Monday, 14 August 2023

A Final Look Through G1 Climax 33 Betting Markets

It is now a day removed from Tetsuya Naito's winning of this year's G1 Climax, so I thought I'd write one final post about the tournament.

Here is the complete table with the odds movements I was able to record from when BetOnline first opened its outright winner market in early June right through to when the bookmakers made their last changes before the semi-finals took place.

G1 Climax 33 - Outright Winner Odds

As you can see, when the market was last made available, the eventual winner had become the odds-on favourite with a price of -125.

The 'Tetsuya Naito' selection had started out at +400 on June 4th. However, the top price you would have found during G1 season would have been +1,000 between July 27th and 30th. 

On July 27th, Naito would have been sitting on four points from a possible eight. A day earlier, Shane Haste had beaten him hence the jump from the previous odds of +250 to +1,000.

As you can see, the odds began to slide after that because Naito didn't lose again after  Haste.

The D Block winner market started out with Naito as a -110 fave to be at the top of the division once all of the round robin matches had been completed. The two losses to Jeff Cobb (First Round) and Shane Haste (Fourth Round) led to Naito's price to be crowned D Block winner increase. The top number turned out to be the +400 from July 27th (this was the same period when Naito was +1,000 to be the outright winner). 

G1 Climax 33 Betting: D Block Winner

When last available, Naito's selection was +300 to take the block. Zack Sabre Jr. and Jeff Cobb were +100 joint-favourites. At that point in time, Cobb did have a win over Naito but ZSJ had yet to meet the eventual block and tournament winner. The meeting ended with Naito claiming the two points.

To close, here are the prices I was able to catch for the other three block winner markets.

G1 Climax 33 Betting: A Block Winner

The A Block market was the first to be settled because of SANADA's undefeated streak through the round robin portion of the tourney.

Opening as a -500 favourite, the current IWGP World Heavyweight Champion had fallen all the way down into -2,000 before betting was suspended completely.

Kazuchika Okada was a -200 favourite to take B Block when the market first opened in the first part of June. By the conclusion of the tournament, he was a +100 second-favourite mainly due to Will Ospreay holding the tiebreaker over him.

G1 Climax 33 Betting: B Block Winner

BetOnline had Ospreay as a closing -120 favourite. Despite holding the tie over Okada, he finished second with a points tally of ten to Okada's twelve.

G1 Climax 33 Betting: C Block Winner

The bookmakers had David Finlay favoured to take C Block from the first date of wagering right through to the market closing.

The eventual C Block victor had started out at -300 in June, but was down to -500 by July 25th. 

At that point in the tournament, Finlay had three wins from three and had just beaten EVIL in a result which factored into how this market would end up being settled because - once the round robin part of he tournament had been completed - both Finlay and EVIL were at the top of C Block with ten points each. Finlay took the block due to holding the tiebreak over EVIL.

And that's all for the G1. Fingers crossed I'll be able to come across markets for G1 34 next summer!

No comments:

Post a Comment

Thank you for reading this post. Please note: All comments are moderated and will be published or rejected at the blog owner’s discretion.

Summer 2020 Update:
Due to changes with the blogging platform (not getting notified of new comments), I have had to close the comment section. Until I find a remedy, you can reach out on Twitter (@WWELeaksDotOrg)

Note: only a member of this blog may post a comment.