Saturday, 15 July 2017

Road To WrestleMania 34 Odds For July 15th

In the most recent post, I looked through the Kambi oddsmakers' betting markets where customers could bet on whoever they believe will be holding some of the major championships in WWE by the close of WrestleMania 34. The four markets weren't the only specials I looked through today. I've also gone through the 'Road to WrestleMania 34' prices to see if how the punters have been wagering since I last looked at them.

There are two kinds of 'Road to WrestleMania 34' specials. The first is a market with a long list of names. If any of the selections go on to win the WWE World or Universal Championship at any point between the bet being struck and the close of WrestleMania 34, then it will be deemed a winner. Market number two features a selection of head-to-heads where clients can choose whether Wrestler A, Wrestler B or Neither Wrestler wins a major title first between the time of the bet right up to the close of Mania.

To Win Either World Or Universal Championship
Here's how the list of names looks as of the time of writing.

Road To WrestleMania 34 World Or Universal Championship Betting Odds From Kambi
Click on image to expand

There have been a few price changes since I last looked through the market last month. Here's what I've noticed.

Selections That Have Increased 
The Miz has drifted out from 7/2 into 4/1
Seth Rollins has moved out from 6/4 to 7/4
Samoa Joe from 6/4 to 2/1
Finn Balor from 6/4 to 7/4
Bray Wyatt from 3/1 to 7/2

Selections That Have Been Cut
Roman Reigns' price has been slashed from 1/15 into 1/34
Kevin Owens has moved in from 3/4 into 7/10
John Cena from 1/4 into 1/10
Braun Strowman from 3/5 into 1/2
Baron Corbin from 1/7 into 1/10
AJ Styles from 1/8 into 1/10

I'll go through each of the matchbet markets that are available to the customers, point out the current odds for all three selections and note where the prices differ in contrast to my recent visit.

Cesaro .vs. The Miz
This market is a non-mover. The 'Neither Win Title' option is still a 1/15 favourite, The Miz is 4/1 and Cesaro is 8/1.

Braun Strowman .vs. AJ Styles
When I last checked in, I noticed that Braun Strowman had seen some action as his price had been lowered mildly from 5/2 into 2/1 while AJ Styles moved to 2/5 from 3/10. Since then, the traders have moved Styles back to 3/10 but kept Strowman at 2s. The option to wager on neither wrestler winning one of the two major championships in WWE has been increased from 4/1 into 6/1.

Dean Ambrose .vs. Seth Rollins
The customers have continued to back 'Neither' in the market where Dean Ambrose and Seth Rollins are head-to-head. It has been cut from 4/9 into 1/4 while Ambrose has moved from 4/1 to 11/2 and Rollins has moved from 7/4 into 47/20. Judging by the close of this week's Raw, it would appear as if the two will be tied together as allies for the time being. This should keep both out of the title picture despite Seth Rollins announcing that he wanted a Universal Championship match.

Kevin Owens .vs. Sami Zayn
This market has sided with 'Neither' as it has been cut from 6/4 to EVS. Kevin Owens winning one of the majors has been extended from 4/6 to even money. Sami Zayn has stayed at 3/1.

Baron Corbin .vs. Bray Wyatt
This year's Money in the Bank winner - Baron Corbin - has been backed from 1/5 into 1/10. I am not surprised considering he is holding an immediate title shot while Bray Wyatt is now floating in upper-midcard feuds on a show where title shots are limited. Wyatt has been increased from 8/1 to 10/1 while the 'Neither Win Title' has moved up from 9/4 to 3s. This could appeal to the punters who believe that Baron Corbin's cash-in will take place later than WrestleMania 34 or even to those who wanting to gamble on Corbin cashing in before Mania, but failing to win the big one before April 9th.

Roman Reigns .vs. John Cena
When I first saw this market published, I immediately thought that there was a chance of both Reigns and Cena winning the respective championships on the same night (WrestleMania 34) and thought the settlement of this market would rely on how the card was structured for Mania. Which would take priority - Cena's record or Reigns' coronation?
With John Cena now able to compete on Raw, and the reports from a few weeks ago that the SummerSlam main event had changed, a Roman Reigns versus John Cena showdown at Mania is no longer out of the question. 

For the next few weeks at least.

If the reports turn out accurate - and it is Reigns versus Lesnar at SummerSlam - Roman Reigns could be the winning selection in this market.

Click on image to expand

Cena's odds were cut from 7/4 into 11/20 in early June. However, now that it has returned, it is apparent that Roman Reigns' price to win a title first has moved in from EVS to 1/3. In my opinion, I think the punters have backed Reigns under the belief that he will challenge - and beat - Brock Lesnar for the Universal Championship on August 20th. 

If Reigns isn't the champ coming out of the PPV, I'd guess that the original plan for him to unseat Lesnar at WrestleMania could still be in play and that would mean we'd be back to square one wondering if John Cena's title win will come ahead of Reigns' crowning at Mania.

The markets - when available - can be found alongside a plethora of other WWE specials and PPV match odds on the websites that use Kambi pricing. A couple of examples can be found below:

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