Saturday 30 June 2018

MITB Cash-In Odds Update And More

Kambi's Money in the Bank cash-in markets were republished during the week with a few price changes.

Firstly, in the market where clients can place wagers on the show where the eventual cash-in takes place, the option to punt on the contract execution taking place on a WWE Pay-Per-View, Network Special - or any other sort of show other than an episode of Raw or Smackdown - has been cut from 1/4 into 1/6.

If this year's Money in the Bank holder cashes in during an episode of Raw or Smackdown, anyone who has backed this option will now have their bets settled at odds of 4/1. Before this week, the price was a slightly lower 5/2.

A successful cash-in for Braun Strowman, or whoever is in possession of the briefcase at the time its handed over to a referee (I know, I know, but it has happened before! I'll get to something else about why I think Strowman won't lose the case later in this piece) has now been cut from 1/14 into 1/16. For what it's worth, even before Strowman won the briefcase, I felt this year's winner would need to win his title challenge because last year's execution - by Baron Corbin - was a dud.

Those looking to wager against a successful cash-in can back it at 6/1. This is an increase from 11/2.

I'm actually quite glad that I waited an extra few days before I covered the latest Cash-in odds due to the news - or lack thereof - about Universal Champion Brock Lesnar's status for SummerSlam.

If you take a look at the market where you can place a bet on the timeframe when the briefcase is cashed in, you'll see the oddsmakers have slashed 'During SummerSlam' from 2/1 into 4/6.


In this week's issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter, Dave Meltzer wrote that the Extreme Rules plan could be Roman Reigns versus Bobby Lashley with the winner possibly going up against Brock Lesnar. However, Meltzer did point out that Lesnar versus either Reigns or Lashley is not confirmed for SummerSlam.

From there, other reports started to emerge yesterday stating that Lesnar will definitely not not be at SummerSlam.

I don't know what to make of this.

Maybe it's me reacting to what I've read and seen from Paul Heyman and WWE TV, but - to me - it seems to all be setting up for Lesnar to retain the strap against whoever the challenger is at SummerSlam (I think it should be Lashley if this is what they do as Reigns shouldn't lose another one to Lesnar) and then have people mad that Lesnar's contract is done and free to leave as Universal Champion only for Braun Strowman to save the title by cashing in on 'The Beast'.

There are drawbacks to my idea.

The first one - what if the reports are true and Lesnar really isn't going to make it to SummerSlam? If accurate, this would make the 2/1 odds on Lesnar still being Universal Champion at the close of SummerSlam attractive for those who might want to take the gamble.

Not only that - the odds for cash-ins taking place from Survivor Series and beyond might also appeal to punters.

It could also be far too obvious that the cash-in will take place at SummerSlam, but I guess there's no other way to do it if it really is Lesnar's last night under his current deal.

Another thing that could work against my plan is the following:

WWE Monster in the Bank T-Shirt

WWE marketing 'Monster in the Bank' merchandise for Braun Strowman could be read as a sign that the cash-in is planned to take place later than August 19th.

I state this because WWE might want to milk this slogan for all that it's worth.


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