With NJPW Wrestle Kingdom 18 taking place early tomorrow, I have gone through all of my notes from the betting markets for the event to share with you all the things I've noticed since the markets were published last year.
In this post, I'll go through the card in its potential order and show you who are the favourites, underdogs and possibly the punters' picks to win.
IWGP Jr. Heavyweight Tag Team Championship
The winners of last year's Super Jr Tag League - Catch 22 - were installed as underdogs when betting for their title challenge against Clark Connors and Drilla Moloney from Bullet Club.
As you'll be able to see, the wagering has sided with Francesco Akira and TJP because their odds have recently fallen into favouritism. They're currently -150.
The titleholders, despite starting out as -350 faves, are now out to +110.
NJPW World TV Championship
NJPW World TV Champion - Zack Sabre Jr. - is favourite to retain his strap with NJPW's newest president - Hiroshi Tanahashi.
ZSJ was -140 when I first started to follow this market on November 15th. However, on New Year's Day, I noticed the favourite's price had dipped into -200.
A decision for Tanahashi is currently priced at +150. It was +100 in mid-November.
Yota Tsuji .vs. Yuya Uemura
A market for the Yota Tsuji .vs. Yuya Uemura singles match has recently been installed with the former a -350 favourite over the +225 for Uemura.
House of Torture .vs. Kaito Kiyomiya and Shota Umino
Another new market on the board is for the tag team match which will see EVIL and Ren Narita - from House of Torture - take on NOAH's Kaito Kiyomiya and NJPW's rising star - Shota Umino.
The bookies have the House of Torture representatives -200 faves to the +150 for Kyomiya and Umino.
In my opinion, the traders should have Kiyomiya and Umino favoured here.
NEVER Openweight Championship
Shingo Takagi has been a -300 favourite to retain the NEVER Openweight Championship with a decision over Tama Tonga since mid-November.
A win for the challenger will pay out at odds of +200
IWGP Tag Team and Strong Openweight Tag Team Championship
The current holders of the IWGP Tag Team Championship - Bishamon (YOSHI-Hashi and Hirooki Goto) - have been dipping this week with their odds moving in from +150 into +130 sometime before New Year's Day and has since been snipped into +100.
The team of El Phantasmo and Hikuleo remain favourites despite their odds moving up from -200 to -140 in this period.
IWGP Jr. Heavyweight Championship
The BetOnline customers appear to be siding with El Desperado to get a win over the current IWGP Jr. Heavyweight Champion - Hiromu Takahashi.
As you'll see, in the table below, the challenger's odds were at +150 on November 15th, but were reduced into +120 by December 22nd. Then - on December 27th - they were at +110 and now, as of today, they've descended into -120.
3-Way For IWGP Global Heavyweight Championship
A new IWGP Global Heavyweight Champion will be crowned in this match featuring ONE permanent New Japan Pro Wrestling roster member.
This market opened shortly before it was announced that Will Ospreay was set to sign for All Elite Wrestling. Following that news being revealed, Ospreay's price to win this match went out from -120 favourite and has been as high as +800.
David Finlay's odds plummeted from +200 into -1,250 following the Ospreay news but have since moved up to -1,000 due to some possible interest coming in on an Ospreay win because the Ospreay selection was taken off the board on December 30th and had returned the following day at a shorter +500 from its previous +800.
The third man in the match - Jon Moxley - has risen from +350 to +800.
Kazuchika Okada .vs. Bryan Danielson
The odds for a Kazuchika Okada win over Bryan Danielson have been backed from -400 all the way down into -2,000 between November 15th and New Year's Day.
This one-way traffic, likely because Danielson scored a win over Okada when they met in the main event of AEW Forbidden Door last June, has seen Danielson drift from +250 to +700 in this period.
IWGP World Heavyweight Championship
Tomorrow's main event will see IWGP World Heavyweight Champion - SANADA - defend his title against G1 Climax winner - Tetsuya Naito.
The challenger has been backed from -1,000 into -5,000 between November and this week.
As a result of Naito's price dropping across those weeks, his former LIJ stablemate has been pushed up from +500 to +900.
I should be back in time for the start of the event with all of the closing favourites. Until then, you can check the latest odds by visiting BetOnline's website below.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Thank you for reading this post. Please note: All comments are moderated and will be published or rejected at the blog owner’s discretion.
Summer 2020 Update:
Due to changes with the blogging platform (not getting notified of new comments), I have had to close the comment section. Until I find a remedy, you can reach out on Twitter (@WWELeaksDotOrg)
Note: only a member of this blog may post a comment.