Sunday, 7 February 2021

McAfee's Big Gamble

I'm even more interested in the result of the Super Bowl coin toss than I have been in previous years.

That's because I saw that Pat McAfee appears to have gambled $30,000 on the coin landing on 'Tails'.

Pat McAfee Super Bowl LV Coin Toss Bet

The former NFL punter, and occasional NXT pro wrestler, looks to make $29.126.21 from his wager which was placed at a price of -103.

The coin toss Super Bowl prop bet is one of, if not the, most popular attractions for punters to gamble on ahead of the big game.

For no reason, other than to have some content for this blog post-Royal Rumble, I thought I'd take a look at how Super Bowl coins have flipped in the past just to see if things are looking good, or bad, for McAfee.

Of the fifty-four Super Bowls that have been played, 'Tails' is the result that has happened the most with it popping up twenty-nine times (54%). It is currently on a two-game run landing on that side in 2019 and 2020. However, it is currently 6-1 over the last seven Super Bowls. 

McAfee has certainly gone with the trendy pick considering how it has performed overall and especially with its current lucky form.

Seeing as this year's game is being played in Tampa, Florida, I thought I'd look closely at the results from games played in the Sunshine State.

As of the time of writing, there have been sixteen Super Bowls played in Florida. Of those games, 'Tails' has landed seven times with 'Heads' being the result in the other nine (56%).

To narrow it down even more, I looked at the result of the coin toss in all of the games that have been played in the city of Tampa. It too edges towards 'Heads' as that result has occurred three out of four games (75%) that have so far been played in the city.

It depend which way you look at it. 

If you want to go by the overall results, 'Tails' has a slight edge. Especially considering its most recent successes. However, on the other side of the - if you pardon the pun - coin, the Florida/Tampa historical stats point to 'Heads' going over tonight.

I wish Pat the best of luck. 

Because that's what the game of tossing a coin is all about.

Super Bowl Coin Toss Results

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