The Houston Roughnecks have returned to favourites to win the 2020 XFL Championship in an outright winner market that I've been following on the BetOnline website since late last year.
The team, who are 3-0 so far this season, had fallen to +225 from +250 when I checked in a week ago. They're now down to +200.
Last week's favourites, the DC Defenders, have drifted out to +300 from +200 likely due to their 39-9 stumble on the road to the LA Wildcats.
Speaking of the Wildcats, their odds were lowered from +1,000 to +800 within the last seven days. As were those for the Dallas Renegades (+600 to +550) and St. Louis BattleHawks (+700 to +350).
The Renegades and BattleHawks were also week three winners with the former beating Seattle 24-12 and the BattleHawks trouncing what I can confidently state is one of the worst football teams I have ever seen in ALL my years of watching the sport - The New York Guardians - by a score of 29-9.
It's a similar case in the European markets. Last week's faves were the Defenders, but they have now been pushed into second place by the Roughnecks.
The best price for Houston is the 21/10 that's available from Betfair/Paddy Power. This is slightly down from the 3/1 punters were offered seven days ago,
As for my weekly betting? Well, I am now at 2-2 after losing my bet on the Guardians +10 against St. Louis.
I have been contemplating what to bet on this week's slate of games and a few stand out to me for good and bad reasons.
The bad - my system reckons 'Over 38.5' is the play in the LA Wildcats .vs. NY Guardians game, but I really don't want to be in a position where I am relying on the Guardians' offence to score me points. They're THAT bad.
The good is I like the DC Defenders as -2.5 favourites against what - on paper - is meant to be the worst team in the league, The Tampa Bay Vipers.
I may as well go with both selections, but would not blame anyone for wanting to avoid the 'Over' in New York.
So, here goes, my bets are:
- Over 38.5 in Los Angeles @ New York
- DC Defenders -2.5
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