Thursday 24 July 2014

WWE Battleground's Bray Wyatt .Vs. Chris Jericho Match Decision Covered In This Week's Wrestling Observer Newsletter

In this week's issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter, Dave Meltzer noted the odds swings that occurred in betting on this past weekend's WWE Battleground pay-per-view and shed some light on something I was unable to answer regarding the Bray Wyatt vs Chris Jericho match result.

Jericho's win on Sunday was an upset, from a betting perspective, as he had entered the bout with a price of +600 (7.00 EU, 6/1 UK).

The speculation coming out of Sunday was that the result was a last-minute decision as the inside bettors would have evidently moved the line as they had done with most of the other Battleground markets. Meltzer had even speculated on this himself in his late-Monday/early-Tuesday podcast over at F4WOnline.com

When covering the Battleground show in this week's publication, the editor stated that - even though a Bray Wyatt win was pencilled in heading into the weekend - the decision 'was not last minute' but was definitely made some time on Sunday.

If we look at the table below, we'll notice that Jericho's odds did drop from 9pm and 11pm BST on Sunday evening. However, they did drift back out around the time when the majority of the huge bets came in.


In a week filled with speculation over what could have happened, I have been wondering whether the insiders bet on the match at all or did so earlier than they did with the rest of the card. I question the timing because the 9pm -11pm change saw quite a fall. Another assumption I have: did news of the change in reach the right people in time? If it didn't, it explains why Bray Wyatt went from -300 to -1350 when the other match markets began to shift.

Only speculation and assumption on part, I'm afraid.

All I know, and as I had stated earlier this week in replies to comments, Chris Jericho winning was the right decision even if the oddsmakers and bettors didn't think so.


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