Today's main event is one of the match markets that Kambi had available for the tournament. It'll see Will Ospreay go up against Kazuchika Okada.
Okada opened as a 3/4 favourite when the market was first installed last month. He closed as a 4/9 favourite when the market was taken down on Thursday morning.
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Date/Time
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Okada
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Ospreay
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26/6 7:40PM
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3/4
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19/20
|
|
2/7 11:00PM
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7/10
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EVS
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|
9/7 4:00PM
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13/20
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11/10
|
|
12/7 8:30AM
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11/20
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5/4
|
|
13/7 7:00PM
|
13/25
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13/10
|
|
15/7 9:00AM
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4/9
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6/4
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|
18/7 9:00AM
|
"
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"
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As you can see in the betting, Okada was the punters' choice to win as his price descended across the time the market was available.
Will Ospreay closed at 6/4. This is up from his opening 19/20.
In a post published on June 26th, I circled this match as I mentioned that I had backed Ospreay to get the W. A win for the Brit would set up a potential IWGP Heavyweight Championship challenge over the autumn.
Or it could set up a late-summer meeting with Okada in London on August 31st.
With that said, I thought Zack Sabre Jr would end up getting a decision over Okada on Sunday and that was a bad call. I also wrote in yesterday's post how I thought Ishii would either win or draw against Jon Moxley and that too turned out to be a misstep.
A separate market in which customers could bet on this match being a draw closed with the option at 2/1. This was down from 3/1.
There was also a Wrestling Observer star rating O/U market for the match. Kambi set the line at four-and-three-quarter stars.
As you can see, in the table below, the consensus expect a five star match as the 'Over' went from 5/4 into 23/20 by last Friday and was then snipped to 11/10 by Monday morning. The 'Exactly 4.75 Stars' selection was also taken back down to 2/1 after being moved up to 41/20 last week.
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Okada .vs. Ospreay
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O 4.75
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E 4.75
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U 4.75
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26/6 7:40PM
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5/4
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2/1
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4/5
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|
13/7 8:00PM
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23/20
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41/20
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17/20
|
|
15/7 9:00AM
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11/10
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2/1
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9/10
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|
18/7 9:00AM
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"
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"
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"
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