Sunday 19 May 2019

MITB 2019 Observer O/U Update For Sunday Afternoon With Line Opinions From Today's WOR

WWE Money in the Bank 2019 Over/Under Star Ratings Lines

Here are the latest Over/Under Wrestling Observer Star Ratings lines and prices for tonight's PPV.

The lines were discussed on this morning's edition of Wrestling Observer Radio, so - when I go through the price adjustments below - I'll point out some of the opinions that were voiced by Dave Meltzer and Bryan Alvarez.

Daniel Bryan and Erick Rowan .vs. The Usos
The 'Over 3/25 Stars' selection has moved in from 11/10 to 21/20 for the Kick Off tag team match.


Bryan/Rowan .vs. The Usos
Over 3.25 Stars
Exactly 3.25 Stars
Under 3.25 Stars
18/5 9:20AM
11/10
43/20
17/20
19/5 10:30AM
21/20
23/10
"

On the podcast, Dave Meltzer says that he thinks there's a chance the match will go over three-and-a-quarter because Daniel Bryan and The Usos are in it. Bryan Alvarez wasn't as confident in its chances of getting better than 3.25 and cited previous times when they thought a pre-show match could beat the line and the rating was affected by a short match with a commercial in the middle.

Tony Nese .vs. Ariya Daivari
'Under 3 Stars' has dropped from 4/5 into 7/10 in the market for the Cruiserweight Championship match.


Cruiserweight Championship
Over 3 Stars
Exactly 3 Stars
Under 3 Stars
11/5 11:25AM
5/4
2/1
4/5
19/5 10:30AM
13/10
43/20
7/10

When the line was brought up, Meltzer took a short pause and said that 'it could' go over, but he felt more compelled to guess it'll go under.

Men's MITB Ladder Match
Dave Meltzer strongly believes that the men's ladder match will deliver. He pointed out nearly all of the participants in the match and said they have a good shot at getting a 'killer match'. Therefore, I think it's safe to presume that he thinks it'll do better than four stars.

Men's MITB Ladder Match
Over 4 Stars
Exactly 4 Stars
Under 4 Stars
11/5 11:25AM
4/5
2/1
5/4
19/5 10:30AM
7/10
43/20
13/10

As you can see, the market shares this opinion as the 'Over' has been snipped from 4/5 into 7/10.

Becky Lynch .vs. Lacey Evans
The gamblers have continued to bet against Becky Lynch and Lacey Evans earning two-and-half stars or more in the WWE Raw Women's Championship match. As you can see below, the 'Under 2.5 Stars' selection fell from 19/20 to 3/4 and now rests at 3/5.

Raw Women's Championship
Over 2.5 Stars
Exactly 2.5 Stars
Under 2.5 Stars
11/5 11:25AM
19/20
9/4
19/20
15/5 3:30PM
6/5
"
3/4
19/5 10:30AM
6/4
"
3/5

Meltzer didn't specifically say much about the line. He did say that this is a huge spot for Lacey Evans and indicated that her inexperience in matches like this could have some sort of affect on its rating.

Roman Reigns .vs. Elias
Meltzer didn't really say much about the Roman Reigns .vs. Elias match. Bryan Alvarez did, though. He is confident that the match will fall below the line of three stars. His opinion is coming off having seen the two wrestle on a house show. He felt that match was nowhere near three.

From a betting perspective, the customers are evidently of the same opinion as Alvarez as the 'Under 3 Stars' has been on a descent since the market was first opened last week. It kicked off at EVS and - as of 10:30AM BST today - is down to 1/2.

Reigns .vs. Elias
Over 3 Stars
Exactly 3 Stars
Under 3 Stars
11/5 11:25AM
EVS
2/1
EVS
12/5 2:00PM
11/10
"
9/10
15/5 3:30PM
5/4
43/20
3/4
18/5 10:00AM
13/10
9/4
4/6
19/5 10:30AM
33/20
12/5
1/2

Becky Lynch .vs. Charlotte Flair
When the line of 3.25 Stars was released for the Smackdown Women's Championship, I felt it was far too low. Just to highlight my point - I predicted they would have set it at four. With it being far below my estimate of where the line would be, I had to take the 'Over'.

Meltzer also thought the line was too low when he mentioned it this morning.

SD Women's Championship
Over 3.25 Stars
Exactly 3.25 Stars
Under 3.25 Stars
11/5 11:25AM
EVS
13/5
4/5
15/5 3:30PM
19/20
9/4
19/20
18/5 10:00AM
EVS
"
9/10
19/5 10:30AM
17/20
"
21/20

As you can see, the most recent adjustment points to the 'Over' being liked as it fell from EVS to 17/20. It's worth pointing out that by 10AM BST yesterday morning, the odds for 'Under 3.25' were snipped from 19/20 to 9/10.

The Miz .vs. Shane McMahon
Going by Dave Meltzer's reaction to the line of two-and-a-half stars for the Miz versus Shane McMahon steel cage match, I get the feeling he thinks it could go either way. He didn't seem compelled to pick a side. 

The gamblers appear to think it'll go under. As you can see below, the selection has moved in from 3/4 into 3/5 and has stayed at this number right through to at least this morning.

Miz .vs. McMahon
Over 2.5 Stars
Exactly 2.5 Stars
Under 2.5 Stars
11/5 11:25AM
5/4
43/20
3/4
15/5 3:30PM
6/4
9/4
3/5
19/5 10:30AM
"
"
"

Samoa Joe .vs. Rey Mysterio
When talking about the three-and-a-quarter line for the US Championship match, Meltzer said that - if Samoa Joe and Rey Mysterio are given enough around twelve minutes they 'should kill three-and-a-quarter'. 

The obvious concern is if they'll be given enough time to put on that kind of match.

US Championship
Over 3.25 Stars
Exactly 3.25 Stars
Under 3.25 Stars
11/5 11:25AM
EVS
2/1
EVS
19/5 10:30AM
19/20
9/4
19/20

Both the 'Over' and 'Under' have been cut from EVS into 19/20 this morning. 

Seth Rollins .vs. AJ Styles
Meltzer is very high on the chance that Seth Rollins versus AJ Styles will exceed the line of four-and-a-quarter stars.

The editor pointed out that the pair have wanted to work together for some time and feels that the bout has potential to be 'fantastic'.

The oddsmakers have cut the 'Over' from 17/20 into 7/10.

Universal Championship
Over 4.25 Stars
Exactly 4.25 Stars
Under 4.25 Stars
11/5 11:25AM
17/20
39/20
6/5
19/5 10:30AM
7/10
2/1
7/5

Kofi Kingston .vs. Kevin Owens
The line of three-and-a-half stars for the WWE Championship match seems 'about right' to Meltzer and Alvarez.

From a betting perspective, this is the only O/U market for Money in the Bank 2019 that has been stationary since the market was first put up on May 11th.

WWE Championship
Over 3.5 Stars
Exactly 3.5 Stars
Under 3.5 Stars
11/5 11:25AM
3/4
2/1
13/10
19/5 10:30AM
"
"
"

Women's Money in the Bank Ladder Match
The customers who have been wagering on the women's Money in the Bank ladder match appear to believe that the line of 3.5 Stars has been set too high as the 'Under' has descended from EVS into 8/13.

Women's MITB Ladder Match
Over 3.5 Stars
Exactly 3.5 Stars
Under 3.5 Stars
11/5 11:25AM
EVS
2/1
EVS
15/5 3:30PM
11/10
"
9/10
18/5 10:00AM
6/5
41/20
4/5
19/5 10:30AM
7/5
23/10
8/13

Alvarez and Meltzer both agreed that the line is indeed higher than what they expect will be delivered later on tonight.

Notes taken from today's edition of Wrestling Observer Radio (Subscription Required) and odds from Kambi's WWE Markets.

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