Monday 5 June 2017

Extreme Rules 2017 And Smart Money

Now that the results of WWE Extreme Rules 2017 are in the record books, it's safe to say that - in the very least - smart money landed on nearly all of the matches on Thursday. If not on this day, it absolutely did on Friday.

WWE Extreme Rules 2017 Smart Money Domestic Odds
Click on image to expand
In the table above, I've listed all of the eventual winners from the main card of last night's show. I've also recorded what the earliest odds I have for each selection, how the lines had moved by Friday morning and how they were slashed by Friday night.

The 'Friday Morning' column being all in red - apart for Rich Swann and Sasha Banks as the market wasn't released until later that day - shows that the selections in question ALL fell between publication and the start of the following day.

The selection that stood out on the Thursday was Samoa Joe as the sportsbook had taken enough wagers by the late evening that all betting on him was suspended throughout the night and into around 10am on Friday morning. When Joe was placed back onto the board, his price was at EVENS. As the final column points out, he was backed across Friday as well closing the day as a 3/10 fave.

It wasn't only Joe who was backed throughout Friday. All but the Alexa Bliss .vs. Bayley market saw action with the eventual winners all being short-priced favourites across the board by the end of the day.

As covered over the weekend, Saturday saw peculiar betting action take place where unlikely winners like Dean Ambrose were backed. It was questionable wagering because - going in - Miz should have, and was, the consensus pick. People who follow the odds must have seen Ambrose lower, raised an eyebrow and jumped on because it was out of left field move to see Ambrose being backed. This led to Ambrose's price lowering before the smart money - once again - landed on the eventual winner.

I'm intrigued to see whether this continues on upcoming PPV Saturdays.

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