In Monday's post titled Dolphins Said, The Results Read : WWE SummerSlam 2014 Edition, I made note of the SummerSlam 2014 betting odds at the time the Reddit/Twitter user, Dolphins1925, announced his 'spoilers' on Twitter.
I thought I would do a follow up with a short post showing what I noticed when tracking the betting markets from the day they were opened all the way through to when they were closed
The first table shows the opening odds for every wrestler that appeared on the main card.
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Notice how some of the early favourites like AJ Lee, Jack Swagger and The Miz had become outsiders by the time the pay-per-view started?
The second table pinpoints the approximate time when insider money began landing on the eventual winners. It also shows how some of these selections moved from being betting outsiders into favourites within a short space of time.
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The smart money must have been wagered some time between 5pm EST/10pm BST and 6:20pm EST / 11:20pm BST because this is the point where the match winners' odds shortened.
One of the factors that made it easier to distinguish when the insider money landed was because the sportsbook had incorrectly predicted the winners when they set up the odds earlier in the week.
That's not to say we wouldn't have noticed the shifts. We would have. They just would have looked less dramatic than they do here.
Odds taken from the 5Dimes Casino & Sportsbook
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