Wednesday, 20 March 2019

Sky Bet Publishes WrestleMania 35 Cruiserweight Championship Match Market

On last night's episode of WWE 205 Live, Tony Nese beat Cedric Alexander in a tournament final to determine a number one contender to Buddy Murphy's Cruiserweight Championship.

The match will take place at WrestleMania 35.

Sky Bet has published a market for the bout.

The champion is a 2/9 favourite. Nese was initially priced at 10/3, but is now at a slightly lower 3/1.

Cena Moved To 5/2 In Angle Opponent Market

John Cena's odds to be Kurt Angle's final opponent, in a singles match at WrestleMania 35, have once again been reduced in a betting market from Sky Bet.

When I last checked in early yesterday evening, Cena was a 3/1 second-favourite to meet Kurt Angle on April 7th. He is now down to 5/2.

As a result of Cena's price dipping, the oddsmakers have moved favourite - Baron Corbin - up from 1/4 into 2/7.

Kurt Angle's Opponent Odds

On Monday's edition of Raw, Angle announced Corbin as his opponent. Fans evidently feel underwhelmed by the reveal and are hoping that the story progresses to the point in which Cena replaces Corbin.

Samoa Joe 4/11 To Win At Mania 35

Samoa Joe has opened at 4/11 to successfully retain the WWE United States Championship at WrestleMania 35.

On last night's Smackdown, Rey Mysterio revealed he would challenge Joe for the strap at the April 7th event. His son, Dominic, was there to hear the news and stated that he will be there in attendance to see his father's match.

Dominic has been training to become a wrestler. Therefore, I have a feeling he'll somehow play a part in how this match concludes.

Sky Bet has put the challenger up as a 2/1 outsider.

Tuesday, 19 March 2019

BetOnline's WWE WrestleMania 35 Markets Published

BetOnline is the latest sportsbook to publish betting markets for this year's WrestleMania.

As of the time of writing, customers can place wagers on five of the bouts that are scheduled to take place on April 7th.

The Miz has opened as a -400 favourite to beat Shane McMahon (+250) in the clash between former WWE Smackdown Tag Team Champs. 

Triple H is -250 for his meeting with former protege, Batista (+170).

The recently re-signed AJ Styles has opened as a +125 underdog for his match with Randy Orton. Those looking to back the heel in a babyface-heavy card (on paper!) can find Orton at -165.

Speaking of babyfaces - the most popular person currently on the WWE roster, Becky Lynch is -500 chalk for her WWE Raw Women's Championship challenge against titleholder, Ronda Rousey (+250) and the third participant in the triple threat match - Charlotte Flair (+800).

WWE Universal Champion, Brock Lesnar, is an outsider for his defence against 2019 Royal Rumble winner, Seth Rollins. A win for the titleholder has opened at +170. Those looking for Rollins to slay The Beast can back him at -250.

I expect more markets will be published as we head nearer to the event. They can be found under 'Wrestling' on the sportsbook menu on THE BETONLINE WEBSITE.

Latest Odds For Kurt Angle's WrestleMania 35 Opponent

Kurt Angle's WrestleMania 35 Opponent

Here are the latest prices for Sky Bet's market in which customers can place wagers on who they believe will face Kurt Angle in a singles match at WrestleMania 35.

I published a post this morning noting that - after Baron Corbin was announced as Angle's opponent on last night's episode of Raw - the ex Raw General Manager was slashed from 6/1 into 2/9 favourite.

An hour after I checked in, I noticed his price has drifted out slightly. He is now at 1/4 after John Cena was snipped into 3/1 from 9/2.

I believe Cena has been backed by people who are hoping that Angle .vs. Corbin being announced last night is merely a setup to a bigger match in Angle versus Cena.

Strowman Now Favourite To Win Andre The Giant Battle Royal And More

Braun Strowman has now become a favourite to win the Andre the Giant Memorial Battle Royal at WrestleMania 35 in a betting market that's available from Sky Bet.

The Monster Among Men announced his intention to compete in the match during last night's edition of WWE Raw and is now 6/5 to overcome the field.

When I checked in last night, Strowman was at 16/1. Customers could have found him at 33/1 when the market was first published on February 16th.

Fortunately for me, I was thinking about potential things for Strowman to do at WrestleMania and the only thing that seemed logical from my guesswork was to be in the battle royal. I placed a few pounds on him at 20/1 on Friday evening.

With Strowman currently in a 'feud' of sorts with the Saturday Night Live comedians, I thought it was worth asking Sky Bet if those names could be added to the list as well.

The end scene should be Strowman celebrating the win with the two men (for press), but I felt the need to have small wagers on the comics just in case of some silly conclusion where either one of them has their hands raised in victory.

The two names - Colin Jost and Michael Che - have both been added at 80/1 each.

In related news - with Kurt Angle seemingly set to wrestle in a singles match at WrestleMania, it looks like the streak of early favourites not winning the Andre the Giant Memorial Battle Royal has continued.

Angle started off as the early favourite to win the battle royal when it first opened in mid-February. His name will be added to the table below in time for next year's edition of the match.

Andre The Giant Memorial Battle Royal Early Favourites .vs. Winners History

Only time will tell whether Braun Strowman finds his way in the 'Winner' column. After two previous years of being an early favourite, it sure would be ironic if he finally wins it after starting off at longer odds.

Sky Bet Still Taking Bets On Angle's WrestleMania Opponent

In the first post of the day, I wrote about Sky Bet's 'Who Will Be Kurt Angle's Singles Opponent?' market for WrestleMaia and joked that I might be getting ahead of myself by declaring the 'Baron Corbin' selection a winner before it'll be settled on WrestleMania Sunday.

It seems that I really was jumping the gun.

I assumed Sky Bet's market wouldn't be reopened following last night's announcement by Kurt Angle that Baron Corbin will be his final opponent.

The firm has republished the market with Corbin now the betting favourite at 2/9. This is a drop from the 6/1 customers would have found him from Sunday right up to an hour before Raw.

I suppose, with the way WWE has been lately with matches being changed on the fly, that this is why the market has been republished. I think the match will go ahead as planned, but at least one person I've chatted to today - Abraham in the comments section of this post - is hoping John Cena takes Corbin's place as Raw comes from Cena's neck of the woods, Boston, next week.

Here's how the odds were looking as of 11AM GMT today.


5Dimes Mania 35 Update For March 19th (AM)


5Dimes' WrestleMania 35 Odds

There's still nothing to report on the 5Dimes Sportsbook's markets for WrestleMania 35.

All prices remain as they were when I first wrote about them on Sunday evening.

Angle Is 1/3 To Beat Corbin At WrestleMania 35

Kurt Angle is a 1/3 favourite to win his farewell match at WrestleMania 35.

A market for the match, which will see Angle end his career against Baron Corbin, was published this morning with Angle a short fave to get the job done.

Corbin has been priced at 9/4.

Angle revealed who his opponent would be during a segment on last night's edition of WWE Raw. Sky Bet and Kambi were both taking bets on who Angle's opponent will be at WrestleMania.

Sky Bet installed Corbin at 5/1 on Friday and cut into 9/2 by Sunday afternoon. He eventually drifted out to 6/1 by Sunday and closed at that price last night.

I might be getting ahead of myself, but have already golded out the Corbin selection as a winner in the table below.

Baron Corbin To Face Kurt Angle At Mania 35 Betting Odds
Sky Bet's Kurt Angle Market

Monday, 18 March 2019

Closing Odds For Kurt Angle's WrestleMania 35 Opponent

Sky Bet's market, in which customers could place bets on who they believe will wrestle Kurt Angle in a singles match at WrestleMania 35 - has now closed.

I had been publishing daily updates since the market was first put up. The closing odds slightly differ from the most recent update from this afternoon.

Shelton Benjamin's momentum continued following my 3:30PM GMT visit.

Kurt Angle's WrestleMania 35 Opponent Betting Odds

As you can see, Benjamin had moved from 9/2 into 7/2 sometime after the update and before 9:40PM.

Angle is set to reveal his opponent on tonight's Raw.

Kurt Angle Mania 35 Opponent Betting Update For March 18th


The takeaway from this afternoon's visit is that Shelton Benjamin has shot up the board into second-favourite position. He was 14/1 at 3:30PM GMT yesterday and - as of 3:30PM today - is 9/2. I also noticed him at 12s when I browsed this morning.

I have a strong feeling why Benjamin's price has fallen this far. 

On Saturday, Benjamin sent out a tweet stating that a WrestleMania match between he and Angle would be an 'instant classic' and urged people to 'make it happen'. Angle replied to this with an 'I'm Game!!!!'

A few news sites picked up on this. The one that caught my attention the most was the Mirror. It had an article published in the early hours of this morning based off those tweets alone. The tone was in absolutes which may have people - non fans included - who might think that Benjamin will be Angle's opponent.

As a result of the interest in Benjamin, the oddsmakers have moved the favourite - John Cena - out from 4/6 into 8/11. The Mirror mentioned Cena in the article, but wrote that a Cena .vs. Angle match doesn't look possible because a Cena .vs. Samoa Joe match 'seems increasingly likely' for WrestleMania. 

If you've been following along, I'd think that a John Cena .vs. Samoa Joe match is now increasingly unlikely following last week's Smackdown, which saw Rey Mysterio pin Joe in a tag team match. 

The entire list of names - along with their current odds - can be viewed below. There has been a new selection added in Matt Riddle (12/1). He too has used Twitter to convey his wish to be Angle's final opponent by writing 'The answer is simple Kurt and the answer is BRO this is what the fans want and deep down it's what you need! Riddle Vs Angle for the world'.

Angle is set to announce his opponent on tonight's edition of WWE Raw.

Who Will Face Kurt Angle At WrestleMania 35?

Sunday, 17 March 2019

5Dimes' WWE WrestleMania 35 Odds

The 5Dimes Sportsbook began to publish its WWE WrestleMania 35 betting markets this weekend.

Customers can wager on the five matches that are so far confirmed for the event with more markets expected to be put up once new bouts are added to the card.

Randy Orton is a -160 favourite to defeat AJ Styles (+120) in the clash of Smackdown stars. Another bout that has been playing out on Smackdown has The Miz at -505 to get a win over his former tag team partner, Shane McMahon (+335).

Batista is a +230 underdog for his no holds barred battle with Triple H. A win for the latter will pay out at odds of -310.

WWE Universal Champion, Brock Lesnar, is a +175 outsider for his defence against 2019 Royal Rumble winner - Seth Rollins. The challenger is -245.

Becky Lynch is -350 to win the WWE Raw Women's Championship in what could be the main event of the night. Her opponents in the triple threat match are titleholder, Ronda Rousey and Charlotte Flair. They've been priced at +350 and +950 respectively.

Prices correct as of 10PM GMT today.

5Dimes' WWE markets are found under 'Pro Wrestling' on the sportsbook's website. The sportsbook's founder is still missing as of the time of writing - please read this post for most of the details.

Backing An AJ Styles .vs. Randy Orton Mania RequestABet

I have just placed another speculative punt on a WrestleMania 35 RequestABet on the Sky Bet website.

For it to win, I need Randy Orton to beat AJ Styles at WrestleMania and then for Styles to move to Raw in the Superstar Shakeup that's currently set for mid-April.

The selection is 3/1 and the actual wording is - 'Randy Orton to defeat AJ Styles and AJ Styles to be moved to Raw in the Superstar Shakeup following WrestleMania 35'.

I've already stated that I have backed Orton to defeat Styles on April 7th. I also have a feeling he'll end up moving over to the red brand following WrestleMania, so I backed the option without hesitation.

Angle's WrestleMania 35 Opponent Odds Update For March 17th

I have just my daily visit to Sky Bet's market in which customers can place bets on 'Kurt Angle's Singles' Opponent' at WrestleMania 35. There have been a handful of adjustments since yesterday.

John Cena is still the favourite. His price has now been cut into 4/6. It was at 4/5 but was at 5/4 when I first came across the market three days ago.

Baron Corbin - who was added on Friday at 5/1 - is now a 9/2 joint second favourite along with Finn Balor. 

Balor was 7s when I last noted the odds.

Another wrestler whose price has decreased is Shelton Benjamin. As I mentioned in yesterday's post, Smackdown's Benjamin was brought to Raw last week to compete against Seth Rollins and has history with Angle as he was a member of Team Angle in the early 2000's. He was listed in a WWE.com article of 'Dream Opponents' for Angle's last match. 

Kurt Angle's WrestleMania 35 Opponent Betting

Six other selections' prices have increased with these names moving in. The most notable is The Undertaker, who started off as a 5/2 second-favourite but is now up to 5/1.

Angle is due to announce who his opponent will be on tomorrow night's episode of WWE Raw.

How Kambi's WWE Fast Lane 2019 Observer Head-to-Head And Prop Markets Were Settled

On Thursday, I published a couple of posts concerning how the oddsmakers from Kambi settled a number of their Wrestling Observer Newsletter star ratings specials for last weekend's WWE Fast Lane 2019. I am now finishing off this series by covering other star ratings markets that were available to customers before the PPV.

Head-to-Heads
Kambi regularly publishes star rating head-to-head markets on the weekend of WWE PPVs. In these markets, the oddsmakers put two matches up and customers have to bet on the bout they believe - out of the two -  will receive the most stars in Dave Meltzer's review of the event. Two markets were released for Fast Lane.

WWE Championship .vs. Raw Tag Team Championship
The bookies were forced to void the head-to-head for the WWE Championship match versus the one for the Raw Tag Team Championship after Mustafa Ali was added to the meeting between Daniel Bryan and Kevin Owens.

Per the rules 'Only ratings given to matches with participants as advertised at the time of bet placement (regardless of any eventual changes to match stipulations) will be taken into consideration for settlement purposes'.

For what it's worth, the customers had sided with the tag match to outdo Bryan and Owens as the 'Raw Tag Team Championship' selection was snipped from 23/20 into 9/10 between Saturday afternoon and Sunday morning. The 'WWE Championship' had moved to 11/10 from EVS and the selection that covers a tie rose to 2/1 from 17/10.

Becky Lynch/Charlotte Flair .vs. The Shield/Corbin, McIntyre, Lashley
The second head-to-head was not affected by the card changes. It had Becky Lynch .vs. Charlotte Flair up against what turned out to be the main event.

It also turned out to be the match of the night.

The Shield .vs. Baron Corbin, Drew McIntyre and Bobby Lashley was awarded four-and-a-half stars. This was two-and-a-half more than its opposing match received in Meltzer's review.

The winning selection was backed from 4/6 into 1/2 between Saturday and Sunday. There was also a sign that the 'Same Star Rating' selection may have been backed as it was adjusted from 2/1 into 9/5.

Fast Lane 2019 Betting - Observer - Lynch/Flair .vs. Shield/Corbin, McIntyre, Lashley

Props
A handful of proposition markets were installed over the weekend. They were titled things like 'Brand Dominance', 'Curtain-Raiser' or 'Joint-Winners'. I've put an image of all of the titles and odds below. Then, underneath that, I'll explain the rules and see how the odds changed for each prop.

Kambi's Wrestling Observer Star Rating Prop Bets For WWE Fast Lane 2019

Lowest Rated
Even though it wasn't in the same section as the other props, the bookies were taking bets on the WWE Smackdown Championship match receiving the lowest amount of stars in Dave Meltzer's review of the event. The rules stated that the bets stood 'regardless of any changes in the card(s) and/or match stipulations' so I would guess that the dud in the unannounced Kofi Kingston .vs. The Bar match meant that it was not the lowest rated match on the night as Asuka .vs. Mandy Rose earned one-and-a-quarter stars. Therefore, the 'No' won at odds of 11/10.

Brand Dominance
The prop bet titled 'Brand Dominance' asked  'Any Raw match (including Becky Lynch .vs. Charlotte Flair and Women's Tag) to be solely awarded the highest Star rating (including pre-show but excluding joint winners and matches not advertised before the start of the event).

As we now know, The Shield .vs. Corbin. Lashley and McIntyre was the winning match of the night with four-and-a-half stars, Therefore, those who backed 'Yes' were left holding winning betting slips.  The selection fell from 5/4 into 11/10 between Saturday and Sunday morning. However, by 9:55AM GMT on Sunday, the bookies adjusted the market once again and were offering it at a slightly better 23/20 after the 'No' was moved into 8/13 from 13/20.

Curtain Raiser
Curtain Raiser's rule was for the 'First match to start on the main card to be awarded the highest star rating (including joint winners and pre-show but excluding matches on advertised before the start of the event).

As you'll see, I've put asterisks next to the opening odds. I guessed that there was a palpable error as the 'No' being offered as a 6/5 outsider seemed far too generous. The market was taken off the board shortly afterwards. When I checked back in later that night, I noticed it had been republished and the 'No' was at a more understandable 4/6.

The opening match was The Usos .vs. Shane McMahon and The Miz. It earned three-and-a-quarter stars, so was short of beating the main event's number.

Joint-Winners
The market titled 'Joint-Winners' was for '2 or more matches to be awarded the highest star rating (including the pre-show)'.

'No' was backed from 11/20 into 13/25 by Saturday morning and - as you've figured - this was the winning selection as the main event was a sole winner.

Main Event
The 'Main Event' prop was for the 'Last match to start to be awarded the highest star rating (including joint-winners and pre-show but excluding matches not advertised before the start of the event)'.

This was obviously settled in favour of 'Yes' . Customers would have found it at 9/5 on Saturday and then at a slightly higher 2/1 on Sunday because the punters evidently thought 'No' was the call.

Title Match
In the 'Title Match' prop, customers were wagering that 'A match valid for any Championship to be awarded the highest star rating (including joint-winners and pre-show but excluding matches not advertised before the start of the event).

The trios match was not for a title, so the correct play would have been to take the 'No'. It had moved out from 13/10 into 8/5 as the punters backed 'Yes'.

Women
The rule of the prop market titled 'Women' was for 'Any match featuring only women as active participants to be awarded the highest star rating (including joint winners and pre-show but excluding matches not advertised before the start of the event)'.

Kambi started off with the 'No' at an unsurprisingly short 1/6, but it was cut to 1/7 the following morning.

Two of the matches featuring ladies received one-and-a-quarter stars each while the other - Becky Lynch .vs. Charlotte Flair - was given two. The favourite obviously won.

This is the final part of my look back at the Observer specials for WWE Fast Lane 2019. You can view links to the other two parts below:



Kambi has already published markets for WrestleMania 35, so you can read about those markets by following this thread of posts that are labelled Observer Betting here at WWELeaks.org.  You can check the latest Observer markets by checking in with the website listed below.

Styles .vs. Orton Mania Market Published By Sky Bet

Sky Bet customers can now bet on the AJ Styles .vs. Randy Orton match that is set to take place at WrestleMania 35.

Orton has opened as a 4/6 favourite.

A decision in favour of Styles will pay out at odds of 11/10.

As mentioned in previous posts, I have already backed 'The Viper' because I feel that - on paper - the Mania card is stacked with potential babyface wins. I am sure there's going to be a surprise here and there, but - as it stands - Orton getting the W makes the most sense to me with most of the other possible results being on the side of fan favourites.

Saturday, 16 March 2019

Kurt Angle's WrestleMania Opponent Odds Update For March 16th

I have just taken my daily look through Sky Bet's market in which customers can place wagers on who they believe will face Kurt Angle in a singles match at WrestleMania 35 to note any changes since I looked at them yesterday afternoon.

The first thing I noticed is that John Cena's price has once again been snipped. The favourite is now at 4/5. This is is a dip from yesterday's EVS and the 5/4 from forty-eight hours earlier.

Kurt Angle's WrestleMania 35 Opponent Betting Odds

With Cena moving in, the second-favourite selection of The Undertaker has risen to 3/1. It was 11/4 yesterday and 5/2 at the start.

Since the last visit, WWE has revealed that Angle will announce his opponent on this coming Monday's episode of Raw. With this being topical, the WWE website has written an article naming 'dream opponents' for Angle. The wrestlers that appear on this list - in order - are: John Cena, Shelton Benjamin, Samoa Joe, Chad Gable, The Undertaker, Rey Mysterio, Roman Reigns and Drew McIntyre.

Only Mysterio and Reigns are missing from Sky Bet's list. With that said, I suspect now that they've been named in the article the chance of getting those matches are somewhat slim. 

Just like on Thursday when I realised Baron Corbin wasn't available on Sky Bet's list, his name not appearing in WWE's article is glaring when you consider he had been at odds with Angle since last year.

I'd call Corbin a 'Nightmare Opponent' for Angle's last match.

Finn Balor is another name who did not make the article's list of potential opponents. I had backed him at 12/1 when the market was first installed because I would like to see that match. I have since lowered my expectations (see yesterday's post), but I am interested to see whether there is some hope as - on Raw - Balor will team up with a mystery partner to take on Bobby Lashley and Lio Rush. It could be Braun Strowman, I guess, but I have my fingers crossed that it'll be Angle before or after he has revealed who he'd like to face at WrestleMania.

Anyway, back to Sky Bet's market - two new names have been added since yesterday's update. The new selections are Hornswoggle and the aforementioned Benjamin.

Hornswoggle is 100/1. I recall Angle did comedy angles with minis in the past, but cannot remember if he did anything with Hornswoggle back in 2007. I'm sure it might be a case of my brain blocking something out, though!

Shelton Benjamin is 16/1. He was a member of Team Angle back in the early 2000s and was brought back to Raw on Monday night to face Seth Rollins as the latter prepared for Brock Lesnar. It's understandable, with that history, to see his name requested/added.

More Mania 35 Observer Props From Kambi

The oddsmakers from Kambi have added more Wrestling Observer star ratings prop bets to their coverage of WWE WrestleMania 35.

I wrote about another prop bet in the section - titled 'Joint Winners' in this post from yesterday. The additional props that have been installed since then are 'Pre-Show', 'Title Match' and 'Women'.

The Pre-Show market asks 'Any match happening on the pre-show to be awarded the highest rated star rating (including non-advertised matches and joint-winners)'.

The 'Yes' has been given odds of 7/2 and the 'No' is 2/13.

The market named 'Title Match' is for 'A match valid for any Championship to be awarded the highest star rating (including joint winners and pre-show but excluding matches not advertised before the start of the event)'  with the 'Yes' option at 1/8 while its opposing choice is 4/1.

Finally, the prop titled 'Women' proposes 'Any match featuring only women as active participants to be awarded the highest star rating (including joint winners and pre-show but excluding matches not advertised before the start of the event'. The 'No' is favoured at 7/20 while the 'Yes' is available at 19/10.

Similar markets were published for the most recent PPV - WWE Fast Lane 2019 - I wrote about them when they were first installed and will write a follow-up soon.

Friday, 15 March 2019

Angle/Cena And Reigns/McIntyre Feuds Markets Published

Sometime today, Kambi's oddsmakers published two new 'Feuds' markets. One is for Kurt Angle .vs. John Cena and the other is for Drew McIntyre .vs. Roman Reigns.

They were obviously priced up with the idea that these bouts could take place at WrestleMania 35.

On this week's edition of WWE Raw, Kurt Angle announced that he'll wrestle his last match on April 7th. He'll reveal who his opponent will be on the upcoming episode of Raw.

John Cena is the betting favourite to be Angle's WrestleMania dance partner.

As of this evening, the bookies have both men at 17/20 in the Feuds market.

Another thing coming out of Raw was a tease of a match between Roman Reigns and Drew McIntyre after the latter attacked Reigns before he was set to wrestle Baron Corbin.

The beating strongly hinted that it'll be Reigns versus McIntyre on April 7th.

Reigns is a 1/4 favourite while McIntyre is 5/2.

Kambi's Feuds markets allow customers to bet on potential match-ups before they are confirmed by WWE. For these markets to have action, a bout between the two parties has to be advertised at least twenty-four hours before it occurs. If no qualifying match happens from the moment the bet is settled right up until the end of WrestleMania 35, the bookies will void bets on that particular market.

With bets being voided if a match doesn't happen, I've placed a small wager on Kurt Angle to win against John Cena. If it is Angle .vs. Cena in the former's farewell match, I think it would be a nice send-off for Angle to go with a win.

Another Look At Sky Bet's Kurt Angle Special For WrestleMania 35 Opponent

In a post published a day ago, I pointed out that the oddsmakers from Sky Bet had released a market where clients could bet on who Kurt Angle will meet in a singles match at WrestleMania 35.

With it being almost twenty-fours since the post was published, I've checked back in with the market to note any changes that have been made.

When I first came across the market, I felt that Baron Corbin was a conspicuous absence because - in storyline - he does make sense to go up against Kurt Angle seeing as they have had a feud going on dating back to last year.

Corbin is now available. He's 5/1. However, looking at the market, it's another name that makes sense who has shortened since yesterday - John Cena.

Cena was a 5/4 favourite, but he's now down to EVS. His WWE debut came in a segment with Kurt Angle, so it's easy to assume that he could be the person who'll meet Angle in what is being billed as a farewell match.

WWE WrestleMania 35 Betting - Kurt Angle's Opponent

In yesterday's post, I mentioned that I had backed Finn Balor at 12/1. I took the gamble because I liked the 12/1 and thought that WWE having Balor lose the Intercontinental Title on Monday night may have been to free him up to take on Kurt Angle.

Shortly after the post, people started reacting to a WWE Network image of WrestleMania 35 with Balor in his Demon makeup. 

Even though there has been one occasion in the past when Demon Balor has appeared in advertising for an upcoming WWE PPV on the WWE Network and regular Balor has appeared in graphics on WWE TV for the very same show, I have to currently go with the suggestion that we'll get Demon Balor challenging Bobby Lashley for the title.

If you recall, Balor won the strap in a handicap match by pinning Lio Rush. Therefore, now that Balor has lost the belt back to Lashley, it would make sense for Balor to go after the Intercontinental Champion and this time, as the Demon, pin the titleholder to regain the strap.

Yes, I've written my way out of thinking Balor will face Angle on April 7th...

Jonathan Good (Dean Ambrose) Next Promotion Special

Kambi has installed a betting market in which customers can place wagers on Jonathan Good's status within the professional wrestling industry beyond April.

Good - AKA Dean Ambrose - is, according to WWE, not renewing his contract that is set to expire at the end of April. As a result of this, Kambi was willing to put up a special allowing punters the opportunity to bet on Good's next match following the expiration of the contract.

The odds for the promotion of Good's next match - after 23:59 Pacific Time on May 1st - are:

WWE 13/10
Any Unlisted Promotion 13/25

It's worth noting that WWE has uncharacteristically announced that Good is departing the company once his contract expires in a little over a month both officially to reporters and it has also played out in storyline.

With it becoming part of the build to - and during - WWE Fast Lane 2019, I felt that there was no chance he was leaving. However, in recent Wrestling Observer Radio podcasts and in this week's newsletter, Dave Meltzer has reported that - as of right now - Ambrose hasn't signed anything.

Meltzer wrote in this week's issue that he can 'totally see him being gone soon' due to how The Shield farewell and Ambrose losing to McIntyre was done on this week's episode of WWE Raw.

I've decided to go against this and have gambled on Good sticking with WWE. As noted, it's uncharacteristic of the company to both put out the news of talent leaving and have it play into parts of storylines.

Should Ambrose remain a member of the WWE roster beyond the contract ending, the market might not have long before  it's settled as WWE is scheduled to have another show from Saudi Arabia on May 3rd.

The market is found under 'Specials' on the websites with Kambi's WWE odds. An example can be found below.

Another Observer Mania 35 Prop Bet From Kambi

I have just published a post in which I wrote about the latest Wrestling Observer Newsletter star ratings markets for WWE WrestleMania 35 and, while writing about them, Kambi added a new prop market to its Observer markets for the pay-per-view.

The proposition is titled 'Joint Winners' and is just like a prop that was available last weekend for WWE Fast Lane. The punter can bet 'Yes' or 'No' to '2 or more matches to be awarded the highest star rating (including the pre-show)' in Dave Meltzer's review of WrestleMania 35.

'Yes' is 7/5 and 'No' is 1/2.

More Observer Mania 35 Markets From Kambi

The Kambi oddsmakers have installed more Wrestling Observer Newsletter star rating markets to their coverage of WWE WrestleMania 35 after first publishing a special at the start of the month.

As of the time of writing, the bookies have created Over/Under lines for five of the matches that are set for April 7th.

The matches, and the O/U lines, are:

AJ Styles .vs. Randy Orton - 4 Stars
Raw Women's Championship - 4.25 Stars
Shane McMahon .vs. The Miz - 3.25 Stars
HHH .vs. Batista - 3.75 Stars
Brock Lesnar .vs. Seth Rollins - 4.25 Stars

But that's not all.

Customers can also place bets on the 'Highest rated match on the card' in Dave Meltzer's review of the PPV.

Kambi Observer Betting - WrestleMania 35 Highest Rated Match

As you can see, there are three joint favourites in the WWE Championship, Raw Women's Championship and Universal Championship contests. They're 5/2 each.

Next up are AJ Styles .vs. Randy Orton and the expected Roman Reigns .vs. Drew McIntyre bouts at 7/2 each.

The bookies have included a double option at 4/1 in which customers can wager on 'Rey Mysterio .vs. Andrade or WWE United States Championship'. This is because both of these matches are unconfirmed as of right now and - based on how a tag match concluded on Smackdown, with Mysterio pinning US Champion Samoa Joe - there's a chance that Mysterio could end up being Joe's challenger at Mania. Either that or Mysterio is one of multiple challengers competing against the US Champ.

Another 4/1 option is to bet on the Cruiserweight Championship match. We know Buddy Murphy will defend his strap, but his challenger will either be Tony Nese or Cedric Alexander.

The no holds barred match is 19/2, the male tag matches are combined as one selection at 11/1, Shane McMahon .vs. The Miz is 20/1, the Andre the Giant Memorial Battle Royal is 40s, Any match featuring the ladies (apart from the Raw Women's Championship contest) is 50/1 and 'Any Unlisted Match' is 25/1.

Another regular Observer betting market that was published today is one where clients can guess the 'Exact star rating of the highest rated match on the card'.

Kambi Observer Betting - WrestleMania 35 Exact Star Rating Of Highest Rated Match

Before today, customers could bet on which match - out of the Universal Championship and Raw Women's Championship contests - will get the most stars when Dave Meltzer reviews the event. A similar market has been installed with the no holds barred match and Shane McMahon .vs. The Miz competing against one another for the most stars.

When the market went up this morning, the bookies had Triple H .vs. Batista as an 11/25 favourite. A win for the McMahon .vs. Miz bout will pay out at 11/5 while the option that covers the possibility of a tie - 'Same Star Rating' is 41/20.

The Universal Championship .vs. Raw Women's Championship was republished showing the same pricing as last week.  The Universal Championship match moved in from 5/4 into 23/20 when the market was put back up on Saturday.

Kambi Observer Betting - WrestleMania 35 Head-to-Head Universal Championship.vs. Raw Women's Championship

Now that these markets have been published, I plan to follow them right up to the night of the show and then publish a few posts once the issue of the Observer with Dave Meltzer's review of the event is released.

Kambi Installs WrestleMania 35 Match Winner Markets

The oddsmakers from Kambi have published match winner markets for some of the bouts that are set for WrestleMania 35.

Before today, the oddsmakers were taking bets on who would be 'Title holder at the end' of the show. The Universal Championship market is still available. However, they have now added the match winner market because Seth Rollins could win the match, but not the title.

The new match winner market has Rollins as a 1/3 favourite. His opponent is 2/1,

Triple H is also a 1/3 favourite to beat Batista (2/1) in the no holds barred match.

The Miz is 1/5 for his battle with Shane McMahon (3/1).

Finally, the latest match winner market is for a bout that was confirmed via WWE's social media platforms yesterday - Randy Orton .vs. AJ Styles.

Both Orton and Styles have been installed at 17/20.

This is the first match market I've seen for Orton .vs. Styles. In a post published yesterday, I was asked who I would pick to win. I replied that I'd prefer to wait until a market was available before sharing my opinion and - now that one has been published - I think it's safe to say that my money has gone on Orton.

On paper, the card is currently packed with potential babyface winners. A heel has to win from somewhere. Or should I say from 'outta nowhere'?

The storyline is all about how Orton has been a star on Smackdown long before Styles. I think Styles has a good chance of moving to Raw in a few weeks, so it doesn't really matter whether he loses to Orton here (in my opinion!).

I agree with the odds, though. It's really a toss-up, but I am going with Orton mainly because the show needs a few wins by bad guys to balance things out and this match seems one of those that would fit.

Thursday, 14 March 2019

How Kambi's Observer O/U Markets For WWE Fast Lane 2019 Were Settled

In a post published earlier today, I noted that the oddsmakers from Kambi have now settled their Wrestling Observer Newsletter star rating markets for WWE Fast Lane 2019 now that this week's issue - featuring Dave Meltzer's review of the event  - has been published.

The Shield's main event victory over the trio of Baron Corbin, Drew McIntyre and Bobby Lashley was the match of the night with a score of four-and-a-half stars. This meant that the match won the special in which customers could wager on the bout of the night. The score of four-and-a-half won in an 'Exact Star Rating' market. Both markets were covered in the earlier post. In this one, I'll go through the Over/Under specials and see what the winning sides were.

Seeing as I've already mentioned it, I may as well begin with the main event.


Six-Man Tag
Over 3.75 Stars
Exactly 3.75 Stars
Under 3.75 Stars
9/3 9:30AM
19/20
9/5
23/20
10/3 9:30AM
9/10
7/4
5/4
10/3 11:30PM
"
"
"


The bookies set the line at 3.75 stars. As I pointed out on Sunday, the customers appeared to have backed this one going over as the price dipped from 19/20 and 9/10. Those who backed the 'Over' were obviously on the correct side.

The main card started with The Usos successfully retaining the WWE Smackdown Tag Team Championship against The Miz and Shane McMahon.

Kambi set the line at 3.25. The betting went the way of the 'Under' as it dropped from 23/20 into 4/5 within the first day. The market was still showing the same pricing on Sunday evening, which was the last time I was able to look at this particular market.

SD Tag Team Championship
Over 3.25 Stars
Exactly 3.25 Stars
Under 3.25 Stars
9/3 9:30AM
19/20
9/5
23/20
10/3 9:30AM
13/10
19/10
4/5
10/3 8:30PM
"
"
"

The winning selection ended up being the middle option as it landed right on the bookie's estimate of three-and-a-quarter.

In Sunday afternoon's post in which I wrote about Bryan Alvarez's and Dave Meltzer's comments about this line, I left an aside where I pointed out that I expected Miz and Shane McMahon to split up after the match and felt the match wouldn't go 'Under'. With that said, I wasn't brave enough to bet on it. If I had, I would have still lost as there's more chance I would have backed 'Over' than the option to bet on 'Exactly 3.25 Stars'.

Asuka's WWE Smackdown Women's Championship defence against Mandy Rose followed the main card opener. Kambi had the line set at 2.75 and the 'Under' was the punters' choice as it was snipped from 23/20 into 4/6.

SD Women's Championship
Over 2.75 Stars
Exactly 2.75 Stars
Under 2.75 Stars
9/3 9:30AM
13/10
9/5
23/20
10/3 9:30AM
6/4
2/1
4/6
10/3 11:30PM
"
"
"

The consensus was spot on. The match was given one-and-a-half stars by Meltzer.

Following an unannounced Kofi Kingston .vs. The Bar handicap match, one of the bouts that was favoured to be match of the night was up.

The Revival's WWE Raw Tag Team Championship win over the teams of Chad Gable and Bobby Roode and Ricochet and Aleister Black was rated three-and-a-half stars by the newsletter's editor. You can see from the betting that the gamblers felt it had a strong chance of beating the line of 3.75.

Raw Tag Team Championship
Over 3.75 Stars
Exactly 3.75 Stars
Under 3.75 Stars
9/3 9:30AM
11/10
2/1
10/11
9/3 9:00PM
EVS
2/1
EVS
10/3 9:30AM
4/6
43/20
7/5
10/3 11:30PM
"
"
"

Unfortunately for them, it was the 'Under 3.75 Stars' that came out on top. The best price could have been found on Sunday morning when 7/5 was on offer. It had started off at 10/11 on Saturday.

Another unadvertised match followed. This time it was Samoa Joe's defence of the US Championship. This was succeeded by the WWE Women's Tag Team Championship match which saw Bayley and Sasha Banks successfully retain their straps against Nia Jax and Tamina.

Women's Tag Team Championship
Over 3.25 Stars
Exactly 3.25 Stars
Under 3.25 Stars
9/3 9:30AM
13/10
9/5
17/20
10/3 9:30AM
"
37/20
4/5
10/3 11:30PM
"
"
"

The bookmakers set the line at 3.25 Stars. The 'Under' dipped from 17/20 into 4/5. Those who forced the adjustment picked the right side as the bout was given one-and-a-quarter stars.

The Over/Under wagers for the WWE Championship match were cancelled when Daniel Bryan .vs. Kevin Owens was changed to a triple threat with Mustafa Ali added. 

Finally, we come to the star rating I was the most interested in as soon as I saw the line and right up until this morning's release of the Observer.

I strongly felt that we weren't going to get a proper match between Becky Lynch and Charlotte Flair. So, when I saw the line of 3.75, I backed the 'Under'. I gave my reasoning in this post from Saturday as I felt the chance of a good match was handicapped by the story they were trying to tell - Becky Lynch had an injured leg and, therefore, her chance of winning the match to get into the main event was slim. 

As you can see below, I wasn't alone in this assessment. Many people apparently backed the 'Under' as it descended from 13/10 into 4/11 by 11:30PM GMT on Sunday night.

Lynch .vs. Flair
Over 3.75 Stars
Exactly 3.75 Stars
Under 3.75 Stars
9/3 9:30AM
4/5
37/20
13/10
9/3 9:00PM
13/10
2/1
3/4
10/3 9:30AM
6/4
43/20
8/13
10/3 5:00PM
37/20
"
1/2
10/3 11:30PM
23/10
9/4
4/11

The bout was awarded two stars by the editor, which was even lower than my guess ahead of the match - 2.50.

In the next Observer-themed post, I'll take a look over more specials and props that were available over the weekend.


John Cena Favourite To Be Kurt Angle's Final Opponent

Sky Bet has installed a WrestleMania 35 betting market in which customers can place wagers on who they believe will wrestle Kurt Angle in what is being billed as his farewell match.

John Cena and The Undertaker are unsurprisingly at the top of the market.

As of the time of writing, Cena is a 5/4 favourite while Taker is 5/2.

Drew McIntyre, who I would guess is set to tangle with Roman Reigns, is next up at 8/1.

Other names listed are: Sami Zayn 9/1, Jason Jordan 10/1, Samoa Joe 10/1, Finn Balor 12/1, Chad Gable 14/1, EC3 16/1, Lars Sullivan 16/1 and Triple H who's 20/1.

As mentioned in other posts and comments following the news, I felt that John Cena would make for a good final opponent considering it was Angle who was in the ring when Cena made his WWE TV debut.

Cena was also the person who introduced Kurt Angle when the latter was inducted into the WWE Hall of Fame a couple of years ago.

I haven't bet on Cena. However, I have placed a small speculative punt on Finn Balor.

It's a long shot, but I am trying to come up with reasons why they would have Bobby Lashley regain the Intercontinental Championship from Balor and to transition the title from Balor for the time being - in order to get Angle .vs. Balor - was one of them. At 12/1, I thought it's worth a small bet.

A conspicuous absence on this list is Baron Corbin who had been at odds with Angle dating back to last year. In this week's Wrestling Observer Newsletter, Dave Meltzer surmised that Corbin could be the opponent as it makes sense from storyline perspective.

Fast Lane 2019 Main Event Wins Observer Match Of The Night Betting

Sunday's WWE Fast Lane 2019 main event - which saw The Shield defeat a trio made up of Baron Corbin, Bobby Lashley and Drew McIntyre - was rated the match of the night in Dave Meltzer's review of the PPV.

This week's issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter - featuring Meltzer's written reaction to the show - was published this morning.

The editor gave the bout four-and-a-half stars.

Kambi's oddsmakers have now settled all of the Observer star ratings betting markets that were published over the weekend.

The market in which customers could punt on the match of the night opened with the eventual winner available at 4/1. Despite being in competition with some strong matches on paper, the selection was backed into 3/1 by the following morning.

Wrestling Observer Star Rating Betting - WWE Fast Lane 2019 Match Of The Night

With the match of the night getting four-and-a-half stars another one of Kambi's markets will settle with the selection of 'Exactly 4.5 Stars' winning the betting on the 'Exact Star Rating of the Highest Rated Match'. The selection was 3/1 throughout the weekend.

Wrestling Observer Star Rating Betting - WWE Fast Lane 2019 Exact Star Rating Of Match Of The Night

These are just two of the Observer specials that were available to customers from Kambi. I'll write about the Over/Unders, Head-to-Heads and proposition markets in upcoming posts.