Sunday, 9 July 2017

Looking Back Through Kambi's Time Props For Great Balls Of Fire

On Friday, I published a post where I went through the 'Match Duration' over/under specials that have been priced up for tonight's WWE Great Balls of Fire. I've decided to have another look through the markets to see how the punters have been wagering since then.

For those of you new to this, the oddsmaker sets a line and the customer must guess whether that specific match lasts longer or shorter than the line.

Enzo Amore .vs. Big Cass
The oddsmakers put this one up with the line at '6 minutes or over' or '5:59 or less'. It opened with both selections at 17/20 on Friday morning. Then - by the evening - the under had been backed into 4/5 before drifting back out to 17/20 yesterday morning. As of the time of writing, the under has once again been backed as it has been slashed to 18/25 with the over available at EVS.

Alexa Bliss .vs. Sasha Banks
The WWE Raw Women's Championship match duration propositions were '11:30 or Over' or '11:29 or less'. In the five times that I have visited this market, I've noticed that the under has been backed. It opened at 4/5 and is now down to 3/5. The opposite side started at 9/10 and is currently 6/5.

Braun Strowman .vs. Roman Reigns
The line of '18:00 or over' opened as a 18/25 favourite. I thought it was slightly too high, so took '17:59 or less' at EVENS. By Saturday morning, the option I backed had been snipped to 9/10 and was 4/5 this morning. It remains at 4/5. If you think the match will go eighteen or higher, you can now find it at 9/10.

Seth Rollins .vs. Bray Wyatt
The customers seem to believe that this match will last longer than fourteen minutes as the option to back the '14:00 or more' went from 17/20 to 18/25 across the weekend. A winning bet on '17:59 or less' will now pay out at even money. It also opened at 17/20.

The Miz .vs. Dean Ambrose
The line has been set at twelve minutes in this market for the Intercontinental Championship match. '12:00 or over' opened 4/5 and '11:59 or less' was 9/10. The under was backed into 17/20 by yesterday morning. However, as of today, it's the over that has seen action as it is now an 18/25 favourite. Under was one of the selections that I backed initially.

Brock Lesnar .vs. Samoa Joe
This market opened long before the others. However, it wasn't until this weekend where the odds began to change. Here are the notes I've collected for this market:


The customers are evidently expecting this one to go over twelve minutes as it has lowered across the last three visits. It currently stands at 3/5. The option to bet on '11:59 or less' has moved up from 18/25 to 6/5 since the market first opened three weeks ago.

One thing that I made a point of writing about on Friday is the fact that this card has a thirty-minute iron man match. Therefore, there's a strong chance that the under will hit in a few of these markets due to time constraints.

The main event is also tricky to call. The company has done a good job building up the animosity between Brock Lesnar and Samoa Joe to the point that a pre-match brawl could be booked when the match is structured. The bets are settled from bell-to-bell, so - if this scenario plays out - I believe there's a chance of the under winning here.

I had no intention of betting on the under in the main event. However, after writing the above, I've decided to add it to my bets for tonight.

The markets can be found across all the sports betting and casino websites that offer WWE Great Balls of Fire betting from the Kambi Group. A couple of examples can be found below.


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