In today's post, I'll take a look at the markets of the wrestlers that were moved over from either NXT or Smackdown to Raw and see how their odds changed. Then - in a post that is scheduled to publish before Smackdown - I'll take a look at the prop markets for those who moved from NXT/Raw to the blue brand.
Before I begin, I'd like to point out that - as of the time of writing this post (Monday 10AM BST) - some of the wagers I placed are still unsettled (once they are, they'll be losing anyway).
Unless I am mistaken, I was under the impression they would be graded last week as the rules stated 'Results will be based on the final brand affiliation at the conclusion of Smackdown broadcast for the applicable week and will disregard any subsequent announcement or future stipulations'.
The aforementioned rule intrigues me because of what happened with Samoa Joe last week. According to reports, the US Champion was backstage at Raw but fell ill and his move from Smackdown was not confirmed on either show. Nor was it announced via the WWE website between Monday's Raw and Tuesday's Smackdown.
As Joe's move was not made official before the 'conclusion of (the) Smackdown broadcast for the applicable week', I believe the 'No' would be the winning selection once it's settled. IF, I have comprehended the rule correctly.
You can see in the table that - on the first day of the market - the bookies had Joe at 8/5 but, when the market was republished on March 31st, it was a shorter 13/10. The wagering from 31st of March right up to the last day the market was available points to gamblers backing Joe to stay with the blue brand.
Now I'll focus on those who officially switched brands on last week's TVs.
The markets were first installed on February 17th. This was before certain NXT talents popped up on WWE TV. Two of those names were Aleister Black and Ricochet. With both being moved up to work the two other brands ahead of the shakeup, Black and Ricochet were taken off the board.
Their prices on February 17th can be viewed below.
Black moving to a new brand from NXT was 3/5. Now that he has been confirmed for the Raw roster, the bets should be settled for 'Yes'.
The same goes for Ricochet in regards to him being a Raw talent. However, the bookies thought he would remain on the NXT roster as they had 'No' at 1/4. The eventual winning selection was 5/2.
(Update: There have been reports that Aleister Black has been moved to Smackdown. I'll explain more further down)
The Miz - who had jumped for most of the recent shakeups - once again made a move. This time, he went from the blue to red brand. With Miz moving frequently, I was not surprised to see the bookies have him at 1/3 to stay with Smackdown when the market was first priced up. His price to stick with Smackdown was even lowered to 1/4 by late-March.
The eventual winning selection opened at 2/1, drifted to 5/2 but dipped to 9/4 a couple of days before the market closed.
Rey Mysterio was another Smackdown wrestler who switched to Monday's show. The Mysterio market was offering 6/4 for Mysterio to change brands on February 17th. It was still at this price when the market was republished on March 31st but, by April 5th, the oddsmakers removed the market from their coverage. I don't know why for sure, but I would hazard a guess that they stopped taking bets on Mysterio moving to Raw because he worked the match against Baron Corbin on the April 1st edition of the show while still part of the Smackdown roster.
Andrade, who was brought up from NXT to Smackdown during last year's shakeup, has now found his way to Raw.
The bookies evidently didn't expect the move as the 'No' was 2/5 at open. The odds for Andrade to switch brands did dip from 7/4 into 8/5 when the special was republished however, the punters seemingly backed the option for Andrade to remain on Smackdown as the 'No' fell from 11/25 into 3/10 and then dropped to 2/7 on the last day of wagering.
(Update: As noted above, this post was written on Monday morning. Since writing, reports that Andrade has been moved back to Smackdown have circulated. I suppose this makes sense considering his real-life partner, Charlotte Flair, has remained on Smackdown. From a betting perspective, and how I have comprehended the blurb, the ruling should still be in favour of 'Yes' as Andrade was moved to Raw before the end of last week's episode of Smackdown concluded as the rules state that 'subsequent announcements' beyond the Smackdown do not count.
The same goes for Aleister Black, who was initially announced as being signed to Raw but is now apparently moving to Smackdown. This move kind of makes sense considering Black is married to Andrade's on-screen sidekick, Zelina Vega, in real-life).
AJ Styles is the last wrestler in Kambi's markets to move from Smackdown to a different brand.
The 'Yes' was 3/4 on February 17th. It was cut to 8/13 when the market was republished at the end of last month and was then backed into 3/5 and then 1/2 before it closed.
In tomorrow's post, I'll cover the winning 'Yes' selections for the wrestlers who were moved from NXT or Raw to Smackdown. This will be published an hour ahead of Smackdown.