Sunday, 25 August 2019

How Kambi Settled Its G1 Climax 29 'To Feature In Highest Rated Match' Prop Markets

When all was said and done after this year's NJPW G1 Climax, the bout that stood as the highest rated match of the tournament was the Kazuchika Okada versus Will Ospreay meeting from night seven.

It received five-and-three-quarter stars in Dave Meltzer's review of the event in the Wrestling Observer Newsletter.

I've written a few posts about the match, and how its result settled a number of bets, but there were some more proposition markets that I did not cover in the days following the conclusion of the tournament.

In the weeks leading into the tournament, Kambi published five prop markets where customers could place bets on whether or not a selection of competitors participated in the highest rated match of the tournament. The names were: Hiroshi Tanahashi, Kazuchika Okada, Kota Ibushi, Tetsuya Naito and Will Ospreay.

As we know, Okada and Ospreay were the two wrestlers in the match of the tournament, so their markets were settled with the 'Yes' being declared the winning selections The props for the other three wrestlers were graded in favour of the 'No'.

The proposition for Okada to feature in the highest rated match started off with the eventual winner at 3/4. However, by the time the market was taken down - and following the grading of 5.75 Stars from Meltzer - the selection had plummeted to 1/40.


Will Ospreay's prop had the 'Yes' at 5/4 when it was first released on June 26th. It was eventually backed into EVS and was down to 1/20 after the night seven match was given the strong rating from Meltzer.


The other three markets can be viewed below. 

Tanahashi's prop began with the 'No' favoured at odds of 4/9. However, by late-July, the bookies had slashed it into 1/100.


The bookies placed the 'No' at 7/10 in the proposition for Tetsuya Naito to be a participant in the highest rated match of the tournament. However, following Okada .vs. Ospreay, the odds were cut to 1/20 while the 'Yes' was moved to 7/1 from EVS. 

On the Friday before the last round of matches, the 'Yes' was snipped from the 7/1 into 3/1. I surmise this is because customers had a feeling he would progress to the final and had a chance at getting a top match along with the A Block winner - Kazuchika Okada or Kota Ibushi. As we now know, Naito did not make it to the final.


The 'No' for Kota Ibushi to star in the highest rated tournament match was an 8/13 favourite when the market opened. There was evidently a back and forth as the 'No' moved in at first, then it was the 'Yes' then back to 'No' and so on.

By the end, the eventual winner was 2/7. However, just like with the Naito market, it could be assumed that customers felt Ibushi had a chance of performing in a match rated higher than 5.75 stars on the last night of A Block (against Okada) or in the tournament final (against Naito or Jay White) as the price for 'Yes' was snipped from 11/4 to 9/4 a day before he met Okada to win the block.


Check back again tomorrow for yet another G1 Climax props/specials post.

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