Friday, 7 December 2018

Note About Asuka's TLC 2018 Kambi Odds

Asuka's odds to win the WWE Smackdown Women's Championship at next weekend's WWE Tables, Ladders and Chairs 2018 PPV have been on a daily decline in a betting market that's available from the Kambi oddsmakers.

You'll see in the table below that the Empress of Tomorrow started out at 5/2 when the market for the triple threat TLC match was first published by the bookmakers nearly a week ago. The selection is now at 6/5 after being adjusted every day since Tuesday's Smackdown aired.


Date/Time
Charlotte
Becky
Asuka
1/12 1:00PM
4/5
2/1
5/2
3/12 2:30PM
19/20
"
2/1
5/12 4:00PM
21/20
5/2
6/4
6/12 12:15PM
23/20
11/4
5/4
7/12 4:00PM
6/5
"
6/5


With Asuka's odds falling, the price for Charlotte Flair to go over has risen after initially being cut from 4/5 into 19/20. As of right now, customers can find her at 6/5.

Current champion - Becky Lynch - is now at 11/4. This is an increase from her opening 2/1.

It is worth noting that - despite Asuka evidently seeing interest from Kambi's clients - the Sky Bet website has had her at 11/4 since before Tuesday's edition of Smackdown.

Sky Bet was the first to publish odds for the match. It opened with Asuka at 6/1 so her present price has been more than halved since I wrote about them on November 28th.

Here's how I've tracked Sky Bet's market.


Date/Time
Becky
Charlotte
Asuka
28/11 6:27PM
2/5
3/1
6/1
28/11 7:42PM
4/6
2/1
5/1
28/11 9:10PM
4/5
6/4
"
29/11 9:30AM
5/6
11/8
9/2
29/11 11:20AM
EVS
11/10
"
30/11 11:30AM
7/4
EVS
3/1
4/12 10:55AM
"
11/10
11/4
7/12 4:30PM
"
"
"

In the post from late last month, I made a few scenarios as it pertains the result of the match. None had Becky Lynch retaining so I am not surprised to see the punters backing Asuka to get the win at TLC. However - the result that still makes the most sense to me is a Charlotte victory as it would allow for her to meet Ronda Rousey at the Royal Rumble if both women are in possession of their brands' championships in January. 

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