.

I have had a bet on Kenny Omega to win the match.

The reason why is because the people running the company are on record saying that wins and losses are going to matter in AEW.

Omega has already lost a match for the company, so that was enough to make me put my money on him to go over against Moxley.

There's another AEW special that's available, but I'll write about that one in an upcoming post.

WOR Discusses Kambi's Star Ratings Lines For WWE Stomping Grounds

Dave Meltzer and Bryan Alvarez spoke about Kambi's Star Ratings lines for tonight's WWE Stomping Ground during an early segment on this morning's edition of Wrestling Observer Radio.

In this post, I'll go through each match in the order of how they are positioned on the websites with Kambi's markets, share what Meltzer said and point out the price changes that have been made.

Before I begin, here's a table showing all of the matches, their lines and current prices. Odds in red indicate price reductions that have been made, prices in green show odds that have drifted while those in black are unchanged from my previous post about these markets.

WWE Stomping Grounds 2019 Observer O/U Star Ratings

Cruiserweight Championship
The oddsmakers have snipped 'Over 3 Stars' for the Cruiserweight Championship match from 9/10 into 4/5.
Meltzer didn't really say much about this particular match other than to say it's like all cruiserweight bouts in that, they're usually wrestled well but rarely get over with the audience.

WWE Raw Women's Championship
Meltzer noted that the line for Becky Lynch .vs. Lacey Evans was at 2, which is the same amount of stars their match at Money in the Bank 2019 received. He does not anticipate this one being any better.
From the betting, the 'Under 2 Stars' has been cut from 23/20 into 9/10.

Roman Reigns .vs. Drew McIntyre
The newsletter editor felt Kambi may have set the line low for Roman Reigns .vs. Drew McIntyre. It's at 2.75 and the odds for the 'Over' have been cut from 11/10 into 4/5.
For what it's worth, I predicted the line would be at 3 before the oddsmaker posted his lines. As there's only a quarter of a star between their line and my line, I did not bet on the 'Over'.

WWE Smackdown Tag Team Championship
Dave Meltzer's co-host, Bryan Alvarez, indicated that the Smackdown Tag Team Championship match's placement on tonight's card was important to how it'll be received. Meltzer agreed to an extent, but did voice that he felt the line of two-and-three-quarter stars might not be high enough.
The 'Over' is now at 17/20. It had been at EVS for the past day and a bit.

WWE Smackdown Women's Championship
When talking about the 2.25 star rating line for Bayley's WWE Smackdown Women's Championship defence against Alexa Bliss, Meltzer noted that the pair have had matches which have fared lower than that (the kendo stick match, anyone?!). He did say that the 2.25 seemed 'about right'.
From betting, the 'Over' has been cut from 19/20 into 17/20.
I was one of the customers to bet on the 'Over' when it was at 19/20. This is because the line was half a star lower than my estimate.

The New Day .vs. Owens and Zayn
Dave Meltzer didn't say much about the 3.25 line for the tag match other than to note that he felt that it 'sounds about right'.
The market is still showing the same pricing as day one.

WWE US Championship
Meltzer noted that Samoa Joe and Ricochet had a match last night, but - from the report - he was told that it was not out of the ordinary.
The line for this match has been set at 3.5 stars and is the match that is favoured to be the match of the night. The odds for the 'Over' have been taken down from 11/10 to EVS.

WWE Universal Championship
When discussing the Universal Championship line, Meltzer indicated that he felt that Rollins - and Corbin - could beat the line of 2.50 stars. Meltzer reasons that he cannot see Rollins have successive bad matches on PPV.
The price for the 'Over' has been trimmed from 9/10 into 4/5.

WWE Championship
Meltzer feels that Kofi Kingston and Dolph Ziggler have the potential to beat the line of 3 Stars for their steel cage match.
As you can see below, there has been a flip as the 'Over' went from 5/4 to 4/5 and the 'Under' went in the opposite direction. The bookies have kept the 'Exactly 3 Stars' selection at 2/1.


WWE Championship
Over 3.0 Stars
Exactly 3.0 Stars
Under 3.0 Stars
21/6 6:00PM
5/4
2/1
4/5
23/6 11:00AM
4/5
"
5/4

This is another example of me backing the 'Over' as it was a half star below my estimate. 

Prices correct as of this morning. The latest odds can be found on the link below.

5Dimes' Stomping Grounds Prices For Sunday Morning

I've just had a look over the 5Dimes Sportsbook's WWE Stomping Grounds markets in order to publish the first post of the day. The only thing I noticed was that a few of the outsiders' prices have dipped. I'll get to them in this rundown.

WWE Smackdown Women's Championship
The market has not moved at all since I first came across the market in the early hours of Thursday morning. 
Bayley is a -490 favourite to successfully retain her title. A decision in favour of Alexa Bliss will pay out at +330.

Roman Reigns .vs. Drew McIntyre
As noted in previous posts, Roman Reigns dropped from -130 into -175 between 12:15AM and 12:15PM BST on Thursday. 
With Reigns moving in, Drew McIntyre rose to +135 from -110.
The market hasn't been adjusted since.

WWE Raw Women's Championship
I feel it's safe to say that there are some gamblers who believe Becky Lynch will win and others who believe Lacey Evans will win the Raw Women's Championship match tonight.

Date/Time
Becky Lynch
Lacey Evans
20/6 12:15AM
-190
+150
20/6 12:15PM
-260
+180
20/6 10:15PM
-265
+185
21/6 9:00AM
-230
+170
21/6 10:00PM
-270
+190
22/6 11:00AM
-245
+175
23/6 9:00AM
-185
+145
The early action evidently sided with Becky Lynch, but the most recent has been on Evans.

WWE Universal Championship
Baron Corbin is another underdog whose price has been cut numerous times over the past few days. In fact, there has only been one occasion in those days where Seth Rollins' price has shortened and this was sometime before 10PM on Friday when he was moved to -300 from -230.

As you can see, the rest of the moves I've recorded have been on the side of Corbin.

Date/Time
Seth Rollins
Baron Corbin
20/6 12:15AM
-350
+250
20/6 10:15PM
-230
+170
21/6 10:00PM
-300
+220
22/6 11:00AM
-280
+200
23/6 9:00AM
-245
+175


WWE Championship
When the Kofi Kingston .vs. Dolph Ziggler market was first installed, it was the champion whose price declined. It went from -1,050 on Thursday morning and was moved to -2,000 by 6PM BST yesterday evening.

Date/Time
Kofi Kingston
Dolph Ziggler
20/6 12:15AM
-1,050
+550
20/6 12:15PM
-1,260
+620
21/6 10:00PM
-1,750
+850
22/6 6:00PM
-2,000
+1,000
23/6 9:00AM
-1,200
+600

However, this changed overnight after Ziggler was cut from +1,000 into +600.

WWE US Championship 
The United States Championship market hasn't changed since Friday night. You'll see, in the table, that - despite the early move seems to have came in on the challenger - the rest of the adjustments have gone the way of Samoa Joe.

Date/Time
Samoa Joe
Ricochet
20/6 12:15AM
-260
+180
20/6 12:15PM
-160
+120
21/6 9:00AM
-180
+140
21/6 10:00PM
-290
+210
23/6 9:00AM
"
"

The New Day .vs. Kevin Owens and Sami Zayn
The market for the tag match hasn't changed since I yesterday morning. Kevin Owens and Sami Zayn are -165 favourites and their opposition are +125 outsiders. Both teams were at -120 when I first found the market. 

WWE Cruiserweight Championship
Akira Tozawa's odds to win the triple threat match for the WWE Cruiserweight Championship were snipped from +390 into +365 sometime before 6PM BST yesterday evening. As a result, Tony Nese, who was -245 to successfully retain his title, was moved up to -230. 
'The Field versus Gulak' was lowered from +175 to +170 at this point, but Drew Gulak was kept at +425.
The market hasn't been adjusted since.

Date/Time
Nese
Field
Tozawa
Gulak
20/6 12:15AM
-260
+180
+445
+400
20/6 12:15PM
-310
+230
"
"
20/6 10:15PM
-280
+200
"
"
21/6 9:00AM
-245
+175
+390
+425
22/6 6:00PM
-230
+170
+365
"
23/6 9:00AM
"
"
"
"

WWE Smackdown Tag Team Championship
Daniel Bryan and Erick Rowan were backed from -350 into -420 sometime before 10:15PM BST on Thursday. With that move, the bookmakers moved Heavy Machinery out to +300 from +250. 
The market is still showing this pricing.

All prices correct as of 9AM BST.

I plan to return later today with another update. In the meantime, you can view the markets on 5Dimes' Betting Board.