Thursday 16 September 2021

AEW All Out 2021: Results Of Kambi's Observer Markets

The recent issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter, which came out last weekend, had Dave Meltzer's review of AEW All Out 2021. This meant that all of the star ratings betting markets - published by Kambi for the PPV - were settled by the bookmaking company.

The most notable thing about Meltzer's coverage of the event is that the AEW World Tag Team Championship match, which saw the Lucha Brothers beat the Young Bucks for the straps inside a steel cage, was given five-and-three-quarter stars.

This result means that Kambi settled 'AEW Tag Team Championship' as the winning selection in the market which allowed customers to gamble on what they thought would be the 'Highest Rated Match of the Night'.

AEW All Out 2021 - Highest Star Rating Betting

Opening as a 4/6 favourite - when the market was published on 2nd September - the eventual winner's price began to drift due to apparent interest in the second favourite: the selection for Kenny Omega's AEW World Championship defence against Christian Cage. The option moved in from 4/1 to 11/10 across the three days of availability.

By the day of the show, 'AEW Tag Team Championship' was an 11/10 joint-favourite alongside what turned out to be the second best match of the night with four-and-a-quarter stars.

A prop market, which asked whether or not there would be a match on the card which ultimately scored five stars or more, was settled with 'Yes' winning as a starting 13/10 underdog. As you'll see - in the table below - the selection was backed in the days leading into the PPV and was down to EVS a few hours before betting was suspended.

AEW All Out 2021 - Observer Prop Bet

With there being a difference of one-and-a-half stars between the tag match and Omega .vs. Cage, Kambi settled another prop market, this time asking whether there would be a half-a-star or more difference between the top match and the next best, with 'Yes' declared as the winning selection. It was 8/5.

AEW All Out 2021 - Observer Prop Bet

The 'Joint Winners' prop market - in which the bookmaker asked whether one or more matches on the card would receive the highest number of stars in Meltzer's review - was settled with 'No' winning as a 4/9 favourite.

AEW All Out 2021 - Observer Prop Bet

The Omega versus Cage main event featured in a head-to-head market in which customers gambled whether or not it would receive more stars than CM Punk versus Darby Allin or tie for an equal number.

AEW All Out 2021 - Observer Betting

Punk's winning meeting against Allin received three-and-three-quarters from Meltzer. Therefore, 'AEW World Championship' was the winning pick.

Going by the odds movement, it appears as though some customers were on the correct side because the selection was backed from EVS into 8/13 over the three days the market was available.

Two other head-to-head specials could have been found for the PPV.

AEW All Out 2021 - Observer Betting

In one, the four stars Jon Moxley and Satoshi Kojima picked up for their bout was enough to win as a 6/5 second favourite behind Chris Jericho versus MJF, which received a quarter of a star less than its opposition.

The tie came into play in the head-to-head between Miro versus Eddie Kingston and Brit Baker versus Kris Statlander.

AEW All Out 2021 - Observer Betting

Both title matches were given four stars apiece in Dave Meltzer's report. As a result, 'Same Star Rating' was graded as the 7/4 winner.

The most popular star ratings markets - the Over/Unders - were also settled over the weekend when the current issue was released. The lines and results for all of the matches can be found below.

AEW All Out 2021 - Wrestling Observer Star Rating O/U Results

You'll notice that, of all those matches, only five received a score of five stars or more. This result was important for the settlement of a proposition market which asked whether there would be at least six matches with a score of four stars or more.

AEW All Out 2021 - Observer Prop Bet

'No' started out as a 4/9 favourite over the 6/4 for 'Yes'. A couple of days later, it was apparently backed into 2/5 moving 'Yes' out to 7/4. However, a day later, both selections returned to where they started off due to the eventual loser seemingly being backed into 6/4.

I'll return to the star ratings posts following the release of Dave Meltzer's report for WWE Extreme Rules 2021.

Kambi has already released O/U markets for the matches that are currently being advertised and one that is no longer on the card.

Roman Reigns versus Finn Balor has a high line which is set at 4.5 Stars. It's followed by Damian Priest versus Sheamus and Becky Lynch versus Bianca Belair, which both have their respective over/under lines set at 3.75 Stars.

For what it's worth, and it isn't worth much anymore, the bookmakers also set Bobby Lashley's WWE Championship defence against Randy Orton at 3.75 stars.

The WWE Raw Women's Championship match between Charlotte Flair and Alexa Bliss has a low O/U of 2 stars.

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