Friday, 24 June 2022

Claudio Castagnoli A Betting Favourite To Oppose ZSJ At Forbidden Door

Claudio Castagnoli is a betting favourite to be Zack Sabre Jr's mystery opponent at the AEWxNJPW Forbidden Door PPV this weekend.

The oddsmakers from Kambi published a plethora of new markets for Sunday's event earlier today. One of which has given customers the opportunity to gamble on who will be Bryan Danielson's replacement against New Japan's ZSJ.

As of the time of writing, the former Cesaro has been installed at the top of the three selection market at 11/25.

Forbidden Door 2022 - Zack Sabre Jr. Opponent Betting

Johnny Gargano, who will be within the vicinity of the United Center on the morning of the show - because he is set to appear at an autograph signing event in Chicago - is a 33/20 second-favourite.

Those who believe it will be 'Any Other Participant' can get 11/4.

As for the match itself - the option to bet on 'Mystery Opponent' is a 4/9 favourite. A gamble on ZSJ will pay out at odds of 6/4.

Customers can also find a Wrestling Observer star rating over/under market for the contest. The line has been set at 4.75 Stars.

View Kambi's Pro Wrestling Markets

Thursday, 23 June 2022

BetOnline Pro Wrestling Markets News For 23 June

The bookmakers from BetOnline have been busy by putting up some markets for not only upcoming pro wrestling events, but also for two important bouts set for the start of 2023. In this post, I'll bring you up to speed with each news item.

BetOnline Publishes 2 Money in the Bank 2022 Match Markets
Customers of BetOnline can now bet on the results of the two women's championship matches that are scheduled to take place next weekend at WWE Money in the Bank 2022.

As of this evening, Bianca Belair (-1,400) and Ronda Rousey (-1,000) favourites to successfully retain their titles.

Carmella (+550) and Natalya (+450) are the respective challengers.

BetOnline's 2023 WWE Royal Rumble Markets Released
Betting has opened on the two Royal Rumble matches set for next January.

Cody Rhodes is a +125 favourite to win the men's battle royal. He's followed by The Rock at +550 and then Roman Reigns and Big E are each +800.

The women's Royal Rumble market has Becky Lynch at the top with a price of +250. She's followed by Bayley at +450. 

You can view all of the selections in the two markets by Following This Link To BetOnline

New Forbidden Door Match Markets
Earlier this week, BetOnline published markets for this weekend's Forbidden Door event which is a collaboration by AEW and NJPW. Here are the prices for the latest markets to be added to the website.

Gunn Club and Max Caster -200
NJPW LA Dojo +150

Bullet Club -150
Dudes With Attitudes +110

Mystery Opponent -180
Zack Sabre Jr. +140

Jay White -200
Kazuchika Okada +250
Hangman Page +500
Adam Cole

Changes Made To Previous Forbidden Door Markets
Adjustments have been made to the markets that were available before today. Here are all of the changes I've been able to track.

AEW x NJPW Forbidden Door 2022 Betting Odds

Miro's odds to become the first-ever AEW All-Atlantic Champion have slid into -130 from +125. As a result, the bookmakers have placed early +125 joint-favourite - Malakai Black - out to +175. PAC (+400) and Tomohiro Ishii (+800) have stayed at their opening prices.


AEW x NJPW Forbidden Door 2022 Betting Odds

FTR's odds to win the three-way for both the ROH World Tag Team Championship and IWGP Tag Team Championship fell from -150 into -310 in the first two days of betting. However, sometime today, their price was moved up slightly to -300.

Roppongi Vice are now +300 while United Empire representatives Great-O-Khan and Jeff Cobb are +400. They were initially +200 and +275 respectively.

AEW x NJPW Forbidden Door 2022 Betting Odds

When the market for Thunder Rosa's AEW Women's World Championship defence against Toni Storm was first published, the titleholder was -500 to Storm's +300. By the following evening, Storm was +275 and Rosa had moved up to -450.

By yesterday, Rosa was back to -500 favourite and Storm was moved up to +285.

AEW x NJPW Forbidden Door 2022 Betting Odds

Will Ospreay's odds to beat Orange Cassidy dropped from -800 into -1,000 sometime before yesterday evening. 

A win for Cassidy is now priced +550. That's up from +400.

AEW x NJPW Forbidden Door 2022 Betting Odds

Betting on the market for the trios match featuring Le Sex Gods and Minoru Suzuki facing Shota Umino, Wheeler Yuta and Eddie Kingston has seen the former backed from -150 into -300 across the three days of activity.

A win for Umino, Yuta and Wheeler went out from +110 to +200.

AEW x NJPW Forbidden Door 2022 Betting Odds

Jon Moxley's odds to beat Hiroshi Tanahashi in the match to determine AEW's Interim World Champion have fallen from -250 into -600 since the market was first installed.

Tanahashi - who started out as a +170 underdog - is now out to +350.

Prices were correct as of the time of writing.

View BetOnline's Pro Wrestling Markets

Wednesday, 22 June 2022

Selections Reinserted Into Paddy Power's MITB Markets

After watching Monday's episode of WWE Raw on Tuesday morning, I got in touch with Paddy Power's staff and asked them to reinsert a trio of selections into the Money in the Bank outright winner markets.

The first name I asked for was Becky Lynch.

In Monday's main event, Lynch failed to qualify for the ladder match following a qualification loss to Asuka. However, I have a feeling Lynch will find a way into the field via a last chance qualifier next week.

Ahead of the most recent episode of Raw, Paddy Power listed Lynch as a 5/4 favourite to become the 2022 Ms. Money in the Bank. She was removed from the market with her seemingly out of the running. Liv Morgan took the former WWE Raw Women's Champion's place as favourite. She had previously been third at odds of 4/1, but is now 7/4.

Asuka was 10/1 before Raw started, but has since dropped into 4/1 now that she is one of the confirmed participants.

The traders contacted me yesterday evening to note that the Becky Lynch selection has been reinserted. She is now 7/4 placing her alongside Liv Morgan and Alexa Bliss as 7/4 joint-favourites.

WWE Money in the Bank 2022

I wrote a few weeks ago about having backed Shayna Baszler to win the briefcase. She lost a qualifier to Raquel Rodriquez on last week's WWE Smackdown and was removed. Explaining the possibility of there being last chance qualifiers, I also requested Baszler to be once again added. She is currently 20/1, which is up from the 18s customers would have found her last week.

With all that said - of the two, I suspect Becky Lynch has the strongest chance of making the match through a last chance qualifier just because her desperation to be in the match has been a focus on TV. The story coming out of the main event was Lynch's agony of defeat rather than Asuka's ecstasy of winning. 

As I wrote over a week ago, Riddle was one of the people I had punted on to win the Money in the Bank briefcase because I suggested the possibility of the RK-Bro team member losing to Roman Reigns on Friday night and needing the Money in the Bank contract to overrule Friday's stipulation which states that he cannot challenge Reigns for the WWE Undisputed Universal Championship ever again.

On Monday night, Riddle brought up that loophole before losing his qualifier to Omos. After the loss, Seth Rollins attacked Riddle.

I have thought of many ways this could go (guessing it'll be Riddle vs Rollins at SummerSlam), and I'm not really sure we're going to have Riddle win the Money in the Bank briefcase, but I thought that it was worth asking for Riddle to be reinserted into the market as well just to see what price he could be with the belief that he was out of the hunt.

Those looking to gamble on Riddle will currently find him at 16/1. This is up from his most recent price of 14/1.

Seth Rollins remains a 1/2 favourite to leave the match with the briefcase.

Here are the prices for all of the confirmed participants as of this morning.

Men's Money in the Bank Ladder Match
Seth Rollins 1/2
Drew McIntyre 5/2
Omos 15/2
Sheamus 20/1

Women's Money in the Bank Ladder Match
Liv Morgan 7/4
Alexa Bliss 7/4
Asuka 4/1
Raquel Gonzalez 5/1
Lacey Evans 5/1

Saturday, 18 June 2022

Brock Lesnar Prematurely Placed As MITB Second-Favourite Following June 17 Smackdown Plus More

Brock Lesnar's odds to win this year's Money in the Bank were cut into second-favouritism following his surprise return at the conclusion of last night's WWE Smackdown. However, the adjustment appears to have been premature due to how the return storyline has progressed overnight.

Following his win against Riddle - in the main event of last night's show - WWE Undisputed Universal Champion, Roman Reigns, was confronted by his nemesis. The angle concluded with Lesnar giving his WrestleMania 38 opponent an F5.

Brock Lesnar and Roman Reigns on June 17 2022 Smackdown

As a result of Lesnar's return, his odds to win the July 2nd ladder match were cut from 20/1 into 5/2 on the Paddy Power website.

The reason why it seems like an irrelevant cut is because the closing angle seemed more to do with setting up Reigns' next opponent. That turned out to be the case because WWE has now announced that Reigns and Lesnar will compete once again. 

This time, they'll meet in a last man standing match at SummerSlam on July 30th.

Also on last night's episode of Smackdown, Adam Pearce revealed that Drew McIntyre and Sheamus would both be added to the July 2nd ladder match for the men's Money in the Bank briefcase.

McIntyre, who was a 5/1 second-favourite to win the ladder match yesterday, has risen to 6/1 following Lesnar's decrease. As for Sheamus - his price has fallen from 25/1 into 20s.

Seth Rollins remains a 1/2 favourite. Considering that Reigns .vs. Lesnar is the main event of SummerSlam, I now have a vision of Seth Rollins doing something similar to what he did at WrestleMania 31 and cash in a Money in the Bank contract on those two. 

Racquel Rodriquez won a qualifier to enter the women's Money in the Bank ladder match on last night's show. Her price is now 5/1, which is down from yesterday's 9/1.

Aaliyah (25/1) and Shotzi (16/1) will compete next week to decide who else will join Lacey Evans (5/1), Alexa Bliss (2/1 second-favourite), Liv Morgan (4/1). By then, we'll also know who'll be added out of the Becky Lynch versus Asuka qualifier which will air during Monday's WWE Raw. 

As of the time of writing, Asuka is 10/1 and Lynch is the 5/4 favourite to leave Las Vegas having won the ladder match.

Friday, 17 June 2022

More About MITB Betting

There is a note in this week's issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter which has strengthened one of the things I wrote about on Monday about Riddle's chances of becoming this year's Mr. Money in the Bank.

Dave Meltzer, when covering the possible reason why Roman Reigns versus Riddle has been moved from the Money in the Bank PPV/PLE to tonight's episode of WWE Smackdown, wrote that the decision to bring the match forward 'should make sense' by the end of tonight's episode.

As I wrote at the start of the week, I am starting to buy into the possibility of Riddle winning the briefcase.

There is a stipulation for tonight which states that Riddle cannot challenge Reigns for the title ever again if he were to lose.

One way to get around that stip is for Riddle to win the ladder match in a little over two weeks.

With Roman Reigns' reported opponent for SummerSlam - Randy Orton - now potentially out for the remainder of 2022, having Riddle lose in a certain way tonight and then win the briefcase on July 2nd could set up a Plan B with Riddle replacing Orton on the SummerSlam card.

When I last wrote about Riddle, and the Money in the Bank betting markets, Paddy Power had him as a 6/1 second-favourite. Following Monday's Raw, which was used to set up the stipulation for tonight, the oddsmakers pushed Riddle's odds for the briefcase win to 14/1.

In contrast - Kambi lists Riddle as a 4/1 joint-second favourite after a slight increase from 7/2.

With Riddle moving out with Paddy Power, the traders have cut the odds for the wrestler I have had at the top of my potential winner rankings since early this year.

Drew McIntyre, who was 16/1 on Monday, is now 5/1 with Paddy Power. To once again compare - McIntyre is alongside Riddle, at 4s, on the websites with Kambi's markets.

On this week's episode of The Bump, McIntyre brought up his intent to win the Money in the Bank briefcase and then use it to challenge Roman Reigns for the Undisputed Universal Championship at Clash at the Castle in September. That was something I considered a possibility before WWE confirmed that there would be a show in the UK in September.

So, as of right now, I will be comfortable with McIntyre or Riddle winning. I still cannot rule out Seth Rollins, but there is no value for me now due to him being the favourite.

Monday, 13 June 2022

Kambi's AEW Interim World Championship Market Republished

Kambi's betting market, in which customers can gamble on who they believe will leave AEW/NJPW Forbidden Door with the Interim AEW World Championship has been republished with the two remaining participants still in play.

Yesterday, during NJPW Dominion, Hiroshi Tanahashi defeated Hirooki Goto and - as a result - will now face Jon Moxley in less than two weeks to determine the reserve titleholder.

AEW Interim World Champion Betting (June 13 2022)

As of this morning, Jon Moxley remains a favourite. However, his odds have been pushed up slightly since the market was last available as they've increased from 2/5 to 11/20.

Tanahashi, who was previously 7/5, is now 5/4.

During yesterday's NJPW event, the company announced names for this year's G1 Climax. 

Tanahashi will be one of the tournament participants and - as I stated in a previous post about the Interim titleholder market - the reason why the belt exists is to have a standard bearer for AEW while CM Punk is absent. Therefore, it does not seem logical for Tanahashi to become the interim champion if he is heading back to Japan to compete in the G1.

Thinking About MITB 2022

I have been looking through Money in the Bank betting markets and thought I would freestyle some thoughts I have about the two matches.

The original reports for the WWE Undisputed Universal Championship match at Money in the Bank stated that Roman Reigns would face Riddle. However, the most latest news about the card stated that Reigns was not booked for it and this seems to be the case now that Reigns .vs. Riddle is set to take place on this Friday's edition of Smackdown.

I am now beginning to wonder if they're pushing Reigns .vs. Riddle forward so as to have Riddle be a participant in the Money in the Bank ladder match and ultimately win it.

Riddle is the current second-favourite to win the match. He's 6/1 with Paddy Power, which is down from the 9/1 customers would have found him in February. Kambi - on the other hand - has Riddle as a joint-favourite, at a shorter 7/2. He was initially an 8/1 second-favourite when Kambi's market was first published in late-January.

Even though I am curious about Riddle, I'm still holding out hope that Drew McIntyre becomes this year's Mr. Money in the Bank.

On Friday night, he and Sheamus wrestled to a double disqualification in their Money in the Bank qualifier. Following the contest, both McIntyre and Sheamus had backstage segments with Adam Pearce asking for admittance to the ladder match.

It would not surprise me if Pearce gives McIntyre and Sheamus another opportunity to qualify only for them to draw again resulting in both men finding their way into the July 2nd contest.

As of this weekend, Kambi has placed McIntyre as one of the 7/2 joint-favourites to win the match. He was 15/1 in January. 

If you're looking to back McIntyre, the value is with Paddy Power / Betfair because he is 16s there. Considering how the storyline to qualifying is going, and with McIntyre eyeing a title match in Cardiff (well, he's more or less guaranteed he'll be Reigns' opponent at Clash at the Castle), I still think he should not be overlooked to win the briefcase and use that to confirm his intention to battle Reigns on his neighbouring turf.

The other 7/2 joint-favourite, in Kambi's market, is Seth Rollins. He's a much shorter 5/6 with Paddy Power.

A strong argument could be made for a Rollins win if you consider that Cody Rhodes declared an interest in winning the briefcase in his promo on Monday night before Rollins' attack which - in storyline - was what forced Rhodes to face lengthy time on the shelf. 

Rollins winning the briefcase, technically at the expense of Rhodes, is logical in a lot of ways. It would also rehab him from his three big losses to Rhodes since WrestleMania.

Another thing which made me consider Rollins as a strong favourite (even though I haven't bet on him myself) is the fact that he and his wife, Becky Lynch, apparently appear in one of the posters for the event.

WWE Money in the Bank 2022

I saw the poster on Twitter over the weekend and it is on the Wikipedia page for the event, so I am close to trusting that it is genuine. If so, it should get people to ponder the possibility of Rollins and Lynch winning their respective ladder matches to become Mr and Mrs Money in the Bank. 

It would suit both of their wacky characters.

From a betting perspective, Lynch is a favourite to win the women's ladder match. She's 7/4 joint-fave, alongside Alexa Bliss, in Paddy Power's market and is at the top - with a price of 21/10 - in Kambi's.

Earlier in the year, Lynch would have been found at longer odds due to her being a champion at the time the markets were created. For example, Kambi listed her at 17/2.

Just like with Rollins, I don't have any bets on Lynch winning the women's ladder match. My wagers have sided with Lacey Evans and Shayna Baszler. 

Evans has already qualified. I gambled on Baszler because I believed they have an easy-to-tell story with Baszler and Ronda Rousey being friends. A way to kickstart their feud is through an attempted cash-in. Having Rousey currently in a program with Baszler's ally - Natalya - has only strengthened my confidence that Rousey .vs. Baszler could be on the horizon. 

Whether it's done via a cash-in is another thing, though.

Friday, 10 June 2022

3 Names Left In AEW Interim World Championship Market

With only three names left in the hunt to become AEW's Interim World Champion at Forbidden Door in a little over two weeks, Kambi has republished a market with readjusted odds.

On Wednesday's episode of AEW Dynamite, Jon Moxley beat Kyle O'Reilly to secure his place in the June 26th decider. He will meet either Hiroshi Tanahashi or Hirooki Goto, who'll compete against each other at NJPW Dominion on Sunday.

AEW Interim World Champion At Forbidden Door Betting

As of the time of writing, Moxley remains a favourite. His odds are now at 11/25. They were initially 6/4 when the market was installed on June 4th.

A decision for Tanahashi or Goto will pay out at 7/5 and 14/1 respectively.

Tanahashi's odds to beat Goto on Sunday have once again declined. They currently into 1/16 after falling from 2/13 into 1/14 between Monday night and early Tuesday evening.

Hiroshi Tanahashi .vs. Hirooki Goto (NJPW Dominion Betting)

A win for Goto, at Dominion, will pay out at odds of 6/1. They have increased from 7/2.

View Kambi's Pro Wrestling Markets

How Kambi Will Settle Its Observer Star Ratings Markets For WWE HIAC 2022

This week's Wrestling Observer Newsletter, with Dave Meltzer's review of WWE Hell in a Cell 2022, was published this morning.

Now that Meltzer's report has been released, Kambi's oddsmakers can settle the star ratings markets that were released for the event.

Over/Under markets were created for all of the bouts that took place on the night. Their lines and results can be found in the table below.

WWE Hell in a Cell 2022 Observer Star Ratings Results

The match of the event was the Hell in a Cell match which saw an injured Cody Rhodes victorious over Seth Rollins. 

The contest received five stars from Meltzer, which - if I am not mistaken - is the first time, since the John Cena versus CM Punk match at Money in the Bank 2011, that a match on the main roster received at least five stars.

There have been NXT bouts that have earned five or more since '11.

View Kambi's Pro Wrestling Markets

2 MITB Qualifiers Set For Tonight's Smackdown

Unless there's a change to the line-up, tonight's WWE Smackdown will have two Money in the Bank qualifiers.

In a women's qualifier, the returning Lacey Evans will compete against Xia Li while, in a contest for eligibility to the men's ladder match, Drew McIntyre and Sheamus will compete.

As far as the outright betting markets, for both Money in the Bank ladder matches, Evans is 14/1 (she had most recently been 25/1) with Paddy Power while Li, who is 33/1 with Paddy Power, is a best price 40/1 with the oddsmakers from Kambi.

Kambi does not have Lacey Evans available as of the time of writing.

June 10 2022 WWE Smackdown

Paddy Power had Drew McIntyre at 12/1 to win the men's ladder match. However, earlier this week, the firm pushed his odds up to 16/1. Kambi - on the other hand - currently lists the Scotsman at 6/1, which is in from the 15/1 customers would have found him when the market opened earlier this year.

Sheamus started out at 66/1 in Kambi's market back in January. He is currently 50/1 with Kambi. Paddy Power is offering the best value - to those keen to back Sheamus to once again become Mr. Money in the Bank -  with a price of 88/1.

The current favourites to win the ladder match on July 2nd are Seth Rollins (3/1 Joint-FAV Kambi, EVS Paddy Power) and Riddle (3/1 Joint-FAV Kambi) as well as Becky Lynch (7/4 Joint-FAV Paddy Power, 2/1 Kambi) and Alexa Bliss (7/4 Joint-FAV Paddy Power).