Kazuchika Okada and KENTA are both undefeated at the top of A Block. They'll meet today, so - as I have mentioned in previous posts, barring a draw - one of the wrestlers will get to ten points by this afternoon and the other will add his first loss to this tournament.
From a betting perspective, the favourite to win today's match is KENTA. He is 3/4 to Okada's 19/20. However, this was not always the case.
As you can see in the table below - when the market was first installed last month, it was the current IWGP Heavyweight Champion who was favoured to walk away with two points from this meeting. He was 11/20 while KENTA was 5/4.
Date/Time
|
Okada
|
KENTA
|
26/6 7:40PM
|
11/20
|
5/4
|
2/7 11:00PM
|
13/20
|
11/10
|
13/7 7:00PM
|
4/6
|
21/20
|
15/7 9:00AM
|
4/5
|
9/10
|
20/7 4:00PM
|
17/20
|
17/20
|
25/7 7:00PM
|
19/20
|
3/4
|
27/7 9:00AM
|
"
|
"
|
Kambi's Wrestling Observer star ratings Over/Under market for this match has a line of four-and-a-quarter stars.
The 'Over' is a 21/50 favourite as of the time of writing. You'll be able to see that the selection has been the decline since late June as it was initially priced at 4/5.
Okada .vs. KENTA
|
O 4.25
|
E 4.25
|
U 4.25
|
26/6 7:40PM
|
4/5
|
2/1
|
5/4
|
1/7 1:30PM
|
7/10
|
43/20
|
13/10
|
2/7 11:00PM
|
3/5
|
9/4
|
6/4
|
13/7 8:00PM
|
11/20
|
23/10
|
8/5
|
15/7 9:00AM
|
1/2
|
"
|
17/10
|
20/7 4:00PM
|
21/50
|
21/10
|
9/4
|
2/7 9:00AM
|
"
|
"
|
"
|
It's worth pointing out that the bookies have also lowered the 'Exactly 4.25 Stars' selection at one point during this period of betting as it was snipped from 23/10 into 21/10 sometime before 4PM BST on July 20th.
As I sit here ready for today's main event, I cannot get a grasp how it could go.
If Okada were to win, he would continue his undefeated run in the tournament.
If it's KENTA, he gets to continue his undefeated run and could also book himself a future IWGP Heavyweight Championship challenge.
And - if it's a draw - both guys would continue their undefeated streaks and KENTA could still get the title shot post-G1.
The bookies have the draw at 2/1 in a separate special for the match. When it first opened, Kambi had the selection at 3/1. It is now down to 2s.
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