Wednesday 7 November 2018

How Kambi's Observer Star Ratings Markets For WWE Evolution Were Settled

The current issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter came out last Thursday with all of Dave Meltzer's star ratings for the WWE Evolution PPV. Shortly after the newsletter's release, the oddsmakers from Kambi settled theirWrestling Observer Star Ratings markets that were available to customers in the days leading up to the show.

The match of the night went to the last woman standing match for the WWE Smackdown Women's Championship. Becky Lynch's win over Charlotte Flair was given four-and-three quarter stars by Meltzer.

The star rating result means that 'Smackdown Women's Championship' was the winning selection in the 'Highest Rated Match' of the night market that Kambi was taking wagers on. The eventual winning selection opened as a joint 6/4 favourite alongside the Mae Young Classic Final which was won by Toni Storm and given three-and-a-half stars by the reviewer.

WWE Evolution Wrestling Observer Match Of The Night Betting

The four-and-three-quarters stars for the Lynch versus Flair match meant that the market where customers could place bets on the 'Exact Star Rating of the Highest Rated Match' was settled in favour of '4 Stars or More'. The selection, as you can see below, was liked by the punters as it was cut from 5/4 into 7/10 across the weekend of the show. I last checked in ninety minutes before the PPV began and the eventual winner was still 7/10.

WWE Evolution Wrestling Observer Match Of The Night Betting

Kambi also priced up Over/Under markets for the matches on the card. In these proposition markets, customers were able to bet over, under or exactly on the bookie's estimate of Meltzer's reaction to the bouts. You can compare how each line compared to the eventual result in the table below.

WWE Evolution Star Ratings Over/Under Betting

Trish Stratus and Lita .vs. Alicia Fox and Mickie James
The punters backed this match to go 'Over 1.75 Stars' as the selection was backed from EVS into 7/10 between Saturday afternoon and the evening of the show. 

Tag Match
Over 1.75
Exactly 1.75
Under 1.75
27/10 12:00PM
EVS
19/10
21/20
28/10 9:00AM
4/5
21/10
6/5
28/10 6:30PM
7/10
9/4
13/10

Battle Royal
The consensus appeared to have opted to bet on the battle royal not receiving two stars or more from Dave Meltzer as the 'Under 2 Stars' fell from 3/4 into 13/20 within the first day. Those who may have backed 'Over 2 Stars' on Saturday or Sunday would have won at  7/5 or 8/5 respectively. The match was rated three-and-a-quarter.


Battle Royal
Over 2
Exactly 2
Under 2
27/10 12:00PM
7/5
19/10
3/4
28/10 9:00AM
8/5
"
13/20

Toni Storm .vs. Io Shirai 
As mentioned above, the Mae Young Classic final was a joint favourite to be the match of the night. The bookies set the line at '3.75'. It fell under with a grade of three-and-a-half stars. The market was showing the same pricing every time I visited it leading into Evolution. The winning selection was 4/5.

Storm .vs. Shirai
Over 3.75
Exactly 3.75
Under 3.75
27/10 12:00PM
5/4
2/1
4/5

Six-Woman Tag Team Match
The match which saw Bayley, Sasha Banks and Natalya beat The Riott Squad was given three-and-a-quarter stars in Meltzer's review. This was above the bookmakers' line of 2.50.

6-Woman Tag
Over 2.5
Exactly 2.5
Under 2.5
27/10 12:00PM
6/5
37/20
9/10
28/10 9:00AM
4/5
2/1
5/4

Those who backed the 'Over 2.5 Stars' either at 6/5 or 4/5 were the winners.

Kairi Sane .vs. Shayna Baszler
Shayna Baszler's reclaiming of the NXT Women's Championship over Kairi Sane was given a line of three-and-a-half stars before it took place. The editor went lower than the line as his report gave it a quarter of a star below.

Sane .vs. Baszler
Over 3.5
Exactly 3.5
Under 3.5
27/10 12:00PM
9/10
7/4
5/4

Just like with the Mae Young Classic final, the market was unchanged across all of my visits. Those who may have backed the 'Under 3.5' at 5/4 were the winners here.

Becky Lynch .vs. Charlotte Flair
We know how this one went. Unfortunately, it's hard to determine whether anybody backed this to go Over as the price remained at 6/4 through the weekend.

Lynch .vs. Flair
Over 4
Exactly 4
Under 4
27/10 12:00PM
6/4
7/4
3/4

Ronda Rousey .vs. Nikki Bella
The main event was given a line of 2.75. Dave Meltzer graded it higher than that with three-and-three-quarters. As you can see below, the customers felt this would beat the line as the bookies cut the eventual winning selection from 7/5 into EVS a few hours before the event.

Rousey .vs. Bella
Over 2.75
Exactly 2.75
Under 2.75
27/10 12:00PM
7/5
9/5
4/5
28/10 6:30PM
EVS
2/1
EVS

And that's all for now. There weren't any WWE Crown Jewel star ratings markets, so - hopefully - I'll return with a similar post for the Survivor Series.

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