Sunday 7 April 2019

Big 5Dimes Mania Market Update For WrestleMania Sunday Morning

WrestleMania Sunday is finally here and I've just made the first of what should be many visits to the 5Dimes Sportsbook's betting markets for tonight. In this post, I'll share with you all of the adjustments I've recorded right up to this morning's post.

Starting with the pre-show, we have..

Women's Battle Royal 
I've been following the favourites in both battle royal markets. For this match, the person of note is Lacey Evans. She is still a -155 favourite, but here's how I've tracked the selection's movement.


Date/Time
Lacey Evans
The Field
1/4 9:00AM
+200
-280
1/4 9:00PM
+180
-260
2/4 9:00AM
+175
-245
2/4 10:00PM
+155
-195
3/4 9:00AM
-115
-125
6/4 8:00AM
-135
-105
6/4 11:00PM
-155
+115
7/4 9:00AM
"
"

As you can see, it has been one-way traffic in favour of Evans over 'The Field'.

Andre the Giant Memorial Battle Royal
Braun Strowman has been 5Dimes' favourite to win, but he has been in a back-and-forth battle with 'The Field' as you'll see below.

Date/Time
Braun Strowman
The Field
24/3 4:00PM
+150
-190
24/3 9:30PM
+140
-180
26/3 7 9:00AM
+125
-165
26/3 7 10:00PM
-115
-125
27/3 7:30AM
+100
-140
29/3 9:00AM
+110
-150
1/4 9:00AM
+100
-140
2/4 9:00AM
+110
-150
2/4 10:00PM
+100
-140
3/4 11:00PM
+120
-160
4/4 11:00AM
+125
-165
4/4 10:00PM
-110
-130
5/4 9:00AM
+100
-140
5/4 10:00PM
-140
+100
6/4 11:00PM
-110
-130
7/4 9:00AM
+110
-150

Cruiserweight Championship
Buddy Murphy is currently a -190 favourite to successfully retain the WWE Cruiserweight Championship against Tony Nese (+150). The champ has started off at -280 but was backed into -350 within the first couple of days. From there, Nese's price moved in, then it was back to Murphy. And so on. You can see the back-and-forth in the table below.

Date/Time
Buddy Murphy
Tony Nese
24/3 9:30PM
-280
+200
26/3 7 9:00AM
-350
+250
3/4 9:00AM
-230
+170
5/4 9:00AM
-190
+150
6/4 8:00AM
-230
+170
6/4 7:00PM
-190
+150
7/4 9:00AM
"
"

WWE Raw Tag Team Championship
A market for The Revival's WWE Raw Tag Team Championship defence against Zack Ryder and Curt Hawkins had the champs at +145 and the challengers at -185 when I first came across the it yesterday morning . Ryder and Hawkins went down to -260 by 7PM BST  You'll see below that the punters seemingly came back in on the titleholders after that because they moved from +180 back down to +145.

Date/Time
The Revival
Ryder and Hawkins
6/4 8:00AM
+145
-185
6/4 7:00PM
+180
-260
6/4 11:00PM
+145
-185
7/4 9:00AM
"
"

WWE Smackdown Tag Team Championship
The Usos remain at the -180 from yesterday in wagering on their Smackdown Tag Team Championship defence in a four-way.

Date/Time
Usos
Field
R and B
Bar
N and R
5/4 9:00AM
-200
+157
+320
+725
+800
6/4 8:00AM
-190
+150
+215
+850
+1500
6/4 11:00PM
-180
+140
+290
+600
+1000
7/4 9:00AM
"
"
"
"
"

Ricochet and Black are +290 but had dropped from +320 into +215 between Friday and yesterday morning. The other selections, The Bar and Nakamura and Rusev were lowered between yesterday morning and 11PM BST.

WWE Championship
Kofi Kingston is a -290 favourite to beat Daniel Bryan in the WWE Championship match. A win in favour of the champ will pay out at +210. He was +250 late last month, though.

Date/Time
Daniel Bryan
Kofi Kingston
29/3 9:00AM
+250
-350
2/4 10:00PM
+180
-260
3/4 11:00PM
+245
-335
6/4 11:00PM
+210
-290
7/4 9:00AM
"
"

WWE Women's Tag Team Championship
The Boss N Hug Connection are -150 favourites to retain their WWE Women's Tag Team Championship against The IIconics (+130), Nia Jax and Tamina (+2,000) and the Divas of Doom (+5,000).
From the betting, the punters have evidently sided mainly on the Aussies as they've been on the descent from +500.

Date/Time
B n H
Field
IIconics
N and T
D o D
27/3 7:30AM
-320
+240
+500
+850
+925
29/3 11:00PM
"
"
"
"
+850
1/4 9:00AM
-335
+245
+480
"
+1150
2/4 10:00PM
"
"
+400
"
"
4/4 10:00PM
-260
+180
+320
+950
+1300
6/4 8:00AM
-175
+135
+180
+1050
+2350
6/4 7:00PM
-190
+150
+185
+1300
+2600
6/4 11:00PM
-150
+110
+130
+2000
+5000
7/4 9:00AM
"
"
"
"
"

Drew McIntyre .vs. Roman Reigns
Roman Reigns is still a -400 favourite to beat Drew McIntyre (+280). The adjustments have been in favour of Reigns.

Date/Time
Drew McIntyre
Roman Reigns
27/3 7:30AM
+225
-305
5/4 10:00PM
+250
-350
6/4 11:00PM
+280
-400
7/4 9:00AM
"
"

WWE Intercontinental Championship
Finn Balor is the strongest favourite on the board as he's -1,050 to topple Bobby Lashley (+500). The movement has been in favour of the challenger, which is unsurprising considering he's going to be 'The Demon'.

Date/Time
Bobby Lashley
Finn Balor
27/3 7:30AM
+320
-460
2/4 9:00AM
+400
-600
2/4 10:00PM
+500
-900
6/4 11:00PM
+550
-1050
7/4 9:00AM
"
"

WWE US Championship
Samoa Joe is a -290 favourite to beat Rey Mysterio (+210) in the US Championship match. 

Date/Time
Samoa Joe
Rey Mysterio
24/3 9:30PM
-280
+200
26/3 7 9:00AM
-260
+180
6/4 8:00AM
-310
+230
6/4 11:00PM
-290
+210
7/4 9:00AM
"
"

AJ Styles .vs. Randy Orton
The past few visits to the market for the AJ Styles .vs. Randy Orton has seen Styles odds fall into favouritism. He was -140 when I checked in last night and is now even lower at -175. Orton is now up to +135.

Date/Time
AJ Styles
Randy Orton
17/3 10:00PM
+120
-160
24/3 9:30PM
+125
-165
29/3 9:00AM
+120
-160
29/3 11:00PM
-110
-130
30/3 10:00PM
+130
-170
1/4 9:00AM
+110
-150
3/4 11:00PM
-110
-130
4/4 10:00PM
+120
-160
6/4 8:00AM
+100
-140
6/4 7:00PM
-120
-120
6/4 11:00PM
-140
+100
7/4 9:00AM
-175
+135

Shane McMahon .vs. The Miz
When I last looked over the market for the falls count anywhere match, The Miz was a -210 favourite to Shane McMahon's +160.  Miz has since been moved down to -285. A win for McMahon is now offered at +205.

Date/Time
Shane McMahon
The Miz
17/3 10:00PM
+335
-505
24/3 9:30PM
+275
-395
29/3 9:00AM
+280
-400
4/4 10:00PM
+240
-320
6/4 8:00AM
+250
-350
6/4 7:00PM
+210
-290
6/4 11:00PM
+160
-210
7/4 9:00AM
+205
-285

Kurt Angle .vs. Baron Corbin
Kurt Angle has dipped from -180 into -230 for his farewell match. A win for Baron Corbin has risen to +170 from +140 overnight.

Date/Time
Kurt Angle
Baron Corbin
24/3 9:30PM
-245
+175
29/3 9:00AM
-260
+180
2/4 10:00PM
-195
+155
3/4 11:00PM
-165
+125
6/4 7:00PM
-210
+160
6/4 11:00PM
-180
+140
7/4 9:00AM
-230
+170

Triple H .vs. Batista 
When the market for the Triple H vs Batista match was initially priced up on March 17th, Batista fell from +230 into +180 in the first week and a bit. I found this surprising. Batista has now drifted out to +300 due to the gamblers backing Triple H recently.

Date/Time
Triple H
Batista
17/3 10:00PM
-310
+230
24/3 9:30PM
-280
+200
26/3 7 9:00AM
-260
+180
26/3 10:00PM
-350
+250
29/3 9:00AM
-310
+230
3/4 9:00AM
-260
+180
3/4 11:00PM
-300
+220
6/4 8:00AM
-350
+250
6/4 7:00PM
-420
+300
7/4 9:00AM
"
"

WWE Universal Championship
The Universal Championship market has been one of the fascinating markets to follow for WrestleMania 35 as you can tell the punters are divided on who they believe will end up winning the match. With that said, I feel it's safe to conclude that Brock Lesnar has been the main choice. Whether they're right on the night is another thing, though!

Lesnar was +105 when I checked in last night and was -110 this morning. Rollins remains the favourite, but has moved up from -150 into -130.

Date/Time
Brock Lesnar
Seth Rollins
17/3 10:00PM
+175
-245
24/3 4:00PM
+160
-210
24/3 9:30PM
+155
-195
25/3 11:00AM
+177
-250
26/3 7 9:00AM
+175
-245
28/3 10:00AM
+150
-190
29/3 9:00AM
+135
-175
31/3 9:00AM
+120
-160
1/4 9:00AM
+115
-155
2/4 9:00AM
-105
-135
2/4 11:00AM
+105
-145
2/4 10:00PM
-125
-115
4/4 11:00AM
-110
-130
4/4 10:00PM
+110
-150
6/4 8:00AM
-110
-130
6/4 11:00PM
+105
-150
7/4 9:00AM
-110
-130

The Main Event
Becky Lynch is a -475 favourite to beat Ronda Rousey (+425) and Charlotte Flair (+600) in the main event. The thing I've noticed the past few days twenty-four hours is Flair's price has dropped from +1,350. I will guess exactly why this has happened - there has been a fake news story going around which states that Ronda Rousey has a say in how tonight's match will end and wants to put Charlotte Flair over instead of Becky Lynch. If - and it's a giant IF - Flair leaves Mania as the double champion, it won't be because Rousey has chosen Flair instead of Lynch. This bunch of nonsense is why Charlotte has dropped. I'm sure of it.

Date/Time
Lynch
Field
Rousey
Flair
17/3 10:00PM
-350
+250
+350
+950
24/3 9:30PM
-280
+200
+320
+650
25/3 7:45PM
-320
+240
+325
+975
27/3 7:30AM
-350
+250
+335
+1075
29/3 9:00AM
-390
+270
+360
+1200
30/3 9:00AM
-430
+310
+440
+1600
30/3 10:00PM
-350
+250
+400
+1275
1/4 9:00AM
-445
+315
"
+1350
3/4 11:00PM
-490
+330
+430
+1300
4/4 11:00AM
"
"
"
"
4/4 11:46AM
-565
+375
"
"
4/4 10:00PM
-390
+270
+400
+935
6/4 8:00AM
-475
+325
+390
+1350
6/4 7:00PM
-410
+290
+425
+900
7/4 9:00AM
-475
+325
"
+600

And that's all for now. I'll refer back to these prices in my next 5Dimes update later today.

Prices correct as of 9AM BST. For the latest check out 5Dimes' Mania Live Lines.

19 comments:

  1. Two matches which are not predictable are Lesnar vs Rollins and Styles vs Orton

    I'm going with Styles and Lesnar.

    What about you David ? Also do you think Drew has any chance to win ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nothing has changed. Still Rollins and Orton.

      Delete
    2. No chance on Drew IMO. Reigns has had nothing in this feud and it's his first proper singles match back.

      Delete
  2. For me 2 WWE greatest lesnar and Orton believe dat

    ReplyDelete
  3. I dnt think Seth can def lesnar clean

    ReplyDelete
  4. The thing with Rollins is the same thing I think I joked to Abraham a few weeks ago about Rollins having 'Beast Slayer' t-shirts. There's a big 'Beast Slayer' graphic that will be used on the video screens and ring apron tonight. He has to win the match if they're going all in on that moniker.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Pretty sure there will be at least 3 F5 and 4 curb stomps

      Delete
  5. Barstool sports yesterday said the plan was for Styles/Orton to open the show. I’ve been on Orton with you but that placement starts to make me think Styles goes over. I believe the first five Wrestlemania’s started with a face win.

    Fightful Select reported that the women’s match is scheduled second. That leads me to think Boss and Hug retain although the 5Dimes line on the Iiconics has dropped like a rock. Also reporting that the Elias segment is third and Bryan/Kofi is fourth.

    I’m sure I’ll be totally wrong and plans are subject to change but that makes me think Styles (face), Boss (face), Elias (heel with a face interruption and maybe an impromptu face win), and Bryan (heel). However, they could also be putting a Kofi win on early to separate it from Becky going over.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hey ILK727 Is Barstool sports news of Styles vs Orton opening at Mania truly the plan or did they just guess that ?

      Delete
    2. Robbie Fox reported it and Sean Ross Sapp acknowledged it. Both are usually very sharp. Again, plans can change of course...I’ll let you know if I hear anything else.

      Delete
    3. I'll interject here and point out that AJ was the heel against Shane two years ago and he won the opening match.

      Delete
    4. AJ turned face immediately after that though. That match was intended to get AJ over with fans. Orton's heel run still has legs under it and isn't ending any time soon.

      Delete
    5. When you say immediately, you mean 48 hours. He was a heel in the match. Nice try.

      Delete
    6. 48 hours... As in his very next appearance.

      Delete
    7. In the program leading into Mania, he played a heel. Shane was a babyface. AJ was the heel.

      You genuinely don't bring anything to these comments.

      Delete
    8. Or you're just genuinely bad at storyline analysis and can't stand when you're disagreed with, even when it's the odds that are doing so.

      Let me know when Becky Lynch wins the men's Royal Rumble though. 🤣

      Delete
    9. Yeah, and you let me know what time Cena vs McIntyre is on tonight's card.

      Plus - you picked the wrong night to call me out on bad storyline analysis considering what the main event is.

      Delete
  6. WWE blowing the RKO out of nowhere spot on Smackdown tells me that Styles is winning at Mania. The shift sounds smart to me.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Crap, I forgot he was the heel. Sorry!

    ReplyDelete

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