Tuesday 24 October 2017

A Belated Hypothetical Proposition Post For Lesnar .vs. Mahal

In the days leading up to WWE Tables, Ladders and Chairs 2017, I got in touch with my friend who works in the betting industry and asked him what prices he would give to the upcoming Survivor Series match between WWE Universal Champion - Brock Lesnar - and WWE Champion, Jinder Mahal if her were to price up a market. He gave me his hypothetical prices and I planned to publish a post writing about his response in the days following TLC 2017.

The plan backfired because the Kambi oddsmakers beat us to it by releasing his own real prices for the November 19th battle of the champions.

Still - it put this blogger in an interesting position because it allowed me to compare my friend's prices to the Kambi oddsmaker's for today's post.

Brock Lesnar .vs. Jinder Mahal WWE Survivor Series 2017 Match

My friend believes that Brock Lesnar will go over at the PPV and would therefore give 'The Beast' odds of 1/12. His reasoning is because Lesnar hasn't lost to names like Samoa Joe and Braun Strowman since winning the Universal Championship and he believes that they won't have Lesnar lose with the big plan for him to meet his match against Roman Reigns at WrestleMania 34.

With Lesnar at 1/12, this would put the WWE Champion - Jinder Mahal - at 6/1.

Kambi's odds for the match were published on Saturday morning. The trader also had Brock Lesnar as a short-priced favourite to get a decision over the WWE Champ as he opened at 2/13.

A win for Mahal in the real-life pricing was put up at 7/2 before being taken down ahead of TLC 2017.

My takeaway from seeing both sets of prices is that the oddsmakers believe the Survivor Series meeting isn't going to be close and Lesnar will do what he has done with every challenger since lifting the WWE Universal Title.

9 comments:

  1. Easy win for Lesnar. Its most predictable match of SS.

    I hope Aska wont be in Raw team. If she will be in team, it would be another 1/12((

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  2. I would like odds for the draw... be surprised if they let Lesnar steamroll over the WWE champion regardless of who they are.

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    Replies
    1. This is one of those times where I would like to see a draw as an option.

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    2. Without a time limit they can't announce an official draw. Double count out, no finish etc you would have to take on the method of victory "Any Other" I guess.

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    3. I, and I am sure Jordan, meant 'Draw' as having a third option to the match market.

      I've seen WWF Championship matches - without time limits - end in draws, by the way.

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    4. The Brett Diesel example aint the best. What I mean is WWE chose whether to label a non finish a draw or not. Rumble 95 should have been a DQ win for Diesel because Michaels attacked Diesel first but because they didnt want either to be labelled as a loser they did a stupid angle with the locker room hitting the ring and attacked both men. To ask for a price on this type of draw woudl eb interesting but I think the closest we will get to a draw would be a double countout which the likes of Kambi would include in the price of Any Other.

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    5. However, taking the 95 example I suppose its not far fetched to believe that both locker rooms want to have the top championship on their brand and both locker rooms hit the ring and the match ends in a draw... I see your point... hmmmmmm liek it.

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    6. I didn't think of it until you brought this up, but I sort of disagree with this being a bad example as they needed to protect both guys then and they also need to do it with Lesnar and Mahal. Especially the latter.

      In '95, Bret was coming back after losing the title to Backlund and was Diesel's first major defence so they had to keep both strong and find a unique way to have a result where both didn't lose.

      They couldn't do the Diesel win by DQ as they had already done it in June at King of the Ring and wouldn't have set up the rubber match - of sorts - in late 1995.

      It's a very random example, though!

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