One of the things I note is how many favourites or underdogs won on a particular show. The reason why I'm sharing this with you today is because I am putting the Carmella's team versus Natalya's team from Sunday down as an 'upset'.
As we know, there was a late flip in the market just before the PPV. We witnessed the heavy favourites, Natalya's group, move out from -2000 to +1000. They entered the match as +1300 outsiders yet ended up being victorious after the returning Nikki Bella pinned Carmella.
The bets that came in on the team late on Saturday, when they moved from +350 to -300, could be attributed to people with knowledge of the eventual result backing the trio. However, I have reluctantly opted to call this match an 'upset' even though the tell is pointing to inside money landing either on the Saturday night or early Sunday morning before SummerSlam.
The reason is simple - when I keep record, I go by what the closing odds are so that's why I am backed into regarding the SummerSlam favourites as going 12-1 (92%).
For those of you interested, here are the four years of SummerSlam wagering has gone starting with 2013, the first event I covered properly here at WWELeaks.org.
SummerSlam 2013: 6-2
SummerSlam 2014: 8-0
SummerSlam 2015: 9-0
SummerSlam 2016: 12-1
Overall: 35-3 (92%)
35-3, 36-2.. whichever way you look at it, you cannot deny that it's just a coincidence. Something that is still being suggested after all these years.
35-3, 36-2.. whichever way you look at it, you cannot deny that it's just a coincidence. Something that is still being suggested after all these years.
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