If you've been following previous NJPW posts, this isn't going to be much of an update. All the prices remain as they were.
Testuya Naito is still a 3/10 favourite to get a decision over Kazuchika Okada in what will be the main event of the show. A winning bet on Okada to successfully retain the IWGP Championship will pay out at odds of 11/5.
Naito had opened at 1/3, so the punters have backed the 2017 G1 Climax winner to unseat Okada.
As for the Observer Star rating market, the line is still 5.5 stars and the under remains an even money favourite after falling from 6/5 after the adjustment.
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Okada .vs. Naito
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Over 6 Stars
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Exactly 6 Stars
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Under 6 Stars
|
|
22/12 12:45pm
|
9/5
|
13/10
|
17/20
|
|
10:00pm
|
49/20
|
7/5
|
3/5
|
|
23/12 10:15am
|
"
|
"
|
"
|
|
25/12 12:30pm
|
13/5
|
29/20
|
11/20
|
|
NEW LINE
|
Over 5.5. Stars
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Exactly 5.5 Stars
|
Under 5.5 Stars
|
|
28/12 2:45pm
|
11/10
|
6/4
|
6/5
|
|
29/12 12:00pm
|
13/10
|
"
|
EVS
|
|
1/1 12:00pm
|
"
|
"
|
"
|
The IWGP US Heavyweight Championship market still has Kenny Omega a 1/5 favourite to get the job done against Chris Jericho (3/1). The favourite had opened at 4/9, but was backed within the first day as you can see below.
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Date/Time
|
Kenny Omega
|
Chris Jericho
|
|
22/12 12:45pm
|
4/9
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6/4
|
|
23/12 10:15am
|
1/5
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3/1
|
|
28/12 2:45pm
|
"
|
"
|
|
29/12 12:00pm
|
"
|
"
|
|
1/1 12:00pm
|
"
|
"
|
The market hasn't changed since then.
The Observer star rating specials were also adjusted for this match. However, the line - and its prices - has been stationary since the change.
|
Omega .vs. Jericho
|
Over 5 Stars
|
Exactly 5 Stars
|
Under 5 Stars
|
|
22/12 12:45pm
|
6/4
|
13/10
|
EVS
|
|
10:00pm
|
27/10
|
31/20
|
1/2
|
|
23/12 10:15am
|
"
|
"
|
"
|
|
NEW LINE
|
Over 4.5 Stars
|
Exactly 4.5 Stars
|
Under 4.5 Stars
|
|
28/12 2:45pm
|
6/5
|
7/5
|
23/20
|
|
29/12 12:00pm
|
"
|
"
|
"
|
|
1/1 12:00pm
|
"
|
"
|
"
|
As promised, I'll share with you the bets that I have placed on the event. Both of them are focused on the Omega versus Jericho bout.
I bet on it receiving 'Under 5 Stars' as soon as I noticed the line. It was too high, in my opinion. The fact that others have evidently backed the option as well - and forced the traders to bring the line down to 4.5.
The second bet that I've placed is on the match result. This will be a controversial suggestion because the punters have evidently sided with Omega, but I had a speculative punt on Chris Jericho when he was 6/4. His price is better now that he has drifted to 3s.
It could end up being a bad bet, but I can't shake off the feeling that Jericho is coming in for more than one match against Omega. If I'm correct, they could have Jericho win the title on Thursday and then drop it back at the New Japan show in Long Beach, California on March 25th.
I've checked out Fozzy's tour schedule. The band plays Seattle on March 16th then has a blank slate until Milwaukee on March 27th. This has obviously strengthened my assumption that Jericho is sticking around beyond this week.
As noted, it's a speculative punt both on instinct and knowing that Jericho's schedule is - as of the time of writing - free for March 25th.
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