Friday, 12 May 2017

Road To WrestleMania 34 Odds For May 12th

As covered in a couple of posts earlier today, the oddsmakers from Kambi have republished a handful of their WWE specials. In this post, I'll go through the 'Road to WrestleMania 34' markets and note any changes that have been made since I last had a look through them.

To Win Either The World Or Universal Championship
This market is a long list of wrestlers from both the Raw and Smackdown brands. You can bet on any of them to win either the World or Universal Championship at any point between the date of the bet being struck and the close of WrestleMania 34. The current odds can be viewed in the image below.

Odds taken from Unibet's WWE Betting Page

There have been three changes made to the prices since my last visit to these markets. 

Seth Rollins has moved out from 3/5 to 13/20 and Dean Ambrose's price has gone up to 2/1 from 7/4.

Notice both wrestlers are from the Raw brand where Brock Lesnar is the WWE Universal Championship? I cannot see Lesnar dropping the strap any time before WrestleMania 34, so it's understandable to see two of the main Raw stars drifting out in this market.

A name that has shortened is Smackdown's Baron Corbin. He has moved in from 7/10 to 1/2. It has been quite a descent for Corbin because he initially opened at 17/20 on April 14th. 

I understand why Corbin is being backed. He's the favourite to win this year's Money in the Bank ladder match. Doing so will guarantee him a WWE World Championship title shot within a year. If he does secure this opportunity, then there's a chance of him becoming a champ before the close of Mania 34. 

There's also the possibility that, if he wins the briefcase, the cash-in could occur after Mania. Your wager would have been graded as a loser before that point.

Head-to-Heads

I have also had a look over the head-to-head markets where two wrestlers are placed in a matchet where customers can bet on - or guess - which star claims either the World or Universal Title first.

Baron Corbin .vs. Bray Wyatt
This matchbet is a newly added market where clients can wager on either Corbin, Wyatt or Neither.

Baron Corbin 13/20
Bray Wyatt 3/1
Neither win title 6/4

With Bray Wyatt now on the Raw side, I'd rule him out as I believe there will only be one new Univeral Champion between now and WrestleMania 34 and that should be Roman Reigns, if the reports of Reigns .vs. Lesnar being planned for Mania are accurate. This leaves Baron Corbin or 'Neither'. As I noted above, there's a slight chance that - if Corbin becomes this year's Mr. Money in the Bank - the time of him cashing in his title contract could occur in the days or months following WrestleMania. If this turns out to be an accurate call, then the 'Neither' would be the winning selection. 

Braun Strowman .vs. AJ Styles
This market hasn't changed. It's still showing these odds:

Braun Strowman 2/1
AJ Styles 2/5
Neither win title 4/1

It opened with Styles a 7/20 favourite, so the early birds have backed him to regain the WWE Championship sometime before next year's Mania. I can't argue with that.
Once again, I'm banking on Brock Lesnar carrying the WWE Universal strap all the way to Mania in order to drop it to Roman Reigns. This should rule out Braun Strowman. 

Kevin Owens .vs. Sami Zayn
Another market that remains stationary is the one where Kevin Owens and his real-life good friend, Chris Jericho Sami Zayn, are competing to be the first WWE Champion. The prices are:

Kevin Owens 13/20
Sami Zayn 5/2
Neither win title 7/4

In the post from April 14th, I wrote 'it's Owens or neither' and something along the lines of 'once Owens moves on from his feud with AJ Styles, I can see him entering the title picture'. The company appears to be going all-in on Owens being the Face of America as United States Champion now. As of the time of writing, I'm leaning on the 'Neither'.

Dean Ambrose .vs. Seth Rollins
Unlike the first two I've written about, this market has seen some changes since I last looked over it.

Dean Ambrose 7/2
Seth Rollins 6/5
Neither win title 3/4

The 'Neither' has been backed from 5/4. I noted back in April that this was the market that grabbed my attention the most when it was first released. Once again - I believe Brock Lesnar will hold the Universal strap right through to Mania. I liked the 'Neither' when it was 7/4. There are customers out there who evidently agree with the idea that Ambrose and Rollins will not hold either of the major titles until beyond Mania 34.

Cesaro .vs. The Miz
This one is easy. The current odds are:

Cesaro 5/1
The Miz 5/2
Neither win title 1/4

With two Raw wrestlers, and my thoughts on Lesnar keeping the Universal strap, the 'Neither' is the only selection I've zeroed in on. The customers have also backed it as it went from  2/5 to 3/10 in its first six days. It has now been snipped into 1/4. It's been all 'Neither' and I cannot find any fault with that.

Roman Reigns .vs. John Cena
Who wins their respective championship first? Does Roman Reigns claim the Universal before John Cena bags his seventeenth world title? This all could go down on the same night, so the market could wind up being determined on how the WrestleMania 34 card is laid out.

Here are the odds as of the time of publishing:

Roman Reigns 2/5
John Cena 7/4
Neither win title 5/1

The 'Roman Reigns' selection is seeing action as it was originally 1/3 before being backed into 1/4. It has now been cut to 2/5.

As I've mentioned numerous times in this post, and will do in many future posts, I believe that Roman Reigns will unseat Brock Lesnar to become Universal Champion at Mania.
I'm going to - for the moment - forget about the idea of AJ Styles .vs. Shinsuke Nakamura being the world title program for WrestleMania and entertain the thought that it'll be John Cena going for history. Cena's chase for his seventeenth world championship has a 'WrestleMania Moment' written all over it.
It's a tough call because Cena and Reigns could win the respective titles on the very same night if the company does go with the record breaking title victory (I know, I know). For some reason, I'm compelled to take the 7/4 on John Cena on the slight chance they go with the title win at SummerSlam or - in failing that - Reigns .vs. Lesnar is given the proper main event slot on April 8th and Cena versus whomever is champion goes on ahead of it.
This could very well end up being a wager on how the how the matches are positioned if Cena and Reigns are contenders going in to Mania.

The markets can be found across the websites that use the Kambi platform. Two examples can be viewed below:


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