Thursday 12 April 2018

How Carmella Cashed In For WWE Gamblers

On Tuesday night's edition of WWE Smackdown, the first-ever Women's Money in the Bank winner - Carmella - successfully cashed in her immediate title shot against Charlotte Flair to become WWE Smackdown Women's Champion.

This result now means that bets that were offered by the Kambi oddsmakers ahead of last June's Money in the Bank ladder match will now be settled.

In this, what should be the final Money in the Bank 2017 post that I publish, I'll take one last look through Kambi's betting markets to see how wagering went from June all the way through to this weekend.

The first market I'll cover is one where customers could bet on time-frames where they thought the cash-in would take place.

Money in the Bank 2017 Cash-in Specials - Date Of Cash-in

You can get a better view of the table above by clicking on it to expand. It shows that, in June, the oddsmakers gave their customers six options to chose from. They were:

Between 1st Day After Money in the Bank (2017), But Before SummerSlam 5/4
During SummerSlam 2017 5/4
Between 1st Day After SummerSlam, But Before Survivor Series (2017) EVS
Between Survivor Series, But Before WrestleMania 34 3/1
During WrestleMania 34 10/1
On 1st Day After WrestleMania 34 Or Later 10/1

So, on opening day, the eventual winner - 'On 1st Day After WrestleMania 34 Or Later' was available at 10/1. As the weeks turned to months, and the selections became obsolete with time, the eventual winner fluctuated. You can see the key moments of change in the image below.

Money in the Bank 2017 Cash-in Specials - Date Of Cash-in Winner

Looking at how the selection rose and dropped in the time, it's clear that the best time to have backed the cash-in taking place after WrestleMania would have been in late July when it was up at 17/1.

With the contract being executed on Smackdown, the obvious winner - in a market where customers could bet on the show of Carmella's cash-in - was 'Raw or Smackdown'. It was up against 'PPV/WWE Network Special (Any Other).

Money in the Bank 2017 Cash-in Specials - Show of Cash-in Betting

The winner opened as a 3/1 shot in mid-June. The best price you could have found appears to have been the 4/1 this past Sunday because many people were guessing the cash-in would occur during either of the women's championship matches at WrestleMania. Odds for a Mania cash in had reached 1/8 at this point.

Finally, if you read yesterday's post - you'll be aware that there were betting markets where customers could bet on the cash-in being a success or not. People with knowledge that the Money in the Bank ladder match would end up being voided foolishly thought that this would result in bets being settled in favour of an unsuccessful cash-in backed it at Paddy Power on the Sunday afternoon. The bets must have came in at Kambi as well as the oddsmakers took the market off the board.

Knowledgeable fans knew that WWE wouldn't let the first women's MITB cash-in to fail as Tuesday's story proved.

Money in the Bank 2017 Cash-in Specials - Successful Cash-in Betting

As you can see in the betting, the 'Yes' was backed a lot during the months that the market was available. It was as short as 1/100 for the majority of this time.

When it was republished over the weekend, customers were offered EVEN money on the 'Yes'. This was because the oddsmakers had handicapped a possible failed cash-in if Asuka was champion and had extended her undefeaed streak. Other fans - like myself - ran with another theory. This being that WWE would have Carmella cash-in her shot against Raw's champion. This may have been why the 'Yes' was cut to 17/20 by Sunday evening.

I look forward to covering these markets when it's time for 2018's edition of Money in the Bank.

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