Saturday 20 May 2017

Paddy Power's WWE Backlash 2017 Favourites For Friday Night / Saturday Morning

The evening has seen some heavy WWE Backlash favourites established on the Paddy Power website.  In this post, I'll point out all of the faves as of 11:30pm, their odds, how far they've fallen and an interesting note from the Friday before Payback.

  • Tye Dillinger remains a 1/6 favourite to win on the pre-show. The market was published sometime today. 
  • The Welcoming Committee are 1/10 to get a result against the trio of Becky Lynch, Charlotte Flair and WWE Smackdown Women's Champion, Naomi. The current faves were 13/8 outsiders when the market first opened on Wednesday.
  • The Usos are 1/14 to successfully retain the WWE Smackdown Tag Team Championship against Breezango. They were 4/6 in midweek.
  • Kevin Owens - who opened at EVS - is now 1/7 to get a result over AJ Styles in the US Championship market.
  • Luke Harper is 1/14 for his meeting with Erick Rowan. The market opened with Harper a 4/6 favourite
  • Despite being a 4/7 favourite, Baron Corbin is not the selection that was backed when the prices changed this evening. Sami Zayn has mildly lowered from the 7/4 he was at the start of the day into 5/4
  • Shinsuke Nakamura opened as a 4/11 a few days ago. He's now down to 1/25.
  • Jinder Mahal has been resting at 3/10 after entering favouritism this evening. His odds have nosedived from 7/2.
It's all written in this post, but look at what happened on the Friday before Payback 2017:

  • Seth Rollins fell from 5/6 into 2/5
  • Chris Jericho dropped from 4/1 into 6/4
  • The Hardys had moved from 2/5 to 1/3 during the daytime
  • Enzo and Cass dropped from 4/7 into 1/2
  • Braun Strowman was lowered from 1/2 into 3/10
  • Bray Wyatt went from 5/6 into 8/13
All six selections ended up winning on the Sunday. 

I didn't forget Alexa Bliss or Austin Aries. I simply didn't note their price changes on the Friday before Payback because their markets remained stationary when every other market moved. Both selections ended up flipping later that weekend. As for the Friday - I believe it's safe to conclude, with the benefit of hindsight, that the two matches were still undecided when the other results were set in stone.

It'll be interesting to see if there is a similar pattern this time.

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