Sunday 23 August 2015

Going Over The Prop Markets For Tonight

Don't forget, it's not only SummerSlam matches that you can wager on tonight. There are a few betting websites out there that are offering customers the chance to punt on other things happening during tonight's show.

These prop markets allow the client to bet on things like how many German suplexes Brock Lesnar will execute on the evening or whether there'll be a referee kayoed in any of the matches.

There are three sportsbooks with these speciality bets. They are: the bwin Sportsbook, Paddy Power and Betfair. In this post, I'll run through the markets, explain what the odds are and I might even share my own predictions.

How Will The Main Event End?

This market isn't a prop as such, but it's exclusive to bwin. It gives customers the opportunity to predict how tonight's main event between Brock Lesnar and The Undertaker finishes. The odds have been out since late July. Here are the current prices:

Undertaker by pinfall 4/5
Lesnar by pinfall 7/4
Either wrestler by disqualification 2/1
Draw 12/1
Undertaker by submission 16/1
Lesnar by submission 20/1

I have ruled out the submission wins for either wrestler. That's the best I can offer on this one!

Sheamus To Cash In

This is being offered by all three. If you think there is a chance Sheamus will cash in his immediate title shot tonight, the best price you can currently get is the 13/8 from Betfair. 

If you think he will not show up and execute his contract stipulation, the 67/100 from Bwin is where you should make your punt.

I haven't bet on this market. If I did I would go with 'No'. I think Sheamus' cash in will be saved for another time possibly against Roman Reigns if (a) he remains a babyface and, most importantly, (b) becomes champion.

Sting To Make An In-Ring Appearance

This one is on offer from Paddy Power. The earliest odds I have for this market had the 'Yes' and 'No' both 5/6. As of 1pm BST today, the 'Yes' is 11/5 and 'No' is 3/10. The people that have bet don't think he'll be a part of the show.

What I do know is he is in the area doing publicity for WWE.

One caveat about taking this bet is that the bookie will pay out only if he appears 'in-ring'. Over at Betfair, the traders have set a line where they'll pay out if he appears 'in-house' this means anywhere around the ringside area. He's 8/11 in that market.

Kane To Make An In-Ring Appearance

Another one from Paddy Power. The earliest 'Yes' I have is the 7/4 and 'No' is 4/11. As of the time of publishing, 'Yes' is 6/5 with 'No' 4/7. The money has been going on 'Yes'.

And I can't blame them for thinking so. I've stated on here in previous posts that him getting involved in either of the two big matches does make sense.

Like with the Sting prop, Betfair is showing Kane as 1/6 to make an in-house appearance.

Kurt Angle To Make An In-Ring Appearance

It's from Paddy Power. It isn't going to happen. The 'No' is 1/25.

Betfair is offering 66/1, though.

The Rock To Make An In-Ring Appearance

This has a good shout, in my opinion. The word going around (via Dave Meltzer) is that what ever plans there are for WrestleMania will be a little more clear by Monday. Could something be planted on Sunday?

The 'Yes' has been 4/11 for days. 'No' is 15/8.

'Stone Cold' Steve Austin To Make An In-Ring Appearance

I did not think he would and placed a bet on 'No' when the odds were 5/4 on Wednesday. They're now 1/4 following the news that Austin has returned back home after doing work for WWE's upcoming video game.

If you still believe he'll show, you can find him at 5/2 with Paddy Power. The best price is with Betfair where he is 10/1 (and he doesn't even have to climb any ring steps for you to cash in if he is there!).

Other Appearances

The Betfair Sportsbook has a long list of other names that people can bet on. All these stars have to do is appear at ringside. Some interesting prices are: Ric Flair 4/6 (he's in town and was shown on camera during yesterday's NXT show. Don't forget, Charlotte is on tonight's card), Ronda Rousey 6/4 (remember what I wrote about the big thing for WrestleMania 32?), Jushin Liger 14/1 (also in the city).

A Referee To Be Knocked Out In Any Match On The Night?

This is a Betfair special. The 'Yes' is 4/6 while the 'No' is 11/10. I have been writing for the past few PPVs that this is due to come in soon and it hasn't cashed in. 

Yet.

Any Title Match To End In A Disqualification

The 'Yes' is 1/2 with 'No' 6/4. 

We're really only looking for the WWE Championship .vs. US Championship match here as it would be hard for multi-man matches to be booked to a DQ. That's not to say it hasn't happened. I just think it's too much of a cop-out. What I am trying to state is this - if you think Seth Rollins or John Cena will be disqualified in order for the two belts to remain around the waists of their respective champions, you have to take the 1/2.

If not - go with the 6/4 because I can't see a DQ in any of the other title matches.

Total German Suplexes Delivered By Brock Lesnar On The Night

Betfair has set the line at 3.5. The 'Over' opened at 5/6 but has been bet down to 8/11. I was initially looking at the 'Under' as, if you recall, The Undertaker ended up concussed the last time the pair wrestled. My thought is they will be conservative with how many Germans Lesnar delivers to the Deadman to ensure the same thing doesn't happen this year.

It's worth noting, however, that the prop doesn't state 'Total Germans delivered by Brock Lesnar to The Undertaker' on the night. It's total German suplexes period. If you have bet on a referee being knocked out, one German to a ref might be enough for two of your betting slips to cash in.

For what it's worth, the 'Under' is now set at EVENS.

Total Time Taken For Undertaker's Entrance

Another good one from Betfair. The line has been set at 3 minutes 30 seconds. Both 'Over' and 'Under' have been chalked up at 5/6.

I'm picking the 'Under'. This is mainly because this isn't a stadium show and the walk will be shorter. I have even gone so far as to watch a bit of a Tables, Ladders & Chairs PPV from the Barclay's Center just to see how the arena was set up for that show (you could also keep an eye on last night's NXT TakeOver event to get an idea of the set up).

I hope you enjoyed this walk through. Prop betting is an added element of fun and is popular in other sports like American football. It does make the experience of watching a wrestling event even more entertaining if you're looking out for things for your bet to come in. If you plan on betting on any of these, or have already done so, good luck!

Odds taken from:




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