Wednesday, 6 April 2022

Raw After Mania 38 Viewership Betting Results

ShowBuzzDaily published the audience data for Monday's WWE Raw last night and, as a result of this, Kambi is now able to settle its TV prop bets that were created for the episode.

There were four markets priced up. I'll go through each one individually and point out which selections turned out to be the winners.

Raw's First Hour
The first hour of Raw, which started  at 8PM EST on the USA Network, had an viewership of 2,318,000. It was the highest hourly number of the three.

As for the betting - Kambi's prop market initially asked customers whether or not the hour would have 2.2 Million or higher. Both 'Yes' and 'No' were priced 17/20 each.

'Yes' was the winning selection. It'll also be the winning selection for those who may have bet a week later when the line had increased to 2.25 Million.

WWE Raw 4/4/22 Betting

Going by the price adjustments, for betting on the second line, it looks like the consensus felt that the hour would have less than 2,250,000 because 'No' went from 17/20 into 13/20.

With the 'No' moved in, the eventual winner 'Yes' rose from 17/20 to 11/10.

Raw's Third Hour
The final hour of the broadcast had a viewership of 1,871,000. This meant that 'Yes' was the winning selection in the prop market specific to hour three.

As you'll see below, Kambi asked customers whether there would be 1.8 Million or more people recorded as having watched the show in the 10-11PM EST time slot.

Raw 4/4/22 Viewership Betting

It appears as though the majority bet on Raw having less than 1,800,000 in that portion of the episode because the odds for 'No' declined while the eventual winner rose from 27/25 out to 7/4 in the time the market was available.

The Total Number
2,114,000 viewers watched the second hour. Add that number to those for hour one and three, divide it by three and the total average for the episode is 2,101,000.

When Kambi first published the prop for the show's viewership number, it asked whether 2 Million or above would watch.

Then, a week later, the line was moved to 2.1 Million.

Raw 4/4/22 Audience Betting

'Yes' turned out to be the winning selection for both of the lines with 4/6 graded for the 2 Million line and 9/10 for the adjusted one.

P18-49 Demographic Betting
The Persons 18-49 rating for the show was 0.63. This average was calculated by hour one having a rating of 0.68, hour two picking up a 0.63 and the third receiving a 0.58.

The market for the rating was another which had a line adjustment.

Originally, Kambi asked customers whether or not the number would be 0.6 or higher. It was later changed to 0.65 or above.

With 0.63 being the result, there was a win for 'Yes' and 'No' depending on when the punter bet.

4/4/22 WWE Raw TV Viewership Betting

'Yes' was the winning selection with the line set at 0.6 while the 'No' option won with the later line.

It appears as though the consensus sided with the 'No' - when the line was 0.65 - because the odds were reduced from 7/10 into 11/20 

Even though I didn't bet on any of these markets this time, I did look forward to seeing what the results would be. The Pro Wrestling TV viewership posts were always fun to do before the temporary loss of ShowBuzzDaily, as well as the pandemic, made this coverage infrequent. 

View Kambi's Pro Wrestling Markets

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