Friday, 19 November 2021

How Kambi's AEW Full Gear 2021 Observer Star Ratings Markets Will Be Settled

The issue of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter, with Dave Meltzer's review of AEW Full Gear 2021, was published this morning.

Now that the star ratings for each of the matches on the card have been confirmed, the oddsmakers from Kambi will now settle the Observer-themed markets that were available leading into the show.

The main event - which saw Adam 'Hangman' Page beat Kenny Omega for the AEW World Championship - was the match which received the highest praise in Meltzer's review garnering five-and-a-half stars.

This result meant that the Over/Under market for the title match will be settled with '5 Stars or More' as the winning selection.

When it opened, the eventual winner was a 13/20 favourite over the 11/10 which would have paid out for any star rating result under five stars.

Early wagers, on the Under, appears to have forced the bookmaker to adjust the odds with the eventual losing pick lowered into 19/20 while '5 Stars or More' moved up to 3/4.

A couple of days before the event, '5 Stars or More' dropped into 3/5 with its opposition moving out to 6/5.


The next best match in the review was the six-man which saw SuperKliq lose to the trio of Jurassic Express and Christian Cage. It received five stars from the newsletter's editor.

The line for the contest was set at four-and-a-half, so the '4.5 Stars or More' selection will be the winning pick.

The top two matches are important to the settlement of some prop markets that were priced up for the event.

Firstly - with there being a gap of at least half a star between the top match and the next best - a prop which asked customers whether there would be a 'Margin of Victory' of half-a-star or more between the two matches will be graded with 'Yes' winning at odds of 5/4.

AEW Full Gear 2021 Observer Prop Bet

As well as that, with the main event only receiving the most star ratings in the review, Kambi's 'Joint Winners' proposition market will be settled with the 'No' being declared the winning selection at odds of 4/9 because no other match, or matches, shared the bout of the night honours.

AEW Full Gear 2021 Observer Prop Bet

'Yes' will be the winning pick in the prop which asked whether or not Meltzer would rate any match five stars or more.

AEW Full Gear 2021 Observer Prop Bet

The selection was a 2/5 favourite throughout its period of availability.

The trios match saw itself up against the Daniel Bryan versus Miro final in the AEW World Championship Eliminator tournament in a head-to-head market in which customers were able to bet on which - of the two contests - would earn the most stars from Meltzer.

AEW Full Gear 2021 Observer Head-To-Head

The tournament final - which was won by Danielson -  received four-and-a-half stars in the review.

Another match which received four-and-a-half stars from the reporter was the one which saw MJF defeat Darby Allin.

It competed against the Malakai Black and Andrade versus PAC and Cody Rhodes match which scored a quarter of a star less meaning the winning pick was 'Darby Allin .vs. MJF' in that matchbet. 

AEW Full Gear 2021 Observer Head-To-Head

The third, and final, head-to-head market had the Minnesota Street Fight (Inner Circle .vs. Men of the Year and America Top Team) up against Britt Baker's AEW Women's Championship defence against Tay Conti.

The latter scored three-and-a-half stars while the multi-person street fight was given four stars. The eventual winner was a 4/5 favourite ahead of the PPV.

AEW Full Gear 2021 Observer Head-To-Head

Before I conclude with the final two prop markets that were available for the event, I'll share with you all of the results from the Over/Under markets because the table will act as a guide to explain how the two remaining markets will be graded.

AEW Full Gear 2021 Observer Star Ratings Results

As you'll be able to notice in the table, eight matches were graded four stars or higher. Five of which were rated at least four-and-a-half stars. This meant that 'Yes' will be the winning selections in the final two prop markets that were available.

In one, customers were asked whether or not over six-and-a-half matches would be given at least four stars in Meltzer's review.

AEW Full Gear 2021 Observer Prop Bet

The other win for 'Yes' came in the prop which asked whether there would be at least four matches graded four-and-a-half stars or higher.

AEW Full Gear 2021 Observer Prop Bet

The eventual winners were 4/6 in both markets.

I aim to return next week with a look at the star ratings betting results for this weekend's WWE Survivor Series PPV.

WWE Survivor Series (2021) Star Ratings Line From Kambi

As of the time of writing, Kambi has Over/Under star ratings lines for the matches that have been announced the event. You'll be able to see them in the table above.

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